I disagree with Nate Silver for reasons I care not to disclose

[Ignignokt]

tenx!

[Nbadan]

The world will get shitted on if Romney wins....so your right

[LnGrrrR]

Gtown, bringing the political forum bads per par.

[DarrinS]

Silver will either be a genius or a a hack -- have to wait for the results.

[ElNono]

Silver will either be a genius or a a hack -- have to wait for the results.

pretty much

[Viva Las Espuelas]

wouldn't the correct term be shat?

[kamikazi_player]

lol meltdown

[DJ Mbenga]

he still has 2 days to adjust his numbers.

[Ignignokt]

lol meltdown

lol but you have downs

[Ignignokt]

Gtown, bringing the political forum bads per par.

your ****** wife is cuckolding you

[Nbadan]

Silver will either be a genius or a a hack -- have to wait for the results.

The Democrats thought he was a hack too, until he predicted they'd lose big in 2010.....

[kamikazi_player]

lol but you have downs
lol meltdown

[GoodOdor]

republicans shitting their pants like crazy lately:toast

[Clipper Nation]

Sooo... do the neocons have a better statistical method than Silver uses? If so, what the fuck are you all doing on here instead of making bank? :lol

[kamikazi_player]

republicans shitting their pants like crazy lately:toast
lol hardcore repubs like darrinS and wild cobra

[DMX7]

Romney's campaign will not be dictated by fact checkers!

[Ignignokt]

lol meltdown

lol your obvious meltdown

[kamikazi_player]

lol your obvious meltdown
lol nate silve is a hack bitch
lol meltdown

[Jacob1983]

Isn't the past tense of shit "shat"? I mean if you are using shit as a verb and use it in the past tense, then I'm pretty sure it's shat. Shitted just doesn't sound right. It's like when people say "cutted" or "hitted".

[LnGrrrR]

your ****** wife is cuckolding youSounds like somebody forgot their medication today. Poor Gtown.

[mavs>spurs]

Maybe collectively you all can accomplish what none of you ever could individually. Quick, everyone band together like transformers and form LibTron!

[Winehole23]

considering election day as an at bat, these aren't bad chances:

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743475

[FuzzyLumpkins]

considering election day as an at bat, these aren't bad chances:

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743475

Is intrade something more than a popularity contest based on those with disposable income?

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

The title change doesn't make much sense. OP has disclosed, whether voluntary or not, why he disagrees with Silver. If Silver used the exact same statistical methods and was predicting Romney as the 85% favorite, he'd be toting how reliable Silver is like, just like boutons does.

[Winehole23]

Is intrade something more than a popularity contest based on those with disposable income?it isn't. just pointing out Romney's chances are well north of negligible.

[MannyIsGod]

Who's claiming its negligible?

[boutons_deux]

it isn't. just pointing out Romney's chances are well north of negligible.

1 in 5 chance is low, no matter what you call it. Are we trying to define "negligible" ? :lol

[MannyIsGod]

Its not like this Silvers first go around. Its not like he's the only one in the game either. I really doubt intrade outperformed Silver in the past two elections but I honestly am not sure.

[boutons_deux]

"While that Intrade gap may seem insurmountable for Romney, stranger things have happened. And if it does happen, the site will updating the odds along the way — just as the payouts are constantly updated in horse racing, right up until the race begins.
Unlike horse racing though, Intrade’s participants aren’t necessarily stuck with a bad bet should things sour between now and post time.

Just like the stock market, wagers on an Obama or Romney victory can be bought or sold at any point between now and Nov. 6. Like any stock, those shares may be sold for a loss or a gain as their market value changes. But, it may be possible for a bettor to cut his or her losses early (or lock in a gain) if public opinion starts to shift over the next four weeks.

But here’s the key takeaway — whoever Intrade has as the favorite on Monday, Nov. 5, is stunningly likely to be your next president."

http://investorplace.com/investorpolitics/intrades-presidential-prediction-machine-politics-obama-romney-2012/

AND

http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=6446

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

There wasn't any GOP outrage towards Silver like there is now when he predicted they'd take over the house in 2010. He's also someone who's gone out of way to give fair responses to people who question his statistical methods when they present real arguments....the problem is the Republicans angry at him are too stupid to even understand the stats/math he uses, so they won't be making any valid arguments against them anytime soon.

[boutons_deux]

" Republicans angry at him are too stupid to even understand the stats/math he uses"

The core Repugs base is white men with no education. The world is very confusing and threatening for them, so free-floating anger is their main defense. I'm Mad As Hell, Ergo Sum

[mavs>spurs]

has LibTron defeated ignignokt yet?

[DMX7]

Hey Ignignokt!

[kamikazi_player]

:lmao

[Rick Santorum]

has LibTron defeated ignignokt yet?

No, his stupid ass defeated itself :lmao

[DMX7]

tenx!

Nate just tapped yo ass, bitch.

tenx!

[MannyIsGod]

has LibTron defeated ignignokt yet?

one thing and you gtown have in common? You often defeat yourselves. :tu

[AaronY]

:lol

[RandomGuy]

tenx!

Good to know.

Wrong again.

[Agloco]

Nate has his foot square in a lot of pundits asses tbh.

[Winehole23]

"Horse, with a round fundament, why does it emit a square excrement?"