Results 1 to 12 of 12
  1. #1
    Veteran N0 LyF3 ScRuB's Avatar
    My Team
    Carolina Panthers
    Post Count
    10,789


    TEAM WINS LOSSES WIN DIVISION
    Patriots 11.8 4.2 92.3%
    Dolphins 7.0 9.0 4.1%
    Bills 6.8 9.1 3.2%
    Jets 5.2 10.8 0.5%


    The Patriots have won the AFC East in each of the past eight seasons, and FPI has them as overwhelming favorites to win a ninth consecutive crown. It's not just that the Patriots are seen as the clear top team in the league, it's that the remainder of the division (including a Dolphins team that reached the playoffs last season) is in the bottom third of the rankings heading into 2017.
    TEAM WINS LOSSES WIN DIVISION
    Steelers 10.1 5.9 56.0%
    Ravens 8.8 7.2 25.0%
    Bengals 8.3 7.6 18.4%
    Browns 4.8 11.2 0.6%
    The AFC North is once again set to be a tough division, with only the Browns not projected to finish .500 or better. The Steelers are the preseason favorite to take the division for a second straight year, with the Ravens and Bengals fighting for second place. If the division le race comes down to the final week of the season, take note that Pittsburgh faces Cleveland for the third consecutive season, while the Ravens will host the Bengals in what our projections suggest could determine a wild-card berth.
    TEAM WINS LOSSES WIN DIVISION
    Colts 8.5 7.4 36.0%
    ans 8.3 7.7 30.6%
    Texans 7.8 8.2 22.5%
    Jaguars 6.8 9.2 10.9%
    The AFC South might end up being the NFL's most compe ive division in 2017. All four teams have at least a 10 percent chance of winning the le, and none of FPI's predicted division winners has a worse chance to win than the Colts at 36 percent. Part of the reason each team has a chance to compete is the relatively easy schedule each team faces (at least based on what we know about these teams three months before the start of the season). FPI has four of the nine easiest schedules in the league belonging to the members of the AFC South.
    TEAM WINS LOSSES WIN DIVISION
    Raiders 9.1 6.8 37.4%
    Chiefs 9.1 6.9 36.3%
    Broncos 7.8 8.1 15.2%
    Chargers 7.6 8.4 11.1%
    The AFC West is the home of the closest projected division-winner race. The Raiders are a slim favorite over the Chiefs by just more than 1 percent. The Broncos and Chargers also are seen as credible threats at just more than 15 and 11 percent, respectively. While the AFC South houses the teams projected to have the easiest schedules, the AFC West is the home of four of the 14 most difficult schedules, as projected by FPI.
    TEAM WINS LOSSES WIN DIVISION
    Cowboys 9.4 6.6 46.4%
    Giants 8.2 7.7 22.6%
    Eagles 8.0 7.9 19.3%
    Redskins 7.3 8.6 11.7%


    The Cowboys are looking to become the first repeat champion in the NFC East since the Eagles won four consecutive les between 2001 and 2004, and FPI gives Dallas a 46.4 percent chance to do so. "The field" of the Giants (22.6 percent chance), Eagles (19.3) and Redskins (11.7) collectively has a higher probability than the Cowboys (53.6), so don't bet against the le changing hands yet again.
    TEAM WINS LOSSES WIN DIVISION
    Packers 9.9 6.1 60.1%
    Vikings 8.5 7.4 24.4%
    Lions 7.5 8.5 12.9%
    Bears 5.7 10.3 2.6%
    Not surprisingly, FPI's top team in the NFC is our projections' decisive choice to take its division. The Packers have the No. 2 offense, per FPI, and are favored in each of their six division games. The Vikings' defense ranks No. 2, according to FPI, but their 24th-ranked offense ensures their spot behind the Pack.
    TEAM WINS LOSSES WIN DIVISION
    Falcons 9.3 6.7 40.3%
    Panthers 8.8 7.2 28.8%
    Saints 8.0 8.0 16.5%
    Buccaneers 7.7 8.2 14.3%
    Here's another division FPI sees as being wide-open. The defending NFC South and NFC champion Falcons are favored to repeat, but do so in just more than 40 percent of simulations. The Panthers are expected to bounce back after a disappointing 6-10 season that followed their Super Bowl appearance, and are projected to win the division 28.8 percent of the time. The Saints and Buccaneers are also reasonable threats, at roughly one-in-six and one-in-seven chances, respectively.
    TEAM WINS LOSSES WIN DIVISION
    Seahawks 10.2 5.7 75.8%
    Cardinals 8.0 8.0 18.7%
    Rams 6.0 10.0 4.0%
    49ers 5.1 10.9 1.5%
    The Seahawks hold the league's second-highest chance to win their division at 75.8 percent, trailing only the Patriots at 92.3 percent. FPI projects the Cardinals to be the only real threat to the Hawks for the division -- but it is less than a one-in-five chance. Neither the Rams nor the 49ers are viewed as credible threats, and both reside in the bottom four of FPI's rankings.
    2017 playoff probabilities

    TEAM PLAYOFFS WIN DIVISION WILD CARD NO. 1 SEED
    Patriots 96.2% 92.3% 3.9% 51.1%
    Steelers 75.9% 56.0% 19.8% 15.2%
    Raiders 56.4% 37.4% 19.0% 7.4%
    Chiefs 56.3% 36.3% 20.1% 6.6%
    Ravens 48.6% 25.0% 23.6% 4.5%
    Colts 47.4% 36.0% 11.3% 3.5%
    Bengals 39.0% 18.4% 20.6% 2.7%
    ans 41.8% 30.6% 11.3% 2.5%
    Broncos 29.8% 15.2% 14.6% 1.9%
    Texans 32.2% 22.5% 9.7% 1.5%
    Chargers 24.6% 11.1% 13.5% 1.2%
    Dolphins 16.7% 4.1% 12.7% 0.8%
    Bills 14.5% 3.2% 11.3% 0.8%
    Jaguars 16.6% 10.9% 5.7% 0.4%
    Jets 2.4% 0.5% 1.9% <0.1%
    Browns 1.8% 0.6% 1.2% <0.1%
    The Patriots, as the No. 1 team in FPI and an overwhelming favorite to capture their division (92.3 percent), are also the most likely team to make the playoffs in the AFC. They are also a slight majority favorite to earn the top seed in the conference and home-field advantage throughout the conference portion of the playoffs. The Steelers are the second-most likely playoff participant, as either a division winner or wild card. The two most likely AFC wild-card teams also come out of the North, with the Ravens (23.6 percent) and Bengals (20.6) projected to break through. Rounding out the top five are the Chiefs (20.1) and Raiders (19) -- whoever misses out on the division le there is a strong contender for a wild card.
    TEAM PLAYOFFS WIN DIVISION WILD CARD NO. 1 SEED
    Seahawks 83.5% 75.8% 7.7% 22.8%
    Packers 73.9% 60.1% 13.8% 19.1%
    Cowboys 63.2% 46.4% 16.8% 13.2%
    Falcons 59.1% 40.3% 18.8% 11.2%
    Panthers 47.9% 28.8% 19.1% 7.3%
    Vikings 42.9% 24.4% 18.5% 5.2%
    Giants 38.4% 22.6% 15.7% 4.6%
    Eagles 34.2% 19.3% 15.0% 3.7%
    Cardinals 33.2% 18.7% 14.5% 3.0%
    Saints 31.9% 16.5% 15.4% 3.0%
    Buccaneers 27.9% 14.3% 13.5% 2.6%
    Lions 24.6% 12.9% 11.7% 2.1%
    Redskins 23.0% 11.7% 11.3% 1.8%
    Rams 7.9% 4.0% 3.9% 0.2%
    Bears 5.5% 2.6% 2.9% 0.2%
    49ers 3.0% 1.5% 1.5% 0.1%
    Despite being the NFC's top team, according to FPI, the Packers are second in probability to make the playoffs within their conference. How is this possible? Well, the Pack plays in a tougher division and faces a more difficult schedule (15th easiest) than the Seahawks (third easiest), which also plays into the Hawks' favor when projecting the No. 1 seed. The Seahawks are a 22.8 percent favorite to earn home-field advantage, topping the Packers' 19.1 percent chance. The wild-card race is wide-open, as 12 of the NFC's 16 teams have at least a 10 percent chance of earning a playoff berth that way. The NFC South pair of Carolina (19.1 percent) and Atlanta (18.8) are the two most likely candidates to earn a wild card -- though one will more than likely earn its spot by winning the division. Outside of the Panthers and Falcons, the Vikings (18.5 percent) are is the next most likely to claim the No. 5 or No. 6 seed.

    Super Bowl

    TEAM REACH SUPER BOWL WIN SUPER BOWL
    Patriots 50.7% 34.7%
    Packers 19.6% 9.8%
    Seahawks 22.8% 9.6%
    Steelers 15.4% 8.5%
    Cowboys 13.5% 5.7%
    Falcons 12.5% 5.2%
    Raiders 8.1% 4.3%
    Chiefs 7.7% 4.1%
    Panthers 6.7% 2.5%
    Ravens 4.3% 2.0%
    Vikings 4.6% 1.7%
    Giants 4.9% 1.7%
    Colts 3.0% 1.3%
    Bengals 2.5% 1.0%
    Eagles 3.5% 1.0%
    Saints 2.9% 1.0%
    ans 2.1% 0.9%
    Buccaneers 2.6% 0.8%
    Broncos 1.9% 0.8%
    Cardinals 2.4% 0.7%
    Redskins 1.8% 0.7%
    Texans 1.5% 0.6%
    Lions 1.9% 0.6%
    Chargers 1.0% 0.4%
    Dolphins 0.7% 0.3%
    Bills 0.5% 0.1%
    Jaguars 0.3% 0.1%
    Rams 0.2% <0.1%
    Bears 0.2% <0.1%
    Jets 0.1% <0.1%
    49ers <0.1% <0.1%
    Browns <0.1% <0.1%
    With a clear lead atop the team rankings, it should be no surprise that the Patriots are also FPI's early favorite to both reach and win Super Bowl LII in Minnesota. New England is a slight majority favorite (50.7 percent) to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, and a 34.7 percent favorite to win it. The only other team in the AFC with a greater than 10 percent chance of reaching the Super Bowl is the Steelers at 15.4 percent (FPI says the Steelers have an 8.5 percent chance to win it). The NFC is much closer, with the Seahawks (22.8 percent) and Packers (19.6) leading the pack and the Cowboys (13.5) and Falcons (12.5) rounding out the top four most likely Super Bowl candidates. Despite the Seahawks projecting as more likely to get to the big game, FPI has the Packers as the team in the NFC most likely to win it, at 9.8 percent to the Seahawks' 9.6 percent.

  2. #2
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
    My Team
    Dallas Cowboys
    Post Count
    16,222
    Broncos and Vikings are too high, I think everyone is going to see that very soon. Can't win many in this league without a competent QB and OL.

    Bucs and Chargers are probably too low. Decent ratings otherwise.

  3. #3
    Veteran N0 LyF3 ScRuB's Avatar
    My Team
    Carolina Panthers
    Post Count
    10,789
    Broncos and Vikings are too high, I think everyone is going to see that very soon. Can't win many in this league without a competent QB and OL.

    Bucs and Chargers are probably too low. Decent ratings otherwise.
    Agreed about LA Chargers. I think they will turn some heads this year.

  4. #4
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
    My Team
    Dallas Cowboys
    Post Count
    16,222
    Agreed about LA Chargers. I think they will turn some heads this year.
    I think they start poorly and finish better, based on their schedule. 8 or 9 wins.

    Broncos regress further. It's obvious who the best QB is in the division outside of Oakland. Even if he is the biggest risk taker in the NFL.

    I think the AFC West looks a lot like 2013, with the Raiders and Broncos having traded places.

  5. #5
    Veteran N0 LyF3 ScRuB's Avatar
    My Team
    Carolina Panthers
    Post Count
    10,789
    Rivers is better than Carr.

  6. #6
    Board Man Comes Home Clipper Nation's Avatar
    Post Count
    54,257
    People will never learn when it comes to the Spanos gots. After all the hype about them being a "sleeper team," they will win between 5 and 8 games per par. Would love to see them go 0-16, though.

  7. #7
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    96,026
    People will never learn when it comes to the Spanos gots. After all the hype about them being a "sleeper team," they will win between 5 and 8 games per par. Would love to see them go 0-16, though.
    they're still YOUR chargeres

  8. #8
    hope and change
    Post Count
    5,708
    AFC West toughest division

  9. #9
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
    My Team
    Dallas Cowboys
    Post Count
    16,222
    AFC West toughest division
    in the afc. But the records won't be anything like last year, you don't get the ty afc south and you face the hardest division in the NFC as well. I do like the chargers to finish around .500 and ahead of the Donx.

    The saving grace for the afc west in 2017 is that the afc east might be as bad as the afc south, outside the patriots

  10. #10
    Veteran Aztecfan03's Avatar
    My Team
    Arizona Cardinals
    Post Count
    4,292
    AFC West toughest division


    Toughest race for last in the division maybe.

  11. #11
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
    My Team
    Oakland Raiders
    Post Count
    96,026
    please... in today's passing league, the AFC-W is the division absolutely loaded with pass rushers, which makes every game frustrating

    Von Miller/Shane Ray
    Joey Bosa/Melvin Ingram
    Justin Houston/Dee Ford
    Khalil Mack/Bruce Irvin

    the broncos have the worst offense of the bunch, but then they also have the best CB tandem in the league
    the raiders and chargers both have good offenses with pro bowl caliber QB's
    and the chiefs have just been a solid, solid team for a few years now

    the chargers are only the worst because they're been choke artists (and were injury ravaged), but talent wise they're not a bad team

  12. #12
    Manu Mania lefty20's Avatar
    My Team
    Chicago Bears
    Post Count
    4,040
    We'll be lucky to win 3 games, tbh. I can already see how this season is gonna go. Poor start will increase pressure on coaching staff to put in Trubiscuit, which will then end in a disaster of it's own.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •