Interesting Data On Hurrican Ivan

[1369]

From the National Buoy Center (http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=42040&meas=pres&uom=E)

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/Maps/Florida.jpg

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/Stations/3m_mini.jpg

Station 42040 - MOBILE SOUTH 64 nm South of Dauphin Island, AL
Owned and maintained by National Data Buoy Center
3-meter discus buoy
DACT payload
29.21 N 88.20 W (29°12'36"N 88°12'00"W)

Site elevation: sea level
Air temp height: 4 m above site elevation
Anemometer height: 5 m above site elevation
Barometer elevation: sea level
Sea temp depth: 0.6 m below site elevation
Water depth: 237.7 m
Watch circle radius: 374 yards

I tried to attach some of the graphs (Air pressure, wave height/frequency), but they got scrambled in the process. Looking at the data, this one's going to make a mess.

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

3 buoys out in front of it are showing 28'+ waves...

daaaaaaaamn!

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

ID T1 TIME LAT LON DIST HDG WDIR WSPD GST WVHT DPD APD MWD PRES PTDY ATMP WTMP DEWP VIS TIDE
(GMT) nm ° ° kts kts ft sec sec ° in in °F °F °F mi ft
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
42001 B 1350 25.84 -89.66 102 262 300 31.1 38.9 17.1 12 - - 29.45 +0.06 82.4 82.8 73.6 - -
42003 B 1350 26.01 -85.91 102 93 170 40.8 50.5 25.3 11 - - 29.53 +0.10 80.8 79.7 77.2 - -
42041 B 1350 27.50 -90.46 165 301 360 35.0 44.7 28.2 15 - - 29.50 -0.04 82.9 84.2 73.9 - -
42039 B 1350 28.80 -86.06 187 29 80 36.9 46.6 28.9 14 - - 29.61 -0.03 78.4 82.6 78.4 - -
42040 B 1350 29.21 -88.20 188 354 60 38.9 46.6 27.9 14 - - 29.54 -0.06 79.9 82.8 74.7 - -
42036 B 1350 28.51 -84.51 227 50 110 29.1 35.0 16.7 13 - - 29.73 +0.00 79.7 80.4 75.7 - -
42007 B 1350 30.09 -88.77 245 348 50 27.2 33.0 14.1 14 - - 29.72 -0.01 78.4 81.7 72.5 - -
42038 B 1350 27.42 -92.57 268 288 10 21.4 23.3 13.8 15 - - 29.70 +0.01 83.5 85.8 77.4 - -
OSTF1 B 1350 30.36 -89.61 273 340 10 3.9 11.7 - - - - 29.75 -0.02 77.0 - 70.2 - -
EGKF1 B 1336 27.60 -82.76 284 70 140 21.0 27.0 - - - - - - - - - - 3.43
42014 B 1329 25.25 -82.21 307 98 - - - - - - - 29.89 - 84.0 84.0 - - -
42023 B 1314 26.05 -83.07 255 90 150 27.2 - - - - - 29.84 +0.05 84.0 83.3 - - -
42013 B 1310 27.16 -82.95 268 75 50 272.0 - - - - - - - - 83.1 - - -
DPIA1 C 1305 30.25 -88.07 249 357 60 26 30 - - - - 29.77 +0.00 78.6 81.3 72.5 - 2.62
BURL1 C 1300 28.90 -89.43 189 333 50 40 43 - - - - 29.60 -0.04 80.8 - 72.1 - -
GDIL1 C 1300 29.27 -89.96 222 329 40 24 30 - - - - 29.70 -0.02 79.9 83.3 77.2 7.5 -
ILDL1 B 1300 29.05 -90.53 229 321 10 24.1 29.9 6.6 14 - - 29.71 +0.00 79.2 85.8 - - 2.27
TAML1 B 1300 29.19 -90.67 240 321 30 22.0 26.0 - - - - 29.70 -0.02 78.6 81.3 74.1 - 1.61
SGOF1 C 1300 29.41 -84.86 253 37 110 37 40 - - - - 29.80 -0.01 82.0 82.8 75.7 - -
SIPM6 B 1300 30.27 -89.02 258 346 30 24.1 29.9 2.6 3 - - 29.72 +0.00 77.2 82.4 - - 3.20
42021 B 1300 28.30 -83.30 274 60 - - - - - - - 29.84 +0.01 - - - - -
MRSL1 B 1300 29.44 -92.06 302 313 40 13.0 18.1 2.6 16 - - 29.79 - 77.2 85.3 77.2 7.5 1.68
CDRF1 C 1300 29.14 -83.03 312 53 100 20 22 - - - - 29.91 +0.01 79.3 - 77.7 - -
KTNF1 C 1300 29.82 -83.59 316 44 80 13 17 - - - - 29.90 +0.01 78.1 - - - -
SANF1 C 1300 24.46 -81.88 336 106 160 23 25 - - - - 29.89 +0.04 82.9 84.7 - - -
25 observations reported for 1300 G

[IcemanCometh]

thats not interesting at all

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

I wanna see those reporters stand out on the beach in their raincoats talking into the microphone when THIS baby hits...could be fun watching them flipping and tumbling down the street...:lol

[MannyIsGod]

it's starting to get some shear and it's starting to encounter some drier air, so it's going to start weakening soon. if you look at the sat images, the convection on the west side of the storm is starting to suffer because of the dry air.

the bad thing is that this bad boy is already a 4, and will probably only drop to a 3 before hitting the coast.

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

Hurricane Ivan Discussion Number 53


Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on September 15, 2004



the last reconnaissance mission concluded at 12z...and the next
aircraft will be arriving momentarily. Peak flight level winds of
127 kt during the last pass support about 115 kt at the
surface...and that will be the initial intensity for this advisory.
Over the past few hours the 50 nm wide eye has become a little
better defined with cooling cloud tops. Competing influences make
the intensity forecast difficult. The hurricane is now passing
over a warm Gulf Eddy which could aid intensification...although
data collected by a NOAA research aircraft yesterday suggest the
Eddy may not be as potent as previously thought using satellite
measurements. The upper-level outflow pattern is well-established
north of the cyclone at the present time with no shear evident. On
the other hand...there is considerable dry air in the west
semicircle that could still penetrate the core...and the shear is
expected to increase near landfall. The bottom line is that I
expect some net weakening of Ivan prior to landfall...but still
expect it to make landfall as a major hurricane.
The initial motion estimate is 350/11...and Ivan looks to be making
the expected northward turn. Ivan remains on the previous forecast
track and there are no significant changes to the forecast...
although the new track is just a bit faster to the coastline.
Model guidance remains tightly clustered until well after
landfall...where there are a variety of possible solutions for the
remnants of Ivan. The official forecast continues to show the
possibility of a major flooding event over the southern
Appalachians late in the forecast period.

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

damn...

35' waves now at buoy # 42040...and its just at the far outer edge...

[Jimcs50]

Thankyou Dr Neil Frank Jr.

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

You are most certainly welcome RichardSimmonsCS....:wink

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

39 foot waves now...and it's still on the edge...winds are "only" 46 knots...

http://www.bfi.org.uk/sightandsound/2000_09/images/perfect_storm.jpg

awwwwww fuuuuuuuuck!

[Jimcs50]

Forecasters said the storm surge could completely swamp Alabama's Dauphin Island, the narrow barrier island south of Mobile with many expensive homes built on stilts.

My neighbor has a sister that has a house on the island and I have visited with him there to play golf and have fun on the beach. Her house is great and it will be a damn shame if she loses it. The whole island is only about a 7 iron wide, so I can imagin the waves completely engulfing the island.

[exstatic]

I've been to Dauphin Island, too. We lived in Montgomery in the 70s, and had friends with a nice condo there. It is tiny. There is also an old Spanish fort there, IIRC, that may take heavy damage if the island is swamped.

[timvp]

I thought Manny said it wasn't going to make it to the Gulf.

:wtf

[sportcamper1]

Hurricane Poster Girl...

www.strangecosmos.com/images/content/102489.jpg (http://www.strangecosmos.com/images/content/102489.jpg)

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

42 foot waves now...wind still "only" up to 50 kts...

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200409_sat.jpg

this is one nasty mutha....

[sportcamper1]

http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2004/WEATHER/09/14/hurricane.ivan/story.causeway.tues.jpg

So Cosmic, you think we will catch some righteous waves?

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

hehehe thats funny...

I just said to my partner..."damn I bet they are havin some great surf over there right now..."

Back when I surfed my buddies and I would always head to the beach when there were hurricanes in the gulf...

[CosmicCowboyXXX]

http://https://128.160.23.54/products/SWAPS/mex00.gif

damn...the image won't link...

bobhallpier.com/ (http://bobhallpier.com/)

hit the "live cam" link then hit the "wave forecast" link...

jeez...look at the friggen red zone...:shock

[1369]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/images/DS.p20-r/SI.kmob/latest.gif

[MannyIsGod]

actually, what i said was that florida woudl take it up the ass again and that there was no way the ridge would hold up long enough for it to hit louisiana or texas. and, i was right. however, i will concede that i thought it would come ashore further east.

i also said it was getting weaker earlier, but i bet when the next advisory comes out it's actually gotten stronger. it looks like the last few hours worth of satelite images show it getting better organized.