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Winehole23
03-02-2012, 02:05 PM
Interesting for deep background as well as open participation by Fed officials. There's a few bombastic conclusions and maybe too much reliance on "some critics say" type formulas, but the narrative and the info are more granular than we had before, and the broad strokes are correct as far as I can tell.
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In early November 2010, as the Federal Reserve began to weigh whether the nation’s biggest financial firms were healthy enough to return money to their shareholders, a top regulator bluntly warned: Don’t let them.

“We remain concerned over their ability to withstand stress in an uncertain economic environment,” wrote Sheila Bair, the head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., in a previously unreported letter obtained by ProPublica.

The letter came as the Fed was launching a “stress test” to decide whether the biggest U.S. financial firms could pay out dividends and buy back their shares instead of putting aside that money as capital. It was one of the central bank’s most critical oversight decisions in the wake of the financial crisis.

“We strongly encourage” that the Fed “delay any dividends or compensation increases until they can show” that their earnings are strong and their assets sound, she wrote. Given the continued uncertainty in the markets, “we do not believe it is the right time to allow transactions that will weaken their capital and liquidity positions.”

Four months later, the Federal Reserve rejected Bair’s appeal.


By the third quarter of 2011, the top 19 banks that underwent the tests had added hundreds of billions in capital. A crucial measure of their capital is known as Tier 1, and it consists mostly of common stock, reserves and “retained earnings” — income that is not paid to shareholders but instead kept by the company to invest in the business. By the end of the third quarter, the top banks’ Tier 1 capital was up to about $740 billion. Using an average weighted to account for the different sizes of the banks, that’s 10.1 percent of their assets, compared with a low of 5.4 percent at the end of 2008.

As the banks built more capital, struggles erupted among various government bodies about when and how to let banks pay back TARP money. Most of the banks wanted to pay back the government as quickly as possible, mainly because the bailout money came with intensified oversight and potential restrictions on how much executives could pay themselves. And with the bailouts deeply unpopular with the public, the Treasury also pushed for the banks to pay back the money as quickly as possible so the government could claim the program was successful and hadn’t cost the taxpayers much.

But how should the banks replace the taxpayer money? Could they borrow to pull together the money, or should they be required to raise what’s known as common equity, the basic type of stock, whose holders absorb the first losses in the event of problems? Doing the latter would force banks to do the hard work of finding investors and amassing solid capital that could cushion them against economic blows.

The Fed led the process to answer this crucial question, with contributions from the FDIC, the Treasury and another major bank regulator, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

In late 2009, regulators decided that the eight financial institutions that hadn’t exited TARP immediately after the first stress test, including Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup, would be able to pay back every $2 of TARP money by issuing $1 in new common equity, according to a Sept. 29, 2011, report by the special inspector general of TARP.

The banks could raise the other dollars through other ways, such as borrowing.

Yet, almost as soon as they had decided on that standard, the Federal Reserve and OCC relaxed it for some of the most troubled big banks. The FDIC “was by far the most persistent in insisting that banks raise more common stock,” the report found.

The FDIC pushed repeatedly for the banks to adhere to the guidance known as the “2-for-1” provision.

Sheila Bair’s agency was particularly frustrated when the Fed and OCC eased their conditions for Bank of America, one of the most vulnerable banks.

Bair told the TARP special inspector general that “the argument [the Fed and OCC] used against us — which frustrated me to no end — is that [Bank of America] can’t use the 2-for-1 because they are not strong enough to raise 2-for-1.” She said: “If they are not strong enough, they shouldn’t have been exiting TARP.”

The Fed decided it could ignore the FDIC’s views.

On Nov. 19, 2009, an unnamed Federal Reserve governor stated that Bernanke’s position was that “we would go ahead without [FDIC] agreeing,” according to a previously unreported email from a draft version of the special inspector general’s report. And indeed, Bank of America fell more than $3 billion short of 2-for-1, raising $19.3 billion in equity to pay off the taxpayers’ $45 billion.

Since then, Bank of America has run into further troubles and been forced to sell assets and raise capital.

The Fed has taken pains to hide such tussles and compromises. The email describing Bernanke’s decision to override the FDIC, along with many others, was excised from the final draft of the special inspector general’s report. In a footnote in the final, published report, the special inspector general wrote that the Federal Reserve “strenuously objected to the inclusion of a significant amount of text” in earlier versions of the report, citing the need to keep communications with banks confidential.

Even though the special inspector general wrote that she “respectfully disagrees” with the Fed, she allowed the emails to be excised from the published report.http://www.propublica.org/article/fed-shrugged-off-warning-let-banks-pay-shareholders-billions

Winehole23
03-02-2012, 02:11 PM
Tarullo strongly defends the decision to allow some of the banks to return capital to shareholders.



“If you imagine a truly severe financial dislocation, it’s not going to matter much for the health of the U.S financial system whether banks paid out five or eight percentage points more of earnings in the preceding year,” he says. "What will matter is that the banks have been steadily building capital to much higher levels than existed before the financial crisis and that they are subject to annual stress tests to make sure they have the capital needed to withstand a quite adverse economic situation.”


Indeed, the Federal Reserve is at it again, conducting another stress test of the biggest banks. The Fed is testing the banks against much more dire scenarios than it did a year ago, which some analysts see as an implicit admission that it was too soft in the earlier test. This time, in order to comply with Dodd-Frank, the Fed must make much greater disclosure of how the tests are conducted and which banks pass.



The tests are draconian (http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/bcreg/bcreg20111122d1.pdf). They require the banks to plan against a scenario in which, among other drastic occurrences, the Dow Jones Total Market Index crashes to 5,668 and gross domestic product falls four quarters in a row, including one 8 percent quarterly drop, almost as much as it did in the fourth quarter of 2008, and unemployment rises to more than 13 percent. Can any of the banks truly survive such a scenario? And will the weaker ones be restricted from buying back stock or paying dividends?



The Fed seems to have put itself in a bind. Either the banks don’t pass, which could harm investor optimism and thus the fragile economic recovery. Or the banks somehow do pass, risking the Fed’s credibility in the event of another crisis.
The results will be out in mid-March.

Winehole23
03-04-2012, 05:51 AM
Fuck.

Parker2112?

SA210?

eL cHE'?




any random mofo who allegedly cares? c'mon....really? this is not interesting?

Winehole23
03-04-2012, 05:54 AM
of course, deep background is only so much unattributed bs

Winehole23
03-04-2012, 05:58 AM
the eerie tale of the second stress test gripped me in the first reading, but it bores me now tbh

boutons_deux
03-04-2012, 07:47 AM
Boutons shows up to fuck up your thread, again

Close Reckless: The Inside Story of How the Banks Beat Washington (Again)

After conducting a secretive test of the banks' health, the Federal Reserve granted most of their requests in March 2011 -- over loud objections from economic luminaries in Washington and across the country. Now, for the first time, we tell the story of why the Federal Reserve caved, and how Wall Street still owns the place.

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/03/reckless-the-inside-story-of-how-the-banks-beat-washington-again/253883/

=======

Fantasist Randian Paul and his deluded devotees want to abolish the Fed? NEVER gonna happen, Wall St created the Fed and they own it completely, just as Wall St owns Congress and the Exec.

Winehole23
03-05-2012, 01:17 AM
Boutons shows up to fuck up your thread, againonly the acknowledgement is extraordinary tbh

Winehole23
03-05-2012, 01:34 AM
Wall St created the Fed and they own it completely... is that claim offered solely on your own authority, or have you relied on others?

If so, who please?

Jacob1983
03-05-2012, 05:48 AM
America is corrupt as hell.

boutons_deux
03-05-2012, 06:38 AM
"Aldrich went to Europe opposed to centralized banking, but after viewing Germany's monetary system he came away believing that a centralized bank was better than the government-issued bond system that he had previously supported.

In early November 1910, Aldrich met with five well known members of the New York banking community to devise a central banking bill."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_reserve

"Aldrich convened a secret conference with a number of the nation's leading financiers at the Jekyll Island Club, off the coast of Georgia, to discuss monetary policy and the banking system in November 1910.

Aldrich and A. P. Andrew (Assistant Secretary of the Treasury Department), Paul Warburg (representing Kuhn, Loeb & Co.), Frank A. Vanderlip (James Stillman's successor as president of the National City Bank of New York), Henry P. Davison (senior partner of J. P. Morgan Company), Charles D. Norton (president of the Morgan-dominated First National Bank of New York), and Benjamin Strong (representing J. P. Morgan), produced a design for a "National Reserve Bank".[60]

Forbes magazine founder B. C. Forbes wrote several years later:

Picture a party of the nation’s greatest bankers stealing out of New York on a private railroad car under cover of darkness, stealthily riding hundreds of miles South, embarking on a mysterious launch, sneaking onto an island deserted by all but a few servants, living there a full week under such rigid secrecy that the names of not one of them was once mentioned, lest the servants learn the identity and disclose to the world this strangest, most secret expedition in the history of American finance. I am not romancing; I am giving to the world, for the first time, the real story of how the famous Aldrich currency report, the foundation of our new currency system, was written.[61]"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panic_of_1907

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The bankers designed the Fed to provide them with fiat money when THEY and other capitalists fucked up the economy.

iow, the Fed's TARP, etc was exactly a repeat of the 1907 bankers' panic.

Give capitalism enough unregulated rope, and it will hang EVERYBODY ELSE, but not itself.

Winehole23
03-05-2012, 12:37 PM
so now it was a banker's cabal. ok...

Winehole23
03-05-2012, 12:40 PM
are "Wall Street" and "the bankers" one in your mind, boutons?

Winehole23
03-05-2012, 12:53 PM
lol wikipedia. have you read any books, Mister Thread Fucker?

Winehole23
03-05-2012, 01:02 PM
e.g., at the behest of a dear family member, I once read this. (http://books.google.com/books/about/The_creature_from_Jekyll_Island.html?id=N_kJAQAAMA AJ) I do not remember it in any great detail, but I did read it. Your turn.

boutons_deux
03-05-2012, 01:49 PM
are "Wall Street" and "the bankers" one in your mind, boutons?

of course, call it the "financial sector" wherever it is.

boutons_deux
03-05-2012, 01:50 PM
lol wikipedia. have you read any books, Mister Thread Fucker?

yep, I've read books.

Winehole23
03-05-2012, 01:51 PM
why not favor us with a few links to back up your rather copious bs here, so we can check?

Winehole23
03-05-2012, 01:58 PM
of course, call it the "financial sector" wherever it is.A few trees can get lost for the forest of airy-fairy sounding economic abstractions like financial sector. Just saying. It ain't all one big thing.

For example, Wall Street is a market open to the public. Bank regulation, not so much.