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  1. #1426
    Remember Cherokee Parks The Truth #6's Avatar
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    I'm not really a math guy, but I imagine that us losing helps keep Toronto from getting lower, so as disappointing as the loss was last night, in the long-term it's probably a good thing. Wait, but then Memphis was 7. Nevermind?

  2. #1427
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    nice job Toronto.

  3. #1428
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    I'm not really a math guy, but I imagine that us losing helps keep Toronto from getting lower, so as disappointing as the loss was last night, in the long-term it's probably a good thing. Wait, but then Memphis was 7. Nevermind?
    They’re not going to drop to 5. Portland is too prepared to hold their spot, and saw them coming in the rear view mirror. There isn’t enough time left. Memphis doesn’t seem to care, so Toronto probably finishes at #6 before the lottery. 56% chance at the pick, 29% chance of it being #7.

  4. #1429
    Lurkin' For Years TVI's Avatar
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    Yeah, they’re keeping their pick this year damn
    Mathematically, there’s a 54% chance that the Spurs get the pick if they stay at 6, and a 68% chance if they fall back to 7.

  5. #1430
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    Mathematically, there’s a 54% chance that the Spurs get the pick if they stay at 6, and a 68% chance if they fall back to 7.
    they'll stay at 6. So Spurs chances of getting the pick are about the same as an NFL kicker hitting a 57 yard FG

  6. #1431
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    they'll stay at 6. So Spurs chances of getting the pick are about the same as an NFL kicker hitting a 57 yard FG
    In year one, I’ll take the slim odds/huge payoff track.

  7. #1432
    OH YOU LIKE IT!!! slick'81's Avatar
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    Hopefully spurs stay lucky

  8. #1433
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    Raps down 3 with 4 to play.... give up a 10-0 run

  9. #1434
    Every game is game 1 Seventyniner's Avatar
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    At least the Blazers aren't screwing around. They won't win another game unless it's by accident. I bet they sit their top 6 guys against the Wiz and Hornets in a couple weeks.

    Hopefully the Grizz lose out and the Raps fluke their way into a W along the way.

  10. #1435
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    Only obvious 'winnable' game left for Toronto is Washington in the last 10

    So don't be surprised by them ending the season on a 21 game losing streak

    And they'll pull bigger stunts next year in a better draft.

  11. #1436
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    Only obvious 'winnable' game left for Toronto is Washington in the last 10

    So don't be surprised by them ending the season on a 21 game losing streak

    And they'll pull bigger stunts next year in a better draft.
    Scottie B won’t demand a trade??? lol

  12. #1437
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    Yes for the thousandth time the math on TOR being at the 6 or 7th worst lotto ball spot is not much different. And the 5 teams in front of them are “entrenched” re worse record.

  13. #1438
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    Did a little research on TaT, and for the 5 drafts using the current flattened odds, the #6 finisher has drafted 9,8,7,7,6. That’s better than the overall odds of them staying at 6, which are only 8.6%. They have decent odds at top 4, 37.2%, but that not a huge difference from spot #7, 32%, so I’m good with Toronto finishing the year at the #6 position.

  14. #1439
    Realistic Spurs Fan Amuseddaysleeper's Avatar
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    Did a little research on TaT, and for the 5 drafts using the current flattened odds, the #6 finisher has drafted 9,8,7,7,6. That’s better than the overall odds of them staying at 6, which are only 8.6%. They have decent odds at top 4, 37.2%, but that not a huge difference from spot #7, 32%, so I’m good with Toronto finishing the year at the #6 position.
    Nice find!

  15. #1440
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    Past history doesn’t matter at all. Just look at the odds.

  16. #1441
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    Past history doesn’t matter at all. Just look at the odds.
    The major difference in the odds between 6 and 7 is that if they are at 7 and stay there, we get the pick,but if they are at 6 and stay, Toronto keeps the pick. The odds of them staying at 6 (8.6%) are smaller than the odds of them winning the lottery (9.0%) Is that good enough for you?

    I’ve said all along that in year one, I’d rather roll the dice on getting pick #7, and Toronto finishing at 6 gives us better odds (29.8%) than Toronto finishing at 7 (19.7%).

  17. #1442
    El rojo y los Spurs!!! Ariel's Avatar
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    With 9 games to go, these are the current lottery standings:

    #) TEAM: WINS
    ---------------------

    1. Detroit: 12
    2. Washington: 14
    3. Spurs: 17
    4. Charlotte: 18 (1 game pending)
    5. Portland: 19 (8 losses in a row)
    6. Toronto: 23 (12 losses in a row)
    7. Memphis: 24
    8. Brooklyn: 28

    I think it's fair to say:

    • Detroit and Washington will be 1-2
    • Spurs, Charlotte and Portland will be 3-5
    • Toronto and Memphis will be 6-7

    Given that Portland (not playing Grant, Simmons, Ayton, Thybulle, Brogdon and Sharpe) and Toronto are tanking their asses off (some injuries, a lot of them quite dubious), they might not win another game. That means Toronto likely finishes 6th (54% chance the pick conveys) and if the Spurs win 3 more games they might end up 5th.

    The remaining games are as follows:

    • vs NY
    • vs GSW
    • @ Denver
    • @ NO
    • vs Philly
    • @ Memphis
    • @ OKC
    • vs Denver
    • vs Detroit

    I think it's likely Detroit wants to win the last one since they'd have secured last place by then, that would leave Memphis as the most winnable game followed by Golden State, so Pop might want to work his magic to ensure a single win, 2 at most, which should be enough for shared 3rd place at worst.

  18. #1443
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    It’s definitely time to stop winning. I’d say Wemby, Sochan, Vassel all turned an ankle v Utah.

  19. #1444
    Veteran John B's Avatar
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    It’s definitely time to stop winning. I’d say Wemby, Sochan, Vassel all turned an ankle v Utah.
    Play Sochan at PG again!

  20. #1445
    Believe. MultiTroll's Avatar
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    Play Sochan at PG again!

  21. #1446
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    Nah it. Get some wins. Good for the guys to go out on a positive note and find successful formulas

  22. #1447
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    Nah it. Get some wins. Good for the guys to go out on a positive note and find successful formulas
    Grab your ankles, I'll give you a successful formula

  23. #1448
    Veteran heyheymymy's Avatar
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    Nah it. Get some wins. Good for the guys to go out on a positive note and find successful formulas
    Wins are good for the club in terms of ticket sales next year too. Good for business.

  24. #1449
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    They won, because Charlotte had already goofed, and won their game. Otherwise, Pop puts the ball in Malaki’s hands to bring up the court,and turnovers ensue. He’s decent enough in the half court when creating space for himself, but those cross court passes bringing the ball up are a ready made turnover. That’s the ‘tell’ if Pop wants the game or not.

  25. #1450
    txstbobcat TXstbobcat's Avatar
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    Charlotte just shut down La Mello for the rest of the season.

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