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View Full Version : NBA: Some value bets for the playoffs..



HarlemHeat37
04-20-2013, 03:08 PM
Miami and OKC reaching the Finals @ 2.5 to 1(value sucks, but the NBA is predictable)
Grizzlies in 7 @ 6 to 1(I'm picking LA to win, but still)
Lakers beat Spurs @ 9 to 1

Checking out the others, probably going with the Lakers in game 1 at 5 to 1, too..

Any of the gamblers(Ghazi, DD) going for any value picks?..

Ghazi
04-20-2013, 03:10 PM
I dont think Ill add any more bets.. I got great value on the Heat at -200 to win the East and +180 to win the title.

I even kind of hedged it with Nuggets +2000 and Spurs +700 to win the title for small amounts.

Only the Heat losing in the East and the Thunder winning it all would pose a disastrous outcome for me.

Ghazi
04-20-2013, 03:11 PM
I actually did a gay parlay with the Spurs, Nuggets, Knicks, and Pacers to win their series. +117.

Ghazi
04-20-2013, 03:13 PM
essentially if Heat win it all I'll win $1300. If they win East but lose Finals I break even. If they lose the East I'm out $1700

Ghazi
04-20-2013, 03:14 PM
I went 3-2 on regular season bets

Magic under 23.5, Nuggets over 51.5, Suns under 32 wins

Thunder under 58 and Cavs over 30.5 losses

HarlemHeat37
04-20-2013, 03:17 PM
I should start making regular season win totals bets next year, tbh..

I've made most of my NBA money betting on Heat and Spurs games the past 2 years, I've gotten pretty good at predicting when the Heat are going to coast and when the Spurs are going to lay down, tbh:lol..


The Over/Under for the Warriors playoff wins is 2.5, I'm easily going under on that, near-lock IMO..

Ghazi
04-20-2013, 03:24 PM
wow gay.. my site isnt offering over/under on series wins.

I wonder what the Bucks is? :lol .5 ?

HarlemHeat37
04-20-2013, 03:39 PM
Ya it is:lol..

DeadlyDynasty
04-20-2013, 04:01 PM
I'm thinking of just betting Miami moneyline bets the first 2 rounds, but if they slip up just once I'll be cleaned out and have broken kneecaps

DeadlyDynasty
04-20-2013, 04:04 PM
The Over/Under for the Warriors playoff wins is 2.5, I'm easily going under on that, near-lock IMO..

I don't know, man...Denver is below-average on the road and Oaktown is nuts in a playoff atmosphere. Throw in Denver's injury issues and that series could easily go 7 (with the home team winning every game). imo

Splits
04-20-2013, 04:16 PM
Funniest line of the props: Miami -22500 to win their series against the Bucks.

In layman's terms, that means if you bet $100 on the Heat to win their series, your win is $0.44.

baseline bum
04-20-2013, 04:17 PM
Wow, LA at 9 to 1? Holy shit, I think that series looks like roughly a toss-up with the Spurs complete lack of bigmen after Duncan and Splitter.

Splits
04-20-2013, 04:19 PM
Wow, LA at 9 to 1? Holy shit, I think that series looks like roughly a toss-up with the Spurs complete lack of bigmen after Duncan and Splitter.

Not sure which site HH is getting 9-1 at, I've got 4.75-1.

InRareForm
04-20-2013, 04:20 PM
Agree with mem In 7 bet.

DeadlyDynasty
04-20-2013, 04:22 PM
Clippers in 5

InRareForm
04-20-2013, 04:27 PM
Denver to win west +750 tbh...

HarlemHeat37
04-20-2013, 06:35 PM
I don't know, man...Denver is below-average on the road and Oaktown is nuts in a playoff atmosphere. Throw in Denver's injury issues and that series could easily go 7 (with the home team winning every game). imo

David Lee may have torn something, tbh..

Latarian Milton
04-20-2013, 08:12 PM
if you know how stern thinks then it would be easy for you to win BIG $ from NBA betting tbh.

midnightpulp
04-20-2013, 11:37 PM
Miami and OKC reaching the Finals @ 2.5 to 1(value sucks, but the NBA is predictable)
Grizzlies in 7 @ 6 to 1(I'm picking LA to win, but still)
Lakers beat Spurs @ 9 to 1

Checking out the others, probably going with the Lakers in game 1 at 5 to 1, too..

Any of the gamblers(Ghazi, DD) going for any value picks?..

Absolute steal.

The "real world" odds for that series are much, much lower, like 2 to 1.

Which site are offering those odds?

HarlemHeat37
04-20-2013, 11:42 PM
Bookmaker and Pinnacle were offering the Lakers at +1000 and +900 when I placed my bets..

midnightpulp
04-20-2013, 11:50 PM
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