PDA

View Full Version : SI.com Roundtable: Sizing Up The Best



duncan228
12-16-2008, 10:17 PM
Roundtable: Sizing up the best (http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/basketball/nba/12/16/writers.roundtable/index.html)

SI.com NBA writers analyze the latest news and address hot topics from around the league each week. (All stats and records are through Monday's games.)

1. The Celtics (23-2), Lakers (20-3) and Cavaliers (20-4) have winning percentages of .833 or better, with the Magic (19-6) next at .760. How do you evaluate the pecking order at the top of the league?

Ian Thomsen: Those first three are the class of the league at this early moment, and the winning percentages reflect the relative strengths. The Celtics are No. 1, and they're playing defensively as well as they did last season in the NBA Finals. It's a positive sign for the Lakers that they've gone 20-3 while incorporating their new defensive style around Bynum and Pau Gasol up front. Cleveland is a frightening No. 3 contender that has improved since its Game 7 loss to Boston in the Eastern Conference semifinals last season. The Cavs are excellent at both ends of the floor, and LeBron James is playing like a bigger version of Kobe Bryant and Michael Jordan. Which is frightening.

Jack McCallum: I consider the Celtics a clear No. 1. The phrase "in a class by themselves" is a bit strong, but they are clearly better than the Lakers, if only considering the result of last June's Finals. At this point, I put the Lakers 2 and the Cavs 2A, because there's not too much separating them. The Magic aren't as good as any of the top three.

Chris Mannix: A lot of NBA types I've talked to believe the Celtics and Lakers are on a collision course for the Finals. I agree. L.A. is head and shoulders above anyone in the West right now. Boston is healthy (Ray Allen, in particular), hungry (a championship has only further fueled Paul Pierce) and clicking on all cylinders. But Cleveland is playing frighteningly well. Celtics owner Wyc Grousbeck told me recently that he considered LeBron "the scariest player in the league" and is nervously anticipating a Celtics-Cavs rematch in the playoffs.

Cleveland is especially dangerous this season because of its defense. Scouts and coaches say the Olympics have changed LeBron -- "He's defending the best player on the opposing team every game," an Eastern assistant coach said -- while Mo Williams, a half-hearted defender in Milwaukee, has provided solid, game-to-game defense (in addition to scoring 16 points a game).

Steve Aschburner: I like those teams in the order listed -- Celtics, Lakers, Cavs, Magic -- but that's right now. By the time the playoffs start, the Lakers could improve, the Cavs could improve a lot and the Magic could improve a whole lot, closing any gap between themselves and the defending champs. I suppose it's the age of the Celtics' three key guys that makes them seem a little more fragile -- that, and the more difficult task of maintaining their excellence rather than scaling a new height. Calling out the second unit, as the team's veterans have been doing, might be the ace up their figurative sleeves those guys need. Also, I keep reminding myself that if Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen or Paul Pierce gets hurt, Boston still has two left. L.A., Cleveland or Orlando wouldn't be able to say that should its franchise guy go down.

***

2. Assuming you believe that the Lakers are a clear-cut No. 1 in the West right now, who is the second-best team in that conference?

Thomsen: They trail the second-place Nuggets by 1½ games in the West, but the Spurs are L.A.'s main challenger. Since its 1-4 start, San Antonio has gone 14-4 while working Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker back into the rotation. Roger Mason, George Hill, Matt Bonner and Ime Udoka all have the look of traditional Spurs role players. The Spurs will enjoy being the underdog all season to the Lakers, and -- health permitting -- a playoff series between the teams would be far more interesting than last year's, when San Antonio's bench was older and Ginobili was injured.

McCallum: It might be stubbornness talking since I picked New Orleans to win the whole shebang before the season started, but I'm going to say the Hornets. They seem to have righted themselves after a slow start and they've already got two three-game road trips behind them, though a four-gamer looms in early January.

Mannix: I'm sticking with New Orleans. The Hornets learned valuable lessons in last season's second-round loss to San Antonio, lessons that will carry over in the 2009 postseason. The core of the team -- Chris Paul, Peja Stojakovic, David West and Tyson Chandler -- is now battle-tested.

Aschburner: "Second best'" seems like a label that suits San Antonio at this point, now that the Spurs have their guys back and can find a groove that will work when "second best'' no longer matters. Early injuries to Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker allowed coach Gregg Popovich to put more responsibility on Roger Mason, George Hill and even Matt Bonner, and their firmed-up roles off the bench will allow Popovich to manage the main guys' minutes, with occasional heroics from the reserves. My curiosity about the Spurs, frankly, is how well golden oldies Bruce Bowen and Michael Finley play even in their much more limited capacities.

Mr. Body
12-16-2008, 10:29 PM
Spurs need to start playing better teams before this talk can cement in place. Who's up next? Ah, there you go.

DROB4EVER
12-17-2008, 12:18 AM
How do the Magic get any pub? Howard has no post moves whatsoever and as long as he can force guys to double him the magic will be an easy out in the first round. They are a bad rebounding team, have no floor leader and their D comes and goes.

Vito Corleone
12-17-2008, 12:44 AM
So long as Portland has that big front line and all those young bucks I see them being one hell of a tough series for anyone. They are the future of the NBA

Kent_in_Atlanta
12-17-2008, 02:00 AM
Who gives a shit what that national media types say?

Once the Spurs really round into shape with the team they've got right now, there won't be a better team in the league (if healthy). There may be 2 or 3 teams that prove to be AS good, but none will be better.

mrspurs
12-17-2008, 06:59 AM
Spurs need to start playing better teams before this talk can cement in place. Who's up next? Ah, there you go.

Exactly, its time to see what we're made of. Kinda boring watching us play all these sorry teams. The only way to get better is to up the level of play. And tonight we're gonna see a little of whats to come later on down the road. If we can beat NO and Orlando, everyone will put us at the number 2 spot behind LA in the west. How anyone can pick the nuggets is beyond me. Even with Billups they're front line of Nene and Martin is gonna kill them come PO time. Those guys are to small.

mrspurs
12-17-2008, 07:00 AM
How do the Magic get any pub? Howard has no post moves whatsoever and as long as he can force guys to double him the magic will be an easy out in the first round. They are a bad rebounding team, have no floor leader and their D comes and goes.

Yup like you said, comes and goes. But I do believe with the talent on that squad they will only get better.

Obstructed_View
12-17-2008, 08:45 AM
McCallum: It might be stubbornness talking since I picked New Orleans to win the whole shebang before the season started, but I'm going to say the Hornets. They seem to have righted themselves after a slow start and they've already got two three-game road trips behind them, though a four-gamer looms in early January.

Mannix: I'm sticking with New Orleans. The Hornets learned valuable lessons in last season's second-round loss to San Antonio, lessons that will carry over in the 2009 postseason. The core of the team -- Chris Paul, Peja Stojakovic, David West and Tyson Chandler -- is now battle-tested.


The above is exactly why making predictions is stupid. The guys above picked the Hornets and now have to try to defend their pick rather than analyze what's actually happened since they made the prediction, even though you can tell that they aren't in love with their pick anymore. When you "call" something, you then lock yourself into an argument. Sports news has suffered greatly since the whole "who you got" idea started to spread.

1Parker1
12-17-2008, 08:53 AM
The next two games will tell a lot about where the Spurs are at this point in the season and how far they have to go to improve. A 14-4 record in their last 18 is impressive, but a lot of those wins were against non-contenders. Hornets and Magic are both playing so well right now, perhaps just as well as the Spurs, that it'll be interesting to see how this Spurs team will play in a true back to back test.

jag
12-17-2008, 01:15 PM
The next two games will tell a lot about where the Spurs are at this point in the season and how far they have to go to improve. A 14-4 record in their last 18 is impressive, but a lot of those wins were against non-contenders. Hornets and Magic are both playing so well right now, perhaps just as well as the Spurs, that it'll be interesting to see how this Spurs team will play in a true back to back test.

I completely agree, but i also think it'll be interesting to see what type of lineup and consistent rotation Pop uses once we get into February. That will give us a better idea of where our guys stack up with the rest.


And i still can't get over George Hill...even the national media (most surprisingly ESPN) have jumped on board the bandwagon.

FromWayDowntown
12-17-2008, 01:34 PM
I'd frankly take a split of this back-to-back and would feel really good about where the Spurs are if that's what they can get. I think it would be pretty much absurd to expect a sweep of these games and I think anyone who would be disappointed if they lose either has outrageous expectations.

The playoffs sort out who's best and who's whatever else; I don't really care what writers have to say about it.

timvp
12-17-2008, 06:06 PM
I'd frankly take a split of this back-to-back and would feel really good about where the Spurs are if that's what they can get. I think it would be pretty much absurd to expect a sweep of these games and I think anyone who would be disappointed if they lose either has outrageous expectations. Well said. :tu

It'd be nice if the Spurs swept this back-to-back but it's too early to take much out of these games -- win or lose. I'm more interested in seeing how the Spurs matchup with the Hornets with the offseason changes. It'll also be interesting to see how the Spurs handle the Magic, especially if Howard plays.

td4mvp21
12-17-2008, 06:31 PM
It'll also be interesting to see how the Spurs handle the Magic, especially if Howard plays.

Finley will play powerforward. A lot. :shootme

Cry Havoc
12-17-2008, 09:22 PM
I cant believe anyone would say NO is a better team than the spurs. Look at players 1-9 and tell me the Hornets are better at more than a spot or 2!

That's a good point, but it's not just about "who has better players". It's about the team game.

That said, the Spurs are as good offensively as NO, especially when pace is considered, and they are far better on D.

The Spurs have improved a lot from last year. We'll be better ready for them come playoff time.