Electorial Predictions (no discussion please)

[Wild Cobra]

No discussion here please. Just your electoral predictions to review after the elections.

I used Google Electoral Map (http://mapmash.googlepages.com/election_map.html).

Mine:

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Elections/2008/electionprediction.jpg

[cool hand]

mccain ain't winning, the country is just losing. period.

[hater]

:lol u seriously predict Mcain will win?

hope, ok. But predict, you must be high

[BRHornet45]

McCain wins!!!

http://i36.tinypic.com/k0h7r7.jpg

[Wild Cobra]

Would you two assholes take it elsewhere:

How do McCain or Obama get to 270? (http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=104358)

[hater]

McCain wins!!!

http://i36.tinypic.com/k0h7r7.jpg

:lmao :lmao












ok. that's it I'm out...

[MannyIsGod]

:lol @ Obama winning OH but losing PA. Demographics much?

[MannyIsGod]

My bad on the discussion, I missed the part where you didn't want any. I'll post my map in a sec.

[ElNono]

http://img114.imageshack.us/img114/4869/electionxx6.jpg

Oops, I missed Alaska there for McCain... doesn't change the result though...

[BRHornet45]

http://img114.imageshack.us/img114/4869/electionxx6.jpg

Oops, I missed Alaska there for McCain... doesn't change the result though...

son good prediction I must say. its nice to see an Obama supporter actually being realistic instead of going by the nonsense that the polls show. your prediction is almost accurate other than Missouri is going to John Sidney McCain!!!!

[MannyIsGod]

http://i203.photobucket.com/albums/aa136/Msalgado80/evprojection.jpg

[MannyIsGod]

son good prediction I must say. its nice to see an Obama supporter actually being realistic instead of going by the nonsense that the polls show. your prediction is almost accurate other than Missouri is going to John Sidney McCain!!!!

Lets make a bet here. If my unrealistic prediction is closer to reality then you never post anywhere on Spurstalk again. If yours is closer, then I never post on Spurstalk again.

Are you game?

[baseline bum]

http://img513.imageshack.us/img513/9305/evoteyy8.gif

[baseline bum]

Lets make a bet here. If my unrealistic prediction is closer to reality then you never post anywhere on Spurstalk again. If yours is closer, then I never post on Spurstalk again.

Are you game?

Why would you ever make a bet with a troll?

[MannyIsGod]

I see BR evacuated the thread faster than McCain could put his campaign on hold.

[baseline bum]

I wanna see whott's map

[MannyIsGod]

I wanna see whott's map

Paint the entire country red. I mean fuck, he even thinks CA and NY are going Red so what else is left?

[BRHornet45]

Lets make a bet here. If my unrealistic prediction is closer to reality then you never post anywhere on Spurstalk again. If yours is closer, then I never post on Spurstalk again.

Are you game?

son go to my new thread

[dg7md]

This is a jerk-off thread for the respective candidate supporters.

[ElNono]

son good prediction I must say. its nice to see an Obama supporter actually being realistic instead of going by the nonsense that the polls show. your prediction is almost accurate other than Missouri is going to John Sidney McCain!!!!

Sorry Wild Cobra, I just want to comment to the way I ended up with that map was filling out the states where Obama is polling bigger than +8% over McCain, then painted the rest Red. I actually think Obama can actually win a few more states.

[boutons_]

Obama Widens Lead Due To Economy, Voter Backlash Over Negative Ads


With the economy dominating the news, several new polls show Barack Obama widening his lead over John McCain, with voters trusting the Democratic candidate to fix the "serious economic crisis" and firmly rejecting the recent spate of negative personal attacks targeted at Obama.

Most dramatically, Obama has widened his lead to double digits, at 14 points, in a NYT/CBS News (http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/15/us/politics/15poll.html?_r=1&hp=&oref=slogin&pagewanted=print) poll that shows - for the first time - white voters evenly divided between the candidates.
Two major factors hurting McCain that emerged in the poll: Sarah Palin and the recent spate of negative ads targeting Obama.
Six in 10 of those surveyed said that Mr. McCain had spent more time attacking Mr. Obama than explaining what he would do as president.And Palin, who has been leading many of the campaign's personal attacks at fiery rallies in the last two weeks, has seen her favorability rating slipping down to 32 percent and her unfavorability rating climbed 11 points to 41 percent.
Mr. Obama's favorability rating, by contrast, is now at 50 percent - the highest recorded for him thus far by The Times and CBS News.Though Palin won some praise for her performance in the vice-presidential debate, most viewers felt that Biden won and "not one tracking poll has showed movement toward the McCain-Palin ticket in the days following the debate," reports the Hill (http://thehill.com/index2.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=77010&pop=1&page=0&Itemid=76).

Another finding (http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/poll_more_voters_think_mccain.php) that bodes poorly for McCain, considering the campaign's consistent attempts to portray Obama as a tax-and-spend liberal, is that more voters think McCain would raise their taxes. Fifty-one percent of voters think McCain would raise their taxes compared to 46 percent who think Obama would do the same.

Other dramatic findings from that poll: Obama is now favored by a majority of men and independents, "two groups that he has been fighting to win over," according to the Times.

The poll presents serious problems for McCain, with only 20 days left in the campaign, since four out of five of each candidate's supporters now say their minds are made up.

Granted, there have been wild swings in the polls throughout the campaign and McCain achieved a Phoenix-like resurrection during the Republican primary when he was considered finished after polling miserably last year.

"We've seen comebacks before and certainly this campaign has been so unpredictable thus far that anything can happen," GOP strategist Doug Heye told the Hill (http://thehill.com/campaign-2008/winds-favor-obama-as-candidates-begin-race-down-the-homestretch-2008-10-14.html).

The McCain campaign acknowledged that the economic crisis has impacted the candidates' numbers. Bill McInturff, a pollster for McCain, responded to the latest polls, writing The Atlantic's Marc Ambinder (http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/mccain_campaign_responds_to_cb.php):
"The financial tsunami has produced one of the most difficult and volatile times to conduct polling in modern times. During these uniquely volatile last few weeks, I have seen as much day-to-day movement as I have witnessed in my 20 plus year career as a pollster."

Also, a small group of likely voters (http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/10/14/opinion/polls/printable4522273.shtml) feel that Obama's past associations with Bill Ayers and Reverend Jeremiah Wright are issues that bother them.

Other polls demonstrated how the global financial meltdown has helped tilt voters to Obama with most voters saying that Obama can fix the "serious economic crisis," according to a Bloomberg/LAT poll (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=auK8qqBkjvOw&refer=home). Obama leads McCain by nine points, 51 to 40, in that survey of voters.

Some findings are consistent in the polls, with about half the respondents saying that Palin is unqualified to be president and voters saying Palin makes them less likely to vote for McCain.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/14/more-voters-trust-obama-t_n_134701.html?view=print

===========

Hey, Whott, how's your girlfriend helping the Repug ticket?

[Extra Stout]

On election night, a light from heaven will appear over Obama, and a voice will announce, "This is my Candidate, in whom I am well pleased."

[boutons_]

http://images.nymag.com/news/features/silver081020_electoralmap_5.jpg

Nate Silver, on a roll:

http://nymag.com/news/features/51170/

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

[florige]

I wanna see whott's map



Where the hell is Whottt anyway???

[dg7md]

On election night, a light from heaven will appear over Obama, and a voice will announce, "This is my Candidate, in whom I am well pleased."

Would repubs claim it was the ghostly voice of Saddam saying such a thing?

[MannyIsGod]

No discussion here please. Just your electoral predictions to review after the elections.

I used Google Electoral Map (http://mapmash.googlepages.com/election_map.html).

Mine:

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/electionprediction.jpg

LOL

Would it have been possible to fail more?

[Wild Cobra]

LOL

Would it have been possible to fail more?
So I was wrong. Big deal. I'm man enough to admit it. Are you when you are wrong?

[MannyIsGod]

You're not man enough. I had to bump this. Whottt was man enough. You're a bitch.

[baseline bum]

http://i203.photobucket.com/albums/aa136/Msalgado80/evprojection.jpg

Damn, you were Indiana away from nailing it.

[Cry Havoc]

You're not man enough. I had to bump this. Whottt was man enough. You're a bitch.

Whottt didn't follow through on his word. Weaksauce.

[MannyIsGod]

Damn, you were Indiana away from nailing it.

I edited it right before the election though. I really thought Georgia was going blue and it wasn't even close. Also I think MO is actually going blue.

[MannyIsGod]

Nevermind, I guess it did go red after all.