2012 Electoral Map - The Tossups

[Nbadan]

Looks like the tossups in 2012 could be Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Indiana, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.....



This is merely a baseline from which we can judge more reliable projections made closer to the election. Where did we start–before we knew the identity of the Republican nominee for president, the state of the economy in fall 2012 and many other critical facts?”

But the caveats are a little like telling a kid to take it slow before handing over the Easter basket. We’re just not listening, we’ve been waiting years to crunch these numbers and start assigning states red and blue. And now here it is in all its politico-geek glory:

First a disclaimer...

http://static01.mediaite.com/med/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/Picture-433.png

Source: Link (http://www.mediaite.com/online/too-soon-larry-sabato-releases-first-electoral-map-of-2012-campaign-season/)

Time to start keeping an eye on these states, especially Florida, Ohio, Viriginia, and North Carolina...

...So, how is Obama doing in these states?

[Wild Cobra]

Looks like the tossups in 2012 could be Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Indiana, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.....




First a disclaimer...

http://static01.mediaite.com/med/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/Picture-433.png

Source: Link (http://www.mediaite.com/online/too-soon-larry-sabato-releases-first-electoral-map-of-2012-campaign-season/)

Time to start keeping an eye on these states, especially Florida, Ohio, Viriginia, and North Carolina...

...So, how is Obama doing in these states?
What is the status of the other 7 states?

[Nbadan]

Here is something that might come into play in swing states like Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada

New Poll Puts Obama Far Ahead of GOP With Latino Voters


CHICAGO – President Obama holds leads over the top three Republican presidential candidates in a new national poll conducted by Latino Decisions for Univision, with the president enjoying far wider advantages among Latino voters, an area of strength that could ultimately prove crucial come next year’s election.

One year before Election Day 2012, the president leads GOP front-runners Herman Cain, Mitt Romney and Rick Perry with advantages that are outside the poll’s 3.1 percent margin for error, according to the poll results released today. Among registered voters nationwide, Obama holds the largest lead over Perry at 10 percent, with his edge over Romney at 9 percent. Cain, meanwhile, is within 6 percent of the president.

Among registered Latino voters in the 21 most Latino-heavy states, Obama’s advantage is far greater, exceeding two-to-one margins in every case. The president is up 65 percent to 22 percent on Cain, 67 percent to 24 percent on Romney and 68 percent to 21 percent on Perry. That will come as welcome news to the White House as the president prepares for what is shaping up to be a difficult re-election campaign.

“There’s a lot of good news for the president in this poll,” Gary Segura, a researcher at Latino Decisions and professor of political science at Stanford University, said in a phone interview. “He polls 9 percentage points ahead of his leading rivals on the other side. His approval rating is good among Latinos ; not great but good. The national approval rating here is about what everyone else is finding, that the president is climbing back up a little from the summer. In addition, a lot of the issues favor the president’s direction, but not all.

Link (http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/11/new-poll-puts-obama-far-ahead-of-gop-with-latino-voters/)