Your Week 2 Locks

[TheCultOfPersonality]

Here's mine.

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml

Washington - 3 @ St Louis
Houston - 7 @ Jacksonville
Oakland -2.5 @ Miami
New Orleans - 2.5 @ Carolina
Kansas City + 3 @ Buffalo
New England - 13.5 vs Arizona
Dallas -3 @ Seattle
Cincinnati - 7 vs Cleveland

[DeadlyDynasty]

I wanna see Avante's stone cold locks, tbh

[DeadlyDynasty]

Patriots -14 LOTW
Saints -3
Bengals -7
Bears +5
Colts +1.5
Falcons -3

I will go no worse than 5-1 this week........I hope.

[Edward]

-14 seems like an awful lot but given how the Cardinals were massacred in New England the last time they played there when it was Matt Cassel vs. Kurt Warner, Tom Brady vs. Skelekolb could get really ugly.

[Blake]

Here's mine.

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml

Washington - 3 @ St Louis
Houston - 7 @ Jacksonville
Oakland -2.5 @ Miami
New Orleans - 2.5 @ Carolina
Kansas City + 3 @ Buffalo
New England - 13.5 vs Arizona
Dallas -3 @ Seattle
Cincinnati - 7 vs Cleveland

the lines are tough this week. A lot of home dogs.

I like StL +3 and NO -2.5 so far

[Edward]

Detroit vs. St Louis is the lock of the week. Throw your entire net worth into it

[Edward]

Bet it on margin

[Edward]

Borrow from your bookie to bet on it

[Edward]

Borrow from every bank you can to bet on it

[Edward]

Bet your queer son's lunch money on it

[Flintstones32]

san fran -6.5
Dallas -3
Jets +5.5
Oakland -2.5
Baltimore +2.5 LOTW
New Orleans -2.5

[Trainwreck2100]

min -1.5
NO -2.5
BUf -3
Hou-7
Dal-3
SD-6

[Avante]

How does anyone have it all worked out by Wednesday?

I have one play that is perfect. One team has never failed to cover vs the opponet. Now I need five more.

[Drachen]

Detroit vs. St Louis is the lock of the week. Throw your entire net worth into it

calvin johnson missed practice yesterday with a hurt foot

[DeadlyDynasty]

calvin johnson missed practice yesterday with a hurt foot
I hear it's just a precaution...minor.

[Bill_Brasky]

New England -14
Green Bay -5
Cincinatti -7
Houston -7
Kansas City +3
Baltimore +2.5

How the fuck is Philly the favorite against Baltimore? Easy money.

[Blake]

How does anyone have it all worked out by Wednesday?

I have one play that is perfect. One team has never failed to cover vs the opponet. Now I need five more.

Green Bay?

Spill it or you didn't bet on it.

[DPG21920]

Giants -7
NO - 2.5
Balt +2.5
Wash -3
Denver +3
Chi +5

[DeadlyDynasty]

Also, what bookie is really gonna give anyone the line (NO -2.5)? If you know any, please PM me a #.

[Trainwreck2100]

also these aren't my locks but picks for me, some not locks by any means

[Blake]

Also, what bookie is really gonna give anyone the line (NO -2.5)? If you know any, please PM me a #.

seriously?

When I had a local bookie, he would take any bet on the Vegas board.

I would think any off shore bookie would do the same?

[DeadlyDynasty]

seriously?

When I had a local bookie, he would take any bet on the Vegas board.

I would think any off shore bookie would do the same?
Dead serious. Especially since the line is bound to move with all the betting for N.O. anyways. Some bookies (mine, for one) won't take bets till an hour before the game--and most won't take any until gameday period (futures and props, excluded). There's no way in hell I'm getting NO -2.5. I'll honestly be lucky to get an even 3 when i call up. dets why I mean it when I ask if somebody's bookie will take my action if they have that line.

[Blake]

Dead serious. Especially since the line is bound to move with all the betting for N.O. anyways. Some bookies (mine, for one) won't take bets till an hour before the game--and most won't take any until gameday period (futures and props, excluded). There's no way in hell I'm getting NO -2.5. I'll honestly be lucky to get an even 3 when i call up. dets why I mean it when I ask if somebody's bookie will take my action if they have that line.

Since NO is away, I doubt the line moves much.

I bet worst case will be 3 1/2 by game day

[DeadlyDynasty]

Since NO is away, I doubt the line moves much.

I bet worst case will be 3 1/2 by game day
It won't move beyond 3.5, but even a half-point is massive in betting, let alone a full point.

He jews me all the time with half-points when I bet basketball too. I tell him the paper has the line different and he just says: "Call the paper then and see if they'll take your action.":lol

[Blake]

That's a sorry bookie.

and yeah, true, 3.5 does suck ass compared to 3

[TheCultOfPersonality]

New England -14
Green Bay -5
Cincinatti -7
Houston -7
Kansas City +3
Baltimore +2.5

How the fuck is Philly the favorite against Baltimore? Easy money.
My guess is because Philadelphia is at home and Baltimore last season lost some head scratching games on the road like to Seattle, Tennessee, Jacksonsville, and got blown out at San Diego. That's the best answer I could come up with.

[DeadlyDynasty]

Patriots -14 LOTW
Saints -3
Bengals -7
Bears +5
Colts +1.5
Falcons -3

I will go no worse than 5-1 this week
updated

[DeadlyDynasty]

I actually got da Bears (+5.5) for 3 units...schweeeeeeeeeeeeeet

[Trainwreck2100]

ouch man bears losing this one and the packers are beating the spread

[Blake]

Oakland -2.5
Dallas-3
Saints-3
Cincinnati-7
Rams +3
Buffalo-3

[DeadlyDynasty]

ouch man bears losing this one and the packers are beating the spread
indeed....down $150 on the week already after last night. The good news is I told Avante to make the same bet, so hopefully he took my advice.

[Trainwreck2100]

indeed....down $150 on the week already after last night. The good news is I told Avante to make the same bet, so hopefully he took my advice.

and the best news is i'm 2-0 this year

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

New England -13.5
Baltimore +2.5
Pittsburgh -5
Colts +1.5
Saints -2.5
Houston -7

[Trainwreck2100]

that new england pick is a damn Albatross, especially if Colb starts, not saying he'll win it but he could keep them with 14

[Avante]

indeed....down $150 on the week already after last night. The good news is I told Avante to make the same bet, so hopefully he took my advice.

The better news is that I know you don't have a clue.

All these plays are backed by a lot of historical data strongly favoring a side.

NE-13 1/2
Dall-3
NYG-7
Balt + 2 1/2
SD - 6 1/2
Houston - 7

I'm playing 26-3 trends backing my plays.

[Clipper Nation]

The better news is that I know you don't have a clue.
Highly ironic, coming from Mr. "I was so sure Detroit would whoop the Rams, I gambled away Mason's college fund on it" tbh......

[Avante]

Highly ironic, coming from Mr. "I was so sure Detroit would whoop the Rams, I gambled away Mason's college fund on it" tbh......

Let's drop the internet silliness and talk seriously.

There is no team in the NFL the last decade as weak as the Rams are in their first road game of the year. They haven't won one of those in over 10 years. They also suck in the first game of the year 2-8 in the last 10 years.

Now think, they intercepted three passes one for a score and...STILL!!!!!!...couldn't win the game. I was on the right side it was a perfect "spot" the play some big $$$$$$$$. Anyone into this stuff played that play, you had to it was that strong.

This week we have a play where one team has always covered vs the opposition, yep...100%. That would be the Chargers vs Titans.

I realize you ..."must"...play what you do, I know it's fun. But don't ever think I don't spend a lot of time on these picks and are serious about winning. I will win about 70% of these plays this year, I always do. I was one INT from going 4-2 last week. Come on man you know as well as I do that's pretty impressive and shows I'm not some bullshitter.

Sure come on back with some more internet silliness, you have to play that others are watching.

[Trainwreck2100]

The better news is that I know you don't have a clue.



he lost 150 you lost 500 by your reasoning you have less a clue than he does

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

he lost 150 you lost 500 by your reasoning you have less a clue than he does
http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/364741/robinlopez.gif

[Avante]

he lost 150 you lost 500 by your reasoning you have less a clue than he does

Come on man, I went against the worst road team in week one in the NFL. A stud QB throws three INT's. How do you handicap that?

[Trainwreck2100]

Come on man, I went against the worst road team in week one in the NFL. A stud QB throws three INT's. How do you handicap that?

So you're saying you shouldn't hold it against a guy when the qb for the team he picks throws 3 INTs. Right after you insult DD for picking a team whose qb threw 3 INTs

[Clipper Nation]

Come on man, I went against the worst road team in week one in the NFL. A stud QB throws three INT's. How do you handicap that?
Oh, I don't know, maybe don't spend the entire summer bragging about how much of a lock this bet was going to be so that you don't get shit for it when you lose, tbh.....

[Clipper Nation]

So you're saying you shouldn't hold it against a guy when the qb for the team he picks throws 3 INTs. Right after you insult DD for picking a team whose qb threw 3 INTs
http://i49.photobucket.com/albums/f287/ddcworldwide/vinceolympic3riB.gif

[Avante]

So you're saying you shouldn't hold it against a guy when the qb for the team he picks throws 3 INTs. Right after you insult DD for picking a team whose qb threw 3 INTs

I insulted DD? Didn't he say he told me...take the points and the Bears.... hoping I'd lose?...yet you see me insulting him:rolleyes

You look for "spots" with an overwelming amount of info/data favoring one side. That's all a handicapper can do. The Lions had every advantage in the book. How do you not play a "spot" that strong? No way in hell a QB on the level of a Matthew Stafford is going to toss three INT's in a game. That's what it took for me to lose that strong play.

I usually play along with the silliness but really not in the mood for that aspect of this tonight, ok? How about we talk like a couple grown men for a change, ok?

[Trainwreck2100]

I insulted DD? Didn't he say he told me...take the points and the Bears.... hoping I'd lose?...yet you see me insulting him:rolleyes
yes you insulted him



You look for "spots" with an overwelming amount of info/data favoring one side. That's all a handicapper can do. The Lions had every advantage in the book. How do you not play a "spot" that strong? No way in hell a QB on the level of a Matthew Stafford is going to toss three INT's in a game. That's what it took for me to lose that strong play.

I usually play along with the silliness but really not in the mood for that aspect of this tonight, ok? How about we talk like a couple grown men for a change, ok?
You didn't account for Fisher so it was a shit play.

[Trainwreck2100]

the point is twice i've called you out for the blatant hypocrisy you've shown here and twice you've deflected. I'm done with you in this thread till sunday night when you can at least say you got 3 picks right, cause you vultured 3 of mine.

[Avante]

yes you insulted him


You didn't account for Fisher so it was a shit play.

Didn't the Rams lose another week one game....yes! Didn't they lose another first road game....yes!

[Avante]

the point is twice i've called you out for the blatant hypocrisy you've shown here and twice you've deflected. I'm done with you in this thread till sunday night when you can at least say you got 3 picks right, cause you vultured 3 of mine.

I pay no attention at all to anyone elses plays here or anywhere. Nobody puts in the work I do and I know that. All my plays are the best plays that week based on recent histories/trends and stats and injury info. It's all about "spots". It takes work/time to uncover those plays.

[DeadlyDynasty]

The better news is that I know you don't have a clue.

All these plays are backed by a lot of historical data strongly favoring a side.

NE-13 1/2
Dall-3
NYG-7
Balt + 2 1/2
SD - 6 1/2
Houston - 7

I'm playing 26-3 trends backing my plays.
Your historical data and "superior knowledge" have you $550 in the hole before Week 2 even started.

[DeadlyDynasty]

In fact, if we are to trend your betting acumen over a 17-game season, it looks like you'll owe over 9 Grand* before the playoffs even start





*(this doesn't account for any foolish props or futures bets you've made, or college losses).

[rascal]

indeed....down $150 on the week already after last night. The good news is I told Avante to make the same bet, so hopefully he took my advice.

Bears was a bad pick. You didn't do your homework on that one. Cutler was talking bad about the Green Bay defense, that is a recipe for failure.

[DeadlyDynasty]

Bears was a bad pick. You didn't do your homework on that one. Cutler was talking bad about the Green Bay defense, that is a recipe for failure.
meh, hindsight is 20/20 and trashtalk does little-to-nothing to affect a spread.

GB scored their first 3 points b/c of a terrible 12-man on the field challenge that should not have been called. Brandon Marshall let's a TD pass slip through his fingers. Those things don't happen and the Bears lose 20-17 and I cover. They did happen, however, and had nothing to do with trashtalk.

[rascal]

meh, hindsight is 20/20 and trashtalk does little-to-nothing to affect a spread.

GB scored their first 3 points b/c of a terrible 12-man on the field challenge that should not have been called. Brandon Marshall let's a TD pass slip through his fingers. Those things don't happen and the Bears lose 20-17 and I cover. They did happen, however, and had nothing to do with trashtalk.

You can take a play or two from every game and turn the result around.
It was a bad bet. Green bay was coming off a home loss and was fired up playing the Bears on a short week, and Cutler was adding to the defensive effort with the trash talk.

[rascal]

I have Cutler on a fantasy football team and had no problem benching him so it was not 20/20 hindsight.

[DeadlyDynasty]

You can take a play or two from every game and turn the result around.
Yeah, that's the point. It was 2 non-trash-talk-influencing calls/plays that swung the game. If you want to go further, the miracle fake fg is another.

You act as if they got pummeled 45-0 and were obliterated on both sides of the ball. They beat the shit out of the best QB in football all night and held him to 14 (legit) points. Win some, lose some.

Also, Greg Jennings (their top WR was out). Do you want me to hindsight all your losing bets this year too?

[DeadlyDynasty]

I have Cutler on a fantasy football team and had no problem benching him so it was not 20/20 hindsight.
Completely immaterial to what we're talking about

[rascal]

NE -13.5
Carolina +2.5
Tenn +6.5
Cin -7

[rascal]

Yeah, that's the point. It was 2 non-trash-talk-influencing calls/plays that swung the game. If you want to go further, the miracle fake fg is another.

You act as if they got pummeled 45-0 and were obliterated on both sides of the ball. They beat the shit out of the best QB in football all night and held him to 14 (legit) points. Win some, lose some.

Also, Greg Jennings (their top WR was out). Do you want me to hindsight all your losing bets this year too?

4 int and 7 sacks, the defense was fired up for Green Bay . Chicago still has offensive line problems that Green Bay exposed. Trash talking did not help Chicago in this game.

Green Bay also coming off a home loss in the first week.

[DeadlyDynasty]

Green Bay also coming off a home loss in the first week.
By that rationale, why aren't you betting on the SB Champions this week?

[rascal]

By that rationale, why aren't you betting on the SB Champions this week?

I don't bet on any teams. I learned a long time ago you will lose in the long run. You may win for a short while but the odds are stacked against you with the vigorish payouts, so the smart money is not to bet. I play fantasy sports, that is less expensive than betting on weekly games, which is not smart. I couldn't afford to bet on weekly games if I wanted to.

Giants are a good solid play. There is a chance they don't cover the line, greater than the green bay game, but still a solid bet. I picked the 4 games I liked the most.

[DeadlyDynasty]

The moneyline on the Pats game is -900:lol Basically, if you wanna bet New England straight-up you have to lay $900 to win $100.

[Blake]

The better news is that I know you don't have a clue.

All these plays are backed by a lot of historical data strongly favoring a side.

NE-13 1/2
Dall-3
NYG-7
Balt + 2 1/2
SD - 6 1/2
Houston - 7

I'm playing 26-3 trends backing my plays.

Which of these is the one you are playing for real?

My guess is that he waits til after the games are over to tell is that he won his bet and is back to even for the year (-juice)

[Findog's Ex Fiancee]

4-2 last week, +100$

Saints -3
Patriots -13.5
Steelers -5.5
Ravens +1.5
Colts/Vikings UNDER
Bengals -7

[DeadlyDynasty]

Patriots -14 LOTW
Saints -3
Bengals -7
Bears +5
Colts +1.5
Falcons -3

I will go no worse than 5-1 this week........I hope.
crofl...1-3-1 this week so far. Fucking Bengals...

[DeadlyDynasty]

4-2 last week, +100$

Saints -3
Patriots -13.5
Steelers -5.5
Ravens +1.5
Colts/Vikings UNDER
Bengals -7
ouch...what a shit week this has been

[Findog's Ex Fiancee]

2-2-1 so far..can still make 50$ if the Steelers win, hopefully..

Bengals had a nice cushion, what a blow..

[DeadlyDynasty]

2-2-1 so far..can still make 50$ if the Steelers win, hopefully..

Bengals had a nice cushion, what a blow..
derp...counted the Ravens game as a loss. my bad...

[Trainwreck2100]

Warned you guys about that pats game

[TheCultOfPersonality]

If the Rams hangs on I will be 1-6-1 on my locks. Not a good week for me.

[Bill_Brasky]

So much for the Ravens being easy money....

[Findog's Ex Fiancee]

3-2-1 this week..

7-4-1 overall, good start, I usually improve as the season progresses..

[Blake]

2-3-1

Hooray beer

[Trainwreck2100]

So much for the Ravens being easy money....

What are you talking about, if you picked Baltimore you won

[Avante]

6-5-1 after two weeks.

As we all know it does get easier as the season progresses.

The Chargers have covered 8 in a row vs the Titans.

I'm going to play the Niners -7 tonight, the game starts in about 15 minutes. 330 to win 300. I won 300 with the Chargers play, only game I played.

I wasn't around a computer when I decided to pull the trigger on that Charger game. Won't let that happen again.

[DPG21920]

2-7-2 right now

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

New England -13.5
Baltimore +2.5
Pittsburgh -5
Colts +1.5
Saints -2.5
Houston -7
4-2 without doing any research :lol

me > Avante :lol

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

So much for the Ravens being easy money....
Ravens +2.5 still woulda won you money tho. Them playing like absolute shit and still not letting Philly cover the spread is what I call easy money.

[Avante]

4-2 without doing any research :lol

me > Avante :lol

What are you overall?

Keep trying to wing it, good luck!

You should already be searching out your week three plays.

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

What are you overall?

Keep trying to wing it, good luck!
4-2 overall. I didn't make any picks week 1. I only started because you claim to be all knowing about this and I'm gonna have a better record than you this season doing no research before making picks :lol

[Blake]

I won 300 with the Chargers play, only game I played.


Which of these is the one you are playing for real?

My guess is that he waits til after the games are over to tell is that he won his bet and is back to even for the year (-juice)

[Avante]

4-2 overall. I didn't make any picks week 1. I only started because you claim to be all knowing about this and I'm gonna have a better record than you this season doing no research before making picks :lol

That's impossible.

[Avante]

7-5-1

plus $50

[tlongII]

How could anyone pick the Cowboys as a lock in Seattlte? :lmao

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

That's impossible.
We'll see

[Avante]

We'll see

You might do well but it won't be down by simply guessing.

Chargers had never lost a point spread play to the Titans.

The Niners were 4-0 in their last 4 vs Detroit.

You can't win without knowing that sort of thing.

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

You might do well but it won't be down by simply guessing.
By guessing? Of course not literally "guessing". With little to no prep work. Just this week there were a few easy picks.

[Avante]

By guessing? Of course not literally "guessing". With little to no prep work. Just this week there were a few easy picks.

The Cowboys back at home coming off a loss vs a Buc's team that is very week on the road.

Chicago was embarrashed, now they are at home vs a Ram team that hasn't won back to back games in a long time.

The Steelers vs a totally inept Raider team.

Baltimore at home vs a Pat team with some problems.


Do you look at things like that? Good teams coming off a loss, perennial road losers...stuff like that?

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

The Cowboys back at home coming of a loss vs a Buc's team that is very week on the road.

Chicago was embarrashed, now they are at home vs a Ram team that hasn't won back to back games in a long time.

The Steelers vs a totally inept Raider team.

Baltimore at home vs a Pat team with some problems.


Do you look at things like that?
This week I looked at teams getting way too much respect from a week 1 win/performance.

Minnesota beating Jacksonville didn't stop me from thinking they still suck and would get beat by Indy.

Blaine Gabbert having a respectable game against Minnesota didn't stop me from thinking Houston would destroy him.

The Jets beating Buffalo didn't make me forget how bad they looked throughout the preseason.

Philly being favored against Baltimore was a no brainer one because at the very least Baltimore was keeping it close.


The Arizona New England game was a fuckup on my part because of how well I know both teams and it shouldn't have been my pick. The Cardinals' D making it a close game shoulda been something I foresaw.

[Avante]

This week I looked at teams getting way too much respect from a week 1 win/performance.

Minnesota beating Jacksonville didn't stop me from thinking they still suck and would get beat by Indy.

Blaine Gabbert having a respectable game against Minnesota didn't stop me from thinking Houston would destroy him.

The Jets beating Buffalo didn't make me forget how bad they looked throughout the preseason.

Philly being favored against Baltimore was a no brainer one because at the very least Baltimore was keeping it close.


The Arizona New England game was a fuckup on my part because of how well I know both teams and it shouldn't have been my pick. The Cardinals' D making it a close game shoulda been something I foresaw.

Nobody say that Arizona beating the Pats coming.

Do have access to historical trends? I played $$$$$$San Diego minus the points vs the Titans. The Chargers have never failed to cover vs the Titans. Easy $$$$$$.

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

No, I just go by hunches tbh. I never bet money or I'd look at it more closely.

Picking the Chargers always scares me because they're such an inconsistent team. One week they're the best team in the NFL and then the next week Norv Turner reminds everyone why people hate him.

[Avante]

No, I just go by hunches tbh. I never bet money or I'd look at it more closely.

Picking the Chargers always scares me because they're such an inconsistent team. One week they're the best team in the NFL and then the next week Norv Turner reminds everyone why people hate him.

I put a lot into home/road. Forget what a teams record is, look at what it is at home/road. The Cowboys are 8-2. But it's...home 6-0 road 2-2. So on the road they are just a 500 team.

I hear ya about the Chargers and Norv Turner. I just couldn't ignore 7-0 vs the Titans vs the spread.

[The Gemini Method]

Well, you figured the Titans can't get anything worthwhile out of CJ and the fact they were honoring Junior Seau and while the second one isn't all that effective versus the spread, it can be a motivating factor especially with a mercurial team like the Chargers.

[rascal]

The moneyline on the Pats game is -900:lol Basically, if you wanna bet New England straight-up you have to lay $900 to win $100.

I would have played the Pats and lost the $900. I thought that was a good bet for the Pats to cover, an easy $100. This is why I don't bet.

[rascal]

You might do well but it won't be down by simply guessing.

Chargers had never lost a point spread play to the Titans.

The Niners were 4-0 in their last 4 vs Detroit.

You can't win without knowing that sort of thing.

When was the last time SD played Tenn? You can't take games played years ago with different rosters and use those as some sort of predictor of an outcome for current teams.

[Ryan Fitzpatrick]

When was the last time SD played Tenn? You can't take games played years ago with different rosters and use those as some sort of predictor of an outcome for current teams.