Predictions for December thread.

[RuffnReadyOzStyle]

I'm starting this early, and I reserve the right to change my predictions depending on what I see over the next few games, but having taken a look at the schedule:

http://www.nba.com/spurs/schedule/

I think we will go 10-5 to 12-3, most likely 11-4 to put us at 19-11 and well on track to being a force.

I've seen enough signs in this team now at both ends to believe that it is slowly growing and knitting together.

We shall see.

[BG_Spurs_Fan]

Agree with 11-4, it'd be a good record, we have a lot of home games and 2 relatively easy back-to-backs. I'll be an optimist and predict 2-1 to end november and 12-3 in december , which would put us well within the pack @ 20-10.

[Spursfanfromafar]

Call me an over-optimistic homie, I won't mind.

I am beginning to see signs of a nice streak here. And when Manu is back and slowly integrated, Spurs will be rolling.

13-2 is my call.

[silverblackfan]

The 11-4 sounds pretty accurate. Boston, Denver, Utah@home, and possible Portland are the most likely losses.

[Chieflion]

10-5. Trying to be conservative.

[z0sa]

Depends on Manu.

[Interrohater]

10-5. Trying to be conservative.

:tu same here

[Rummpd]

Statistically speaking (as a public health epidemiologist with too much time on my hands with the holiday approaching) the Spurs will logically go - 11 and 4 with a confidence interval of 1 game either way (but if Manu returns and gells the Spurs at some time this year are going to go on a 10+ game win streak and may as well get that out of the way even before the rodeo trip!)

My non computer generated regression to the mean analysis points to the fact the Spurs will move up seriously in the standings as teams like OC, Houston, and the Suns start coming back to reality. Logistic regression of all the variables (talent age, Manu's rate of hair loss, Parker's apparent still strong celebrity marriage, Pop's wine cellar's stock factor, motivation, "gell factor", Pop's strange rotations etc) points to still a 56 win season and 3rd best record in the West behind the Mavs and Lakers. Putting in a poor man's sensitivity analysis could take the Spurs as high still as 58 wins or as low at 54 but they will not be outside that range for the 2009-2010 season.

Book it! (in other words be confident in the Spurs based on the past and the greatness that starts with a motivated TD)

[Interrohater]

^^Booked, and hopeful.

[Spurs Brazil]

11-4

[TIMMYD!]

There are the 10 games on the schedule that are must-wins, so I'll go with 12-3.

[skervy]

I'll be the homer and say 14-1

:flag:

[urunobili]

11-4

[LOL@MavsFan]

15-0!

I say 10-5

[austN Spur]

pheonix,Golden State 15 and 16
and Milwaukee, New 26and 27 are the only b2b games that month
all road games

[NBA Fanatic]

The crystal ball :lobt2:is saying 11-4.

[EP Money Man]

http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/picture.php?albumid=153&pictureid=1002

I say 10-5.:flag:

[ElNono]

There's no reason why we shouldn't take them all, with perhaps the exception being the Phoenix game on the road.

[exstatic]

13-2

[lennyalderette]

10-5 sounds just right

[RuffnReadyOzStyle]

Thu 03 vs Boston W
Sat 05 vs Denver L (athletic team, let down game after beating Boston)
Mon 07 @ Utah W
Wed 09 vs Sacramento W
Fri 11 vs Charlotte W
Sun 13 @ LA Clippers W
Tues 15 @ Phoenix W
Wed 16 @ Golden State L ('bout time they beat us - 2nd of b2b on the road)
Sat 19 vs Indiana W
Mon 21 vs LA Clippers W
Wed 23 vs Portland W
Sat 26 @ Milwaukee L (they are tough at home, will have Boguts back, and Skiles will have a better plan... and I just can't believe we'll win a season series against the Bucks after so long! :lol )
Sun 27 @ New York W
Tue 29 vs Minnesota W
Thu 31 vs Miami W

12-3 is my prediction, though I'd take 10-5. We are starting to gel, and the success of Manu's reintegration is the key variable between those two numbers... if Manu comes back to 80%+, we could have a very nice month. :D

[RuffnReadyOzStyle]

Statistically speaking (as a public health epidemiologist with too much time on my hands with the holiday approaching) the Spurs will logically go - 11 and 4 with a confidence interval of 1 game either way (but if Manu returns and gells the Spurs at some time this year are going to go on a 10+ game win streak and may as well get that out of the way even before the rodeo trip!)

My non computer generated regression to the mean analysis points to the fact the Spurs will move up seriously in the standings as teams like OC, Houston, and the Suns start coming back to reality. Logistic regression of all the variables (talent age, Manu's rate of hair loss, Parker's apparent still strong celebrity marriage, Pop's wine cellar's stock factor, motivation, "gell factor", Pop's strange rotations etc) points to still a 56 win season and 3rd best record in the West behind the Mavs and Lakers. Putting in a poor man's sensitivity analysis could take the Spurs as high still as 58 wins or as low at 54 but they will not be outside that range for the 2009-2010 season.

Book it! (in other words be confident in the Spurs based on the past and the greatness that starts with a motivated TD)

Just re-read the thread after posting above and realised my thinking is almost identical to the Good Doctor's, which is pretty much what I said in the OP... :lmao

And, although I'm less inclined to put overly much stock in some of the variables mentioned in his second paragraph, I agree with the general thesis of that too. :tu

[mystargtr34]

10-5

[benefactor]

http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/showpost.php?p=3870753&postcount=1

11-4

[honestfool84]

call me crazy..but 13-2.

[NFGIII]

The range IMHO is 11 - 4 min to 13 - 2 max

If they win less or more I'll be surprised. Either terribly or pleasantly depending on the number. They have some weak teams as of now on the list but things could change.

Possible losses would be Bos/Den/Utah (they play so well at home)/Port/Phoen - but I wouldn't be surprised if we beat some of these only to lose to others - particularly the Bucks on the road. :bang

Right now it's hard to get a handle on how they are going to play from game to game. As stated many a time - WORK IN PROGRESS

:flag:

[easjer]

I'll be perfectly happy with 10-5, but 12-3 isn't outside the realm of possibility.

[Sense]

12-3

[romain.star]

10-5 would be ok with me...

[Johnny RIngo]

Thu 03 vs Boston L
Sat 05 vs Denver L
Mon 07 @ Utah L
Wed 09 vs Sacramento W
Fri 11 vs Charlotte W
Sun 13 @ LA Clippers W
Tues 15 @ Phoenix L
Wed 16 @ Golden State L
Sat 19 vs Indiana W
Mon 21 vs LA Clippers W
Wed 23 vs Portland W
Sat 26 @ Milwaukee L
Sun 27 @ New York W
Tue 29 vs Minnesota W
Thu 31 vs Miami W

9-6

Hoping for something like 13-2 though.

[Allanon]

70% for December

10-11 wins, 4-5 losses.

[mando6599]

There's no reason why we shouldn't take them all, with perhaps the exception being the Phoenix game on the road.

Yes, but we play PHX style bball almost as well as they do, esp. over the years, and we play tons more defense then they ever will(ahem, Amare, ahem).

So my prediction for this game is WIN and I think we'll go 11-4. GO SPURS GO!

mando

[vander]

at some point manu will reach 95% healthy, and it will last for more than one game. :wow

also, manu will play 24+ minutes in at least one game :wow

[urunobili]

at some point manu will reach 95% healthy, and it will last for more than one game. :wow

also, manu will play 24+ minutes in at least one game :wow

vander seeing things more positively with Manu is a good sign :tu

[z0sa]

I'm honestly to the point now where I feel like the Spurs can win every game. Not that they should, but continue the positive trend, continue building chemistry and Manu please begin being healthy - our team is essentially unstoppable if we can just stay healthy.

I'm going to say 13-2.

[HarlemHeat37]

Thu 03 vs Boston L
Sat 05 vs Denver L

I wouldn't be surprised with a W over Denver, but I don't like the matchup against Boston right now..

Mon 07 @ Utah W
Wed 09 vs Sacramento W
Fri 11 vs Charlotte W
Sun 13 @ LA Clippers W

Would be surprised to lose any of these games..

Tues 15 @ Phoenix W
Wed 16 @ Golden State L

Warriors will be a letdown game..


Sat 19 vs Indiana W
Mon 21 vs LA Clippers W
Wed 23 vs Portland W
Sat 26 @ Milwaukee W
Sun 27 @ New York W
Tue 29 vs Minnesota W
Thu 31 vs Miami W

12-3 IMO..ignoring injuries, which is huge, since there's always serious injury risks with the Spurs..

[#2!]

I say 11-4, but think this should be considered an optimistic prediction. I believe 11-4 should be the maximum of any "ranging from" estimation.

[RuffnReadyOzStyle]

A prediction with 3 different outcomes... way to go out on a ledge there.

It's called a confidence interval.

[Spursmania]

Thu 03 vs Boston W
Sat 05 vs Denver L
Mon 07 @ Utah W
Wed 09 vs Sacramento W
Fri 11 vs Charlotte W
Sun 13 @ LA Clippers W
Tues 15 @ Phoenix L
Wed 16 @ Golden State W
Sat 19 vs Indiana W
Mon 21 vs LA Clippers W
Wed 23 vs Portland L
Sat 26 @ Milwaukee W
Sun 27 @ New York W
Tue 29 vs Minnesota W
Thu 31 vs Miami W

12-3

[quentin_compson]

Thu 03 vs Boston L
Sat 05 vs Denver W
Mon 07 @ Utah W
Wed 09 vs Sacramento W
Fri 11 vs Charlotte W
Sun 13 @ LA Clippers L
Tues 15 @ Phoenix W
Wed 16 @ Golden State L
Sat 19 vs Indiana W
Mon 21 vs LA Clippers W
Wed 23 vs Portland W
Sat 26 @ Milwaukee L
Sun 27 @ New York W
Tue 29 vs Minnesota W
Thu 31 vs Miami L

[eyeh8u]

anything less than 15-0 and the forums will be exploding with "trade duncan, fuck bonner, fire pop, dump manu, pussy ass tony", threads

[NuGGeTs-FaN]

Spurs will beat the Nuggets, book it :lol The Nuggets are a lazy team that has about as much IQ as Mike Tyson.

[siraulo23]

Thu 03 vs Boston W
Sat 05 vs Denver W
Mon 07 @ Utah W
Wed 09 vs Sacramento W
Fri 11 vs Charlotte L
Sun 13 @ LA Clippers W
Tues 15 @ Phoenix L
Wed 16 @ Golden State W
Sat 19 vs Indiana W
Mon 21 vs LA Clippers W
Wed 23 vs Portland W
Sat 26 @ Milwaukee W
Sun 27 @ New York W
Tue 29 vs Minnesota W
Thu 31 vs Miami W

hopefully 13-2

[senorglory]

12 -3. 60 win season.

[RuffnReadyOzStyle]

Spurs will beat the Nuggets, book it :lol The Nuggets are a lazy team that has about as much IQ as Mike Tyson.

Nah, I reckon you'll beat us on a let-down game after we edge the Celtics. ;)

[shelshor]

12-3

[Dex]

12-3. :smokin

Losses to Denver, Phoenix, Portland.

[SouthTexasRancher]

11-4

[RuffnReadyOzStyle]

Okay, so we aren't quite ready to beat Boston, but I think we will beat the Nuggets now. Leave the rest of the list the same.

[HarlemHeat37]

1 for 1 on my prediction..I think Ruff should give out some $ for the most accurate predictions, it's the right thing to do..

[Johnny RIngo]

Thu 03 vs Boston L
Sat 05 vs Denver L
Mon 07 @ Utah L
Wed 09 vs Sacramento W
Fri 11 vs Charlotte W
Sun 13 @ LA Clippers W
Tues 15 @ Phoenix L
Wed 16 @ Golden State L
Sat 19 vs Indiana W
Mon 21 vs LA Clippers W
Wed 23 vs Portland W
Sat 26 @ Milwaukee L
Sun 27 @ New York W
Tue 29 vs Minnesota W
Thu 31 vs Miami W

9-6

Hoping for something like 13-2 though.

Looking good so far.

[Chieflion]

Who the fuck cares? It is only December.

[stealthjbravo]

^ Agree. Start paying attention after the AllStar Break

[spursbird]

8-7 is my prediction.
This team will continue to lose until RJ and Manu gain their confidence once again.

[kobyz]

we will not lose until the end of December!!

[NuGGeTs-FaN]

12-3......... Spurs will win the next 12 in a row

[Chieflion]

12-3......... Spurs will win the next 12 in a row
Jinx post alert. Jinx post alert.

[NuGGeTs-FaN]

Jinx post alert. Jinx post alert.

:lol Are you following me around trying to alert people of every pro-spurs post i make? :lmao

[urunobili]

:lol Are you following me around trying to alert people of every pro-spurs post i make? :lmao

You have scared many of us BIG TIME :depressed

[NFGIII]

The range IMHO is 11 - 4 min to 13 - 2 max

If they win less or more I'll be surprised. Either terribly or pleasantly depending on the number. They have some weak teams as of now on the list but things could change.

Possible losses would be Bos/Den/Utah (they play so well at home)/Port/Phoen - but I wouldn't be surprised if we beat some of these only to lose to others - particularly the Bucks on the road. :bang

Right now it's hard to get a handle on how they are going to play from game to game. As stated many a time - WORK IN PROGRESS

:flag:

Damn I never thought we would lose 3 straight but.......!#&*##

Now if we go 9-3 or 10-2 I'd be happy.

Still a Work in Progress but by now I was thinking we would at least get a glimpse of what kind of team we would be seeing later. Right now I can't get a handle on them. Granted the injury bug has been a factor IMHO and a consistent rotation has been hard to put together but these guys are playing like they did in the beginning of the year for the most part. Strides in D have been made but last night in the Jazz game lack of comunication combined with the critiical TOs set up that loss.

It's that damn C word - chemistry and frankly I don't know what they are going to do to create it. Timvp stated in another thread concerning RJ that this might be a marriage that doesn't work out. On paper this is a great move but so far we haven't seen the goods consisitently yet. Flashes here and there but no consistency.

There is still time but come the RR trip we will see what we have. After that trip it would be hard to just turn it on much less trade for someone and plug them in and violla! instant chemistry and a long winning streak. It just doesn't seem to work like that with this team.

I still believe! And I can't shake the feeling that it is just around the corner but that's the eternal optimism and hope of a fan.

[Chomag]

I'm thinking it's going to be 11-4 so not to bad.

[Spursmania]

12-3......... Spurs will win the next 12 in a row

Are you trying to jinx us?

[NuGGeTs-FaN]

Are you trying to jinx us?

nope. Just trying to bring a positive outlook to a currently over-negative board :toast

[RuffnReadyOzStyle]

Looking good so far.

Yeah, you are. Props.

I agree with the rest of your choices, except I have us beating the Suns at home to go 10-5.