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View Full Version : Chances of us splitting in Memphis?



spursfan1000
05-22-2013, 10:37 AM
In % wise what do you think the chance of us splitting is?

i think if Randolph scores less then 12 points in one of the games we split and come back and close it out in San Antonio, :flag:

ErnestLynch
05-22-2013, 10:44 AM
25%

EVAY
05-22-2013, 10:46 AM
By definition isn't it 50%?

Whisky Dog
05-22-2013, 10:48 AM
If they can get the offense going and make shots/play smart for one of the games then we have a good shot of beating the refs slanted call like they did last night. Just have to be really precise and clean down the stretch to not give them chances to make the calls against them to cost the game.

letmk
05-22-2013, 10:48 AM
Since we are winning both games, the chance of splitting is low. :lol

But seriously, although the almost come-back gives Grizzilies more confidence, it shows their hands ans give the Spurs more sense of urgency as well. So I think the chance is quite good since they don't have star player and explosive offense. If it were OKC or GSW, they would've already had the lead after Timmy got his 4th foul.

Whisky Dog
05-22-2013, 10:49 AM
By definition isn't it 50%?

No, it depends on the probability of the action. I can line up a football 70 yards from the goal posts and give you two chances to make a field goal but your chances of making one are definitely not 50%. They're 0% or .00000000000000000000000000000001%

bigfan
05-22-2013, 10:51 AM
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-yvFlHtFdpN8/T11HO8ZIj4I/AAAAAAAABWg/ozYOKOqiyVQ/s1600/interocitor.jpg

According to the Interociter, exactly 53.458% chance of a split.

Amuseddaysleeper
05-22-2013, 10:51 AM
5%

Dex
05-22-2013, 10:52 AM
Hooray arbitrary numbers

gameFACE
05-22-2013, 10:52 AM
With the nice break thrown in it bodes well since they ran out of gas last night. It's a decent amount of time but not enough to get rusty. Only one day off and a couple of practice days. I say the Spurs take Game 4.

EVAY
05-22-2013, 10:53 AM
No, it depends on the probability of the action. I can line up a football 70 yards from the goal posts and give you two chances to make a field goal but your chances of making one are definitely not 50%. They're 0% or .00000000000000000000000000000001%

Thank you and, tbh, I was kidding. I used to teach stat so I understand the nuances, but I enjoy saying that you are either going to do it or you aren't, so it's 50/50. Just being a smart ass. Sorry.

bklynspursfan
05-22-2013, 10:53 AM
It'd probably say 80% "Roaracle" was supposed to be the toughest place to play and we beat them there 2x.

OKC had a chance to win both games in Memphis last round, I see no reason why we can't take 1 there, unless the game is officiated like the 2nd half of last nights game was. Just because we're playing there doesn't mean the same problems the Grizz have scoring the ball won't exist.

With 3 days rest, I'd look for them to come out aggressive like they did Game 3 of the warriors series & put a real stranglehold on this series.

capek
05-22-2013, 10:54 AM
80% you timid fucks

ducks
05-22-2013, 10:55 AM
spurs will win saturday
they have 3 days off plus on day four they play at 6 not even earlier
mem could just cave in after game 3 loss

spurs need duncan to be big in quarter one so tp does not need to carry the load thru three quarters and the 4
would be nice if manu could carry the spurs in one quarter
manu usually plays better on 3 days rest also

boutons_deux
05-22-2013, 10:57 AM
Memories of the backdoor sweep by OKC must burn fiercely.

If only those memories were enough ...

We'll get one, most preferably the first one (series over, here we come South Beach)

Let's see if refs@MEM give the Spurs the FT favor they gave Grizz@SA

CubanMustGo
05-22-2013, 11:02 AM
spurs will win saturday
they have 3 days off plus on day four they play at 6 not even earlier
mem could just cave in after game 3 loss

spurs need duncan to be big in quarter one so tp does not need to carry the load thru three quarters and the 4
would be nice if manu could carry the spurs in one quarter
manu usually plays better on 3 days rest also

Holy crap, that's as close to a Manu complement as I've ever seen coming from ducks.

Ed Helicopter Jones
05-22-2013, 11:03 AM
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-yvFlHtFdpN8/T11HO8ZIj4I/AAAAAAAABWg/ozYOKOqiyVQ/s1600/interocitor.jpg

According to the Interociter, exactly 53.458% chance of a split.

Nice! :tu

sananspursfan21
05-22-2013, 11:08 AM
Sweep anyone?

xellos88330
05-22-2013, 11:11 AM
0% chance.

The Spurs are going to sweep these bitches!!!

Spurs and Mavs fan
05-22-2013, 11:18 AM
By definition isn't it 50%?


Not in real life.

The Milwaukee Bucks didn't have a 50% chance of beating the Heat in the playoffs, even though technically there were two teams playing against each other.

MVPCues
05-22-2013, 11:30 AM
By definition isn't it 50%?

Yep, all things being equal. But based on the most recent emperical data, 0%. The data thus far from a terribly too small sample size suggests Spurs will win every game.

The simplest data driven model would be using the home record for Memphis this year. That is .78. So, the odds of a split based on that alone are 2 * (.78 * .22), which is equal to .34, or 34 %.

The Spurs driven corresponding model would be to use the Spurs road record this year. That is .56. Using that, the odds are 2 * (.56 * .44), = .49, or 49%.

A much better model takes into account the win% of both teams. One model that has been used for this is:

Spct = (S - S*M) / (S + M - 2*S*M)

Where Spct = percent spurs win a game,
S = spurs winning %
M = memphis winning %

When we plug in Spurs road record % and Memphis home record %, we get Spct = .26. So, the chances for a split are 2 * (.26 * .74), which = .38, or 38%.

Using the last model, the % Spurs win both in Memphis is .07. The % memphis wins both is .55.

Since Spurs have already won two in a row, one can conclude at this particular time the percent chance of Spurs winning in Memphis is a little greater than .26. But, these should be realistic numbers based solely on this years road/home records for the two teams.

cd98
05-22-2013, 11:34 AM
Correct me if I'm wrong...Commentators keep saying that the Grizzlies lost the first two games of the series against the Clippers and then won four straight. In that analysis, they leave out that Blake Griffin sprained his ankle pretty badly in practice and could barely do anything on the court after game 4. So basically they accomplished the major feat of beating the Clippers in games 5 and 6 with one of the Clipper's two best players severely injured. If I remember correctly, Griffin struggled to move, unlike Stephon Curry, who appeared to run up and down the court just fine and play a ton of minutes. Yet everytime we hear about the GS series, it's all about Curry's ankle costing them the series.

I know this is whinning, but I just felt like it had to be said.

Uriel
05-22-2013, 11:40 AM
Assuming there's a 45% chance of winning Game 3, and a 45% chance of winning Game 4, the probability of winning at least one of those games is 69.75%.

Or roughly 70%.

LongtimeSpursFan
05-22-2013, 11:44 AM
Either we will split or we won't.

MVPCues
05-22-2013, 11:45 AM
Assuming there's a 45% chance of winning Game 3, and a 45% chance of winning Game 4, the probability of winning at least one of those games is 69.75%.

Or roughly 70%.

Yes... at least one...you are including winning both. In my post, I calculated exactly a split.

Splits
05-22-2013, 11:45 AM
Spurs are +4.5 dogs on Saturday, fwiw

sananspursfan21
05-22-2013, 11:49 AM
Correct me if I'm wrong...Commentators keep saying that the Grizzlies lost the first two games of the series against the Clippers and then won four straight. In that analysis, they leave out that Blake Griffin sprained his ankle pretty badly in practice and could barely do anything on the court after game 4. So basically they accomplished the major feat of beating the Clippers in games 5 and 6 with one of the Clipper's two best players severely injured. If I remember correctly, Griffin struggled to move, unlike Stephon Curry, who appeared to run up and down the court just fine and play a ton of minutes. Yet everytime we hear about the GS series, it's all about Curry's ankle costing them the series.

I know this is whinning, but I just felt like it had to be said.

They also talk it up like they just smoked the thunder. They always leave out the injuries to make them look a little better. Just kind of annoying, buuuut I've not heard them mention us beating a Kobe-less lakers so I guess it's not that big of a deal

urunobili
05-22-2013, 11:50 AM
20

szkorhetz
05-22-2013, 11:52 AM
I truly feel that the team which will win game 3, will take the whole series. Game 3 is a must win!

benefactor
05-22-2013, 11:57 AM
I've said Spurs in 7 and I'm sticking with it...but Memphis' offense is even worse than I expected. At the beginning of the series I would have said 20%...but now I'll up that to 40%.

The Reckoning
05-22-2013, 12:01 PM
damn spurs will seem to have weeks off if they sweep.

go pacers...

Seventyniner
05-22-2013, 12:02 PM
This is one of those things where you'll never know what the true probability is because there's only one shot at it. (Yes I know it's two games but we're talking about the outcome of both together, so it's a single event that will end up 2-0, 1-1, or 0-2)

Spursfanfromafar
05-22-2013, 12:04 PM
75%, for I am sure Pop will get the Spurs to relax a little in Game 4 if they take Game 3.

Horse
05-22-2013, 12:13 PM
They can't score unless their in the penalty or Duncan is off the floor. So if and it's a big if we get the refs to call it down the middle memphis shouldn't even win a game.

phxspurfan
05-22-2013, 12:17 PM
I'd say 20%

Spurs and Mavs fan
05-22-2013, 12:20 PM
The Spurs have three consecutive chances to grab a 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 series lead.


Even winning just one in Memphis puts the Spurs in commanding position to close the game out at home at Game Five.

RD2191
05-22-2013, 12:24 PM
Split? Spurs are going to fukin sweep.

Mr. Body
05-22-2013, 12:34 PM
Pretty good chance. I think Memphis wins Game 3, clearly a pride/have to win game. Game 4 is up in the air, in my opinion.

Beaverfuzz
05-22-2013, 12:37 PM
99.999999999% chance of a split. BOOK IT!

doobs
05-22-2013, 12:43 PM
Assuming each game is a coin toss - a stupid assumption - then the chances of Memphis winning both games is 25%. So, by that highly flawed logic, the Spurs have a 75% chance of winning at least one game.

jehawk81
05-22-2013, 01:24 PM
I don't see how, according to TimVP's suicidal post before G1, Spurs can win 3 of the first 4 games against the overwhelming favorite Grizzlies.. I just don't see it :/

MSPaint
05-22-2013, 01:25 PM
42

DesignatedT
05-22-2013, 01:26 PM
Spurs / Grizz on 3+ days of rest.

Grizz 2-3
Spurs 5-1

On Saturday games

Grizz: 7-6
Spurs: 12-0

buttsR4rebounding
05-22-2013, 01:45 PM
80% you timid fucks

70% we split, 20% we sweep, 10% Grizz sweep.

TJastal
05-22-2013, 02:27 PM
Spurs / Grizz on 3+ days of rest.

Grizz 2-3
Spurs 5-1

On Saturday games

Grizz: 7-6
Spurs: 12-0

Nice stat dump.. good chance the spurs will be be looking at a 3-1 series advantage heading back to SA if not an extended rest before the finals.

look_at_g_shred
05-22-2013, 03:08 PM
Spurs / Grizz on 3+ days of rest.

Grizz 2-3
Spurs 5-1

On Saturday games

Grizz: 7-6
Spurs: 12-0

Nice!

Robz4000
05-22-2013, 03:14 PM
70% chance they take Game 3, 40% they take game 4.

Kidd K
05-22-2013, 03:16 PM
It depends on how bad the officiating is. The Spurs are capable of winning at least one, and my prediction before the series started was Spurs in 5.

Spurs are clearly capable of beating the Grizzlies at their own game, and at our game. It's like people forgot the Spurs were a slow halfcourt team for like 12 years until recently. Our main 3 haven't forgotten how to play that way. Spurs can win at any pace tbh.

The most glaring aspect is how bad the Grizzlies offense struggles against the Spurs' underrated defense (3rd in NBA in defensive rating btw). They will have a lot of trouble scoring 90 points, while 90 for the Spurs is an off night.

In the end, the Spurs' D' is only slightly worse than the Grizzlies' D', and the Spurs' offense is much better than theirs. With Timmy being able to lock down ZBo so badly, the Grizzlies are in trouble unless the refs artificially take Duncan out of the game again.


Spurs / Grizz on 3+ days of rest.

Grizz 2-3
Spurs 5-1

On Saturday games

Grizz: 7-6
Spurs: 12-0

*eyebrow raise* Weird, random stats. . .but thanks! It'd be great if the Spurs could take game 3. :)

McGusto55
05-22-2013, 03:16 PM
Spurs lose game 3...win game 4...

hater
05-22-2013, 03:20 PM
no way Memphis is losing game 3. ANd no way NBA allows it. Series will be 2-1 going into game 4.

Spurs can hope they can somehow steal game 4. Otherwise. Biggest game of the year, Game 5 in San Antonio.

Budkin
05-22-2013, 03:33 PM
Spurs are going all out for Game 3, which they will win.

Richie
05-22-2013, 03:36 PM
I think we win Game 3 and close it out at home in Game 5.

Memphis won't be able to handle a Spurs team coming off 3 days rest IMO.

T Park
05-22-2013, 03:39 PM
Spurs have a great chance to get game 3 if they come out and play smart to start the game in Memphis. If they come out, punch them in the mouth early, I think Memphis starts to pack it in. Z-Bo is already swaying, you could tell last night by his body language. I think if you come out with a great start saturday they can grab that game. If they grab that game its over in 4, cause I think Memphis partially packs it in and Pop and the Spurs will smell blood.

ffadicted
05-22-2013, 03:44 PM
71.36% we win at least one game

TampaDude
05-22-2013, 03:58 PM
Chance of a split? 0%

Chance of a sweep? 100%

Spurs in 4.

T Park
05-22-2013, 04:01 PM
I think we win Game 3 and close it out at home in Game 5.

Memphis won't be able to handle a Spurs team coming off 3 days rest IMO.

I just don't see the Spurs losing if they get game 3. If they get 3 I think they really go in for the kill and end it.

That said if they don't get game 3, its almost a guarantee that its due to them again not doing something right and they get game 4.

Mugen
05-22-2013, 04:01 PM
i think the rest pays off in Game 3 where we win close. Memphis is too good to be swept though.

TD 21
05-22-2013, 06:59 PM
Before the series, I said Spurs in 7, if Parker/Leonard looked at least reasonably close to 100% (and no other significant injury emerged at some point, of course). But that was before it was known that there would be a 3 day break between games 2 and 3. Given what we know now, I like the Spurs chances of getting a split.

BatManu20
05-22-2013, 07:30 PM
We're not sweeping these guys.. They'll at least take one at home. I'll say we win a close Game 4.

BatManu20
05-22-2013, 07:41 PM
We're not sweeping these guys.. They'll at least take one at home. I'll say we win a close Game 4.

Spursmania
05-22-2013, 07:45 PM
Spurs will win Game three!

m33p0
05-22-2013, 08:06 PM
spurs will want to lock that one game asap so game 3 is a 90% win... followed by a letdown in the closing minutes of game 4.

oh, that happened already in round 2.

fuck it. spurs sweep.

Rummpd
05-23-2013, 09:30 AM
spurs will want to lock that one game asap so game 3 is a 90% win... followed by a letdown in the closing minutes of game 4.

oh, that happened already in round 2.

fuck it. spurs sweep.

Would be so sweet to sweep away the memories and over hype that is anything involved with the Grizz - although I think they got one of the best coaches besides Pop outside of Chicago going around.

Spur-Addict
05-23-2013, 10:06 AM
How they played on the road versus G.S SHOULD be a good indicator of their focus, and aggressiveness. Which, was pretty damn good. But this will all depend on how the games are called in the paint. With the likelihood of seeing Duncan or Splitter in foul trouble early in both games, it's a 50/50 shot. You know they will come out super aggressive banging around looking for calls, and they will get a few. Their role players will play better naturally at home, and ours will pull back a bit naturally, on the road. A lot will depend upon those stretches when guys have sit because of said issues.

All that said, 40%.

41times
05-23-2013, 11:35 AM
Game 3 is always the hardest especially when top seed is up 2-0. Because you are going to get the very best effort from Memphis and their fans will be crazy.

The Spurs will simply have to stay calm and take Memphis punches for the first half. LIkely the Spurs will be down at half. Hopefully not by more than 10 but don't be surpirsed if it is worse then that.

Then you just try to chip away in the 3rd and get the game to single digits by 4th qtr and try and steal it in the end when the game is not being played on Emotion but rather on talent.

My gut says Memphis gets the calls tonight and probably gets a win. The NBA does not want a lot of dead time between now and the pre-set Finals.

But if I was a betting man I would bet the Spurs win 1 game in Memphis

elec99
05-23-2013, 12:19 PM
I'm more focused on what the calls will be like, a flagrant foul that extends the game or gives an opponent +4 points can be a game decider in the final minutes of any game.
Imagine OT on the road, the outcome might have been different. Some have speculated that the foul troubles for Timmy was a blessing because it gave him fresh legs for OT, I call BS on that since if he was IN the game playing then the comeback would have never happened as it did.

I'll be looking at any BS calls on defense as we swarm Zbo, I have not seen many yet though you may disagree. If they allow us to continue our defense on zbo and we play like game 3 in GS then I think we'll take it. Their comebacks occur when timmy and parker are resting so if they change their lineups it could alter a possible comeback as well.

That being said, if the Grizz get +14 rebounds, +14fga, and +9 ftas in SA, like in game 2, then I can only imagine the outcome of the game if they get that at their home.

Seventyniner
05-23-2013, 12:26 PM
The Spurs will simply have to stay calm and take Memphis punches for the first half. LIkely the Spurs will be down at half. Hopefully not by more than 10 but don't be surpirsed if it is worse then that.

Then you just try to chip away in the 3rd and get the game to single digits by 4th qtr and try and steal it in the end when the game is not being played on Emotion but rather on talent.

Just the opposite of game 2, huh?


My gut says Memphis gets the calls tonight and probably gets a win. The NBA does not want a lot of dead time between now and the pre-set Finals.

Memphis can have all the calls they want tonight.

tesseractive
05-23-2013, 12:42 PM
Spurs are going all out for Game 3, which they will win.

After learning from last year, the Spurs will come out like their hair is on fire. And I don't see them letting the Grizz off the hook with a 3-0 lead. I think we've got a decent shot at a sweep.

tesseractive
05-23-2013, 12:43 PM
Memphis can have all the calls they want tonight.
:lmao

maverick1948
05-23-2013, 02:06 PM
I'm more focused on what the calls will be like, a flagrant foul that extends the game or gives an opponent +4 points can be a game decider in the final minutes of any game.
Imagine OT on the road, the outcome might have been different. Some have speculated that the foul troubles for Timmy was a blessing because it gave him fresh legs for OT, I call BS on that since if he was IN the game playing then the comeback would have never happened as it did.

I'll be looking at any BS calls on defense as we swarm Zbo, I have not seen many yet though you may disagree. If they allow us to continue our defense on zbo and we play like game 3 in GS then I think we'll take it. Their comebacks occur when timmy and parker are resting so if they change their lineups it could alter a possible comeback as well.

That being said, if the Grizz get +14 rebounds, +14fga, and +9 ftas in SA, like in game 2, then I can only imagine the outcome of the game if they get that at their home.

Post was not bad until you brought this up. Of the 14 rebounds and 14 fga, 7 of them came in a few seconds, and led to 0 points, and a foul. I can only hope they play that poorly again.

The one thing that bothers me is fouls. We were the best team in the league on comminting the fewest number per game. Yet, in the first 2 games, we committed more fouls than Memphis. That just doesnt add up for me. We have to stop fouling the Grizzles. Of the 3 fouls on Duncan in the 3rd, 2 were clear fouls and the 3rd wasnt. Just have to play smart.

look_at_g_shred
05-23-2013, 02:17 PM
I'm actually surprised that we haven't been called for more fouls. I think back to that series in 2011 and I remember getting so many calls trying to defend Z-BO at the beginning of quarters which put Memphis in the bonus early and they made us pay. This time around it's different. I still hold my breath every time we double team Randolph and am shocked to hear no whistle. I guess i'm still plagued by 2011.

Bambililos
05-23-2013, 02:20 PM
70%

JR3
05-23-2013, 03:33 PM
We are more focused on the road. I say it is a 70% chance we win one of the 2 at Memphis. The media has over exagerated home court advantage. At this point in the playoffs, it is more and more irrelevant.

TrainOfThought5
05-23-2013, 07:00 PM
Manu has to step up. we've got to keep our foot on their throats.

therealtruth
05-23-2013, 07:05 PM
It's much better to have a letdown game in game 4. Not giving up game 3 and then hoping to win game 4. That strategy backfired on Pop last year and in '04. Play game 3 to the last second even if you're getting blown out. In the worst case you force them to use energy and prevent them from getting overconfident.

therealtruth
05-23-2013, 07:07 PM
I'm actually surprised that we haven't been called for more fouls. I think back to that series in 2011 and I remember getting so many calls trying to defend Z-BO at the beginning of quarters which put Memphis in the bonus early and they made us pay. This time around it's different. I still hold my breath every time we double team Randolph and am shocked to hear no whistle. I guess i'm still plagued by 2011.

We've got better defenders. Zach has to score against 2 long 7 footers versus Bonner/Dice. TD/Splitter can block him without even jumping.

therealtruth
05-23-2013, 07:28 PM
Game 3 is always the hardest especially when top seed is up 2-0. Because you are going to get the very best effort from Memphis and their fans will be crazy.

The Spurs will simply have to stay calm and take Memphis punches for the first half. LIkely the Spurs will be down at half. Hopefully not by more than 10 but don't be surpirsed if it is worse then that.

Then you just try to chip away in the 3rd and get the game to single digits by 4th qtr and try and steal it in the end when the game is not being played on Emotion but rather on talent.


It's always better to throw the punch first like TP did in game 3 last series.

ErnestLynch
05-23-2013, 10:02 PM
By definition isn't it 50%?
50% the first game, 50% the second game. So I think statistically that's 25%, ain't it ? Hell it's been years since I took statistics. I'm sure someone here knows. 1/2 x 1/2 or some such shit.

I guess 25% would be them winning them both ?

SouthTexasRancher
05-23-2013, 10:44 PM
We'll definitely split in Memphis and come back here and win game 5 so we can go kick Miami's sorry ass!

weeks
05-23-2013, 11:27 PM
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-yvFlHtFdpN8/T11HO8ZIj4I/AAAAAAAABWg/ozYOKOqiyVQ/s1600/interocitor.jpg

According to the Interociter, exactly 53.458% chance of a split.

fuck i love that movie.
"are you boys cooking up there?"
"no"
"are you boys building an interociter up there?"
"no!!"

DrSteffo
05-24-2013, 12:24 AM
No Splitter joke yet?

hooperflash
05-24-2013, 12:49 AM
Gm 3 will be the game we have the best chance of winning outta the two games in Memphis. Shock the world and win them both!

racm
05-24-2013, 06:49 AM
Pretty good, tbh...

A more receptive home crowd won't make Tony Allen and Tayshaun Prince knockdown 3 point shooters, and as long as Hollins sticks with his rotation his team will struggle on offense - or surrender defense.

Spurs and Mavs fan
05-24-2013, 09:36 AM
I think that an NBA team, when leading a series 2-0, is kind of like a "one-and-one" free throw situation. If you make the first one (winning Game 3,) then suddenly Game 4 is there for the taking.

Game 4 should be far easier to win when leading 3-0 than leading 2-1. Lead 2-1, and the Memphis home crowd will be fully revved up in Game 4, motivated and energetic. Lead 3-0, and that same crowd will be deflated, spiritless and depressed. Same may go for a lot of players' psyches.

Legacy
05-24-2013, 11:08 AM
.................................................. ........................................

Legacy
05-24-2013, 11:09 AM
Sweep anyone?


0% chance.

The Spurs are going to sweep these bitches!!!


I truly feel that the team which will win game 3, will take the whole series. Game 3 is a must win!


Gm 3 will be the game we have the best chance of winning outta the two games in Memphis. Shock the world and win them both!


I've got that 'sweeping feeling' as well lately. Or maybe it was all just a dream I had. :lol

We shall see...

I originally said Spurs in 5, 6 tops... but HELL, I wouldn't mind another sweep. :toast

I don't care if I'm right or I'm wrong about this ish, either.

FUCK Memphis!! Go SAY-TOWN!! :p:

Horry Hipcheck
05-24-2013, 01:54 PM
Game 3 will be a huge challenge not just because Memphis will be looking for a counterpunch in their home gym, but because Hollins figured out that his first two starting lineups didn't work and seems likely to trot out Pondexter and Bayless from the beginning. Defensively, that should hurt them, but it's not like their defense has really slowed the Spurs down so far. The Spurs just need to continue to impose their will, and be stubborn as hell about it, because Memphis is likely to come out guns blazing in the hopes of recreating their late Game 2 run. The Spurs dicked around with Golden State plenty last series, it's about time they locked down and shifted into championship gear.

DMC
05-24-2013, 02:08 PM
They'll split as soon as game 4 ends. Chances are high.

Spurs and Mavs fan
05-24-2013, 02:12 PM
I'd be surprised if the Spurs don't emerge from Memphis with at least one road win.

DMC
05-24-2013, 02:16 PM
Wow it's thick up here. Really? You think the Spurs are going to win in Memphis? Did you see their home record? It's close to ours.

Horry Hipcheck
05-24-2013, 03:06 PM
Wow it's thick up here. Really? You think the Spurs are going to win in Memphis? Did you see their home record? It's close to ours.

Roaracle was also supposed to be an impossible arena to win in, and the Spurs nearly took all 3 of their games there.

JR3
05-24-2013, 04:21 PM
Wow it's thick up here. Really? You think the Spurs are going to win in Memphis? Did you see their home record? It's close to ours.
Yes. Really.

timtonymanurich
05-24-2013, 05:21 PM
We'll leave Memphis 3-1. Whether that's Saturday night, or Monday. BOOK IT

Arcadian
05-24-2013, 05:26 PM
40% Spurs win both
40% Split
20% Griz win both

Budkin
05-24-2013, 06:07 PM
Confident we'll win Game 3.

Avitus1
05-24-2013, 06:09 PM
http://www.google.com/url?q=http://images5.fanpop.com/image/photos/29800000/It-s-over-9000-its-over-9000-29849302-496-370.jpg&ei=BPOfUZr4FdPK0AXF3YHQCA&sa=X&oi=unauthorizedredirect&ct=targetlink&ust=1369438732361728&usg=AFQjCNGb6hny5oR1GWrQrKTBYxwzts-Bbg

emanueldavidginobili
05-24-2013, 06:37 PM
Confident we'll win Game 3.

maverick1948
05-24-2013, 06:46 PM
Using statistical analysis to project the winner of a basketball game is impossible. Too many varibles. That being said you can use simple data of the past to attempt to put a value out there. ie. wins vs losses. Team strenght. Injury and who rested etc., to come up with a "WILD HAIR" guess.

My wild hair guess would be Spurs will have a 66 % chance of winning 1 of the 2 games. If they win game 3, then I would say it drops to about 40% for game 4 because of the home court advantage and the Grizz wanting to at least show their fans that they belonged in the finals.

milkyway21
05-24-2013, 07:06 PM
strong memories of blowing a 2-0 lead to Oklahoma City in the Western finals :blah:

tired of hearing & reading the news about that 2-0 and the sweep, can we just win game 3? one at a time........

wildcardX
05-24-2013, 07:31 PM
I don't see why they can't win both games, why not? Especially game 3. They have 3 days rest and a chance to make adjustments. Memphis will be playing for their lives and try to bully their way to a win. NO,NO,NO the Spurs can't let that happen and they won't. They are at the same pointas last year and they MUST and WILL learn from 2011, 2012, Game 2, and Memphis coming back on the Clippers, the Spurs need to come out guns blazing. It's all about increasing the intensity and DEFENSE!!!! Time the physically work the bully. Memphis prides themselves in tough defense and grinding out wins. The Spurs did that through 4 championships. We had Bruce Bowen before Memphis had that drama queen Allen. Time to get back to those roots and kick these guys asses already!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHxIssSROjk

ginobilized
05-25-2013, 12:47 AM
33.3% that the Spurs split in Memphis
33.3% that Spurs win both
33.3% that Spurs lose both

Legacy
05-25-2013, 11:25 PM
So what do ya'll think the chances are that we also steal the next game come Monday night? :p: