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Winehole23
12-30-2009, 01:19 PM
America’s Decade of Decline (http://www.amconmag.com/blog/2009/12/28/americas-decade-of-decline/)


Posted on December 28th, 2009 by Patrick J. Buchanan (http://www.amconmag.com/searchr.php?v&author=Patrick+Buchanan)



About the first decade of what was to be the Second American Century, the pessimists have been proven right.


According to the International Monetary Fund, the United States began the century producing 32 percent of the world’s gross domestic product. We ended the decade producing 24 percent. No nation in modern history, save for the late Soviet Union, has seen so precipitous a decline in relative power in a single decade.


The United States began the century with a budget surplus. We ended with a deficit of 10 percent of gross domestic product, which will be repeated in 2010. Where the economy was at full employment in 2000, 10 percent of the labor force is out of work today and another 7 percent is underemployed or has given up looking for a job.


Between one-fourth and one-third of all U.S. manufacturing jobs have disappeared in 10 years, the fruits of a free-trade ideology that has proven anything but free for this country. Our future is being outsourced — to China.


While the median income of American families was stagnant, the national debt doubled.


The dollar lost half its value against the euro. Once the most self-sufficient republic in history, which produced 96 percent of all it consumed, the U.S.A. is almost as dependent on foreign nations today for manufactured goods, and the loans to pay for them, as we were in the early years of the republic.


What the British were to us then, China is today.


Beijing holds the mortgage and grows impatient as we endlessly borrow on equity and refuse to begin paying it down. The possibility exists of an eventual run on the dollar or even a U.S. debt default.
Who did this to us? We did it to ourselves.


We sold ourselves a lot of snake oil about the Global Economy, interdependence, free trade and “it doesn’t make any difference where goods are produced.” The George W. Bush Republicans ran up the deficit with tax cuts, two wars and a splurge in social spending to rival the guns-and-butter of the Great Society.


Abandoning its role as the fellow who comes and takes away the punch bowl when the party’s getting good, the Fed kept the money flowing fast and free, creating the tech bubble that burst in Y2K and the stock and housing bubble that burst at decade’s end.


To pull us back from the cliff’s edge, over which we were headed a year ago, the Fed doubled the money supply, while the administration ran up deficit spending to the highest level since World War II.


Unlike World War II, however, there is no end in sight to these deficits.
The stock market, which flat-lined over the decade, had to surge 50 percent in 2009 to retrieve the worst losses since the Depression.


Everyone, it seems, except for Washington bureaucrats and Wall Street, for whom the bonuses never seem to stop, has been hammered by the sinking home values and shrinking portfolios.


After Sept. 11, the nation was united behind a president as it had not been since Pearl Harbor. But instead of focusing on the enemies who did this to us, we took Osama bin Laden’s bait and plunged into a war in Iraq that bled and divided us, alienated Europe and the Arab world, and destroyed the Republican Party’s reputation as the reliable custodian of national security and foreign policy.


The party paid — with the loss of both houses in 2006 and the presidency in 2008 — but the nation has not stopped paying.


With nearly 200,000 troops in Iraq and Afghanistan and another 30,000 more on the way, al-Qaida is now in Pakistan, Yemen, Somalia and North Africa, while the huge U.S. military presence in Afghanistan and Iraq serves as its recruiting poster.


Again, it is not a malevolent fate that has done this to us. We did it to ourselves. We believed all that hubristic blather about our being the “greatest empire since Rome,” the “indispensable nation” and “unipolar power” advancing to “benevolent global hegemony” in a series of “cakewalk” wars to “end tyranny in our world.”


After a decade of self-delusion and self-indulgence, we must stop deceiving ourselves. As Hurricane Katrina demonstrated, the “can-do” nation that won World War II in Europe and the Pacific in less than four years, that put a man on the moon in the same decade JFK said we would, is history.
We have a government that cannot balance its books, defend its borders or win its wars. And what is it now doing? Drafting another entitlement program as we are informed that the Social Security and Medicare trust funds have unfunded liabilities in the trillions.


At the end of the first decade of the 21st century, the question is not whether we will preside over the creation of a New World Order, but whether America’s decline is irreversible.

Wild Cobra
12-30-2009, 01:25 PM
Between one-fourth and one-third of all U.S. manufacturing jobs have disappeared in 10 years, the fruits of a free-trade ideology that has proven anything but free for this country. Our future is being outsourced — to China.
This really bothers me. The current congress will make it even worse.

The dollar lost half its value against the euro.
I find this good rather than bad.

Once the most self-sufficient republic in history, which produced 96 percent of all it consumed, the U.S.A. is almost as dependent on foreign nations today for manufactured goods, and the loans to pay for them, as we were in the early years of the republic.
This one bothers the hell out of me too. We need the Fair Tax (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fair_tax)

Winehole23
12-30-2009, 01:32 PM
The dollar lost half its value against the euro.

I find this good rather than bad.Why?

Bender
12-30-2009, 02:00 PM
another article:

Fat City (http://www.takimag.com/article/fat_city/)

District of Corruption
Fat City
by Patrick J. Buchanan on December 15, 2009

“It’s time to stop worrying about the deficit—and start panicking about the debt,” the Washington Post editorial began. “The fiscal situation was serious before the recession. It is now dire.”

The editorial continued:

“In the space of a single fiscal year, 2009, the debt soared from 41 percent of the gross domestic product to 53 percent. This sum, which does not include what the government has borrowed from its own trust funds, is on track to rise to a crushing 85 percent of the economy by 2018.”

What are the risks of an exploding U.S. public debt?

The Chinese, Japanese and Arabs still buying that debt will begin to suspect they are holding onto paper on which the United States will default, or will cheapen by inflating its currency—as the Germans did in 1923 to avoid paying war reparations.

When they do, they will stop buying U.S. debt and start dumping. The Fed will then have to raise interest rates to attract borrowers, throwing the economy into a tailspin.

Is Congress even aware of what is happening?

Harry Reid is talking about doubling Medicare rolls to include folks 55 to 64. Facing a second straight $1.4 trillion deficit, Congress is moving to raise the debt ceiling by another $1.8 trillion.

And the lead story in the Post Monday began:

“The Senate cleared for President Obama’s signature on Sunday a $447 billion omnibus spending bill that contains thousands of earmarks and double-digit increases for several Cabinet agencies.”

Total cost of the Senate bill passed Sunday was “$1.1 trillion, including average spending increases of 10 percent for dozens of federal agencies.”

Ten percent hikes for federal agencies? What is going on?

Democrats say the money is needed to make up for the neglect of the George W. Bush years. But the Bush years were the fattest years for federal social spending since the Great Society.

Sen. Dick Durbin says the spending is necessary “to keep cops on the street ... so that families feel secure. ... Money spent to help our first responders, firefighters and policemen is a critical investment.”

But aren’t cops and firemen a state and local responsibility?

“It is business as usual, spending money like a drunken sailor, ” said Sen. John McCain. “And the bar is still open.”

But when sailors get drunk and spend crazily, they are on shore leave and spending their own money. When they get back aboard ship, they sober up and shape up, and do the vital work they enlisted to do.

These congressmen never stop bingeing. They are addicts. They are alcoholics. And they are spending our money. According to Taxpayers for Common Sense, there are 5,200 earmarks in that one Senate bill, which averages out to 12 pork projects for every House member—and 52 for every senator.

What is going on in Washington?

Democrats are following the Rahm Rule of White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emmanuel. “Don’t allow a crisis to go to waste. ... There are opportunities to do big things.”

The Party of Government is exploiting the economic crisis to grow the government. And from the standpoint of self interest, this makes sense. Most government employees are Democratic voters, as are most beneficiaries of government programs.

Moreover, Democrats have to get the money out the door before the midterms, where the party is going to take a bath and lose power.

How else to explain this lead story last week in USA Today:

“The number of federal workers earning six-figure salaries has exploded during the recession. ...

“Federal employees making salaries of $100,000 or more jumped from 14 percent to 19 percent of civil servants during the recession’s first 18 months—and that is before overtime pay and bonuses are counted.

“Federal workers are enjoying an extraordinary boom time—in pay and hiring—during a recession that has cost 7.3 million jobs in the private sector.”

When the recession started, the Defense Department had 1,868 civilian employees earning $150,000. Defense now has 10,100. The Transportation Department had one person earning $170,000 when the recession began. Transportation now has 1,690 employees earning above $170,000. Recession in America means boom times in D.C.

The financial crisis that almost sank the capitalist system was the work of Washington and Wall Street. The Fed created the bubble. The White House and Congress goaded banks into making all those subprime mortgages. Fannie and Freddie bought up the lousy paper and turned it into securities. Wall Street banks bought them up and put them on their books as Triple A assets. Federal regulators looked the other way.

Yet happy days are here again on Wall Street. And Washington never saw better times, with federal workers now earning, on average, $31,000 a year more than workers in the gutted private sector.

Is this the government the Founding Fathers dreamed of—or is this the kind of arrogant government they took up arms against?

ChumpDumper
12-30-2009, 02:30 PM
Someone ask Mild Cobra why a "Fair Tax" would bring back US manufacturing jobs.

Marcus Bryant
12-30-2009, 03:13 PM
Tax rates don't mean jack when you have a billion people who will work for $120 a month (http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A22507-2004Feb7?language=printer).

SouthernFried
12-30-2009, 03:13 PM
Uh...this has been happening a LOT longer than the last 10 yrs.

You have to look no farther than the electronics industry of the 60's.

Bush didn't create the welfare state. Bush Didn't create SS. Look at the budget, Social programs are BY FAR this countries biggest expense...and get bigger every year. This has not just been happening in the last "10 yrs." and it's stupid to think so. I was reading Time and Businessweek articles in the late 70's and early 80's predicting and lamenting the decline. Trying to pass it off on the last 10 yrs, or, by association, Bush, is either total ignorance at best...politically & intellectually dishonest at worse.

Marcus Bryant
12-30-2009, 03:16 PM
Why?

Because then, per the Free Trade Gospel, investment in production will flow here to take advantage of the relative weakness of the dollar. Never mind that the Chinese and Indians have about two billion people between them who will work for nothing.

Winehole23
12-30-2009, 03:20 PM
No one said it hadn't.

What about electronics again?

Wild Cobra
12-30-2009, 04:54 PM
Why?
I've explained that several time. It causes our exports to be cheaper for others to buy and our imports more expensive. Helps to keep as many manufacturing jobs from leaving, and may bring some back.

Wild Cobra
12-30-2009, 04:56 PM
Tax rates don't mean jack when you have a billion people who will work for $120 a month (http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A22507-2004Feb7?language=printer).
Small items, it won't matter much. Larger items have a larger shipping cost. I am a firm believer that all other factors equal besides wages, the shipping costs will offset about an equal amount of the cost in the average of all products.

Winehole23
12-30-2009, 05:31 PM
I've explained that several time. It causes our exports to be cheaper for others to buy and our imports more expensive. Helps to keep as many manufacturing jobs from leaving, and may bring some back.It decreases our purchasing power and makes holding US denominated assets less desirable for our creditors.

Good for multinational corporations? No doubt. For workers/consumers it means a declining standard of living. For our government, currency collapse/debt default looms in the background of the inflation you seem to be valorizing.

Wild Cobra
12-30-2009, 06:04 PM
For workers/consumers it means a declining standard of living.
I suppose you'd rather have no workers who can consume then.

How are we going to replace all the jobs that are leaving?

Marcus Bryant
12-30-2009, 06:32 PM
How are we going to replace all the jobs that are leaving...

...because of the policies which have left the nation with a gaping trade deficit, ballooning government fiscal deficits, and large private indebtedness?

Enjoy!

ElNono
12-30-2009, 06:43 PM
How are we going to replace all the jobs that are leaving?

I thought the Free Market had all the answers!!! I mean, it got us to this point...

Marcus Bryant
12-30-2009, 06:58 PM
"Conservatism" circa 2009 seems to be all about patriotism when it comes to killing Moslems, but fuck your fellow citizens otherwise.

spursncowboys
12-30-2009, 09:34 PM
I've explained that several time. It causes our exports to be cheaper for others to buy and our imports more expensive. Helps to keep as many manufacturing jobs from leaving, and may bring some back.

Good point. Then you include the 10% tax deduction from the fairtax plan (33-23).

spursncowboys
12-30-2009, 09:35 PM
I thought the Free Market had all the answers!!! I mean, it got us to this point...
What free market are you speaking of?

Ignignokt
12-30-2009, 09:36 PM
LOL decades LOL

Winehole23
12-31-2009, 03:23 AM
Talking about what the decade actually contains more approaches history than just pointing at some decade and saying it sucks, Iggy. Feel free to join the conversation anytime you like.

EVAY
12-31-2009, 10:43 PM
"Conservatism" circa 2009 seems to be all about patriotism when it comes to killing Moslems, but fuck your fellow citizens otherwise.

:toast

Nbadan
01-02-2010, 06:06 AM
Looks bad but it doesn't have to end this way....we're the U.S. of America...a 2.5 trillion dollar annual tax base...the Obama administration has proposed major programs that on paper are budget neutral and could wind up saving average families 1000's of dollars annually....besides, medicare would have been solvent for many more years without the REpublican gift to seniors...and Social Security was so successful the govt. borrowed trillions of dollars in its trust fund and will remain solvent for many decades....

....but right now, people need jobs....

PublicOption
01-02-2010, 06:42 AM
ROSS PEROT WARNED ALL OF US.............DON'T BE suprised BY THIS.

SouthernFried
01-02-2010, 08:07 AM
the Obama administration has proposed major programs that on paper are budget neutral and could wind up saving average families 1000's of dollars annually...and Social Security was so successful the govt. borrowed trillions of dollars in its trust fund and will remain solvent for many decades....

Dumbest post of the new year.