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InRareForm
05-28-2013, 11:23 AM
Projected Finals Odds: #Heat -330 over #Spurs +270 (implying 74% chance of Miami winning Title) - via bookmaker

MeatCatalog
05-28-2013, 11:49 AM
Projected Finals Odds: #Heat -330 over #Spurs +270 (implying 74% chance of Miami winning Title) - via bookmaker

Seems about right. I'll be at game 3 or 4 because I don't honestly expect there to be a game 6.

That said, all I can say is that Spoelstra is a hack and if Pop had lebron and 13 monkeys on a team, said team would go 75 and 7. Why the 7 losses? As we know, Pop refuses to play his starters on back to back nights.

For that I give the spurs hope. If spurs win Kawai will be MVP for containing lebron.

DPG21920
05-28-2013, 11:51 AM
Seems about right. MIA with home court (and the talent they have) should be pretty heavy favorites. Spurs match up better than anyone against them (IMO, Spurs are just a better overall version of the Pacers) so it should be a good series.

DUNCANownsKOBE
05-28-2013, 11:57 AM
Seems about right. MIA with home court (and the talent they have) should be pretty heavy favorites. Spurs match up better than anyone against them (IMO, Spurs are just a better overall version of the Pacers) so it should be a good series.

Agreed, the only thing the Pacers do better than them is offensive rebound, but the Spurs actually have PGs and SGs capable of dribbling and shooting a basketball which is kinda a big deal.

DPG21920
05-28-2013, 12:00 PM
For sure. It was my same logic with OKC when comparing the MEM series against them. Spurs just did everything better and you saw you could be in every game against MEM even with your best player being limited (like KD was, and as I was expecting TP to be somewhat). Difference is, TP went beast mode and that's why you see the sweep (along with other key factors obviously).

D-Wade
05-28-2013, 12:04 PM
With Parker and Duncan balling, I'm a little worried. I think this series will be closer than people think. Heat still haven't been able to shoot the 3 in these playoffs. If the role players finally start hitting and Wade finally gets back into 20ppg club -- needs to average that in the finals -- then I'd say the Spurs have no shot.

Dunc n Dave
05-28-2013, 12:08 PM
Seems about right. I'll be at game 3 or 4 because I don't honestly expect there to be a game 6.

You DO realize the Finals are a 2-3-2 format, right? As long as the Spurs don't get swept, there will be 3 home games in San Antonio (Games 3, 4, and 5). If you're holding out hope for Game 6 tickets, better get a plane ticket to Miami along with it...

Homeland Security
05-28-2013, 02:01 PM
if Pop had lebron and 13 monkeys on a team, said team would go 75 and 7.
This is truth. Pop protege Mike Brown went 66-16 with a team like that.

The Reckoning
05-28-2013, 02:03 PM
time to put in all the marbles on this. im gonbe rich.

Legacy
05-28-2013, 02:37 PM
With Parker and Duncan balling, I'm a little worried. I think this series will be closer than people think. Heat still haven't been able to shoot the 3 in these playoffs. If the role players finally start hitting and Wade finally gets back into 20ppg club -- needs to average that in the finals -- then I'd say the Spurs have no shot.

I would be VERY concerned if I were you, too. Try to finish up your series. I still see The Pacers coming back to steal at least one, maybe two games... who knows... :lol

Darius McCrary
05-28-2013, 02:54 PM
Seems right, i been saying we have a 20%.chance at this, 25% at best.

Legacy
05-28-2013, 02:58 PM
Seems right, i been saying we have a 20%.chance at this, 25% at best.

:lol chickenshit

Budkin
05-28-2013, 05:00 PM
I give us more like a 40-45% chance.

hater
05-28-2013, 05:04 PM
Spurs have a bonafide superstar and championship experience, not to mention best coach in the league.

that's good enough for 2 games at the bare min IMO. Heat still have not faced a team with a superstar all playoffs :lmao

Servers still crunching #s, but yet, it will be a long series. about 6 games. Heat favorite by 2-1

BUMP
05-28-2013, 05:16 PM
I give us more like a 40-45% chance.

I don't get it. That means you're also picking them to lose right?

Unless the Spurs can get 40-45% of a victory as opposed to 25% of a victory?

Budkin
05-28-2013, 05:56 PM
I don't get it. That means you're also picking them to lose right?

Unless the Spurs can get 40-45% of a victory as opposed to 25% of a victory?

Just saying that our chances of beating them are low but not as low as Vegas is giving them.

FkLA
05-28-2013, 06:05 PM
I give us like a 47.33% chance tbh.

Axe Murderer
05-28-2013, 06:07 PM
I give us like a 47.33% chance tbh.

Don't sell yourself short imho

I would say more like 48.376%

Richie
05-28-2013, 06:11 PM
With Parker and Duncan balling, I'm a little worried. I think this series will be closer than people think. Heat still haven't been able to shoot the 3 in these playoffs. If the role players finally start hitting and Wade finally gets back into 20ppg club -- needs to average that in the finals -- then I'd say the Spurs have no shot.

If Allen and Battier continue shooting a combined 30% from 3, I don't see how the Heat can win tbh. Sadly for the Spurs, I think they will both turn it up if they make the Finals.

irishock
05-28-2013, 06:11 PM
Good value

racm
05-29-2013, 12:16 AM
For sure. It was my same logic with OKC when comparing the MEM series against them. Spurs just did everything better and you saw you could be in every game against MEM even with your best player being limited (like KD was, and as I was expecting TP to be somewhat). Difference is, TP went beast mode and that's why you see the sweep (along with other key factors obviously).

Parker went 15-21 in a closeout game against Grizz this season.
Durant went 5-21, including missing a potential game-tying jumper, in a closeout game against the Grizz this season.

:downspin:

Otaku
05-29-2013, 12:56 AM
Spurs in 5