The Truth #6
07-25-2008, 02:39 PM
(Not sure if already posted...)
Dave Berri of Wages of Wins breaks down Vegas Summer league statistically and says Gist was the 3rd best player behind Dorsey and Love, and then after Gist it's a sharp fall off.
The statistics:
http://www.wagesofwins.com/LasVegas08.html
(Malik was rated 20 out of 32 and Hill 26 out of 32.)
The article:
http://dberri.wordpress.com/2008/07/24/playing-with-vegas-numbers/
An excerpt:
"Table One presents an evaluation of each player who was
a. chosen in the 2008 draft, and
b. played at least 50 minutes in the 2008 Las Vegas Summer League
Each player is evaluated in terms of PAWS48, or Position Adjusted Win Score per 48 minutes. In essence, each player’s Vegas numbers were evaluated in terms of Win Score, and this number was compared to what an average NBA player - at the player’s position - would have done in 48 minutes. Positive numbers indicate the player was above average (and negative numbers mean… well, I think you can figure that out).
Of the 32 players who satisfied each of the above conditions, only eight (or 25%) was above average. In other words, most rookies played badly - by NBA standards - in Vegas.
Of the eight “good” players, only three - Kevin Love, Jerryd Bayless, and D.J. Augustin - were taken in the first round. The remaining five above average performers were second round choices, with Maarty Leunen and James Gist taken in the last few picks of the draft.
When we look at the “bad”, or below average players, we find a few more lottery picks. O.J. Mayo, Joe Alexander, and Anthony Randolph were each below average performers."
Dave Berri of Wages of Wins breaks down Vegas Summer league statistically and says Gist was the 3rd best player behind Dorsey and Love, and then after Gist it's a sharp fall off.
The statistics:
http://www.wagesofwins.com/LasVegas08.html
(Malik was rated 20 out of 32 and Hill 26 out of 32.)
The article:
http://dberri.wordpress.com/2008/07/24/playing-with-vegas-numbers/
An excerpt:
"Table One presents an evaluation of each player who was
a. chosen in the 2008 draft, and
b. played at least 50 minutes in the 2008 Las Vegas Summer League
Each player is evaluated in terms of PAWS48, or Position Adjusted Win Score per 48 minutes. In essence, each player’s Vegas numbers were evaluated in terms of Win Score, and this number was compared to what an average NBA player - at the player’s position - would have done in 48 minutes. Positive numbers indicate the player was above average (and negative numbers mean… well, I think you can figure that out).
Of the 32 players who satisfied each of the above conditions, only eight (or 25%) was above average. In other words, most rookies played badly - by NBA standards - in Vegas.
Of the eight “good” players, only three - Kevin Love, Jerryd Bayless, and D.J. Augustin - were taken in the first round. The remaining five above average performers were second round choices, with Maarty Leunen and James Gist taken in the last few picks of the draft.
When we look at the “bad”, or below average players, we find a few more lottery picks. O.J. Mayo, Joe Alexander, and Anthony Randolph were each below average performers."