PDA

View Full Version : Harris Poll: Kerry 48% W 47%



Nbadan
09-16-2004, 06:35 AM
What a shame that Marcu..opps tommy littered the forum with dated polls...


Sen. John Kerry and President Bush are now enjoying almost equal levels of support, according to the latest Harris Interactive poll.

Immediately after the Republican convention in New York, several polls showed Mr. Bush jumping ahead of Mr. Kerry with a clear lead of between six and 11 percentage points. There's no such 'convention bounce' for the president in the latest poll by Harris.

The Harris poll, conducted by telephone Sept. 9-13, shows Sen. Kerry leading Mr. Bush 48% to 47% among likely voters nationwide. The poll also found that a slender 51% to 45% majority doesn't believe that Mr. Bush deserves to be re-elected.

The previous poll in which likely U.S. voters were asked which candidate they preferred showed Messrs. Kerry and Bush tied 47% to 47%. That survey was conducted before the Republican National Convention in New York City, which ended earlier this month. An earlier poll in June indicated a Bush lead over Mr. Kerry of 10 percentage points, at 51% to 41%.

The latest poll was conducted within the U. S. among a nationwide cross section of 1,018 adults. It has a margin of error of +/-3 percentage points.

The results echo a recent poll sponsored by Investor's Business Daily, which also showed that the gap between the U.S. presidential candidates has disappeared. The poll of likely voters showed the two candidates tied at 47% in a two-man race and tied at 46% if independent candidate Ralph Nader is included.

Wall Street Journal (http://online.wsj.com/public/article/0,,SB109526872487418642,00.html?mod=todays%5Ffree% )

SpursWoman
09-16-2004, 08:27 AM
Yes, we know Dan. Only polls that show Kerry with a lead have any reliability whatsoever.

:shootme

Tommy Duncan
09-16-2004, 10:30 AM
Virtually all of the polls I posted were over the same dates as the Harris poll. Of course they were state polls and state polls are a better indicator of what is going on in the election since, after all, the presidential election is an electoral vote election, not a popular vote one. The electoral map is not looking good for Kerry at the moment, to say the least.

Kerry is looking considerably weak in states that he should not be right now. Wisconsin? New Jersey? Minnesota? Pennsylvania? Illinois? Bush has been polling ahead of Kerry in Wisconsin over the last month and if anything, seems to be getting stronger there. That doesn't look like a fluke to me. Bush is also looking strong in the states he needs to, such as Ohio and Missouri.

I'd like to see the Harris poll info and see the composition of their sample.

If perhaps there weren't plenty of indications from the Demo side that their candidate is in deep shit electorally then maybe it would appear that you would have a point.

Someone has to bring some content up in here because your spam threads about the Neocons taking over Uranus or that some faked documents are accurate doesn't quite cut it.

Hook Dem
09-16-2004, 11:03 AM
Another bastion attempt from Dan to distort the truth of the matter. Kerry is in real trouble thanks to the likes of Dan Rather and such. I have never wittnessed such desperation. Don't worry so much Dan. The end is near for your candidate! Then you can start plotting for 2008.

Nbadan
09-16-2004, 06:33 PM
Distorting more facts...


By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Two national polls on Thursday showed the race between President Bush (news - web sites) and Democrat John Kerry (news - web sites) deadlocked again as Bush's convention bounce faded, although the president has made headway in key swing states.


In polls certain to buoy the spirits of anxious Democrats, the Pew Research Center and Harris Interactive found equal levels of support for the two White House contenders as Kerry's support rebounded from the withering attacks he faced at the Republican convention that ended on Sept. 2.


The new surveys followed two other polls in recent days, by Investor's Business Daily and a Democratic group, Democracy Corps, that found the race essentially even again, just as it was for months before the two parties held their nominating conventions.

Yahoo (http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&u=nm/campaign_polls_dc)

Well, another Yoni prediction goes in the..

http://members.aol.com/djadamson2/toilet.jpg

Tommy Duncan
09-16-2004, 06:37 PM
www.rasmussenreports.com/...g_Poll.htm (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm)

Sep.13-15
3,000 Likely Voters

Bush 49
Kerry 45