Karl Rove: Obama Will Get 338 Electoral Votes

[Mr. Peabody]

The final Rove & Co. electoral map of the 2008 election cycle points to a 338-200 Barack Obama electoral vote victory over John McCain tomorrow, the largest electoral margin since 1996. All remaining toss-up states have been allocated to the candidate leading in them, with Florida (27 EV) going to Obama, and Indiana (11 EV), Missouri (11 EV), North Carolina (15 EV), and North Dakota (3 EV) going to McCain. The two candidates are in a dead heat in Missouri and North Carolina, but they go to McCain because the most recent polls conducted over this past weekend show him narrowly ahead. Florida, too, could end up in McCain’s column since he’s benefited from recent movement in the state.

http://www.rove.com/images/0000/0116/McCain-Obama-11-3-08-FINAL.gif

Rove must not have access to whottt's insider information.

[clambake]

in all fairness, rove completely fucked up his last predictions.

[Mr. Peabody]

in all fairness, rove completely fucked up his last predictions.

Interesting. I always assumed that if anyone knew how to handicap a race, it'd be him.

[clambake]

Interesting. I always assumed that if anyone knew how to handicap a race, it'd be him.

thats what bush thought the last time.

[2centsworth]

you guys would have saved yourselves a lot of time and trouble if you would have listened to me a couple of weeks back. September 14th was the end for McCain. Mr. Peabody gets credit for breaking the news that day.

[clambake]

you guys would have saved yourselves a lot of time and trouble if you would have listened to me a couple of weeks back. September 14th was the end for McCain. Mr. Peabody gets credit for breaking the news that day.

sept.14? was that the palin pick?

[Bartleby]

That was the start of the market meltdown (or the day just before it, to be more specific).

[2centsworth]

sept.14? was that the palin pick?

huh? after the palin pick and convention McCain had a very substantial lead.

[clambake]

That was the start of the market meltdown (or the day just before it, to be more specific).

oh, thats right. they still buy the palin pick.

[boutons_]

"very substantial"

McMakesUpShit's convention/pitbull bitch lead bounce was neither substantial nor durable.

[ElNono]

you guys would have saved yourselves a lot of time and trouble if you would have listened to me a couple of weeks back. September 14th was the end for McCain. Mr. Peabody gets credit for breaking the news that day.

That's my birthday... I don't remember much, but I'll take your word for it...

[Bartleby]

http://spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=104874

[cool hand]

since 1996, when Clinton was at the height of his popularity and pre-lewinsky. wow.

[2centsworth]

http://spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=104874

good work

[balli]

Interesting. I always assumed that if anyone knew how to handicap a race, it'd be him.

I would actually trust Rove's assessment more than some others, as I think he's a realist at this point about the Republican party's footing.

But still, Rove is famous for this 2006 exchange with NPR's Robert Siegel and in hindsight, obviously he was either purposefully overconfident and lying or rather was just flat out wrong.


SIEGEL: We are in the home stretch though and many would consider you on the optimistic end of realism about...

ROVE: Not that you would exhibit a bias, you just making a comment.

SIEGEL: I'm looking at all the same polls that you are looking at.

ROVE: No, you are not. I'm looking at 68 polls a week for candidates for the US House and US Senate, and Governor and you may be looking at 4-5 public polls a week that talk attitudes nationally.

SIEGEL: I don't want to have you to call races...

ROVE: I'm looking at all of these Robert and adding them up. I add up to a Republican Senate and Republican House. You may end up with a different math but you are entitled to your math and I'm entitled to THE math.

SIEGEL: I don't know if we're entitled to a different math but your...

ROVE: I said THE math.

[Findog]

Interesting. I always assumed that if anyone knew how to handicap a race, it'd be him.

Yeah, he has his credibility to worry about. It's not good for business if he pulls a whottt and goes down making wild predictions about a McCain landslide.

[boutons_]

Porky sleazebag Rove is a serial liar (Congress forced dubya to invade Iraq, etc, etc) so why is he even being referenced?

[Bartleby]

FWIW, I think ol' Turdblossom's forecast is pretty close to the mark, give or take a state.

[Findog]

My map looks very similar to the Turd Fairy or whatever it they call him.

[Shastafarian]

My map looks very similar to the Turd Fairy or whatever it they call him.

Turd Blossom but most people just call him a piece of shit.

[MannyIsGod]

http://i203.photobucket.com/albums/aa136/Msalgado80/evprojection.jpg?t=1225778426

[MannyIsGod]

Thats my old map. I now think GA goes blue.

[Das Texan]

http://i163.photobucket.com/albums/t295/dastexan/map-1.jpg

[Bartleby]

That would be a royal ass whoopin'

[balli]

Damn...

[hater]

I predicted he would win Virginia, Florida AND Indiana.he did

[Mr. Peabody]

I guessed 349 for Obama for an online contest. If he wins only indiana or missouri from now on, I'll get a t-shirt and own all of you

He won Indiana and lost Mizzo.

Congrats.