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Spurminator
01-03-2012, 04:15 PM
Iowa: The Meaningless Sideshow Begins

The 2012 presidential race officially begins today with the caucuses in Iowa, and we all know what that means …

Nothing.

The race for the White House is normally an event suffused with drama, sucking eyeballs to the page all over the globe. Just as even the non-British were at least temporarily engaged by last year’s royal wedding, people all over the world are normally fascinated by the presidential race: both dramas arouse the popular imagination as real-life versions of universal children’s fairy tales.

Instead of a tale about which maiden gets to marry the handsome prince, the campaign is an epic story, complete with a gleaming white castle at the end, about the battle to succeed to the king’s throne. Since the presidency is the most powerful office in the world, the tale has appeal for people all over the planet, from jungles to Siberian villages.

It takes an awful lot to rob the presidential race of this elemental appeal. But this year’s race has lost that buzz. In fact, this 2012 race may be the most meaningless national election campaign we’ve ever had. If the presidential race normally captivates the public as a dramatic and angry ideological battle pitting one impassioned half of society against the other, this year’s race feels like something else entirely.

In the wake of the Tea Party, the Occupy movement, and a dozen or more episodes of real rebellion on the streets, in the legislatures of cities and towns, and in state and federal courthouses, this presidential race now feels like a banal bureaucratic sideshow to the real event – the real event being a looming confrontation between huge masses of disaffected citizens on both sides of the aisle, and a corrupt and increasingly ideologically bankrupt political establishment, represented in large part by the two parties dominating this race.

Let’s put it this way. What feels more like a real news story – Newt Gingrich calling Mitt Romney a liar for the ten millionth time, or this sizzling item that just hit the wires by way of the Montana Supreme Court:

HELENA — The Montana Supreme Court restored the state's century-old ban on direct spending by corporations on political candidates or committees in a ruling Friday that interest groups say bucks a high-profile U.S. Supreme Court decision granting political speech rights to corporations…

A group seeking to undo the Citizens United decision lauded the Montana high court, with its co-founder saying it was a "huge victory for democracy."

"With this ruling, the Montana Supreme Court now sets up the first test case for the U.S. Supreme Court to revisit its Citizens United decision, a decision which poses a direct and serious threat to our democracy," John Bonifaz, of Free Speech For People, said in a statement.

Now that is real politics -- real protest, real change. Exactly the opposite of the limp and sterile charade in Iowa. This caucus, let’s face it, marks the beginning of a long, rigidly-controlled, carefully choreographed process that is really designed to do two things: weed out dangerous minority opinions, and award power to the candidate who least offends the public while he goes about his primary job of energetically representing establishment interests.

If that sounds like a glib take on a free election system that allows the public to choose whichever candidate it likes best without any censorship or overt state interference, so be it. But the ugly reality, as Dylan Ratigan continually points out, is that the candidate who raises the most money wins an astonishing 94% of the time in America.

That damning statistic just confirms what everyone who spends any time on the campaign trail knows, which is that the presidential race is not at all about ideas, but entirely about raising money.

The auctioned election process is designed to reduce the field to two candidates who will each receive hundreds of millions of dollars apiece from the same pool of donors. Just take a look at the lists of top donors for Obama and McCain from the last election in 2008.

Obama’s top 20 list included:

Goldman Sachs ($1,013,091)
JPMorgan Chase & Co ($808,799)
Citigroup Inc ($736,771)
WilmerHale LLP ($550,668)
Skadden, Arps et al ($543,539)
UBS AG ($532,674), and...
Morgan Stanley ($512,232).


McCain’s list, meanwhile, included (drum roll please):

JPMorgan Chase & Co ($343,505)
Citigroup Inc ($338,202)
Morgan Stanley ($271,902)
Goldman Sachs ($240,295)
UBS AG ($187,493)
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher ($160,346)
Greenberg Traurig LLP ($147,437), and...
Lehman Brothers ($126,557).


Obama’s list included all the major banks and bailout recipients, plus a smattering of high-dollar defense lawyers from firms like WilmerHale and Skadden Arps who make their money representing those same banks. McCain’s list included exactly the same banks and a similar list of law firms, the minor difference being that it was Gibson Dunn instead of WilmerHale, etc.

The numbers show remarkable consistency, as Chase, Morgan Stanley, and Citigroup all gave roughly twice or just over twice as much to Obama as they did to McCain, almost perfectly matching the overall donations profile for both candidates: overall, Obama raised just over twice as much ($730 million) as McCain did ($333 million).

Those numbers tell us that both parties rely upon the same core of major donors among the top law firms, the Wall Street companies, and business leaders – basically, the 1%. Those one-percenters always give generously to both parties and both presidential candidates, although they sometimes will hedge their bets significantly when they think one side or the other has a lopsided chance at victory – that’s clearly what happened in 2008, when Wall Street correctly called Obama as a 2-1 (or maybe a 7-3) favorite to beat McCain.

The 1% donors are remarkably tolerant. They’ll give to just about anyone who polls well, provided they fall within certain parameters. What they won’t do is give to anyone who is even a remote threat to make significant structural changes, i.e. a Dennis Kucinich, an Elizabeth Warren, or a Ron Paul (hell will freeze over before Wall Street gives heavily to a candidate in favor of abolishing their piggy bank, the Fed). So basically what that means is that voters are free to choose anyone they want, provided it isn’t Dennis Kucinich, or Ron Paul, or some other such unacceptable personage.

If the voters insist on supporting such a person in defiance of these donors – this might even happen tonight, with a Paul win in Iowa – what you inevitably end up seeing is a monstrous amount of money quickly dumped into the cause of derailing that candidate. This takes overt forms, like giving heavily to his primary opponents, and more covert forms, like manufacturing opinions through donor-subsidized think tanks and the heavy use of lapdog media figures to push establishment complaints.

And what ends up happening there is that the candidate with the big stack of donor money always somehow manages to survive the inevitable scandals and tawdry revelations, while the one who’s depending on checks from grandma and $25 internet donations from college students always winds up mysteriously wiped out.

Thus the guy like George W. Bush, who dodged the draft and lied about his National Guard Service, steams to re-election, while a guy like Howard Dean – really not any kind of real threat to the status quo, whose major crimes were being insufficiently pro-war and finding an alternative source of campaign funding on the net – magically falls off the map and is made a caricature after one loony scream before Iowa.

The reason 2012 feels so empty now is that voters on both sides of the aisle are not just tired of this state of affairs, they are disgusted by it. They want a chance to choose their own leaders and they want full control over policy, not just a partial say. There are a few challenges to this state of affairs within the electoral process – as much as I disagree with Paul about many things, I do think his campaign is a real outlet for these complaints – but everyone knows that in the end, once the primaries are finished, we’re going to be left with one 1%-approved stooge taking on another.

Most likely, it’ll be Mitt Romney versus Barack Obama, meaning the voters’ choices in the midst of a massive global economic crisis brought on in large part by corruption in the financial services industry will be a private equity parasite who has been a lifelong champion of the Gordon Gekko Greed-is-Good ethos (Romney), versus a paper progressive who in 2008 took, by himself, more money from Wall Street than any two previous presidential candidates, and in the four years since has showered Wall Street with bailouts while failing to push even one successful corruption prosecution (Obama).

There are obvious, even significant differences between Obama and someone like Mitt Romney, particularly on social issues, but no matter how Obama markets himself this time around, a choice between these two will not in any way represent a choice between “change” and the status quo. This is a choice between two different versions of the status quo, and everyone knows it.

The real fight against the status quo is coming in places like the Supreme Court of Montana, which with this recent ruling correctly identified the real battle lines in the upcoming political season by boldly rejecting the concept of unlimited corporate campaign spending.

It’s coming in places like the courthouse of federal Judge Jed Rakoff, who recently rejected a dirty settlement deal between the SEC and Citigroup. It’s on the streets in the OWS protests and even in the Tea Party, which in recent years unseated countless Republican party lifer-stooges over their support of the bailouts (like Utah Senator Robert Bennett, who was hounded at a party convention with chants of “TARP, TARP, TARP!”).

This widespread and growing movement against the twin corrupting influences of money on our politics and state patronage on big business is going on everywhere – on the streets, in these courthouses, in the homes of people refusing to move after foreclosure, even in the antitax movements and the campaigns against state pensions.

The only place we can be absolutely sure this battle will not be found is in any national presidential race between Barack Obama and someone like Mitt Romney.

The campaign is still a gigantic ritual and it will still be attended by all the usual pomp and spectacle, but it’s empty. In fact, because it’s really a contest between 1%-approved candidates, it’s worse than empty – it’s obnoxious.

It was always annoying when these two parties and the slavish media that follows their champions around for 18 months pretended that this was a colossal clash of opposites. But now, with the economy in the shape that it’s in thanks in large part to the people financing these elections, that pretense is more than annoying, it’s offensive.

And I imagine that the more they try to play up the drama of these familiar-but-empty campaign rituals, the more irritating to the public it will all become. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if, before the season is out, the campaign itself will become a hated symbol of the 1% -- with the conventions and the networks’ broadcast tents outside the inevitable "free speech zones" attracting protests the same way the offices of Chase and Bank of America did this fall.

Or maybe not, we’ll see. In any case, the dreary campaign to choose the next imperial administrator -- the One Percent-Off, let's call it -- starts tonight. It’s the same old ritual, but I just don’t think it’s going to fly the same way this time around.

Read more: http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/blogs/taibblog/iowa-the-meaningless-sideshow-begins-20120103#ixzz1iQnWyG8i

Winehole23
01-03-2012, 05:11 PM
The Montana Supreme Court restored the state's century-old ban on direct spending by corporations on political candidates or committees in a ruling Friday got my attention. the states can still stand up for themselves if they have the inclination.

good article.

thx for posting, Spurminator. :tu

Wild Cobra
01-03-2012, 05:16 PM
got my attention. the states can still stand up for themselves if they have the inclination.

good article.

thx for posting, Spurminator. :tu
Score one for States Rights...

That is until Obama's Federali's strike it down.

boutons_deux
01-03-2012, 05:23 PM
I expect MT Repugs will appeal to the extreme right-wing activist SCOTUS, the court that approved the REPUG Citizens-United appeal, transforming corporations into citizens.

Winehole23
01-03-2012, 05:34 PM
you guys always know what's going to happen before it happens. psychic, much?

101A
01-03-2012, 05:52 PM
Hits the nail on the head; maintains hope. Good article.

Pelicans78
01-03-2012, 06:24 PM
Rick Perry should have easily won this nomination. He totally blew it.

Winehole23
01-04-2012, 09:42 AM
good riddance

DarkReign
01-04-2012, 11:03 AM
Hits the nail on the head; maintains hope. Good article.

Which is my only problem with the article.

IMO, there is no hope. The Montana decision will be struck down for being contrary to the SC decision, period. There will be no revisiting the decision, there will be no controversy over it, either. The SC ruled, that is it, it will not be revisited in our generation.

I realize its just my opinion, but good on you Montana for going against the grain, but its fruitless.

The top 5% control the country and ostensibly the world because they have all the money, power and policy. Until that changes in violent fashion, get used to the backseat driver complex we as Americans have.

101A
01-04-2012, 11:31 AM
Which is my only problem with the article.

IMO, there is no hope. The Montana decision will be struck down for being contrary to the SC decision, period. There will be no revisiting the decision, there will be no controversy over it, either. The SC ruled, that is it, it will not be revisited in our generation.

I realize its just my opinion, but good on you Montana for going against the grain, but its fruitless.

The top 5% control the country and ostensibly the world because they have all the money, power and policy. Until that changes in violent fashion, get used to the backseat driver complex we as Americans have.

I am trying to hold onto hope.

You said 5% (15 million) people have control? Did you mean .5% (1.5 million)? I think even that is too high. I'm thinking .05% (150,000), or maybe .005% (15,000) - screw that, it's .0005% (1,500 power brokers) - don't you think?

boutons_deux
01-04-2012, 11:34 AM
Which is my only problem with the article.

IMO, there is no hope. The Montana decision will be struck down for being contrary to the SC decision, period. There will be no revisiting the decision, there will be no controversy over it, either. The SC ruled, that is it, it will not be revisited in our generation.

I realize its just my opinion, but good on you Montana for going against the grain, but its fruitless.

The top 5% control the country and ostensibly the world because they have all the money, power and policy. Until that changes in violent fashion, get used to the backseat driver complex we as Americans have.

Welcome to the "America is Fucked and Unfuckable" bandwagon, filling up with reformed "positive thinkers", Panglossians, Pollyannas, and "USA #1!" cheerleaders.

Winehole23
01-04-2012, 12:21 PM
glib cynicism is preferable to callow optimism only for its more fashionable cut; both are intellectually lazy. as ever, boutons poses a false dilemma that excludes all degrees between two outlandish extremes.

Winehole23
01-04-2012, 12:28 PM
denying that any possibility of change exists is not less naive than insisting that progress toward the good is inevitable.

closing one's mind to the possibility things might turn out contrary to expectations in the future blinds one to emerging phenomena and real changes that do occur. the future isn't a simple recapitulation of the past.

boutons_deux
01-04-2012, 01:03 PM
I don't deny that the "possibility" for change exists.

It's just that the 1% (private and govt) have such a stranglehold on America that change is effectively impossible.

List the achievable, practical changes that you think are probable, and how to achieve them.

Winehole23
01-04-2012, 01:16 PM
i don't know what changes are possible and neither do you. that's my point.

boutons_deux
01-05-2012, 10:18 AM
changes that won't happen:

holding SCOTUS to same professional/ethical standards as all other Federal judges.

reversing Citizens-United

CFPB with real teeth.

aggressive policing and enforcement by SEC

Federal limitation usurious cc rates.

FDA/USDA/EPA/MMS manned by regulators with an adverserial attitude rather than by industry plants and operatives.

Making prescription drug advertising illegal.

Re-implementing Glass-Steagal. (separating retail banking from investment banking from insurance)

100% regulation of the private banking/

makes Wall St speculation in commodities illegal (gas, oil, food)

make MBS/CDO illegal

force lenders to service the loans to maturity (like in Denmark)


Force all coal plants to emit no particulate matter.

Fine oilcos $1000/barrel for spills

etc, etc.

the above won't ever happen, because Wall St/UCA run the country, totally independent of Human-Americans' votes.

Winehole23
01-05-2012, 01:46 PM
we'll see. you ain't psychic.

boutons_deux
01-05-2012, 01:47 PM
never said I was, strawman

Winehole23
01-05-2012, 01:48 PM
you'd about have to be to guarantee certain things won't ever happen

boutons_deux
01-05-2012, 01:55 PM
the past and present are best predictors of the future. You don't have to possess my genius to realize that.

Still waiting for your list of changes, and exactly how they will realized.

Winehole23
01-05-2012, 01:56 PM
I don't have any such list. I don't do predictions very much.

Winehole23
01-05-2012, 01:57 PM
(Poker and betting on sports, totally different thing.)

Winehole23
01-05-2012, 02:00 PM
btw saying the past reliably predicts the future is super trite and probably wrong

Winehole23
01-05-2012, 02:01 PM
the Spurs' record last year doesn't tell us anything super meaningful about how they'll do this year

Winehole23
01-05-2012, 02:30 PM
as for the probability basis past observations afford to cynicism, they do so also to hope, even if it is the merest probabilistic thread

DarkReign
01-06-2012, 01:05 PM
denying that any possibility of change exists is not less naive than insisting that progress toward the good is inevitable.

closing one's mind to the possibility things might turn out contrary to expectations in the future blinds one to emerging phenomena and real changes that do occur. the future isn't a simple recapitulation of the past.

All true and well said.

Doesnt change my opinion in the slightest, however. There is but one way to change. Revolution, peaceful (likely) or violent (unlikely). But revolution in its purest form.

The means of change in use today are meaningless. The Tea Party has been the only real political turnabout in my lifetime (OWS is done) and all it consists of is ultra-conservative white people afraid of brown people.

So, yeah, not much has changed ultimately. If it doesnt change soon, there will be nothing left to change...well, nothing worth changing as it will be a crumpled shell of its former self and be of little significance.

Greece, Persia, Rome...all fell. For not-to dissimilar reasons we may fall. Gross over-consumption, political corruption and citizen apathy drenched in elitist nationalistic nonsense.

DarkReign
01-06-2012, 01:05 PM
I am trying to hold onto hope.

You said 5% (15 million) people have control? Did you mean .5% (1.5 million)? I think even that is too high. I'm thinking .05% (150,000), or maybe .005% (15,000) - screw that, it's .0005% (1,500 power brokers) - don't you think?

Good catch. Meant it as 0.5%.

baseline bum
01-06-2012, 01:20 PM
Greece, Persia, Rome...all fell. For not-to dissimilar reasons we may fall. Gross over-consumption, political corruption and citizen apathy drenched in elitist nationalistic nonsense.

I'm not sure that we're going to fall for a long time, since we have so many natural resources within our borders and great barriers to invasion with two oceans protecting us. If we didn't have tons of natural gas and coal then I might have felt differently.

DarkReign
01-06-2012, 01:59 PM
I'm not sure that we're going to fall for a long time, since we have so many natural resources within our borders and great barriers to invasion with two oceans protecting us. If we didn't have tons of natural gas and coal then I might have felt differently.

Honestly, it was a half ass comparison to begin with. Obviously, the mechanics of civilization today are far more conducive to longevity than they were then. Then, their main source of income was military conquest and the subjugation of the natives for slave labor at every level of society. Trade with foreign nations would have been a distant second.

The USA will fall, and by my post, I can see how one would think I was saying ti would be soon. My great-great-great-grandchildren wont see the Fall (unless nuclear war breaks out). Its many, many generations from now.

But as we let our lust for money, power and instant gratification do the thinking for our brains, we only make it harder and harder for those who come later to pick up the mess we leave.

At some point, it will become impossible to "fix" and the decline will be rapid from that point on.

Just an opinion.

boutons_deux
01-06-2012, 02:38 PM
"the mechanics of civilization today are far more conducive to longevity than they were then"

really? how so?

contemporary (western) civilization is more vulnerable to resource exhaustion (water, oil, energy) than earlier, less technological civilizations.

vy65
01-06-2012, 02:45 PM
"The simulacrum is never that which conceals the truth--it is the truth which conceals that there is none. The simulacrum is true."

Winehole23
01-06-2012, 02:53 PM
Baudrillard

DarkReign
01-06-2012, 02:57 PM
"the mechanics of civilization today are far more conducive to longevity than they were then"

really? how so?

contemporary (western) civilization is more vulnerable to resource exhaustion (water, oil, energy) than earlier, less technological civilizations.

Foreign trade networks, alliances and mutually beneficial hierarchies. Who was Rome allied with? Greece? Persia?

No one significant and only as long as it took to conquer them.

Winehole23
02-12-2012, 03:40 PM
The new document (American Tradition Partnership, et al., v. Attorney General of Montana, docket 11A762) is in the form of an application to put the state Supreme Court decision on hold pending a challenge in the U.S. Supreme Court, but it also asks as an alternative that the stay application be treated as a petition for review, that it be granted, and that the state ruling be overturned without briefing or oral argument. The state court had refused on Tuesday to delay its ruling while an appeal went forward. The application and motion were filed by attorneys for the the James Madison Center for Free Speech in Terre Haute, Ind., who also had initiated the Citizens United case.


At issue is a ruling by the Montana court on December 30, upholding a century-old state ban on the use of corporations’ own money to support or oppose any candidate in state elections. One of the dissenters in the 5-2 decision predicted that the ruling would not withstand a challenge in the Supreme Court. (The blog discussed the state court ruling in this post (http://www.scotusblog.com/2011/12/a-citizens-united-sequel-different-result/), providing a link to the opinion.)
The application and motion were filed with Justice Anthony M. Kennedy, who is the Circuit Justice for the part of the country that includes Montana — the Ninth Circuit. It will be up to Kennedy to decide whether to act alone on the controversy, or to share it with his eight colleagues.
The Montana law at issue — the Corrupt Practices Act enacted by the states’ voters in 1912 — was interpreted by the state court as a flat ban on independent spending of corporations’ internal funds to support or oppose specific candidates for state office (independent in the sense that the financial effort was not coordinated with a candidate). The measure thus was nearly identical to the ban in federal law that was struck down by the Citizens United ruling.


The Supreme Court, the state tribunal’s majority concluded, had left open the possibility that a “compelling interest” of the state would allow such a measure, and the majority found such an interest in the state’s past history and its present economic and political climate.
Three private corporations in Montana that want to spend funds independently in state elections urged Justice Kennedy, or the Court, to act swiftly, saying that “immediate relief is needed” because it is “vital that planning begin now for independent expenditures before the election.”


In suggesting that the full Court reach out and overturn the state decision without delay, the new filing argued that the state court’s “refusal to follow Citizens United” is such an obvious, blatant disregard of its duty to follow this Court’s decision that summary reversal is proper.”
http://www.scotusblog.com/2012/02/new-citizens-united-sequel-2/#more-138790

Winehole23
02-12-2012, 03:43 PM
Score one for States Rights...

That is until Obama's Federali's strike it down."federales"= The Supreme Court of the US

Wild Cobra
02-12-2012, 05:12 PM
"federales"= The Supreme Court of the US
Not quite what I mean. Obama wants this hige money as much as any of them. I meant his lawyers, presenting a case in a way he can spin it to libtards, but still keep large donation money.

Winehole23
02-12-2012, 05:29 PM
or, you put your foot in your mouth again. who besides the SC could possibly overturn the Montana statute?

boutons_deux
02-12-2012, 05:30 PM
Obama didn't rule on CU, the VRWC SCOTUS did.

Wanting to compete with CU money, he needs CU money.

Due to the Repugs' total lack of excitement and enthusiasm for Willard Gecko, and with the huge advantage the incumbent has, the only reason Willard Gecko could win is through massively outspending Obama.

boutons_deux
02-12-2012, 05:30 PM
Obama didn't rule on CU, the VRWC SCOTUS did.

Forced to compete with CU money, he needs CU money.

Due to the Repugs' total lack of excitement and enthusiasm for Willard Gecko, and with the huge advantage the incumbent has, the only reason Willard Gecko could win is through massively outspending Obama.

Winehole23
02-13-2012, 01:45 AM
you couldn't bring yourself to edit a single word, so you reposted the the whole thing, changing one word.

Winehole23
02-13-2012, 01:46 AM
are you sweet on yourself, boutons?

Winehole23
02-13-2012, 01:46 AM
so good, you had to post it twice to reflect your brilliant editing