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duncan228
06-15-2010, 12:49 PM
List of contenders for coveted Russell Award a long one (http://www.nba.com/2010/news/features/steve_aschburner/06/15/finals.mvp.handicap/?ls=iref:nbahpt1)
Steve Aschburner
NBA.com

Nothing against Larry O'Brien or the great golden ball-and-bucket of a trophy named after him, but the one bearing Bill Russell's name -- The Finals MVP Award -- might be the NBA's coolest.

First, there's the way those names resonate. O'Brien was a class act, a Renaissance man equally adept in the White House and Olympic Tower, and the commissioner who navigated the NBA through some of its most trying times in the pre-David Stern, drug-challenged, ABA/NBA merger years from 1975-84.

Yet, O'Brien was an administrator. A suit. The folks who sit in Board of Governors meetings might get all goose-bumpy when they hear his name, but there is no way O'Brien can compete in prestige or reverence with Russell, the legendary Celtics center who won 11 championships in 13 years.

No performer in the history of major U.S. professional team sports is more identified with winning -- which is what all this supposedly is about -- than Russell. That was a big reason for attaching his name to the thing last spring. (Physically, the Russell award looks like a smaller version of the championship trophy.)

Then there's the sweet "and-1" aspect of being named Finals MVP. With just one exception in the 41 years since the honor was created, the recipient has come from the championship team. In other words, you can "win" an O'Brien trophy without getting a Russell award in the deal but, 39 times out of 40, it hasn't worked the other way.

Finally -- and especially pertinent right now, with the Celtics and the Lakers headed to Game 6 of the 2010 Finals on Tuesday night at Staples Center -- it's harder to win the Russell award. The field is larger, thinning everyone's odds. Boston or L.A. is going to win the championship, but any one of the active players can claim the Finals MVP honor.

Rarely more so than this year.

For the player who eventually gets selected by a nine-member panel of writers and broadcasters, the award can help to define a career. Of the 26 players who have been named Finals MVP, 17 are Hall of Famers. Five more -- Tim Duncan, Shaquille O'Neal, Dwyane Wade, Paul Pierce and Kobe Bryant -- likely will be. JoJo White (1976) and Cedric Maxwell (1981), good as they were in leading their Boston teams to titles, are not enshrined at Springfield. The jury still is out on Chauncey Billups (2004) and Tony Parker (2007).

The Bill Russell Finals MVP is the best of the best at a time when it matters most.

The tricky part now is figuring out who among the current participants -- with one or two games to go -- is in line for consideration. The Celtics' 3-2 lead in the series suggests that the Bill Russell Award might go green. But a lot can happen -- and frankly, needs to happen -- to make this something more than a guessing game.

In many postseasons past, the Finals MVP served as a coronation of the new or renewed champions' best player. That's how Michael Jordan, Larry Bird, Hakeem Olajuwon, Duncan and O'Neal, among others, wound up with multiples. This time, the field is open, with no one player dominating through all or most of the first five games. So here's a look at the candidates and their unofficial odds of bagging the Russell trophy:

Paul Pierce (5-2): Pierce won this award at the 2008 Finals, so voters already are comfortable with the idea. He is the leading scorer (19 ppg) on the team that has two shots at its second championship in three years. That includes 27 points in Sunday's possibly pivotal Game 5. But Pierce sputtered in the second and third games (12.5 ppg on 7-of-23 shooting) and has had a up-and-down postseason. If Boston wins Game 6 and Pierce is the Celtics' top scorer, or just tops 20, he's the favorite here.

Kobe Bryant (3-1): Eight players have been Finals MVP at least twice and, like Pierce, Bryant would join that super-elite spring status if he repeats. A year ago, he was a no-brainer, nailing it by a unanimous 9-0 vote. This time, it might require the heavy lifting of two consecutive Lakers victories in elimination games -- very doable for this guy, if he doesn't ignore his helpers completely. Also, Bryant is averaging 30.2 points -- 59 percent more Pierce -- so it's conceivable he could become only the second Finals MVP from the losing side. The first? Another high-scoring Lakers guard, Jerry West, who won the inaugural version in 1969 but wanted it as much as beauty queens crave Miss Congeniality.

Ray Allen (4-1): The Celtics' tireless shooting guard is 0-for-16 from 3-point range, his specialty, over the past three games but at least his team has kept its title -- and his Finals MVP chances -- afloat by winning two of them. Allen did have the most spectacular individual performance so far in the series, hitting 7-of-8 3-pointers in the first half of Game 2 and finishing with a Finals-record 8-of-11 and 32 points. If Boston wins another championship, it could be argued that Allen's big night on the Lakers' court tipped the series in the Celtics' favor. He could use another one, though, in a clincher.

Rajon Rondo (5-1): Rondo has had a breakthrough postseason, elevating himself on the big stage to Boston's Big Three level, and sometimes that sustained play sticks in Finals voters' heads. Even though the feisty point guard was more electrifying against Cleveland, he had a triple-double (18-12-10) in Game 2. Rondo also is outscoring Allen and outrebounding Kevin Garnett, while averaging 68 percent more assists than anyone else on other side (7.4 to Bryant's 4.4).

Kevin Garnett (5-1): The 7-foot forward had a dreadful Game 2, but by Game 5 Sunday, he was the Celtics' best all-around performer at both ends (18 points, 10 rebounds, five steals, two blocks). If he were to do that once or twice more en route to a Boston title, he might earn votes for bouncing so far back. And Garnett has been both a regular-season MVP (2004) and All-Star MVP (2002).

Pau Gasol (10-1): Gasol scored 23, 25 and 21 in Games 1, 2 and 4, respectively, and earned praise for added toughness and his burgeoning game. But he wasn't able to keep his sneaker on Garnett's neck and by Game 5, even Bryant and the Lakers were ignoring him offensively (12 points, six of his nine shots coming off offensive rebounds). It's hard to envision a) the Lakers firing back to win the title and b) Gasol outshining Bryant as they do so, and both things would have to happen for the refined 7-footer to be Finals MVP.

Derek Fisher (20-1): Fisher is a love-him-or-hate-him kind of player, a guy most fans would want on their favorite team. Media types love his playoff-peak passion, his history (four rings, leaving Utah for his daughter's health) and his thoughtful answers. But Fisher also flops, can be borderline dirty, is averaging just 9.2 points on 37.2 percent shooting and hasn't hit a 3-pointer in the series. He would become, arguably, the role-playingest Finals MVP winner ever.

Andrew Bynum (50-1): In truth, Bynum probably is the Finals MVP, from the standpoint that his availability changes both sides' strategy and sets up so much for L.A. He was present and more than accounted for in the first three games, his size bedeviling Boston. But Bynum's ailing right knee has been an issue since, proving his worth but hurting his chances for this trophy.

Shrek/Donkey (100-1): The Finals MVP never has been shared. It never has been won by a non-starter. And it certainly never has been won by such non-traditional talents as Glen (Big Baby) Davis or Nate Robinson. But in the fourth quarter of Game 4, no superstar was bigger than those two. So if the Celtics bench proves to be the difference in the Finals, and if those two are the key guys on that bench ... nah.

LnGrrrR
06-15-2010, 01:04 PM
It's going to be Pierce or Rondo if the Celtics win (whoever shows up bigger in the clincher) or Kobe for the Lakers. Those are the only three in the running.

Muser
06-15-2010, 01:05 PM
Rondo.

duncan228
06-15-2010, 01:06 PM
Expert roundtable: NBA Finals Game 6 (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/playoffs/2010/news/story?page=CelticsLakers-100615)
ESPN.com

1. Who is the MVP so far?

Henry Abbott, ESPN TrueHoop: Rajon Rondo. No player has really been consistently outstanding, but at this juncture the Celtics have won the majority of games, and when they have played well, Rondo has very often been a part of it. The Lakers have frustrated each of Boston's Big Three for stretches, but Rondo causes persistent trouble.

J.A. Adande, ESPN.com: Ray Allen. Yes, it appears he packed his jumper in a suitcase and it got misplaced on the trip from L.A. to Boston. But he did have a record eight 3-pointers to carry the Celtics in Game 2. And he has been the man primarily responsible for defending Kobe Bryant, a challenge the Celtics have handled so successfully that Bryant is shooting 43 percent even after that incendiary third quarter in Game 5. Bryant also has 21 turnovers, by far the most of anyone in the series. The Celtics are winning with their defense, so the MVP should go to an important defender.

Kevin Arnovitz, ESPN TrueHoop: This is a series devoid of a flawless hero. Kobe Bryant's 23 consecutive points for the Lakers in Game 5 is exactly the kind of résumé bullet point that earns an MVP award -- but he hasn't shot the ball terribly well over the course of the series.

For Boston, Paul Pierce has finally started to find the full range of his game, but has also put up a couple of stink bombs. Bryant and Pierce appear to be on track, depending on which team wins, but the absence of a clear-cut favorite means that performances in Game 6 and 7 will probably determine who takes home the award.

Chris Broussard, ESPN The Magazine: Can we go with Doc Rivers, who's outcoached the G.O.A.T.? Probably not. So through five games, I'm going with Paul Pierce. No, he hasn't dominated, but no Celtic has. It's been a total team effort. However, when the Celtics took control of the series in Games 4 and 5, Pierce averaged 23 points on 58 percent shooting.

John Hollinger, ESPN.com: Kobe Bryant, as I wrote earlier. Regardless of whether the Lakers win or lose the Finals, he's been by far the best player on the court this series. Boston has had five of the seven best players in the Finals to date and that's why they're ahead, but as far as a single player, Kobe is the clear choice.

Chris Sheridan, ESPN.com: This is a tough one, but I am going with Kevin Garnett at this point, not only because of his offense (15.6 points per game on 51 percent shooting in the Finals), but because once he started being more effective against Pau Gasol on the defensive end, the dynamic of the series changed.

Marc Stein, ESPN.com: Tried to come up with a compelling counter argument to Professor Hollinger's claim that Kobe -- just like Jerry West in 1969 when the Lakers lost Game 7 at home to Boston -- is the Finals MVP whether or not L.A. wins it all. Tried and failed. There really isn't a Celtic you can single out as the catalyst most responsible for Boston's 3-2 series lead … unless we turn Finals MVP into a Playoffs MVP discussion. Then you could make the Rondo argument. The "so far" part of the question, however, reminds that there's still time for a Bostonian to break out of the pack.

2. Who is the LVP so far?

Abbott: Pau Gasol. It's not his fault that Kobe Bryant takes so many tough shots, but it is his fault that he has spent much of the series making very little out of his limited touches. He has the potential to be the best player on the floor in any given game, and his team could use him now.

Adande: Lamar Odom. The Lakers won Game 1 almost in spite of his meager contributions (five points, four rebounds), and in L.A.'s three losses he has produced a total of 21 points and 20 rebounds. Back in the good old days -- like, the opener of the Western Conference finals -- that was a single night's work. He got outplayed by Glen Davis in Game 4 and took too long to get going in Game 5. Odom is making the majority of his shots … he just isn't being aggressive enough in taking more of them.

Arnovitz: No player on either roster has produced results less commensurate to his talents than Lamar Odom. We often refer to Odom as the Lakers' X factor, but that designation only speaks to how maddeningly inconsistent he is as a player.

With Andrew Bynum hobbled, the Lakers desperately need Odom's versatility, but thus far he's been a sad disappointment.

Broussard: I'm going to say Lamar Odom. Some will undoubtedly say Ron Artest, but at least Artest has played very good D on Pierce for most of the series.

Hollinger: I'm tempted to say Pau Gasol, but he at least impacted the first three games of the series. Lamar Odom, on the other hand, hasn't impacted anything of note in the first five games and is getting outplayed by Boston counterpart Glen Davis. With Andrew Bynum hobbled, it's time for the Lakers' sixth man to deliver.

Sheridan: Has to be Ron Artest. Let's face it, the referees have had more of an impact against Paul Pierce than Ron-Ron, and on top of that, he is shooting only 30 percent from the field and has missed more than half his free throws.

Stein: How many times did we hear leading up to the Finals that Pau Gasol has supplanted Tim Duncan's as the NBA's most unstoppable post player? Lamar Odom is right there with Gasol in the LVP race -- while Kobe's detractors would say he hasn't done enough to lift his teammates -- but we haven't seen much of the Duncan-esque Pau lately. As much as it needed a good series from Odom with Andrew Bynum's play compromised by that knee injury, L.A. has real problems if Gasol doesn't make an immediate comeback.

Shastafarian
06-15-2010, 01:10 PM
J.A. Adande, ESPN.com: Okie silly dilly dokie-o. I'm an idiot

Killakobe81
06-15-2010, 01:18 PM
i know offense is the bigger story but it's KG if Celts win ...

Kobe no doubt about it if Lakers win ...


KG's defense on Pau especially if he takes him out of his game 1 of the next two and

Celts win was the biggest story plus KG's offense the past couple ...

KG has only really had 1 bad game this series ...and he is playing the best defense on THAT team of assholes ...

TheManFromAcme
06-15-2010, 01:41 PM
i know offense is the bigger story but it's KG if Celts win ...

Kobe no doubt about it if Lakers win ...


KG's defense on Pau especially if he takes him out of his game 1 of the next two and

Celts win was the biggest story plus KG's offense the past couple ...

KG has only really had 1 bad game this series ...and he is playing the best defense on THAT team of assholes ...


I agree.

Mr Bones
06-15-2010, 01:45 PM
I don't see how Allen can have better odds than Rondo! Even in game two when Allen had 8 3s, Rondo had a triple double, and was more important in crunch time. Derek Fisher is shooting 37% from the field and has not hit a single 3 pt shot in the finals yet... so Rondo's defense has been damn good too.