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Kent_in_Atlanta
05-03-2010, 10:49 AM
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/britt_robson/04/30/semifinal.suns.spurs/index.html

SI.com - Britt Robson:

The Suns and their fans should be craving this matchup. Beating the Spurs would start to rectify all sorts of perceived wrongs -- injuries, suspensions, bad juju -- that have bewitched this entertaining but lopsided postseason rivalry that includes two San Antonio triumphs (in 2005 and 2007) when the Spurs were the lower seed. Besting the uber-fundamental Gregg Popovich-Tim Duncan crew would also trump skeptics (such as yours truly) who have questioned the defensive spine and rugged resolve Suns coach Alvin Gentry has fostered.

Unlike the Celtics' whupping of Dwyane Wade and the Titos, there was enough grit and magnificence in San Antonio's toppling of the Mavs to validate the Spurs' status as a viable championship contender. Their Big Three remains selflessly resourceful and cold-blooded at crunch time, and are now ably abetted by a pair of role players who stepped up in the first round -- George Hill and Antonio McDyess. Even Richard Jefferson has caught half a clue on how to function in Popovich's system. The lower-seeded Spurs are the solid favorite. That should be just the way the quietly red-hot and underappreciated Suns like it.

Key Matchup

Manu Ginobili vs. Grant Hill. This series is loaded with compelling matchups, including the contrasting styles of Duncan and Amar'e Stoudemire in the low block and the perennial Steve Nash versus Tony Parker fireworks out at the point. It's not even certain that Ginobili and Hill will be regularly guarding each other, although after the job Hill did on Portland's Andre Miller to turn around the Suns' first-round series, it's hard to imagine Gentry eschewing the chance to put his best perimeter defender on the catalyst of the Spurs' offense. Hill has two inches and 15 pounds on Ginobili and is one of the precious few NBA players with the spidery physique and genius basketball IQ to cover the crafty Manu on the perimeter while refusing to be suckered into fouls by his up-fakes and careening stop-and-go penetration. And as a 43.8 percent shooter from three-point range with quickness and handle enough to get to the rim, Hill is capable of giving Ginobili a dose of his own medicine at the other end of the court. Both players are absolutely vital to their teams' success and are fierce, high-character, perpetual-motion competitors. What a treat it will be if they get the chance to test each other's endurance in such a high-stakes setting.

X-Factor

Suns: The bench. Even more than fundamental, the word that best characterizes the Popovich-Duncan quasi-dynasty is relentless. San Antonio's unremitting competence has broken Phoenix in previous playoff series, but this year's Suns are a deeper team than past editions. They can counter Popovich's gambit of bringing Parker off the bench not only with the similar go-go energy of Leandro Barbosa but also the playmaking prowess of Goran Dragic, Phoenix's counterpart to George Hill. If San Antonio's physicality is starting to overwhelm Stoudemire and Channing Frye, Gentry can trade size for sinew and sub in Jared Dudley and Louis Amundson. This depth has provided crucial succor to geriatrics like Nash and Grant Hill and enabled Stoudemire to exert himself on defense (for a change). Phoenix wouldn't be here without its bench.

Spurs: Richard Jefferson. Failing to account for the explosive offense of Jason Richardson -- and failing to exploit Richardson's mediocre defense -- doomed Portland in its first-round series with Phoenix. If Jefferson is ready to atone for his underwhelming regular season and continue the gradual improvement he has shown since mid-March, he is capable of reducing the value J-Rich gives the Suns. Honorable mention X-factor status goes to McDyess, whose mid-range jumpers were vital in beating the Mavs and could be equally timely in this series; and Parker, whose selfless ability to flourish in a diminished role has allowed Popovich to maximize George Hill's confidence and contribution.

Bottom Line

Phoenix is probably the most underrated team among the eight remaining contenders. The Suns boast the most potent offensive trio in Stoudemire, Nash and Richardson, underappreciated depth and remarkable consistency -- they haven't lost two games in a row since late January. I had them finishing out of the playoffs in my season preview and wrote in early March that they lacked enough defense to succeed in the postseason. Even after losing center Robin Lopez to a back injury, they proved me wrong both times. Thus, it wouldn't surprise me to see them beat the Spurs.

But San Antonio seems destined to be Phoenix's bete noire. Even during their regular-season struggles, the Spurs loved playing up-tempo -- they finished 19-6 against the eight fastest-paced teams in the NBA. The Suns, however, were the one team in that group that posted a winning record against San Antonio, taking two of three. Phoenix averaged 112.7 points in the three games, more than five higher than any other Spurs opponent. But after watching the Spurs methodically dismantle Dallas -- a team I picked to make the NBA Finals -- it just doesn't feel right going against Duncan, Ginobili, Parker and Popovich, especially the way McDyess and George Hill performed. The Spurs' brutal late-season schedule toughened them for the postseason, and now they are healthy, hungry and primed for one more championship campaign. Their run will continue at least into the conference finals. San Antonio in 6.

Read More: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/britt_robson/04/30/semifinal.suns.spurs/index.html#ixzz0mskDvtOm
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jag
05-03-2010, 11:05 AM
Both of these teams are so well equipped, it seems like a coaching duel more than anything else.

Kent_in_Atlanta
05-03-2010, 11:19 AM
Both of these teams are so well equipped, it seems like a coaching duel more than anything else.

I gotta go with what Marcus Johnson said on Foxsports.com... it's going to be the Spurs D that gets it done, just as in the past.

The Suns have turned themselves into a decent defensive team. However, starting in game-2 of the first round, the Spurs began playing EXCELLENT defense. While Phoenix has definitely improved, there are too many defensive soft spots.

Duncan and McDyess are BOTH better defenders than anyone the Suns have on the low block. And Tony Parker and George Hill will both score on Nash at will.

Offensively, yes, I think both teams are loaded. Should be a fun series, but in the end, I also think the Spurs pull it out in 6.

dreamcastrocks
05-03-2010, 11:24 AM
Both of these teams are so well equipped, it seems like a coaching duel more than anything else.

If it is a coaching duel, then my Suns are screwed. I like Gentry and he has done great things for us, but he is no match to Pop.

lefty
05-03-2010, 11:58 AM
jinxed :bang

MmP
05-03-2010, 12:14 PM
Maybe Im wrong, but as soon as Grant Hill tries to do something to guard Manu, his hip will be in Spurs bench. I don't understan how they think he can do anything similar to stop Manu. There's a zillion differences between Manu and Andre Miller.

Samr
05-03-2010, 12:18 PM
It'll be a tough few games, but the Spurs are going to make this physical and the Suns won't be able to match. Spurs are going to get hard-nosed performances from Duncan, McD, Bonner (yes, I said it) and Blair, who are going to pound it in the middle and, in the case of the Red Rocket, make it interesting from outside as well. Parker, Hill, and Ginobili will be too much to match. Richard Jefferson is the wild card. If he's on point, well... let's just see if he's on point.

Spurs can also now go small when the Suns do, and after a big game for Blair (I'm saying in game 2 or 3) the Suns are going to give up the ghost and try, unsuccessfully, to beat the Spurs at their own game.

For Phoenix, it'll be like trying to run in quicksand.

Spurs 4-1 (possibly 4-2), close games all around, won in old-school fashion: Pop, Tony, Tim, Manu and defense. That'll be the core, with the Spurs' other weapons and some coaching strategy providing solid support. Suns are good, great even, but the Spurs are battle-tested, underestimated, with nothing to lose and father time having backed them into the corner like a rabid animal (that wasn't a Batmanu reference).

Cane
05-03-2010, 12:25 PM
Mavs are probably a better team and I doubt the Suns match their physicality or intensity.

PHX hasn't been tested yet.

Fpoonsie
05-03-2010, 12:48 PM
As timvp alluded to, while Timmy should be able to get his inside, A'm'a'r'e will get his on the opposite end, so that'll be a wash (or possibly even in Amare's favor, seeing as how his PPG totals in MOST PHO-SA series are so outrageous).

The Spurs' D should play a big role, but most importantly, we need Manu to be Manu in this series. If his shot's still off, the Spurs are gonna be in trouble. He showed glimpses of being back on track in the closeout game...let's hope that kinda productivity continues.

Giuseppe
05-03-2010, 12:52 PM
I'm with you fellows all the way.

I'm countin' on ya's.

Make old Cubby proud.

Killakobe81
05-03-2010, 01:13 PM
Both of these teams are so well equipped, it seems like a coaching duel more than anything else.

If that IS the case Spurs in 6 ... LOL

I bet most Suns fans agre it CAN NOT come down to coaching ...

Funny enough the some of the more crazy Spur fans question pop and dont want it to come down to coaching genius either ...

Killakobe81
05-03-2010, 01:17 PM
But believing this "tool" who picked the Mavs to go the Finals is non too wise ...

in fact any so-called expert that Picked mavs or Denver even at the START of teh season BEFORE Nuggs had their eventual implosion are idiots ...

Check the archives i said Lakers Spurs WCF in the pre-season ...I had some doubt sin the regular season but we aere destined to battle it out this year

Dex
05-03-2010, 01:23 PM
Much preferred going in as the underdog...

GSH
05-03-2010, 01:26 PM
jinxed :bang

We're OK as long as Barkley doesn't pick us to win. He wavered, but went with the Suns.

Fpoonsie
05-03-2010, 01:27 PM
Much preferred going in as the underdog...

Agreed. But, at this point, it's not as if you can hope the [insert random playoff team here] won't "see the Spurs a'comin."

TampaDude
05-03-2010, 01:32 PM
Crap...SI picked us...we're screwed... :lol

NFGIII
05-03-2010, 01:50 PM
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/britt_robson/04/30/semifinal.suns.spurs/index.html

SI.com - Britt Robson:


X-Factor

[quote=Kent_in_Atlanta;4307738]
Spurs: Richard Jefferson. Failing to account for the explosive offense of Jason Richardson -- and failing to exploit Richardson's mediocre defense -- doomed Portland in its first-round series with Phoenix. If Jefferson is ready to atone for his underwhelming regular season and continue the gradual improvement he has shown since mid-March, he is capable of reducing the value J-Rich gives the Suns. Honorable mention X-factor status goes to McDyess, whose mid-range jumpers were vital in beating the Mavs and could be equally timely in this series; and Parker, whose selfless ability to flourish in a diminished role has allowed Popovich to maximize George Hill's confidence and contribution.

JR was fantastic against Portland and is a big key to the Suns beating the Spurs. But the way RJ has been playing I think he will neutralize or greatly diminish JR's effect. Since JR isn't that good of a defender I would hope that they run plays for RJ early to get JR either in foul trouble or working his butt off on D thereby reducing his offensive contributions. And though RJ isn't the steller defensive player either I do think he could effectively guard JR and limit his point production.

:flag:

Kent_in_Atlanta
05-03-2010, 02:53 PM
Crap...SI picked us...we're screwed... :lol

Yeah, but pretty much everyone is picking the Spurs, so... kind of unavoidable.

DUNCANownsKOBE2
05-03-2010, 02:57 PM
Both of these teams are so well equipped, it seems like a coaching duel more than anything else.


Yeah um I hope you're wrong.

SenorSpur
05-03-2010, 03:18 PM
I'm expecting Blair to have a good showing in this series, in whatever minutes Pop gives him. With the Suns not having such an imposing frontline, I wouild hope Blair can become his usual beastly self. I'm hoping we will see a continued "uptick" in his contribution.

Kent_in_Atlanta
05-03-2010, 03:43 PM
I'm expecting Blair to have a good showing in this series, in whatever minutes Pop gives him. With the Suns not having such an imposing frontline, I wouild hope Blair can become his usual beastly self. I'm hoping we will see a continued "uptick" in his contribution.

Agreed. The Way the Suns like to play small, it seems like Blair could have a significant impact.

Also... while the Spurs will want to slow the pace whenever possible, there will be times when the pace is plenty fast. The Spurs showed a few years ago that they could win that way, and I don't think they're any less equipped now to play up-tempo than they were then. In fact, I think they're BETTER equipped to play that way now.

Ginobili and Parker where the 2 biggest reasons for the Spurs up-tempo success then, and would be a huge part of up-temp success now. But George can certainly get out and run... and up-tempo stretches could really make Richard Jefferson far more valuable in this series than he has been at any point since putting on a Spurs uni.

stéphane
05-03-2010, 04:38 PM
Key match up : Manu vs Grant Hill

I have a lot of respect for Grant Hill trmaining talent and demeanor but seriously? WTF
We ain't the hobbled Blazers and these two are not in the same league.

Spurminator
05-03-2010, 04:52 PM
As long as they don't put the Spurs on the cover of the magazine...

da_suns_fan
05-03-2010, 04:55 PM
Key match up : Manu vs Grant Hill

I have a lot of respect for Grant Hill trmaining talent and demeanor but seriously? WTF
We ain't the hobbled Blazers and these two are not in the same league.

Yeah, its not like Ginobili is playing hurt. And its not like theyre both in the NBA.

For what its worth, I doubt Hill will even be on Ginobili.

dbestpro
05-03-2010, 05:09 PM
If the Suns win the series they will actually lose. Amare in the WCF will give him the stage he needs to get a max contract offer, which means he will opt out. If the Suns lose then that max contract offer may not so easily be available.

Either way the Suns lose and once again just by being there San Antonio will be inflicting the pain.