Obama-McCain Matchup: Blowout Or Trench Warfare?

[boutons_]

"The public opinion experts who run the site say states with 284 electoral college votes - 14 more than the 270 needed to win - lean to or firmly support Barack Obama; states with 147 lean toward or are in John McCain's camp; and 10 states with 107 electoral votes are tossups.

In other words, the site suggests that Obama does not need to win a single tossup state -- Colorado, Missouri, Florida, Virginia, Arizona, Nevada, Montana, North Dakota, North Carolina or Indiana -- to take the oath of office on January 20, 2009."

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/27/obama-mccain-matchup-blow_n_115232.html?view=print

The leader in July polls has never won since 1948, but this could be a multiply historic election.

[Mr. Peabody]

"The public opinion experts who run the site say states with 284 electoral college votes - 14 more than the 270 needed to win - lean to or firmly support Barack Obama; states with 147 lean toward or are in John McCain's camp; and 10 states with 107 electoral votes are tossups.

In other words, the site suggests that Obama does not need to win a single tossup state -- Colorado, Missouri, Florida, Virginia, Arizona, Nevada, Montana, North Dakota, North Carolina or Indiana -- to take the oath of office on January 20, 2009."

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/27/obama-mccain-matchup-blow_n_115232.html?view=print

The leader in July polls has never won since 1948, but this could be a multiply historic election.

Look, I am a fervent supporter of Obama and believe he should win this thing in a landslide. But the reality of the situation is that this will be a close election. In fact, I think Obama needs a huge lead in the polls going into election day to make-up for the Bradley effect, election errors, Operation Strike Force, etc.

Remember, in the Democratic primary, late deciders always broke against Obama in big numbers. If it's close going into election day, McCain walks away with this thing.