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View Full Version : The Bush Post-Convention Bounce



Joe Chalupa
09-07-2004, 04:08 PM
www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/09/06/presidential.poll/index.html (http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/09/06/presidential.poll/index.html)

"Bush's convention bounce appeared to be 2 percentage points."--CNN

They have also stated that it is the lowest bounce from any convention.

"Incumbents have gotten an average bounce of slightly more than 6 points in previous elections, so Bush's apparent bounce seems small by historical standards."

"Still, the 2 percentage point bounce could be illusory, since the poll's margin of error was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points."


Where the bounce came from:

Men +6
Women -1

As usual, you can blame men. :p

--Come on Kerry!!

Tommy Duncan
09-07-2004, 04:41 PM
So it moved from 50-47 Bush to 52-45 Bush. Going by the change in the margin that's a 4 point bounce in that poll.

If I recall correctly, Kerry had a negative bounce.

Bandit2981
09-07-2004, 04:44 PM
kerrys bounce didnt come in the popular vote, but rather the electoral college(state by state)

Joe Chalupa
09-07-2004, 05:10 PM
I agree Tommy Duncan, but it is still better then the huge 11-12 point lead Bush reportedly had last week.

SpursWoman
09-08-2004, 01:07 AM
It all depends on what poll you're looking at, Joe. They really vary too widely to pay attention to them.

But if it makes you feel better.... :wink

Joe Chalupa
09-08-2004, 12:10 PM
If only it did make me feel better.... :cry