Hurricane Dennis [Archive] - SpursTalk.com Forums

Nbadan

07-07-2005, 06:02 AM

Here we go...

http://www.weatherinsite.com/model%20tracks%203.gif

Maximum Sustained winds of 80 MPH.

Dennis currently looks to be headed to the Alabama-Mississippi-Florida Panhandle region...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT04/refresh/AL0405W_sm2+gif/211359W_sm.gif

Vashner

07-08-2005, 04:31 PM

lol when I saw this on the political forum I figured you where gonna blame Bush for unleashing the hurricane machine. :)

CalsonicKansei

07-08-2005, 06:23 PM

That is what Castro gets, bombarded with all of these hurricanes.

scott

07-08-2005, 10:54 PM

Aggie Hoopsfan

07-09-2005, 02:17 AM

:lol

My sister (Army) was stationed in Hawaii for three years, and didn't see so much as a thunderstorm for two of the three.

She got re-assigned to Ft. Rucker, Alabama last June and they got hit by two hurricanes last year and this looks to be bearing down on them.

Mother Nature can be pretty damn ironic sometimes.

Nbadan

07-09-2005, 03:13 AM

This could be bad news for oil/gas/distillate prices on Monday. Cindy caused power outages in LA and the region lost about 190 mbpd of refining capacity as a result. Will Dennis have a similar impact?

The markets are scared, $61 ppb and climbing...slowly. Any future, serious distruptions in refining capacity could send prices soaring domestically, but I don't think Dennis will be it.

Vashner

07-09-2005, 10:34 AM

Nbadan

07-10-2005, 03:28 AM

This fucker is getting bigger...

145 MPH MAXIMUM WINDS! (CATAGORY 5?)

000
WTNT34 KNHC 100723
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23B...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005
...CORRECTED WIND SPEED TO 145 MPH IN REPEAT SECTION...
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS WITH 145 MPH WINDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA
BEACH...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND
ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 AM CDT...0700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES
SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BILOXI MISSISSIPPI.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL
BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER
TODAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY
BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS
FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET
IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA THIS MORNING.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8
INCHES FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI NORTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES
LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...WITH 1 TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 2 AM CDT POSITION...27.4 N... 85.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 934 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

NOAA (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/081749.shtml)

Nbadan

07-10-2005, 03:58 AM

Here was Hurricane Dennis going by Cuba...

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/Images/Dennis_TMO_2005188.jpg

There may be 32 or more dead in Cuba...

HAVANA (Reuters) - Deadly Hurricane Dennis left behind a battered Cuba with shattered houses, shredded power lines and debris-littered streets on Saturday and reintensified over the warm Gulf of Mexico after a Caribbean rampage that killed at least 32 people.

Dennis weakened as it crossed Cuba from a ferocious 150 mph_(240 kph) hurricane to a 90 mph (144 kph) storm, but immediately regained some of its lost strength when it hit open water and skirted Key West, the popular tourist island at the end of the Florida Keys chain.

The storm headed on a northwest track that threatened key oil and natural gas fields in the Gulf of Mexico, where a quarter of U.S. production comes from, and was expected to hit the U.S. mainland between the Florida panhandle and Mississippi on Sunday.

Roaring winds with gusts of up to 100 mph (165 kph) and driving rain pounded blacked-out Havana all night. Authorities cut off power to avoid accidents from fallen cables.

A weakened Dennis ploughed through the countryside just east of the capital city of 2 million, knocking down trees and power lines, but causing relatively minor damage.

"The wind was terrible and there was so much rain, but we are in one piece here," said the owner of a pizzeria in Guanabo, a beach town 15 miles (23 km) east of Havana.

Reuters (http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=topNews&storyID=2005-07-09T133900Z_01_KNE875021_RTRUKOC_0_WEATHER-DENNIS.xml)

Dennis Currently..

http://abclocal.go.com/three/accuweather/hurricane/images/ushad1.jpg

The current projected movement of Dennis...

http://abclocal.go.com/three/accuweather/hurricane/images/uhad_2.jpg

Maybe they ought to retire the name Dennis for awhile.

scott

07-10-2005, 10:49 AM

violentkitten

07-10-2005, 01:16 PM

Well for the last 20 months you have the top brokers on Wall Street CALLING for $100 dollar barrell crude...

Bunch of dumbasses... hahah. Anyway I am seriously thinking about dumping my ford exploder for a honda...

some goldman analysts forecasted $100 crude within the next few years, if that is what you are referring to. it would take a major, major supply disruption to cause that.

none of the brokerage houses on wall st wants $100 crude. trust me.

scott

07-10-2005, 01:40 PM

The Goldman analyst in question didn't even actually forecast $100 crude, only said that a temporary spike to $100 was possible, but unlikely. There is another analyst (Friedman Billings maybe) that has said $100 crude is possible in the next 6 months. I stand by my glass ceiling of $65-70 for oil prices. The point elasticity of demand beyond that increases exponentially.

TheIf Of jUStiCE

07-10-2005, 02:12 PM

why worry we're in texas

Al Sharpton

09-05-2005, 10:37 AM

Looks Like NBADAN was on to something , he must be a psychic.

If only we would have listen to this man....

scott

09-05-2005, 04:05 PM

stand by my glass ceiling of $65-70 for oil prices. The point elasticity of demand beyond that increases exponentially.

*clears throat*