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spursncowboys
04-13-2009, 07:28 AM
Playoff Musings
For a brief time last night the Spurs were back in place as the 3rd seed in the Western Conference. The win over the Jazz put them into a tie with the Rockets and the Spurs own the tiebreaker at this time. Later on last night the Rockets beat the team from Golden State (I refuse to call them by their name) so the whole 3rd seed thing went *POOF*. But I'm gonna tell you why that might not be a bad thing.

Right now the Spurs are the 5th seed in the West. If there are no other changes in seeding the playoffs would look like this:

1 Lakers vs. 8 Jazz

Everyone thinks this matchup would be tougher on the Lakers than other matchups. I call bullshit. The Jazz are terrible on the road and the Spurs didn't seem to have trouble with them (basically the same team) in Utah back in 2007. I'd say Lakers in 4 or 5.

2 Nuggies vs. 7 Mavericks

This is actually pretty interesting. The Nuggets are legendary playoff no-shows. But so is _allas. Carlisle is a good coach but his PG can't score reliably and his C belongs in the WNBA. I'd say this series goes 6 games with the Nuggies coming out on top.

3 Rockettes vs. 6 Hornets

I really like this matchup. The Hornets have been fairly shitty compared to last year. The Rockettes are playing well but their coach hasn't done anything significant in 20 years. If Chandler is healthy and Peja gets his new bio-engineered back installed, I could actually see the Hornets winning this series. I still think it goes 6 or 7 games.

4 Greg Odens vs. 5 Your San Antonio Spurs

The Blazers have had their way with the Spurs recently. That's no reason to think the Blazers young lineup can handle the pressure of the playoffs. I think the Spurs will have trouble but in the end I don't think the HCA will have that great of an effect on the series. I optimistically say the Spurs would take the series in 6.

That would leave us with these Semi (boner joke!) matchups:

1 Lakers vs. 5 Your San Antonio Spurs
2 Nuggies vs. 3 Rockettes/6 Hornets

But but but, how can the Spurs playing the Lakers in the Semis be any better than playing them in such a huge WCF? If you settle down and take your dick out of your ass I can explain it.

Remember last year when the Spurs had to go through a 7 game series with Chris Paul and his nut punching posse? Right, we all remember. The blowouts, the close games, and Chris Paul doing a great job selling fouls. I think you can see where I'm going with this. By the time the Spurs got to LA to play the Fake Show, they were exhausted and injured. It can happen any year. Your team has a tough first round (if you live in Dallas) or second round and then crap out in the Semis or Finals (if you live in Dallas). That's why I think the only shot the Spurs have at beating the Lakers is if they meet them in the second round as opposed to the WCF. Duncan won't be icing down his knees after every game in the second round (hopefully) and all of our geriatric players will still be somewhat fresh. That's why NOT getting the 3 seed would actually be beneficial to this group. Obviously the 4 seed would be better than the 5*, but I don't think the Odens can pull of a playoff victory yet.

* - Both Portland and SA have 3 games left with 2 being against shitty teams each. Portland plays Denver last and SA plays NOLA last. Those last 2 games could decide the 4/5 seeding.
POSTED BY ANKLE BONES AT 11:01 AM
LABELS: PLAYOFFS? YOU TALKING BOUT PLAYOFFS? PLAYOFFS?
http://spursunderground.blogspot.com/2009/04/playoff-musings.

Rapper
04-13-2009, 07:46 AM
Man, Don't be underestimate the Blazers

Basically, the blazers have a bigger chance than the spurs to take this series

RuffnReadyOzStyle
04-13-2009, 07:53 AM
No Manu, a half-healthy Tim, an upset chemistry, a bunch of streaky role players = very tough matchup, be it Portland or anyone else

Thomas82
04-13-2009, 08:27 AM
no manu, a half-healthy tim, an upset chemistry, a bunch of streaky role players = very tough matchup, be it portland or anyone else

+1

cd98
04-13-2009, 12:59 PM
Spurs can't beat the Lakers in the first, second, or Western Conference Finals without Manu Ginoboli unless a key player (Kobe or Gasol) gets injured. Other than that, we're screwed.

urunobili
04-13-2009, 01:03 PM
Avoiding the hornets would be a win

024
04-13-2009, 01:08 PM
blazers might be the lakers' toughest match up. i don't want the spurs to eliminate a team that can challenge the lakers like last year when the spurs did them a favor and eliminated the hornets.

mexicanjunior
04-13-2009, 03:23 PM
No Manu, a half-healthy Tim, an upset chemistry, a bunch of streaky role players = very tough matchup, be it Portland or anyone else

Agreed, Portland would be the favorite to win that first round series.

alchemist
04-13-2009, 04:07 PM
for the 2nd year in a row the Spurs will likely get to play a young, up and coming team with nothing to lose and everything to gain.

Either way, the Spurs are in match-up hell. If they go up to 3rd they will face an N.O. team they have trouble with aswell.

mytespurs
04-13-2009, 04:13 PM
Spurs can't beat the Lakers in the first, second, or Western Conference Finals without Manu Ginoboli unless a key player (Kobe or Gasol) gets injured. Other than that, we're screwed.

I would add without a "healthy" Manu or Timmy for that matter.

timvp
04-13-2009, 04:18 PM
That made me appreciate Jeff McDonald.

duncan228
04-13-2009, 04:51 PM
That made me appreciate Jeff McDonald.

:lol

Allanon
04-13-2009, 05:09 PM
Spurs best chance still lies with the #3 seed in my opinion.

1. #3 gets either Dallas, Hornets, Jazz. Dallas & Hornets aren't dominating at home or on the road. Jazz are usually good at home but lost to the Warriors & Wolves at home this month.

2. 2nd round vs Nuggets isn't very daunting

3. Leaves the Rockets/Blazers to the Lakers. Both of whom have the best chance (considering the teams) of knocking out/tiring out the Lakers in the 2nd round.

4. Won't play the Lakers until the WCF if both teams make it.

TheDarkSide.
04-13-2009, 05:26 PM
Spurs best chance still lies with the #3 seed in my opinion.

1. #3 gets either Dallas, Hornets, Jazz. Dallas & Hornets aren't dominating at home or on the road. Jazz are usually good at home but lost to the Warriors & Wolves at home this month.

2. 2nd round vs Nuggets isn't very daunting

3. Leaves the Rockets/Blazers to the Lakers. Both of whom have the best chance (considering the teams) of knocking out/tiring out the Lakers in the 2nd round.

4. Won't play the Lakers until the WCF if both teams make it.