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View Full Version : NBA Calculating Effective Defense Rate (eDEF%)... Look Who's At The Top In The Finals



GSH
06-13-2013, 06:10 PM
http://stats.nba.com/featured/new_way_to_look_at_defense_2013_06_13.html?ls=iref :nbahpt3c


Scenarios like these have encouraged the NBA to work on a new statistic called the Effective Defensive Rate (eDEF%) to better measure defensive contribution. At its core, the statistic represents the percentage of defensive possessions that end in good outcomes for the defense when a given player is on the floor. Good outcomes for the defense are things like missed shots and turnovers, while the bad outcomes are made shots and free throws. If a player has an eDEF% above 50%, then he forces more good outcomes (for his team) than bad. The higher the eDEF%, the more good defensive possessions the player produces and the stronger he is as a defensive player.

But the statistic is more than a simple ratio; it weighs defensive outcomes based on historical implications. That is, eDEF% realizes that LeBron James, Chris Bosh, and the other Heat players on the floor did a good job of forcing Parker to take a tough shot. Had Parker's shot missed, the Heat players would have been given more credit than if they had allowed Parker to snake his way into the paint but missed a layup, or allowed him to kick the ball to Danny Green for an open corner three, that he missed (don't worry, we'll get to this). Since Parker's shot went in, we still penalize the Heat, but more often than not, that shot would miss, and we would give the Heat praise for good defense. Essentially, this statistic determines which defensive possessions lead to stops more often, and weighs those possessions accordingly.


Tracy McGrady= All-World Defensive Player.

Sorry... I should have known some dumb shit would take 5 seconds to look, and notice the aberration of a player who's only played 15 minutes. I'll include some quotes of what really matters from the article:

'Also, it's time to recognize Tiago Splitter and Kawhi Leonard for their fantastic work on the defensive end of the floor. Both of these players rated very highly throughout the season based on eDEF%, and those results are being magnified in the Finals. "

"It's been clear that the Heat have struggled to get to the rim during the Finals -- only 28% of their shots have come from the restricted area in the Finals compared to 33% during the regular season -- and Splitter is a big reason why, even more so than Tim Duncan."

"Based on our analysis, Leonard and Splitter have been the ones protecting the basket for the Spurs, while Diaw and Bonner have not (although like Ray Allen, Diaw and Bonner are not really in the game because of their defense). We expected to see Splitter and Duncan at the top of this list, but Leonard has actually been the most influential defender of the basket area for Spurs in this series, "

Blind Witness
06-13-2013, 06:13 PM
Tracy McGrady= All-World Defensive Player.

DPG21920
06-13-2013, 06:16 PM
Cool stat to add to the mix. Also pretty crazy that Tiago truly seems to be one of those "box scores don't tell the story" players. Before the finals, I believe in the playoffs in all the Spurs wins Tiago played 23+MPG. In losses? Only 14 or less on average. Spurs are better with Tiago on the floor.

Blind Witness
06-13-2013, 06:23 PM
Sorry... I should have known some dumb shit would take 5 seconds to look, and notice the aberration of a player who's only played 15 minutes. I'll include some quotes of what really matters from the article:

'Also, it's time to recognize Tiago Splitter and Kawhi Leonard for their fantastic work on the defensive end of the floor. Both of these players rated very highly throughout the season based on eDEF%, and those results are being magnified in the Finals. "

"It's been clear that the Heat have struggled to get to the rim during the Finals -- only 28% of their shots have come from the restricted area in the Finals compared to 33% during the regular season -- and Splitter is a big reason why, even more so than Tim Duncan."

"Based on our analysis, Leonard and Splitter have been the ones protecting the basket for the Spurs, while Diaw and Bonner have not (although like Ray Allen, Diaw and Bonner are not really in the game because of their defense). We expected to see Splitter and Duncan at the top of this list, but Leonard has actually been the most influential defender of the basket area for Spurs in this series, "[/QUOTE]

Good article. Emotional OP.

Calm thyself.

freetiago
06-13-2013, 06:23 PM
Tiago most underrated player in Spurs history
gets shit on in every post and by every fan
in every advanced statistic hes basically top 3 and he helped rejeuvenate Duncans career by taking a lot of pressure off him instead of making Duncan carry the turds loads as well as his own

GSH
06-13-2013, 06:29 PM
Good article. Emotional OP.

Calm thyself.


Good job. Your 50th post is exactly when you should start telling other people what to say here. Work your way up to 75, and I'm sure they will give you the authority to ban user accounts.


Dumb shit.

milkyway21
06-13-2013, 06:36 PM
finally recognized.
And he always plays well against Miami. One of his best games was when the
Spurs bench almost won vs Miami in Nov. w/o TD, TP, Green, Manu & Kawhi, with highest scorer Neal.

Blind Witness
06-13-2013, 06:36 PM
Good job. Your 50th post is exactly when you should start telling other people what to say here. Work your way up to 75, and I'm sure they will give you the authority to ban user accounts.


Dumb shit.

I can only hope. Maybe me talk pretty one day too.
Couple more thousand posts and maybe I'll get to your level.

Keep being an unlikable bitch, though. Please.

DPG21920
06-13-2013, 06:40 PM
The eIFP% (effective Internet Feud Potential) for Blind Witness is 58.56%. GSH has an eIFP% of 57.66%. The league average for eIFP% is 46% so you have two superstars really going head-to-head in this situation.

GSH
06-13-2013, 06:43 PM
The eIFP% (effective Internet Feud Potential) for Blind Witness is 58.56%. GSH has an eIFP% of 57.66%. The league average for eIFP% is 46% so you have to superstars really going head-to-head in this situation.


LOL... it's sort of like drinking. These days I usually limit myself to two (comments), and then I quit.

DPG21920
06-13-2013, 06:44 PM
Haha - although with the Spurs in the finals my eDPG% (DPG's Drinks Per Game) has gone up.

Baam
06-13-2013, 06:44 PM
Sorry... I should have known some dumb shit would take 5 seconds to look, and notice the aberration of a player who's only played 15 minutes. I'll include some quotes of what really matters from the article:


The sample size is very small for everyone, don't be emo about it. TMac rules deal with it.

ironman2886
06-13-2013, 06:46 PM
Splitter is very underrated. Kawhi has been doing an excellent job on James, and in the playoffs in general. Some NBA writers just blame bad shooting by LBJ. :bang. As a defensive starting unit, Splitter, Duncan, Kawhi, Green, and Parker at the top in the league is shocking.

Blind Witness
06-13-2013, 06:47 PM
LOL... it's sort of like drinking. These days I usually limit myself to two (comments), and then I quit.

I think there is a flaw in those numbers. I believe I've been highly overrated. My sample size is obviously too small for such computations to be accurate.

Yes, GSH- I know what overrated means. I can only pray I used "accurate" accurately though.

GSH
06-13-2013, 06:47 PM
Haha - although with the Spurs in the finals my eDPG% (DPG's Drinks Per Game) has gone up.


Oh, no. Don't tell me that's where the DPG came from. Seriously? Or is that just a happy coincidence?

You know, you can screw with that Drinks Per Game number if you make them in those 44-ounce cups from Valero. "No... honest. I've only had two."

Baam
06-13-2013, 06:49 PM
Splitter is very underrated. Kawhi has been doing an excellent job on James, and in the playoffs in general. Some NBA writers just blame bad shooting by LBJ. :bang. As a defensive starting unit, Splitter, Duncan, Kawhi, Green, and Parker at the top in the league is shocking.

He's not underated at all, some people think he's worth 10+ M and would rather keep him even if we had a shot at Howard. He's as overated as you can be on Spurstalk.

DPG21920
06-13-2013, 06:49 PM
That was just my creativity and quick-wit. DPG stands for Duncan Parker Ginobili aka Da Point Guard

ironman2886
06-13-2013, 06:54 PM
He's not underated at all, some people think he's worth 10+ M and would rather keep him even if we had a shot at Howard. He's as overated as you can be on Spurstalk.
Bullshit. If anything, ST posters shit on him on most nights. Adjectives such as "Pussy" and "soft," most referencing him. If the spurs don't pay him, some team will. Easily.

GSH
06-13-2013, 06:55 PM
I can only pray I used "accurate" accurately though.




You used it perfectly.

I'll make you a deal. When you don't say anything stupid, I won't say that you made a stupid comment. (And that doesn't comment toward my two. It's a serious offer.)

Beaverfuzz
06-13-2013, 06:55 PM
Dumb stat.

Blind Witness
06-13-2013, 07:04 PM
You used it perfectly.

I'll make you a deal. When you don't say anything stupid, I won't say that you made a stupid comment. (And that doesn't comment toward my two. It's a serious offer.)


Thank you. Offer taken.

But if you think I make another "stupid" comment, I can count on you to be there to be a whiny bitch about it.

Correct? I just want to know what to expect here. My post count is so low and all...

Brunodf
06-13-2013, 07:04 PM
Our frontcourt is great defensively and Pop shouldn't play small, nothing new here.

therealtruth
06-13-2013, 07:56 PM
Tiago most underrated player in Spurs history
gets shit on in every post and by every fan
in every advanced statistic hes basically top 3 and he helped rejeuvenate Duncans career by taking a lot of pressure off him instead of making Duncan carry the turds loads as well as his own

It just shows who knows basketball and who doesn't know basketball. The people who look at the boxscore and say Tiago is a scrub don't know basketball.