***** The Official 2014 Avante Football Thread *****

[Avante]

you broke down your plays last year and the year before as well.

You really are a fool aren't ya?

I did think you were smarter than Blake/CN...nope!

[spurraider21]

You really are a fool aren't ya?

I did think you were smarter than Blake/CN...nope!

i dont care about the opinions of uneducated folks who double as degenerate gamblers

[Avante]

i dont care about the opinions of uneducated folks who double as degenerate gamblers

Neither do I, who does?

So how many games have the Raiders now lost in that eastern time zone?

[spurraider21]

Neither do I, who does?

So how many games have the Raiders now lost in that eastern time zone?

they're 2-0 against the spread in the east coast this year

[Avante]

they're 2-0 against the spread in the east coast this year

Wow~

Dude, who is talking ATS? I 'm talking about win/lose, ok little man?

But, if we look at that ATS in that 'spot' they are losers. There is a reason they get no respect from the linemakers.

[spurraider21]

Wow~

Dude, who is talking ATS? I 'm talking about win/lose, ok little man?

But, if we look at that ATS in that 'spot' they are losers.

we're talking about your poor gambling record, so ATS is what we are discussing. straight up picks are childs play. the raiders have a losing record in every time zone if you tally them up over the past decade

if you've bet on the raiders in the eastern time zone this season you'd be 2-0

[Avante]

we're talking about your poor gambling record, so ATS is what we are discussing. straight up picks are childs play. the raiders have a losing record in every time zone if you tally them up over the past decade

if you've bet on the raiders in the eastern time zone this season you'd be 2-0

You really don't get any of this at all do ya half pint? Totally lost, wow!

[Clipper Nation]

You're so childish about things, why is that? You act dumb.

Watch how this goes half pint.

It's childish to point out your record?

[Avante]

It's childish to point out your record?

Everything isn't about me/betting/my record....ok? I'll hit around 60-65% like I always do, no big deal.

[Aztecfan03]

You really don't get any of this at all do ya half pint? Totally lost, wow!

I think he does. It seems to be you that doesn't get it, lardass.

[spurraider21]

Everything is about me/betting/my record....ok? I'll hit around 60-65% like I always do, no big deal.

I was talking about me telling you how bad the Raiders are on the east coast and you..."that means nothing"...when yes it does mean something and it doesn't matter who the coach/players are.....ok?

[Avante]

I think he does. It seems to be you that doesn't get it, lardass.

You don't even know what's being talked about little guy.

[Avante]

So that $$$$$ making system is bogus?

3-0-2
1-3
3-1

Keep in mind a few games where they played each other.

[Aztecfan03]

You don't even know what's being talked about little guy.

I know exactly what is being talked about, lardass.

[spurraider21]

So that $$$$$ making system is bogus?

3-0-2
1-3
3-1

Keep in mind a few games where they played each other.

i was laughing because you said "like i always do" when you've always been below 50%

[Avante]

I know exactly what is being talked about, lardass.

You just sorta follow everyone else around don't ya little guy? A ing leech!

[Chinook]

Picking straight up according to Vegas' predictions has a success rate of about .750 (last time I checked). Getting .600-.650 is actually pretty unlucky. I imagine that three seasons worth of such picks would be statistically significant.

[Avante]

i was laughing because you said "like i always do" when you've always been below 50%

My first year playing my actual $$$ plays here. I think it's pretty obvious things are already a lot different. There is no doubt where this is heading, you see it.

[Avante]

Picking straight up according to Vegas' predictions has a success rate of about .750 (last time I checked). Getting .600-.650 is actually pretty unlucky. I imagine that three seasons worth of such picks would be statistically significant.

The trick to winning picking straight up is play everyone at home other than the 4/5 really bad teams.

[spurraider21]

My first year playing my actual $$$ plays here. I think it's pretty obvious things are already a lot different. There is no doubt where this is heading, you see it.

it's your third year

[Chinook]

The trick to winning picking straight is play everyone at home other than the 4/5 really bad teams.

Are you sure that's a trick? There's a reason why Vegas gives an automatic -3 to the home team in most cases. According to some random Web site, home teams win 57 percent of the time (which is dominant given the large sample size of NFL games).

[Avante]

Look at the action I get with this, do I know human nature or what, hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Love it!

[Avante]

Are you sure that's a trick? There's a reason why Vegas gives an automatic -3 to the home team in most cases. According to some random Web site, home teams win 57 percent of the time (which is dominant given the large sample size of NFL games).

Are you talking....straight up?

After three weeks...

Just go against....Oak, TB, Jax. Tenn...on the road. Try...1-6.

[Chinook]

Are you talking....straight up?

Yeah. I was just pointing out that the spread very clearly knows that home teams tend to win straight up, so I wouldn't really call betting on them straight up a "trick".

[Avante]

it's your third year

So that system I talked about is bogus?