it's not that, I think you're misunderstanding me.. When I judge a draft pick I don't try to predict where one guy will end on the all time list, I'm predicting whether a team picking have chosen well given what they were looking for, what they thought they were drafting, what was available and what is the team trying to achieve.
If some player plays great for years and then decides out of nowhere to go down the larry sanders route, i don't call the pick a bust, in the same way if a player plays awful for years, gets run out of town in disgrace while being called a rat by his teammates but starts getting serious down the line and starts playing well for some other team, i still call that pick a bust.
By the same logic, I thought it was a given that Okafor was going to be a bust for philly given that they had 2 centers already, but what I did believe is that the player was/is good and would have been a hit for the lakers. Whether Okafor succeeds or not, I never gave a , but I do care about the lakers staying out of the playoffs for 10 years straight.