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Ghazi
02-14-2009, 07:00 PM
ESPN now shows Hollingers adjusted W/L projection for a team after a trade.

Of course, its an inexact method, but I found it neat

For our beloved Mavs, we're projected to finish 48-34 as is

Kidd for Davis/Kaman: 47-35
Kidd for Shaq: 51-31
Howard/Stack for Carter/Dooling: 54-28
Howard/Stack for Lebron (lol): 56-26

Rogue
02-14-2009, 07:15 PM
Of course trading howard would make our team a lot better, even for nothing in return. But I disagree our team would have a better record with VC than with Kaman/BDavis, a center is definitely more effective for our team. and we would also have to make some other teams in addition if we made the shaq/kidd deal, we would have no PG after trading kidd, especially considering JET would still be out for 6 weeks. Howard/stack for VC/dooling is the best senario, it is less risking than kidd for BDavis/Kaman which seems more benefitial, though we would still have to continue our seek for a decent center.

mystargtr34
02-14-2009, 07:18 PM
ESPN now shows Hollingers adjusted W/L projection for a team after a trade.

Of course, its an inexact method, but I found it neat

For our beloved Mavs, we're projected to finish 48-34 as is

Kidd for Davis/Kaman: 47-35
Kidd for Shaq: 51-31
Howard/Stack for Carter/Dooling: 54-28
Howard/Stack for Lebron (lol): 56-26


So Hollinger's awesome formula thinks the difference between LeBron and Vince Carter is 2 extra wins for your team in the last 35 games.

Ghazi
02-14-2009, 07:18 PM
Some more:

Stack/Williams for Miller: 50-32
Stack/J-Ho/Bass/Williams for Shaq/Barnes: 48-34

Rogue
02-14-2009, 07:23 PM
Some more:

Stack/Williams for Miller: 50-32
Stack/J-Ho/Bass/Williams for Shaq/Barnes: 48-34
it'll never be a good idea to trade bass who is the only roster that is doing dirty works in our paint. any trade involving stack would definitely upgrade our team I think, it would be even more ideal if we can also ship :ihitGeorge:bang along with stack.

Ghazi
02-14-2009, 07:24 PM
So Hollinger's awesome formula thinks the difference between LeBron and Vince Carter is 2 extra wins for your team in the last 35 games.

+2 wins is A LOT in 35 games. Plus its Carter AND Dooling

That's like 4-5 games over 82... which doesn't seem farfetch'd when you truly think about it.

Also its +8 wins over Howard/Stack... thats 16-18 wins over an 82 game season Lebron would give our beloved Mavs that Howard/Stack wouldnt.

Seems about right.

But again, the formula is purely mathematical and disregard the many intangible aspects of basketball, especially when one player goes to a different team, roster, environment, etc.

mystargtr34
02-14-2009, 07:26 PM
+2 wins is A LOT in 35 games. Plus its Carter AND Dooling

That's like 4-5 games over 82... which doesn't seem farfetch'd when you truly think about it.

Also its +8 wins over Howard/Stack... thats 16-18 wins over an 82 game season Lebron would give our beloved Mavs that Howard/Stack wouldnt.

Seems about right.

You swap Carter and Dooling for LeBron at the beginning of the season, the Nets win 50 games. Instead, theyre on pace for about 35.

Chieflion
02-14-2009, 07:26 PM
Trade feature seems squat.

It does not acount for team chemistry and injury concerns.

Ghazi
02-14-2009, 07:31 PM
You swap Carter and Dooling for LeBron at the beginning of the season, the Nets win 50 games. Instead, theyre on pace for about 35.

Probably, sounds about right

Again, didnt say the formula is bullet proof :P

but I take what some of hollingers methods say legitimately. After all, his power rankings have correctly predicted the NBA champion the past 2 years :king

Ghazi
02-14-2009, 07:32 PM
Dampier/Stack for Camby/Davis (IDK, heard this on another board lol): 54-28

mavs>spurs2
02-14-2009, 07:32 PM
pretty interesting, but i'd like to see how he's coming up with these numbers. Personally I think we'd be alot better with a low post threat aka shaq than we would with vince carter.

Ghazi
02-14-2009, 07:41 PM
It's probably primarily based on the PER of the incoming and outgoing players.

And PER is of course too shallow to observe things.

Shaq/Carter/Camby all have PERS over 20 though

Davis/Kaman are at 15-16.

Miller is at like 12 (below average), same with Udrih

Salmons around 16

etc.

Rogue
02-14-2009, 07:47 PM
pretty interesting, but i'd like to see how he's coming up with these numbers. Personally I think we'd be alot better with a low post threat aka shaq than we would with vince carter.
Exactly, but Kaman is more feasible than shaq that earns 20m/yr I think. Try to trade stack/filler for Kaman, add some picks if necessary. trading kidd for him and BDavis is our last option.

Ghazi
02-14-2009, 07:51 PM
Stack/Bass for Kaman = 51-31