I think we can pull it out, and I hope we do. Because it would be extremely difficult to beat OKC in OKC, especially if the series gets drawn out.
San Antonio Spurs-41-16
2/28-Charlotte
3/2-Dallas
3/4-@ Cleveland
3/6-Miami
3/8-Orlando
3/11-@ Chicago
3/12 -Portland
3/14-L.A. Lakers
3/16-Utah
3/19-@ L.A. Lakers
3/21-@ Sacramento
3/22-@ Golden State
3/24- Philadelphia
3/26-Denver
3/28-@ Denver
3/29-New Orleans
3/31-@ Indiana
4/2-Goldenstate
4/3-@ Oklahoma City
4/6-Memphis
4/8 @ Minnesota
4/10- @ Dallas
4/11-Phoenix
4/14-@ Houston
4/16-L.A. Lakers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
25 remaining games, in 49 days
14 Home Games/ 11 Road Games
13 games against playoff teams. 7 Games at home, 6 on the road.
On pace to finish 59-23
11 games vs -.500 teams including 3 vs. the Lakers, 2 vs. The Nuggets
8 games of those games are at home.
Back to Backs-2
3/21-@ Sacramento, 3/22-@ Golden State
3/28-@ Denver, 3/29-New Orleans
4/2-Goldenstate, 4/3-@ Oklahoma City
4/10-@ Dallas, 4/11-Phoenix
Toughest Stretch-5 games in 8 days-@ Pacers, Golden State, @ OKC, Memphis, @ Minnesota
Oklahoma City Thunder
2/28-Memphis
3/2-Charlotte
3/4-Philadelphia
3/6-@ Phoenix
3/9 L.A. Lakers
3/11-Rockets
3/13-L.A. Lakers
3/16-Dallas
3/17-@ Chicago
3/20-@ Cleveland
3/21-@ Toronto
3/24- Denver
3/25-@ Dallas
3/28-Sacramento
3/30-Utah
4/3-San Antonio
4/4-@ Rockets
4/6-@ Phoenix
4/8-@ Sacramento
4/9-@ L.A. Clippers
4/11-New Orleans
4/13-@ Indiana
4/14-@ New Orleans
4/16-Detroit
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24 remaining games in 49 days
12 Home/ 12 Away
On pace to finish 61-21
13 vs. Playoff teams, 8 of those on the road.
11 games against -.500 teams, 7 at home.
back to backs : 2
[4/8-@ Sacramento, 4/9-@ L.A. Clippers, 4/13-@ Indiana ,4/14-@ New Orleans]
Toughest Stretch:-5 games in 7 days. San Antonio, @ Houston @ Phoenix, @ Sacramento, @ L.A. Clippers,
Who has the Advantage?
The Spurs weathered ,what should have been, a devastating stretch to hold on to the number 2 seed coming out of all star break. They are 3-1 since then with wins over The Clippers and Portland. Parker has rested the past 16 days without playing a game and could rest up till sunday at home against Dallas. This contrasts the end of last season, where he broke down and had little time to recover before the post season.
With Leonard back the Spurs will have a full roster, minus Parker at their disposal heading into March. The Spurs trail OKC by just 1 1/2 games, with 1 remaining head to head match-up.
Against the Western Conference
OKC-26-9 (.742)
Spurs-24-10 (.705)
Oklahoma City has remained the team to beat despite Westbrook missing most of the season with knee injuries. With Westbrook back and several new(er) rotation players :Adams, Jackson and Lamb have stepped up and are playing well off the bench. Durant's is having a MVP caliber season. An injury to Perkins, should only help OKC find better alternatives that won't slow down the offense and continue to play solid defense. They have lost 3 straight at home and have lost 5 of 10 games to allow the Spurs to gain ground.
That being said both teams have similar remaining schedules. Both are heavy on playoff teams that are jockeying for possessions (mainly Dallas, GSW and Phoenix) with Memphis determined to make the post season for 4 straight season. Both also have their fair share against bad teams.
Though San Antonio is 25-3 with a .892 winning percentage against teams below .500 (best in the NBA). They are also the best road team in the league with a 22-8 record (.733)
The Spurs ,notoriously, rest players late in April but also manage to play well even without all of the big 3 suiting up. OKC has the toughest stretch of either team, playing 4 of the top 7 teams in the west in an span of week. The Spurs also have the easiest stretch of either team playing the 3 worst teams in the west (Lakers,twice, Utah and Sacramento) in a 7 day stretch.
Prediction-Oklahoma City-62-20, Spurs-60-22
At the moment, the bottom half of the west is very fluid. 4 teams (6-9) are separated by 2 1/2 games.
There is a chance that San Antonio ends up with a more favorable match up in the 2-7 series (I.E Dallas, or Phoenix) while Oklahoma City could face a tougher time (GSW or Memphis)
Last edited by cd021; 02-27-2014 at 01:54 PM.
I think we can pull it out, and I hope we do. Because it would be extremely difficult to beat OKC in OKC, especially if the series gets drawn out.
It really isn't a race. The Spurs would need to beat the Thunder outright to be the #1 seed because they lost the season series. They aren't geting the #1 seed without Parker. Lastly, sloppy offense + mediocre defense = no chance. The Thunder would literally have to fall apart completely. The Spurs need to concentrate, holding on to the #2 seed because it's far from a lock.
Thunder already won the season series tbh. Need to see a bit more of OKC to decide now that they've lost Porkins, but as of now I think they get the #1 seed.
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who gives a - whatever matches us up with Clippers in the 2nd round is all that matters
Your takes are the most ridiculous inhumane statements I've ever heard uttered. It's like being a pessimist towards this forum and this team is what you live for. I never post comments but rather enjoy the read. However, I couldn't resist telling you that you should stop posting cause your opinions may seriously single handedly ruin this forum in all seriousness. They're downright God awful.
You don't know the difference between pessimism and realism. Now, if you have a take you pompous , I'm all ears.
Just the fact that the Spurs are 5th in defense with Splitter, Green and Leonard each missing more than 3 weeks is damn impressive. They are still one of the best offenses in the NBA and lead the league in 3pt %, assists and are #1 in bench scoring.
They have legit shot. The key is taking advantage during OKCs toughest stretch. They play the Spurs then at @ Houston, @Phoenix, @ Sacramento and @ Clippers in a 7 day stretch.
The Spurs schedule in that stretch-@ OKC, Memphis, @ Minnesota, & @ Dallas. The Spurs could stand to go 3-1 or even 4-0 while OKC could go 3-2 or 2-3 in that stretch.
cd021,
Thanks for taking the time to break down the respective schedules. Please provide a little more detail on exactly what the following numbers represent:
FWIW, Hollinger predicts:
OKC 59-23 47.2% chance West #1
SAS 58-24 27.2%
LAC 56-26 9.7%
POR 55-27 9.0%
HOU 55-27 6.7%
DAL 49-33 0.1% one game behind GSW in record, but GSW with 0.0%
Who cares. I am just glad Westbrook is back to destroy the chemistry that team had built up to this point. 0-3 since his return is no fluke.
The records of the top 9 teams in the West against the other 8 teams/number of games remaining against the other 8/number of games remaining against Indiana and Miami:
OKC: 14-6 (9) (1)
SAS: 12-10 (9) (2)
POR: 10-10 (9) (1)
LAC: 11-9 (9) (0)
HOU: 13-12 (5) (3)
DAL: 7-10 (12) (1)
GSW: 8-13 (9) (1)
PHO: 8-12 (10) (0)
MEM: 11-12 (7) (3)
Houston may still be a factor for the #1 seed. Their schedule over the next 8 games is tough, but their final 16 games are very soft. If they're still within striking distance on March 16th, they'll contend for the top spot.
Thunder not looking to good anymore since Westbrook came back. Now it could be the just need to get some chemistry going with him back now. But I say it's doesn't matter I think he's to stubborn to realize while sitting on that bench the team is 100 times better when he's Pippen to Jordan. He does it to them every time. If he just let the game come to him instead of trying to force things OKC would be unstoppable.
I'll admit there still a force to be wrecking with but there not the same team a month ago
As long as we avoid the Rockets or Thunder until the WCF I'm cool facing anyone else.
there what?
translated:
they're still a force to be reckoned with
Ooooohhhh, well that makes much more sense, I didn't know what was wrecking with who.
Did some quick calculations and got what should be pretty close to the remaining strengths-of-schedule (the aggregate opponent winning percentage) for all of the West contenders (from most difficult to least difficult):
DAL -- .547
MEM -- .526
HOU -- .523
PNX -- .517
SAS -- .505
OKC -- .502
GST -- .501
PRT --. 496
LAC -- .486
If you adjust those for the location of the games (i.e., winning @ Clippers is much more difficult than beating Clippers on the road, since LAC is 24-5 at home and 16-15 on the road), the numbers stay basically the same, but OKC's SOS goes up from .502 to .523 and DAL's goes down from .547 to .524. Otherwise, the numbers are essentially the same for all of the teams.
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