Yes I do and like I said....BINGO~~~!!!!!!!!!!!You don't know what the word "degenerate" means, do you...
How's bout...36-29 plus $1210
This is fun, hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!
Talking of "spots"
The Steelers are the best MNF team in the league. Now there they will be in Tennesee coming off a loss.
Check it out....
Steelers are a plus 22 when it comes to points, the ans a woeful minus 79.
Steelers haven't lost two games in a row all season.
ans are 1-3 at home.
So we have a great Monday night team looking to make amends for a sub par showing vs one of the leagues weaklings.
Yep, perfect "spot" for a bg ATS Steeler win.
Week 11 potential ATS "spots"
Chargers coming off a bye week at home vs the woeful Raiders
Broncos on a whole other level than the Rams
Browns at home vs a Texan team with problems
The above mentioned Steelers on a Monday Night.
The Saints at home again vs a Bengals team struggling
Anyone curious about a game from a stats/trends perspective I have that info.
Last edited by Avante; 11-12-2014 at 03:04 AM.
what about thursday's game?
Miami is 1-2 at home ATS on Thurs. The Bills 1-1 on the road so shine that.
The Dolphins vs Bills are 1-3ATS last 4. But....home/best QB... is big in these Thurs game. The Dolphins do have that advantage. But....the Bills are a good bounce back team in 2014, they haven't lost two in a row all season, and did have the Chiefs beat.
There are no little trends favoring either team in this "spot". The Dolphins a plus 33 as far as points scored/given up goes, but the Bills are a plus 27, so nothing there.
I don't see anything strong enought to step out on in this game from a ATS perspective. If you had to play the game I'd lean ever so lightly towards Miami because of...home/QB...but they do have some O line problems after last week and a short week to try and fix things.
Also look for teams on a three/four game losing streak now on the road, real good chance they won't be getting their together on the road vs a winning team. The Panthers/Bears good examples of that recently. I jumped on those obvious "spots', both easy wins.
I'll pass on this game.
I look for plays where one team has a load of stats/trends favoring them in that particular "spot". At this time of a season those games where one team is a playoff contender and the other isn't are usually strong plays. Chargers vs Raiders a good example of that this week.
Obviously all it takes to up the best laid plans is a couple turn overs, an important injury. But what are the odds of that happening to most games when ya have 6-8 strong ATS plays?
Last edited by Avante; 11-12-2014 at 11:49 AM.
3-3...Pats/Colts and Steelers/Tacks pending.
4-3
40-32 plus $1280
Will pass on the Steelers game.
Last edited by Avante; 11-16-2014 at 11:57 PM.
Ok week 12 potential plays
Buffalo at home after a Thursday loss vs a Jets team bad on the road coming off a bye week.
The Bears at home again vs a Buc;s team on the road again.
Denver back at home coming off a loss vs Miami
The Pats at home vs a Lions team that makes a lot of stupid mistakes.
Packers at Vikes.
Indy coming off a loss at home again vs a weak Jags team
Cowboys vs a rattled Giants team
Philly coming off a loss back at home vs a weak ans team.
Niners at home vs a weak Redskins team.
The intriguing game of the week....Rams at Chargers.
Well the Chiefs have owned the Raiders ATS...9-2...Last 11, and the last time they faced them in Oakland....56-31.
And...the Raiders have sucked on these Thursday game...1-4 SU. The Chiefs in that 'spot'..5-3. And....a perfect 4-0 ATS as a favorite.
Everything screams....Chiefs are the play.
But....I'm expecting a double digit number. I don't like to lay big numbers and how can I back a 0-11 team in any "spot". And.....ya know the Chiefs were up for the Seahawks, they won't be for the lowly Raiders. And......the home team has won most these games, yes, the Raiders won't win but ...???
Too many better plays on Sunday.
opening line is chiefs -7.5
I can see Vegas is also thinking about motivation there.
The Chiefs have the Broncos up next, how do they get up for this game? Who can play a 0-11 team at all?
Don't like the "spot" the Chiefs are in.
i don't follow
These Thursday night games are weird, first off everyone hates them, nobody wants to play in them. So I can't put too much in the stats in this one because the Chiefs are coming off a big game facing another one the following week. How do they get up for the Raiders? How does anyone back the Raiders in any "spot".
I don't have to play that game and there are far better ones come Sunday.
Keep in mind I play with real $$$$. If I didn't I'd be doing far better with the numbers, I'd taken those two weather games to begin with. I'd taken the Rams plus the points vs Denver. I have to be pretty sure about things when dealing with real $$$$.
Are the Jets better than the Steelers, of course not so what happened? How about the Steelers coming off a three game home stand now on the road vs a Jets team heading into a bye week. Yep....perfect "spot" for an upset.
Look for 'spots" not just best team.
Last edited by Avante; 11-17-2014 at 09:56 AM.
yeah but 2 posts ago u said chiefs are absolutely the play ("everything screams.... chiefs are the play") but you didn't want to commit because you thought the line would be too big.
now we see the line (at least the opening line) isn't big at all, and you changed your story to "don't like the spot."
If you're going to play the game because you need some action to make the game exciting the Chiefs are without question the play. There is nothing that favors the Raiders.
I just don't like the "spot" the Chiefs are in from a scheduling perspective. And.....why play this game when there are far better plays out there?
These pro athletes have a routine, these Thursday games totally that up. Sure the Chiefs are a far better team but will that come to play is what I'm saying, knowing they can half ass it and still beat the Raiders. A Chiefs..28 Raiders 21 wouldn't shock me at all. With the game being 28-14 late, as the lowly Raiders score a bull TD later.
How many times has anyone faced a team that hasn't won a game all season on a Thursday? Yep....unique situation.
Last edited by Avante; 11-17-2014 at 02:31 AM.
This was fuuny to watch...
Oh boy Avante is down 3-1...yippee!!!!!!
then...
Damn...he came back 4-3
Hahahahaha!!!!!!!!
Since week one...40-29.
So you are really celebrating barley making it over .500 for the week?
betting expert
Nope, just poking fun at you and how excited you were when I was 1-3. Only to look stupid later on with 4-3.So you are really celebrating barley making it over .500 for the week?
Why ignore 40-29 since week one and plus $1280? And....it does get easier having gone 12-17 in the last two weeks.
Dude, you try way too hard and look stupid doing it, ok? I won't be losing a dime this season and will end up over 60% like I always do. , if not for a couple bogus weather reports....42-32 plus $1480.
The second half of a season we have a lot more good info like...
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/against-the-spread/
....than we do the first half.
More tools to work with...
http://www.nfl.com/standings
Last edited by Avante; 11-17-2014 at 01:34 PM.
Lmao bragging about 4-3.
Well let's see got....Lmao bragging about 4-3.
Imagine 4-3 for 17 weeks. After the season....68-51.
Damn you're dumb.
plus $1190
Last edited by Avante; 11-17-2014 at 01:55 PM.
"if not for weather"
"since week 1"
I love all those qualifiers you add to make you sound better than you are.
That's stilll not 60%
And
Well actually little man I picked the winners in both those weather games but being I play real $ I had to pass because of storms that never showed up."if not for weather"
"since week 1"
I love all those qualifiers you add to make you sound better than you are.
I started off 0-3 and minus 330, now here I sit 10 weeks later up $1210. Now think little man.
You look stupid shorty, and this will be fun, hahahaha!!!!!!!!! , it already is....hahaha!!!!!!!!
And, there is no need to ignore that horrendous week one, since then....40-29....now think stupid. And...if all you ever hit was 4-3 after 17 weeks.....68-51.
How about shipping me 70 bucks a week for 17 weeks ok slugger?And
What an idiot!
These ing leg humpers, sheesh~~~~~~~
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