View Full Version : NFL ATS Picks, Playoffs
Ghazi
01-01-2013, 12:14 AM
Colts @ Ravens -6.5 - I seem to like the Colts here for some reason. I feel like these are the two worst teams in the playoffs, but the Ravens aren't good enough to be getting this many points here. Ravens as I've said for weeks, are simply an average team in every facet of the game... Colts aren't very good either. Quite frankly I haven't watched much of these teams, will need to do more research.
Bengals @ Texans -4 - The Bengals made me some money this year, and I do like Green/Gresham along with Geno Atkins.. pretty physical running game and pass rush. But right now might be a good time to buy on the Texans while their stock is low. This might be a step up in class for the Bengals, who had one of the easiest schedules in the league this year.
Seahawks @ Redskins +3 - The only home underdog here. Seahawks are definitely the superior team, and I feel like their defense might limit the highly gimmicky Redskins offense. A battle of two rookie QBs, I may lean to the road side here.
Vikings @ Packers -7.5 - I hate laying 2 scores, but it makes sense that the Packers are favored by this much. Their defense is a little bit better than last year, and Rodgers is still Rodgers. Still, he has a shaky OL which was exposed last game and has been exposed throughout the year. Think the Packers have given up nearly 40 sacks... yet, is Ponder really gonna win a road playoff game, or keep it close for that matter? Well deserved win for the Vikings last week, but I have a tough time seeing them duplicate it, or even cover.
Might be no plays for me this week... will be all over the Niners next week if the Packers win.
DeadlyDynasty
01-01-2013, 12:51 AM
Ravens (-6.5)...It's no secret I'm pulling for the Colts 1st (Broncos 2nd) in these playoffs--and although Indy has what would appear to be a favorable matchup--Baltimore is loaded with tough, playoff-tested vets who play eveb better at home. Ray Lewis is coming back, as well as some others starters. Ray Rice will have his way with this team, and Ed Reed will more than likely make some game-sealing plays. I think Baltimore wins big here. Furthermore, i have a very strange feeling about the birds going into this postseason...They're much more dangerous to the playoff landscape than people realize.
Ghazi
01-02-2013, 03:08 AM
DD, what are your thoughts on moneylines?
For some reason, I feel like taking GB moneyline bc I'm not totally comfortable laying 2 scores.
I just cant see Ponder playing well enough to win this game. Also the merit of dome teams struggling in cold weather.
Its either that or finding a good tease partner for Packers -1.5
DeadlyDynasty
01-02-2013, 01:35 PM
If there's any game to bet the moneyline on it's be the Pack...I have it at -380 right now.
If you`re going to tease go with Baltimore too.
DUNCANownsKOBE
01-02-2013, 03:33 PM
Betting Houston -4 against Cinci is a bad bet. Pretty much every playoff team in the AFC benefited from an easy schedule this year and Houston is no exception. Meanwhile this Cinci team is different from the 05, 09, and 11 Cinci teams that were in such a state of bliss from making the playoffs that they forgot to actually try and win. They entered the year with expectations so them making the playoffs isn't the amazing story keeping them distracted like it was last year, and they're simply better now. They had a margin of victory over 12 PPG over their final 8 games while Houston got outscored in their final 8 games. Their statistically pretty close and they both have a freak #1 receiver, but Dalton has put up those stats with a mediocre offensive line and running game while Schaub put up his numbers with an elite running game and elite offensive line. As far as who I'd take in the playoffs, it's easily Dalton given how bad Schaub has historically been in the 4th quarter and how much he relies on an elite running game.
Ghazi
01-02-2013, 06:26 PM
gonna do a Gators/Packers ML Parlay despite the bad odds... I dunno why, I just like it a lot.
I just cannot see the Vikings winning this game w/ all of Rodgers' weapons healthy and w/ Ponder on the road, in a cold dome game.
and Louisville should be overwhelmed by the physicality and speed of Florida..
spurtech09
01-02-2013, 09:36 PM
Ravens,Texans,SeaHawks,and Packers.....Book it
Malik Hairston
01-03-2013, 04:03 AM
I love Baltimore this week, tbh, going with 3 units on it..
Betting 1 unit on the Texans and going with 1 unit on Washington money line..
Ghazi
01-03-2013, 04:05 AM
Gators/Packers ML went to shit
now I'm on a teaser w/ Nuggets -2 / Packers -1.5
Home Nuggets have been bank for me this year... please don't let me down :cry
I'm not a huge fan of teasers but this is maybe my favorite one ever, even if it is involving an NBA game..
LnGrrrR
01-03-2013, 01:34 PM
Ravens (-6.5)...It's no secret I'm pulling for the Colts 1st (Broncos 2nd) in these playoffs--and although Indy has what would appear to be a favorable matchup--Baltimore is loaded with tough, playoff-tested vets who play eveb better at home. Ray Lewis is coming back, as well as some others starters. Ray Rice will have his way with this team, and Ed Reed will more than likely make some game-sealing plays. I think Baltimore wins big here. Furthermore, i have a very strange feeling about the birds going into this postseason...They're much more dangerous to the playoff landscape than people realize.
Yeah, I refuse to count out the Ravens ever since they knocked the Pats out at home in the playoffs. That was a hell of a suckerpunch game.
Avante
01-04-2013, 01:06 AM
Packers are one of the best home teams in the league, the Vikes are 9-15 on the road the last three seasons.
Packers - points
Bengals can play on the road, take the points.
Ravens at home vs a rookie QB, Ravens, lay the number.
Only a fool thinks they must play every game. You don't. Two rookie QB's, one on a team far better at home the other on a team with a weak D. Too many....????? A pass.
Horry For 3!
01-05-2013, 02:33 PM
I'll take Texans, Packers, Ravens, Redskins.
I like the Texans to bounce back and Schaub to show up in this game. Packers will win with Rodgers having his guy Cobb back. Vikings need that type of playmaker and Harvin is still out. AP will not carry them to a win. The 2 games tomorrow are toss ups for me. I like Colts but I think Ravens will pull it out just on fact that Ray Lewis is coming back. Also saying that this is his last run will give the Ravens the extra boost to beat the Colts. Then we have the best game of the Wild Card games, Redskins-Seahawks. Both are coming into the playoffs hot, I will have to take the home team on this one with RGIII coming up with a huge play to win it.
DPG21920
01-05-2013, 03:53 PM
Betting Houston -4 against Cinci is a bad bet. Pretty much every playoff team in the AFC benefited from an easy schedule this year and Houston is no exception. Meanwhile this Cinci team is different from the 05, 09, and 11 Cinci teams that were in such a state of bliss from making the playoffs that they forgot to actually try and win. They entered the year with expectations so them making the playoffs isn't the amazing story keeping them distracted like it was last year, and they're simply better now. They had a margin of victory over 12 PPG over their final 8 games while Houston got outscored in their final 8 games. Their statistically pretty close and they both have a freak #1 receiver, but Dalton has put up those stats with a mediocre offensive line and running game while Schaub put up his numbers with an elite running game and elite offensive line. As far as who I'd take in the playoffs, it's easily Dalton given how bad Schaub has historically been in the 4th quarter and how much he relies on an elite running game.
The fact that HOU has an elite OFF LINE and elite RUN GAME is the reason I think HOU wins. Not only that, Cincy will need Dalton to play pretty great (which he is fully capable of) to win, HOU just needs Schuab to manage the game effectively. Cincy is a really solid team, but I'll take a solid defense, great offensive line and great run game when it comes to a wild card game.
Plus, if Schaub actually has a good game, don't see how Cincy can win this one.
Trainwreck2100
01-05-2013, 08:06 PM
Betting Houston -4 against Cinci is a bad bet. Pretty much every playoff team in the AFC benefited from an easy schedule this year and Houston is no exception. Meanwhile this Cinci team is different from the 05, 09, and 11 Cinci teams that were in such a state of bliss from making the playoffs that they forgot to actually try and win. They entered the year with expectations so them making the playoffs isn't the amazing story keeping them distracted like it was last year, and they're simply better now. They had a margin of victory over 12 PPG over their final 8 games while Houston got outscored in their final 8 games. Their statistically pretty close and they both have a freak #1 receiver, but Dalton has put up those stats with a mediocre offensive line and running game while Schaub put up his numbers with an elite running game and elite offensive line. As far as who I'd take in the playoffs, it's easily Dalton given how bad Schaub has historically been in the 4th quarter and how much he relies on an elite running game.
DoK with the jew bads
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