Spurs Historical Lineup Analysis, Projecting 2023-24

[scott]

Update at 54 games played, cutoff at 30 minutes:

	Lineup	Min	Off Rtg	Def Rtg	Net Rtg	Ast/TO	Reb %	EFG%	Pace	PIE
1	Vassell-Jones-Champ-Sochan-Wemby **NEW SL**	212	117.7	112.8	4.9	2.24	51.4	58.4	102.11	53.0
2	Johnson-Vassell-Branham-Sochan-Wemby **SL 2**90	90	102.5	100.0	2.5	1.50	50.0	53.3	107.6	51.3
3	Collins-Johnson-Vassell-Sochan-Wemby **ORIG SL**	88	93.8	110.8	-17.1	1.51	51.6	47.8	104.76	41.8
4	Collins-Johnson-Branham-Sochan-Wemby	84	110.6	126.3	-15.7	1.96	51.9	56.2	102.9	45.7
5	Johnson-Vassell-Jones-Sochan-Wemby **CLOSING 5?**	77	117.4	96.6	20.8	2.85	47.3	57.0	110.25	63.9
6	Collins-Johnson-Vassell-Jones-Sochan	45	104.9	10.39	1.0	1.6	45.1	63.2	108.87	52.3
7	Vassell-Champ-Branham-Sochan-Wemby	44	111.2	122.0	-10.7	2.15	41.5	59.3	98.93	50.0
8	Collins-Johnson-Vassell-Branham-Sochan **ANTI-DEATH**	42	86.0	124.2	-38.2	1.0	51.1	44.6	112.19	28.4
9	McDermott-Osman-Johnson-Jones-Wemby	39	91.0	109.1	-18.1	1.75	48.2	46.0	107.96	45.1
10	McDermott-Vassell-Jones-Sochan-Wemby	35	98.7	98.6	0.1	1.53	53.9	58.5	103.21	61.3
11	Collins-Johnson-Champ-Sochan-Wemby	34	114.7	108.6	6.1	1.83	55.9	54.9	98.77	50.3
12	Osman-Collins-Johnson-Vassell-Jones	31	106.8	112.7	-5.8	2.0	52.7	50.8	111.01	47.1

Notes:

• Zero minutes logged for lineups 3,4 and 6 (and only 2 minutes logged for lineup 2) since the last update. We'll call that good coaching decisions.
• Starting 5 has come down to earth a little since the last update, but still a solid net positive lineup
• Closing 5 lineup has come back down to earth in regards to their ORTG, but their DRTG has actually IMPROVED since the last update (8 games)
• The Anti-Death lineup snuck in 1 more minute since the last update and managed to get worse. Impressive, actually.
• Two Doug lineups made their way into the top 10, but weren't very good (though Lineup 10 had a nice DRTG). RIP Doug.
• Lineup 11 is a newcomer, and has only played 3 games together, but have logged 34 minutes, which is a lot. Not a terrible lineup, surprisingly. One of our best rebounding lineups

[spurraider21]

3-man lineup of Wemby/Vassell/Jones has a 10.2 net rating, best on the team when you add a minutes criteria of 80 or so

top used 3-man lineups overall:


a) collins' impact has been abysmal
b) its pretty amusing that sochan/tre/wemby outperforms sochan/vassell/wemby because the former rules out all the point sochan minutes

[scott]

Figured it was time for an update. Cutoff is at 48 minutes. 10 games to go.

	Lineup	Min	Off Rtg	Def Rtg	Net Rtg	Ast/TO	Reb %	EFG%	Pace	PIE
1	Vassell-Jones-Champ-Sochan-Wemby **NEW SL**	380	114.1	112.0	2.1	2.25	51.7	56.8	103.24	52.4
2	Johnson-Vassell-Jones-Sochan-Wemby **CLOSING 5**	139	115.8	96.2	19.6	2.42	52.2	55.8	109.21	62.1
3	Johnson-Vassell-Branham-Sochan-Wembanyama	101	102.2	102.7	-0.4	67.1	59.3	52.1	107.08	49.3
4	Collins-Johnson-Vassell-Jones-Sochan	98	107.1	112.6	-5.4	1.97	47.4	57.8	103.98	47.1
5	Collins-Johnson-Vassell-Sochan-Wembanyama	88	93.8	110.8	-17.1	1.51	51.6	47.8	104.76	41.8
6	Collins-Johnson-Branham-Sochan-Wembanyama	84	110.6	126.3	-15.7	1.96	51.9	56.2	102.9	45.7
7	Osman-Johnson-Branham-Wesley-Wembanyama	75	95.2	99.4	-4.2	2.19	49.7	49.3	105.42	51.2
8	Collins-Vassell-Jones-Champagnie-Sochan	66	92.3	94.4	-2.1	1.87	56.4	52.1	103.52	51.3
9	Collins-Johnson-Vassell-Branham-Sochan	62	86.9	121.1	-34.2	1.07	52.3	43.0	110.98	29.2
10	Collins-Johnson-Vassell-Wesley-Sochan	48	106.5	108.3	-1.93	1.93	55.2	51.0	107.61	49.0

Notes:

• "New" starting lineup (new in quotes since it's started 35 games together) has lost some of it's efficiency but is still a net positive
• The "closing 5" lineup remains very good!
• Branham's impact really stands out when you look at his NetRtg On/Off. Lineup 2 v Lineup 3 (Branham for Jones) is a -20.0 swing. Lineup 9 vs 10 (Branham for Wesley) is a -32.3 swing
• Collins and Wemby line ups have gotten a little more run (lineups 5 and 6)... but they are very very bad and should stop
• Obvious huge correlation between AST/TO ratio and NetRtg, but also a little bit of a correlation with REB%. The dropoff in REB% when Collins is in for Wemby is noticeable