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duncan228
10-12-2009, 12:15 PM
Durant: 'What more do you want?' (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=4553064)
ESPN.com news services

Kevin Durant has fired back at a blog that was critical of his contributions to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Durant, who led the Thunder in 2008-09 with 25.3 points per game in his second season, defended his dedication and work ethic in a series of Twitter posts Sunday.

Durant, 21, presumably was writing in reaction to a blog by ESPN.com's Henry Abbott citing Durant's plus-minus statistic, which it said revealed the forward is "killing his team."

Plus-minus indicates the points a team produces relative to the scoring of the opponent when a player is on the floor.

"Everybody that is doubtin me as a player and my team as a whole," Durant wrote, "..all i can say is that we all are tryin and workin our hardest!"

In the Thunder's first season in Oklahoma City since relocating from Seattle, Durant often carried his team, which finished ahead of only the Los Angeles Clippers and the Sacramento Kings in the Western Conference standings.

"What more do u want? let me be the player i am...i come to practice everyday..and push myself to my limit, God has put me n a gr8 position!!" Durant wrote on Twitter.

In his TrueHoop blog posting, Abbott chronicles Durant's dominant physical attributes, relative youth and the expectations he faces that are approaching "ridiculous" proportions.

But he transitions into the perceived downsides of Durant's game, the thrust of which outlines the reasons Durant might be dragging the performance of his teammates into a rut.

"Just as it's undoubtedly a challenge for young Kevin Durant to perform the duties of a superstar, it may also be hard for his young teammates to know how to account for his abilities," Abbott wrote. "In other words, when Durant is benched, [Russell] Westbrook, [Jeff] Green et al can make basketball decisions more or less as they have their entire basketball lives.

"When Durant, superstar-in-the-making, is on the court, his teammates would presumably be aware of that."

But Durant points to his supporters, which likely include many of those who helped sell out the Thunder's 2008-09 season-ticket allotment in five days.

"I love all the REAL basketball fans who appreciate hardwork, passion and love for the game..and not jus 'plus and minuses'...wateva dat is!" Durant wrote.

*********************

Abbott.

The Kevin Durant Conundrum

http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-45-35/The-Kevin-Durant-Conundrum.html

TheMACHINE
10-12-2009, 01:14 PM
Durant is a stud. Abbott needs to STFU.

lil_penny
10-12-2009, 01:18 PM
Durant is a stud. Abbott needs to STFU.

BlackBellamy
10-12-2009, 01:19 PM
I'll give OKC Bonner for Velvet Hoop. Matt has a pretty good +/-. :lol

Whisky Dog
10-12-2009, 01:44 PM
Finley and Bonner for Durant!

Ok, throw in Mason too. They usually have good plus/minus

JamStone
10-12-2009, 01:52 PM
Delonte West had the fifth highest +/- in the entire league last year.

Unforgivable
10-12-2009, 01:55 PM
Durant is a stud. Abbott needs to STFU.

Spurminator
10-12-2009, 02:09 PM
"I love all the REAL basketball fans who appreciate hardwork, passion and love for the game..and not jus 'plus and minuses'...wateva dat is!"

:lol

duhoh
10-12-2009, 02:43 PM
muahaha abbott is UNFORGIVABLE!

I DON'T CARE PANSY!

Stump
10-12-2009, 06:19 PM
I think most if not all of us would agree that KD has shown not just incredible skill and potential, but also a genuine willingness to improve his game and sacrifice to help his team win.

If Durant or members of his supporting cast are not being utilized well, then you criticize the coach or GM, not the players.

Findog
10-12-2009, 06:54 PM
First of all, I'm a huge KD fan. I think he's going to be a franchise player for many years to come. That said, the +/- numbers show that he hasn't helped his team. It's adjusted for lineups, so it's not a case of him being on a terrible team and being on the floor against other team's starters while his teammates do better against second units. They give up way more points when he plays as opposed to when he sits, and they are not as efficient offensively.

http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-45-42/Memo-to-a-Young-Baller.html

This basically makes the point that Durant does not execute the p'n'r on offense very well and takes low-percentage, inefficient shots. He makes some of them because of how good he is, but he hasn't yet developed the court decisions or the basketball IQ when it comes to how best to attack a defense.

On defense he hasn't learned yet how to defend the p'n'r. Guys like LeBron and Carmelo didn't know how to defend it well either when they were 19 or 20. Since the p'n'r is the cornerstone and bread and butter of all basketball strategy, and is a play that is run 90% of the time by 100% of all basketball teams, it would make sense that his +/- numbers aren't very good if he doesn't know how to execute it on either end.

Findog
10-12-2009, 06:55 PM
On Friday, TrueHoop had a post about Kevin Durant's statistics sending conflicting messages. They show that Kevin Durant is literally among the very best players in the NBA, of any age. Other numbers show, however, that the Thunder have somehow been a lot better when their franchise player is ... not in the game at all.

Why? It's a mystery.

Kevin Durant didn't like the topic much, and tweeted over the weekend, apparently in response:

Everybody that is doubtin me as a player and my team as a whole..all i can say is that we all are tryin and workin our hardest!
What more do u want? let me be the player i am...i come to practice everyday..and push myself to my limit, God has put me n a gr8 position!!
I love all the REAL basketball fans who appreciate hardwork, passion and love for the game..and not jus "plus and minuses"...wateva dat is!
My response:

Kevin Durant, I feel your pain. The post might have seemed like an attack, but this is no tale of hate.


Keep it up. Kevin Durant's effect on his team hasn't been great in his first two years, but time is on his side.
(Layne Murdoch/NBAE/Getty Images)
Forget the parts of the article about what a hard worker and great teammate you are. Forget where I said I thought you would be a star. Let's get into the article's main point, and the news that might be hard to swallow.

Here's the deal: For two years, when you have been in NBA games, you have put up amazing numbers, but somehow your team has been better when you sat. When you have been out there, opponents have outscored your team pretty bad. When you sit, they don't outscore your team as much. That's what plus/minus is.

(The final score, by the way, is also plus/minus. If you play the entire game, and the team wins by twenty, you're plus-20. It's not one of those stats you want to ignore. Not when for two years it has been saying the same thing.)

Now, I hear you saying, hey, that's because I'm a starter and I play against the likes of LeBron James and Kobe Bryant, while many of my teammates with better plus/minus numbers play against scrubs. That's not it either, though. For one thing, all your fellow starters have better plus/minus numbers, some of them much better.

Also there's a way that some experts have of adjusting those plus/minus numbers for the quality of the competition you play against (and for your teammates). In your case, those adjustments don't change the picture much at all. We can argue about how those adjustments are made. People have different approaches, but in all of them your effect on the team looks just about the same as the raw plus/minus.

It might not feel like it, but if I were you I'd want to know more about this, not less.

Think of it as someone letting you know you have something stuck in your teeth before you go on TV. Nobody wants to hear that, but anyone who cares about you would tell you anyway.

If I were your coach, your GM, or anyone else really invested in a great Thunder future, I'd want to dig deep into this issue -- in there somewhere are the keys to a lot more Thunder wins.

Now, are we saying this means you're a bad player? Hardly. See the word "conundrum" in the headline? Nobody knows what the hell is going on. It doesn't make sense. You're blatantly one of the best prospects to enter the NBA this decade. But, for reasons that are something of a mystery, you have not helped your team.

Yet.

To the Video
I love this debate, because what it forces us to think about is what actually gets results on the basketball court, as opposed to what seems like it ought to work.

Watching you play -- that length, that shooting, that talent -- we all see something that seems like it ought to work. What has been going wrong? That's really a question for your coach. Coaches know this kind of stuff.

There are a zillion different things that happen when your team has the ball: isolation, spot-up shooting, catching and shooting off a screen, posting up, cutting, offensive rebounding. You're good at all of those, and I've seen numbers to prove it.

But, in my experience, there's literally nothing NBA coaches talk about as much as the pick-and-roll. Running it, and defending it.

Thanks to Synergy Sports, I have spent the last three hours watching video of you in the pick-and-roll last year.

On offense, when you're the ball handler in the pick-and-roll, the numbers show you're not very effective. And the video makes clear why: The idea, of course, is for your team to get a good look. Your superpower, however, is to get off a decent shot even when you're covered.

The way you're running the pick-and-roll, it looks like you're relying a little too much on your superpowers. In short, those picks are not getting you open, which is reflected in a low field goal percentage and a high turnover rate.

If you were sitting right here next to me, watching video, I imagine Coach Scott Brooks' voice would ring in your ears. Sometimes you go around the screen lackadaisically, failing to make things hard for your defender at all. Sometimes you don't wait for the screen to arrive. Sometimes the screener is set up at one angle, and you drive at another, so the screen has hardly any effect.

But the end result of all of those is you, with the ball on the move, and not open at all. (You'd have been better off, in most cases, just isolating ... at least that way Nenad Krstic's guy wouldn't be in your grille, too.)

And when you're far from the hoop, on the move, with one or two guys on you ... you bust out the superpowers. I saw about a dozen examples from last season alone of you taking that double-team to the hole, where two more defenders are waiting, and you shoot one-on-four. (The fact that you make those sometimes is amazing, but more impressive is the shovel pass to the rolling Krstic, or, one day, the kick-out to the dead-eye teammate the Thunder don't have.)

More common than driving against four guys, though, is taking a mid-range jumper against two. You make this shot more than most, but nobody makes it much at all. Efficient offenses take as few of these as possible.

What's especially clear in this video is that teams are more than happy to use pick-and-rolls as excuses to double-team you hard. A lot of times, it works, as they have succeeded in forcing very tough shots.

The Defense Issue
All that talk about offense, in the original post and this one, is probably silly. The same statistics that show your team is not as good when you're playing also hint at why: When you play, the offense is a little bit worse. But the defense falls off a cliff. When you're playing, your team gives up 111 points per 100 possessions. When you're on the bench, they give up 103. That's one of the biggest gaps in the whole NBA.

Again to the video. And again, the Synergy Sports stats show you're good at most categories of defense, except the two most common ones: Making spot up shooters miss, and defending that darned pick-and-roll.

Every coach in every game, more or less, has different pick-and-roll defense strategies. There are books and books on this stuff. Against certain kinds of players you go over. Against others you switch. Sometimes you can go under. You can also blitz the ball, or lock-and-trail ... this might be the major thing NBA coaches worry about.

What nobody ever recommends, though, is getting lost. When your man is the screener, there is an art to jumping out to slow down the ball handler, so your teammate can catch up to the ball handler. Once he's there, you have to scramble back to your man, who is usually on his way to the hoop.

The key is to spend as much time as possible guarding somebody. Get your body into the ball handler until the last possible moment, and then boom, explode back to your original guy, while making the pass as difficult as possible.

In executing this little maneuver, you tend to spend quite a lot of time guarding nobody. I could show you video of many plays when you never get close enough to really slow down the ball handler, but at the same time, your original man is also wide open. You? You're somewhere in the middle.

Other times you seem to be counting on your long arms to save you, either by playing for the block (letting someone drive, then swatting) or steal (instead of preventing the pass, trying to poke it away on the catch).

This is no crisis. I could fire up video of any NBA 20-year-old (as you were in this video) and see similar things.

Remember when Team USA lost to Greece in the World Championships a few years ago? The Greek team realized that LeBron James and Carmelo Anthony had not mastered defending the pick-and-roll, and exploited it all night. You're in good company.

I'm sure you'll work at this as you have so many other aspects of your game, and I'm sure with age, maturity, savvy and an ever-improving collection of teammates the results will turn around. But I wouldn't ignore this kind of stuff. The plus/minus numbers seem to be telling us that mastering the pick-and-roll, at both ends of the floor, is a key to winning.

In the meantime, realize this: What we have been talking about is how you have played at ages 19 and 20. What does that mean for how you'll play when you're 25? Nobody really knows. Maybe nothing.

But if I were you, I'd answer the critics like this: You're one of nine players in the history of the NBA to play heavy minutes and have a PER over 20 when you were just 20 years old. The others turned out all right. Your little club includes LeBron James, Magic Johnson, Shaquille O'Neal, Chris Paul, Spencer Haywood and the like.

It's not hard to imagine that one day they'll brag about being in that club with you.

ShoogarBear
10-13-2009, 05:55 AM
Oh, See Bee Efffffffffffffff . . . come lookie here:

http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-45-42/Memo-to-a-Young-Baller.html?post=true

timvp
10-13-2009, 06:20 AM
An emo longhorn?

Shocking.

Rogue
10-13-2009, 08:19 AM
Finley and Bonner for Durant!

Ok, throw in Mason too. They usually have good plus/minus
LOL Spurs no eran Lakers todos modos.

Rogue
10-13-2009, 08:23 AM
First of all, I'm a huge KD fan. I think he's going to be a franchise player for many years to come. That said, the +/- numbers show that he hasn't helped his team. It's adjusted for lineups, so it's not a case of him being on a terrible team and being on the floor against other team's starters while his teammates do better against second units. They give up way more points when he plays as opposed to when he sits, and they are not as efficient offensively.

http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-45-42/Memo-to-a-Young-Baller.html

This basically makes the point that Durant does not execute the p'n'r on offense very well and takes low-percentage, inefficient shots. He makes some of them because of how good he is, but he hasn't yet developed the court decisions or the basketball IQ when it comes to how best to attack a defense.

On defense he hasn't learned yet how to defend the p'n'r. Guys like LeBron and Carmelo didn't know how to defend it well either when they were 19 or 20. Since the p'n'r is the cornerstone and bread and butter of all basketball strategy, and is a play that is run 90% of the time by 100% of all basketball teams, it would make sense that his +/- numbers aren't very good if he doesn't know how to execute it on either end.
LOL tan Durant no saber carajo para p'n'r.

Culburn369
10-13-2009, 12:01 PM
Ain't quite the same when a writer throws a turd into the pool of a team not the Lakers, eh?

tee, hee.

Stump
10-14-2009, 05:00 PM
Bump. This is from RealGM.

http://www.realgm.com/src_feature_pieces/824/20091014/the_unstated_snag_with_stressing_over_durants_+/_/


Over the last week or so, there has been a fantastic discussion of Kevin Durant, specifically in the context of +/-. Numerous cases have been made from TrueHoop to Basketball Reference . However, one point that has not been properly made yet may hold the truth of the matter.

Kevin Durant played an absolute load of minutes last year- 39 MPG in the 74 games he appeared in. While I find +/- to be an incredibly useful stat most of the time, it runs into problems when you look at players with particularly high minutes played (38+ as opposed to guys in the high 20's or super-low 30's) because such heavy minutes changes the situations where they do and do not play.

Unfortunately, I am not privy to a minutes graph or substitution pattern chart for Kevin Durant from the 2008-2009 season. However, what makes this situation different from other seemingly parallel seasons is that the Thunder of last year were a simply terrible team, especially at the level of their starters. It would follow that they were "knocked out" of a portion of games on their schedule. Since Durant was (or at least was perceived to be) an extremely important part of any potential success for the team and played a ton of minutes, it would follow that he would get very heavy minutes during the portion of the game when the outcome was still in jeopardy.

Additionally, it would follow that he would largely come out of the game after the game had been effectively clinched by the other team to avoid risk of injury- it would essentially parallel a line shift in hockey, except that Durant was the only player on that substitution pattern.

As someone who actually watched a fair amount of Oklahoma City’s games last year, memory tells me that this disparity between KD and the starters was especially true for Russell Westbrook, as he was essentially learning the point guard position and needed all of the exposure to game situations he could get, regardless of whether victory was still in play. At that juncture, the Thunder would likely play better in terms of +/-, since the imminently victorious opponent would no longer have either the incentive to play their best players or the incentive to play as hard (for those top guys who stayed in- I assume the lower rotation guys would want to try and get noticed and whatnot).

This also makes sense considering Oklahoma City was exactly even against their opponents when Durant was off the court- this team was not even with the average opponent on talent in any reasonable circumstance, especially with KD off the court.

Interestingly, it also appears that many of the writers out there are forgetting the unmitigated disaster that was Kevin Durant at shooting guard; he played 8% of the team’s minutes at the spot and posted a more than disastrous -17.3 Net48. This time was not only the nadir of Durant's net productivity; it also marked the period before Scotty Brooks took over and turned the Thunder from a terrible team to a below average team. Again, this does not wipe away the flaws in Durant's game, but it certainly helps explain why his +/- was so terrible.

Thanks to the fact that Durant played far heavier minutes than the rest of his Thunder teammates (only Jeff Green played more than 33 MPG), it would follow that no other player on the squad would follow his usage pattern. Of course, Durant's defensive limitations and all of the other compelling factors that writers have made play a factor too, but I would love to see if a front-loaded minutes distribution on a terrible team was the larger contributor to the apparent anomaly.