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  1. #1
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
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    SpursforSix , you did a great job sharing your knowledge about Tropical Systems last year, so I wanted to get this thread started as we enter the season.

    First disturbance doesn't look like much:
    Last edited by Darth_Pelican; 08-07-2018 at 11:33 AM.

  2. #2
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    Thank you. I am just now beginning my research on global temps, trends, etc. But will certainly inform when necessary.

    BTW...good call on Cobra Kai.

    Watched the first two last night and was hooked. Is there a way to watch the rest for free? Or do I need to sign up for You Tube Red?

  3. #3
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
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    Thank you. I am just now beginning my research on global temps, trends, etc. But will certainly inform when necessary.

    BTW...good call on Cobra Kai.

    Watched the first two last night and was hooked. Is there a way to watch the rest for free? Or do I need to sign up for You Tube Red?
    I streamed the rest of them the unethical way. Just google Cobra Kai free online stream.... you'll get plenty of hits. You'll just have to deal with the annoying popups at first. Or, you can do the free 30 day YouTube Red trial and then cancel it.
    Last edited by Darth_Pelican; 05-22-2018 at 03:07 PM.

  4. #4
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    I streamed the rest of them the unethical way. Just google Kobra Kai free online stream.... you'll get plenty of hits. You'll just have to deal with the annoying popups at first. Or, you can do the free 30 day YouTube Red trial and then cancel it.
    I tried through Terrarium but something is f'd up. I have a play button for movies but on the TV shows, there's no obvious way to play them.
    I'm trying to do this on my FireBox so it's kind of a pain in the ass to use the internet browsers. I just signed up for YTR to finish the show.
    I'm sure I'll forget to cancel but maybe they'll have something else worth watching.

  5. #5
    Watching the collapse benefactor's Avatar
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    Solid thread

    I'm more of an enthusiast but I'll try to support SFS here when I can. I also recommend following Jeff Masters blog on Weather Underground. He spent years with the Hurricane Hunters and there's very little he does not now about the nuances of tropical system development.

  6. #6
    Erryday I'm Hustlin' Robz4000's Avatar
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    First named storm of the season is Alberto and is expected to roll into the Gulf of Mexico and make lano fall anywhere between New Orleans and Panama City.

  7. #7
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    First named storm of the season is Alberto and is expected to roll into the Gulf of Mexico and make lano fall anywhere between New Orleans and Panama City.
    agreed

  8. #8
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    thanks for confirmation

  9. #9
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    I think a reforming of the center is possible, maybe even likely as this continues to organize. The mid and lower level centers are disjointed so I wouldn't be surprised to see a jump as it tries to get vertically stacked over time. It isn't going to be easy with strong shear currently over the low but the shear should gradually drop over the weekend. Waiting for recon...

  10. #10
    Watching the collapse benefactor's Avatar
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    I think a reforming of the center is possible, maybe even likely as this continues to organize. The mid and lower level centers are disjointed so I wouldn't be surprised to see a jump as it tries to get vertically stacked over time. It isn't going to be easy with strong shear currently over the low but the shear should gradually drop over the weekend. Waiting for recon...
    Yeah I think the shear will keep it from strengthening too much before landfall. Probably wind up a strong tropical storm/weak cat 1.

  11. #11
    VanillaPlayerFan BD24's Avatar
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    Is there anything SFS doesn't know about or cant do tbh?

    The expert the club needed

  12. #12
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    Last year was bonzo with those live feeds from Rockport.
    One of the Ice Stations chaser dude stopped at is still boarded up. Probably because Key Allegro is still undergoing repairs.

  13. #13
    Allenhu Joshbar DeadlyDynasty's Avatar
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    As long as they all hit Haiti I'm happy

  14. #14
    Watching the collapse benefactor's Avatar
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    Last year was bonzo with those live feeds from Rockport.
    One of the Ice Stations chaser dude stopped at is still boarded up. Probably because Key Allegro is still undergoing repairs.
    ...that dude that got caught in the car wash...Jesus.

    I'd still be having nightmares about that .

  15. #15
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    Yes, what we had last year unusual in that it occurred and then in between the feeds the storm had intensity and of. Purse afterword the winds as a metaphor highlighted by what we were able to glean from the things that get together. Out of the last 20 or so and being able to correlate using statistics and birds of prey what we remember is the lesson that was to be learned.

    It reminded me of the storms of earlier times when it was talking about what the most feasible way to accomplish going to the store while yet. And always having the radio nearby passing underwneath just to see how egregious one may or may not be in light of....everything.

  16. #16
    Erryday I'm Hustlin' Robz4000's Avatar
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    Yes, what we had last year unusual in that it occurred and then in between the feeds the storm had intensity and of. Purse afterword the winds as a metaphor highlighted by what we were able to glean from the things that get together. Out of the last 20 or so and being able to correlate using statistics and birds of prey what we remember is the lesson that was to be learned.

    It reminded me of the storms of earlier times when it was talking about what the most feasible way to accomplish going to the store while yet. And always having the radio nearby passing underwneath just to see how egregious one may or may not be in light of....everything.
    Spoken like a true expert

  17. #17
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
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    Yeah I think the shear will keep it from strengthening too much before landfall. Probably wind up a strong tropical storm/weak cat 1.
    Cat 1 US landfall would still be VERY impressive for late May/early June. Very typical disjointed system for this time of year.

    Not necessarily a harbinger for an active or inactive season though. In 2005 we had Arlene in early June, similar to 2006's Alberto, one was the GOAT hurricane season the other was below average.

    What you want to look for as we get into June is strong waves off the coast of Africa. If they roll off the Cape Verde area strong and become development threats in the month of June, whether they actually develop or not, that's a ominous sign we're in for a long season like 2004 or last year.

  18. #18
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
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    Solid thread

    I'm more of an enthusiast but I'll try to support SFS here when I can. I also recommend following Jeff Masters blog on Weather Underground. He spent years with the Hurricane Hunters and there's very little he does not now about the nuances of tropical system development.
    Followed that blog since 2005. It used to be really fun until the moderators came and turned it into a commie zone.

  19. #19
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
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    It's been a pretty uneventful start to hurricane season but we're entering the 2 most active months. There's a Cat 4 heading near Hawaii but looks like it will miss it.


  20. #20
    Watching the collapse benefactor's Avatar
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    Looks like Lane is going to give Hawaii a pretty close brush. Strong storm and could cause a lot of flooding. It's hard to predict how close with the lack of steering currents.

  21. #21
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    . It's hard to predict how close with the lack of steering currents.
    Not really...it's just a matter of knowing the valid inputs for your model.

  22. #22
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
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    Biloxi about to get hit with a cat 1
    Last edited by Darth_Pelican; 09-05-2018 at 09:11 AM.

  23. #23
    Damns (Given): 0 Blake's Avatar
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    Not really...it's just a matter of knowing the valid inputs for your model.
    But what if it was an Islamic hurricane

  24. #24
    Damns (Given): 0 Blake's Avatar
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    Good time to take kids to beach tbh



    https://www.yahoo.com/gma/tropical-s...opstories.html

  25. #25
    Club Rookie of The Year DJR210's Avatar
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    Poor kids at the mercy of idiot rednecks smh

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