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MannyIsGod
10-16-2012, 02:24 AM
And? Did you realize what epsilon in the model stood for?

https://www.e-education.psu.edu/drupal6/files/meteo469/lesson05/Earth2Fig.gif

Its right there in the diagram for you to see. Do you know what happens when you increase the greenhouse effect and how that changes that value? Why doesn't it have a value of 1? Why does a value of zero make the surface temperature too cold?

Your inability to understand these concepts are central to your inability to understand why we can measure the change in the GHE through outgoing IR radiation from the atmosphere as well. These are fundamental to understanding how the GHE works and while you may think you understand because you've read some shit on wikipedia or another webpage your complete inability to place them in a complete context says otherwise. You simply do not understand the radiative properties of the climate system and how GHG play into that and some god damn humility will do you a bit of good in these discussions. You DO NOT know more about climate science than me much less people who have actually accomplished the difficult task of getting a doctorate and publishing literature that is reviewed by their peers (not that this was a debate anywhere outside of your head). So, I'll do some teaching.

We'll be using this equation to get the appropriate surface temp.

https://www.e-education.psu.edu/drupal6/files/meteo469/lesson05/formula_06.gif

When you use 1370 as the solar constant, .31 for the albedo and a value of .77 for the emissivity of the atmosphere you get surface temp of ~287K. This is pretty much correct. Now, when you drop the incoming solar radiation by 13.7 W/m^2 and leave everything else what we get is a decrease in temp to 285.6 or a drop of 1.4 deg K. HOWEVER, as the GHE goes up, we're doing two things. First, we're increasing the emissivity of the atmosphere and we're also decreasing the albedo. So, if we're conservative and decrease the albedo to a value of .30 and increase the emissivity to .78 and use the lower solar constant value then we get a change back to 287.3. In other words, right where we were at the start.

This is a very coarse approximation, but even with such a simple model it is easy to show that 1) there would be no ice age (with or without GHG increases) and 2) the scientists who are thinking of these ideas might just very well know what they are talking about a bit more than than some dude who gets paid to change a circuit board and solder every now and then.

MannyIsGod
10-16-2012, 02:26 AM
PS You're welcome

Wild Cobra
10-16-2012, 12:40 PM
I give up.

How many times have I said there would probably be no ice age.

I'm only saying the 1.7% would be more than what is needed to combat the assumed anthropogenic warming.

What the model and calculator do not apply is the change in water feedback from the solar change change. It is only applying this when there is a CO2 change. If you correct the coarse model for this, I'll bet it will be more than 2 degrees of change.

MannyIsGod
10-16-2012, 01:13 PM
It does apply that. Its in the emissivity of the atmosphere. You simply don't understand what that value stands for. It stands for the GHE of the atmosphere which includes water vapor, ozone, co2, methane, CFCs, etc etc. Those gasses all contribute to the atmosphere transmitting less energy and absorbing more. You just don't understand this. Its bout time you gave up trying to act like you know more on this subject.

:lol @ correct the coarse model that is modeling the GHE for the GHE. SMH. Thanks for the one final gem.

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 08:20 AM
I know that water feedback is being applied to changes in CO2 levels. I'll bet if you check the model, it does not account for H2O feedback to solar changes.

MannyIsGod
10-17-2012, 08:28 AM
....Why on earth do you think its specific to CO2 changes? The model gives you a change in temperature for a change in forcing. Water vapor then changes the forcing based on temp. In order to account for water vapor changes you just change the emissivity of the atmosphere. Water vapor does not respond to a change in a forcing but a change in a temperature If two forcings cancel each other out and there is no net change in temp then the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere does not change as it is a function of temperature.



Any other stupid drivel you'd like to leave the thread with? The ultimate irony here is that in your attempt to grasp at straws your arguing that the earth's cliamte has a higher sensitivity which invalidates pretty much every argument you've ever made in a climate change thread. Contradicting yourself is the hallmark of someone talking out their ass.

MannyIsGod
10-17-2012, 08:29 AM
https://www.e-education.psu.edu/drupal6/files/meteo469/lesson05/Earth2Fig.gif

THIS is the model. Explain to everyone where the feedbacks are or are not accounted for. Thanks.

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 08:37 AM
It only shows upward IR from the surface. It's missing latent heat and sensible heat transfers. With that model, the H2O levels cannot be changing. Not all energy goes into the atmosphere as IR.

MannyIsGod
10-17-2012, 08:56 AM
Latent heat and sensible heat do not go out into space. The model makes not attempt to model the exchanges of heat within the layers of the atmosphere at it is a ONE LAYER model which treats the entire atmosphere as ONE LAYER in order to get the SURFACE temperature due to the GHE. It does so really well but if you'd like to explain how sensible heat or latent heat transfers within the atmosphere will affect it by all means continue to try to dig your way out of your hole.

And of course the H20 levels can change. Water vapor is a GHG. You account for increased GHG concentrations by modifying the emissivity of the atmosphere. I've already explained this to you several times. What other effect of water vapor change matters?

MannyIsGod
10-17-2012, 09:00 AM
Everything else is always wrong. The guys with PhDs are wrong. The commmonly used one layer model is wrong. The IPCC is wrong. But the parts changer who never bothers to show an ounce of work is right based off his uneducated hunches. Sound about right?

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 09:01 AM
Of course laten and sensible heat don't go into space. Why are you so dense? It goes into the "single layer atmosphere" from the surface.

What part of the formula is modifying the the emissivity for H2O based of temperature changes? I don't see it.

You can say that bullshit all you want. That formula is too simple to contain what you say it does.

MannyIsGod
10-17-2012, 09:04 AM
:lmao It goes into the atmosphere from the surface?!?!?!?!?!? LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOL

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 09:05 AM
Maybe you wish to explain why it's called "latent" then, and why scientific literature shows it going into the atmosphere?

MannyIsGod
10-17-2012, 09:08 AM
Its called latent because its stored heat you fool. It transports heat from the lower levels of the atmosphere into the higher levels of the atmosphere through the process of evaporation and condensation. Its just a heat transport method. It does not change the overall amount of heat in the atmosphere as a whole at all.

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 03:00 PM
Yes, I know. It's a major transport method for water, which then has a primarily logarithmic response on radiative forcing.

FuzzyLumpkins
10-17-2012, 03:09 PM
Yes, I know. It's a major transport method for water, which then has a primarily logarithmic response on radiative forcing.

So in your own words what is a logarithmic response?

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 03:20 PM
So in your own words what is a logarithmic response?
Bzzz bzzzzztt... Bzzzz... bzzzzzz...

FuzzyLumpkins
10-17-2012, 03:27 PM
Bzzz bzzzzztt... Bzzzz... bzzzzzz...

Well as has been pointed out, you read this shit off wiki and google searches. You already have demonstrated you don't understand linearity 'y = 3.1x' boy. So I am curious what you think a logarithmic response entails.

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 03:31 PM
Fuzzy, just go fuck yourself. You either go out of your way to misrepresent what others say, or you don't understand what they are saying. Keep it up and I will simply ignore you again like I used to. I have noticed you are worthless to any debate, you are just a constant troll. Are you ever going to contribute something?

LOL...

'y = 3.1x'

LOL...

My God you are retarded.

FuzzyLumpkins
10-17-2012, 03:38 PM
So then you don't know what a logarithmic response is.

You can tell me to get fuck myself but we are not the only people that read this. Now people think you are even more full of shit. Bravo.

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 04:03 PM
So then you don't know what a logarithmic response is.

You can tell me to get fuck myself but we are not the only people that read this. Now people think you are even more full of shit. Bravo.

LOL...

It's not the linear y = 3.1x...

Looks like you don't know.

mouse
10-17-2012, 04:30 PM
Wild Cobra 30

FuzzyLumpkins 26

MannyIsGod 27

Agloco 7

FuzzyLumpkins
10-17-2012, 04:39 PM
LOL...

It's not the linear y = 3.1x...

Looks like you don't know.

I never asked what it wasn't, dimwit, and it's readily clear that you don't know what it is.

I'll help you meet the WC standard of fluency: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logarithm

FuzzyLumpkins
10-17-2012, 04:40 PM
Wild Cobra 30

FuzzyLumpkins 26

MannyIsGod 27

Agloco 7

you mr. mouse we ever getting a scoring rubric?

MannyIsGod
10-17-2012, 07:55 PM
Yes, I know. It's a major transport method for water, which then has a primarily logarithmic response on radiative forcing.

lol @ primarly logarithmic response on radiative forcing. I'm not sure if you realize but you're not going to wow me with your googled vocabulary when you don't even use them in the proper manner. Try again.

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 10:41 PM
lol @ primarly logarithmic response on radiative forcing. I'm not sure if you realize but you're not going to wow me with your googled vocabulary when you don't even use them in the proper manner. Try again.
Then maybe I didn't google it? What;'s wrong with what I said? I wasn't formally trained in these areas. I have admitted to improper use of terminology on several occasions. That does not mean my conceptual thinking is wrong.

Think.... for a moment.... think....

From Al Gore's presentation:

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Global%20Warming/ppmCO2.jpg

Stuff I plotted from SpectralCal data:

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Global%20Warming/SpectralCalcCO2lines10to20microns.jpg

From RealClimate, flipped:

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Global%20Warming/TransLongPathsflipped.jpg

From the IPCCC:

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Global%20Warming/IPCCformulasedited.jpg

Theses are sites I went to without googling for the information. Stuff I was already aware of.

MannyIsGod
10-17-2012, 10:46 PM
You can keep posting shit out of context and it wont make a difference. The issue at hand here is your misunderstanding of how a model that takes the atmosphere and condenses it into one layer for purposes in showing a surface temp due to GHG does not need to account for water vapor or heat distribution within that layer. You can keep throwing logrithmic and graphs all over the places and it just proves that you don't understand what the hell you're talking about ti anyone with a clue. Keep going though, its entertaining.

FuzzyLumpkins
10-17-2012, 11:01 PM
I liked how he flipped the one graph so it would look like the other.

:lol primarily

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 11:11 PM
I simply pointed out that there are spectral perturbations which will definitely lead to discontinuities in the spectrum seen on earth. Stefan-Boltzmann is a definite integration of Plancks Law across all spectral frequencies and assumes no discontinuities. Additionally, it's not as simple as breaking the resulting spectrum down into separate expressions as those discontinuities must be dealt with differently at their respective limits. This is an immediately obvious issue, even to a physicist who studies these things just for fun. I'm quite certain that the research group didn't overlook it either.

Please explain how a solid matter that a large asteroid would hold will have these properties. I am completely unaware of this. Such a cloud will not be gaseous, as the solar winds would blow away any small particles and any gas.


To answer your question about "knife edge effects": I assume you mean edge diffraction? We may neglect this effect for A) Sufficiently small particles (ie dust) and B) We don't have a point source of photons. The sun isn't distant enough. In the lab, we'd use lasers which are narrowly diverging, with thin slits or objects to demonstrate those constructive and destructive patterns.

I am thinking in terms of microwave communications, which I was formally trained on. It probably is also called edge diffraction:

http://www.atis.org/glossary/images/knife_ac.gif (http://www.atis.org/glossary/definition.aspx?id=4047)

I cannot fathom this as having a meaningful impact. I was asking if that would be the effect, because it is all I can see plausible to your words.

What spectral differences would there be?

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 11:13 PM
I liked how he flipped the one graph so it would look like the other.

I did that because it does...

One is transmission, the other is absorption. Add them together, and what do you get... That's why they look alike when one is flipped.

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 11:16 PM
You can keep posting shit out of context and it wont make a difference. The issue at hand here is your misunderstanding of how a model that takes the atmosphere and condenses it into one layer for purposes in showing a surface temp due to GHG does not need to account for water vapor or heat distribution within that layer. You can keep throwing logrithmic and graphs all over the places and it just proves that you don't understand what the hell you're talking about ti anyone with a clue. Keep going though, its entertaining.
That's why it's wrong.

ElNono
10-17-2012, 11:16 PM
In terms of the Asteroids videogame, which I was formally trained on, what are the the spectral differences?

http://i50.tinypic.com/szj4tv.jpg

AFAIK, the effects of asteroids can be greatly diminished by just simply shooting at them.

FuzzyLumpkins
10-17-2012, 11:21 PM
I did that because it does...

One is transmission, the other is absorption. Add them together, and what do you get... That's why they look alike when one is flipped.

A flipped graph of bullshit?

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 11:26 PM
In terms of the Asteroids videogame, which I was formally trained on, what are the the spectral differences?

http://i50.tinypic.com/szj4tv.jpg

AFAIK, the effects of asteroids can be greatly diminished by just simply shooting at them.

You are right.

Maybe I should launch MAME and play that game. One of my favorites in the 70's.

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 11:48 PM
In terms of the Asteroids videogame, which I was formally trained on, what are the the spectral differences?

http://i50.tinypic.com/szj4tv.jpg

AFAIK, the effects of asteroids can be greatly diminished by just simply shooting at them.

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Misc/astroids-20pct-cropped.jpg

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Misc/MAME20pct-cropped.jpg

clambake
10-17-2012, 11:52 PM
did you feel some relief when she escaped?

Wild Cobra
10-17-2012, 11:53 PM
Isn't this pretty:

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/science/spectralcalc/spectralcalcCO2isotopes.jpg

Latarian Milton
10-17-2012, 11:57 PM
just don't forget most stuffs you learned from high school are false tbh.

MannyIsGod
10-18-2012, 12:00 AM
In terms of the Asteroids videogame, which I was formally trained on, what are the the spectral differences?

http://i50.tinypic.com/szj4tv.jpg

AFAIK, the effects of asteroids can be greatly diminished by just simply shooting at them.

LMAO!

ElNono
10-18-2012, 12:02 AM
http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Misc/astroids-20pct-cropped.jpg

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x262/Wild_Cobra/Misc/MAME20pct-cropped.jpg

That's pretty funny, tbh... I'm actually one of the original MAME developers. You're welcome.

Not gonna ask where did you get the ROM from, you little pirate, you.

Latarian Milton
10-18-2012, 12:08 AM
be careful tbh, WC has such a great CIA knowledge that he'll track your ass down and find out the precise address of your house based on the only info from the pic you posted, and he'll then show you how dangerous it is to post such a pic on the internet tbh.

ElNono
10-18-2012, 12:11 AM
be careful tbh, WC has such a great CIA knowledge that he'll track your ass down and find out the precise address of your house based on the only info from the pic you posted, and he'll then show you how dangerous it is to post such a pic on the internet tbh.

:lol

Latarian Milton
10-18-2012, 12:16 AM
Please explain how a solid matter that a large asteroid would hold will have these properties. I am completely unaware of this. Such a cloud will not be gaseous, as the solar winds would blow away any small particles and any gas.


but it won't blow away the general gravity which may also affect the travelling of light, i guess most high schools don't teach the general theory of relativity so it's no surprise such a knowledgeable person like you don't know it tbh

MannyIsGod
10-18-2012, 12:24 AM
Its not even that complicated. Anyone ever seen a fucking pane of glass?

Wild Cobra
10-18-2012, 12:35 AM
Its not even that complicated. Anyone ever seen a fucking pane of glass?
That's a solid material. An asteroid dust field isn't.

MannyIsGod
10-18-2012, 12:44 AM
LOL