View Full Version : 2013 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Avante
09-16-2013, 01:52 AM
I'll keep my plays in this thread. Both my straight up and ATS. Since I played the Bengals tomorrow night I'll need the results.
Totally kicking ass with my straight up plays, starting out weak as usual in the ATS. This will be the only thread I talk about this in starting now.
Oh yeah.....
Am I the only one here who realizes this is only....WEEK TWO!!!!!!!!...? No the Chiefs/Dolphins aren't that good, no Kaepernick didn't all of a sudden start sucking, no the Vikings aren't that bad......etc etc
Slow down people....damn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Remember last season?
The Ravens had a three game losing streak.
The Cards started off 4-0.
Denver was 2-2.
Vikings 4=1.
Pats 1-2
Eagles..3-1
Seattle 2-2
Redskins 2-3
Slow down..ok?
DUNCANownsKOBE
09-16-2013, 06:53 AM
We remember last season. You went 51% with your bets after claiming you'd go 70%, then you threw your son under the bus you fat ol' fuck.
KoolAid Mans Brother
09-16-2013, 09:46 AM
We remember last season. You went 51% with your bets after claiming you'd go 70%, then you threw your son under the bus you fat ol' fuck.
:lmao
Clipper Nation
09-16-2013, 10:26 AM
We remember last season. You went 51% with your bets after claiming you'd go 70%, then you threw your son under the bus you fat ol' fuck.
:lmao Avante
:lmao Self-proclaimed "betting expert"
:lmao Terrible at betting
:lmao Didn't know how odds work
:lmao Throwing Mason under the bus
:lmao "You can always tell the rookies"
:lmao "This is gonna be fun hahahahaha"
:lmao "Just wait until the ATS plays start to kick in"
:lmao Celebrating and gloating on the rare occasion that you're a miniscule percentage point over .500 for the week
:lmao Known welcher
:lmao Faggot
Blake
09-16-2013, 10:59 AM
Fat ol fuck with the usuals.
"I'm kicking strawman ass with my straight up plays"
That's Funked Up
09-16-2013, 11:09 AM
Fat ol fuck with the usuals.
"I'm kicking strawman ass with my straight up plays"
"Ill just pick whoever the favorites are oh they won, well I'm so smart"
KoolAid Mans Brother
09-16-2013, 11:18 AM
:lol Avante desperately trying to still convince everyone that he is an NFL expert when he has been exposed over and over again as a liar, welcher, and an under .500 better against the spread for over a season. It was comical, but now it's just becoming sad
:lol who gives a fuck about straight up plays. pick the favorites every game, and win most of them. wow, such skill :lol
Avante
09-16-2013, 11:31 AM
The fun with the straight up plays is beating all those in the business of knowing this stuff. Which I'm doing right now and will do.
You can always tell the rookies, they can't seem to understand.....20 weeks to go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Picking ATS winners is far easier as the season progresses and we start seeing reality. I historically start off slow, no big deal at all.
There will come a time where it's...ok ok guy so ya know this stuff....so what?
If anyone here wants to challenge me in those sissy straight up plays I will kick you ass.
It would be cool if more of you actually did something yourself.
Avante
09-21-2013, 06:13 AM
Week 3
Jax + 19.5
St.Louis + 3.5
GB -3
NO -7.5
NE-7
Det pk
Chi -2
NYG +1.5
Blake
09-21-2013, 06:52 AM
There will come a time where it's...ok ok guy so ya know this stuff....so what?
That time will never come here. But so you don't know shit and you blame it on your son....so what?
If anyone here wants to challenge me in those sissy straight up plays I will kick you ass.
It would be cool if more of you actually did something yourself.
fuck off, sissy
Avante
09-21-2013, 06:55 AM
That time will never come here. But so you don't know shit and you blame it on your son....so what?
fuck off, sissy
Stick to doing nothing yourself but following those of us who do around...ok?
What are your picks faggot? Put up or shut the fuck up.
spurraider21
09-21-2013, 07:23 PM
so from my experience, upstairs blake just follows sbm and sa210 around, and in the nfl forum blake just follows avante around.:tu
leemajors
09-21-2013, 10:49 PM
so from my experience, upstairs blake just follows sbm and sa210 around, and in the nfl forum blake just follows avante around.:tu
Newb
Avante
09-21-2013, 11:26 PM
so from my experience, upstairs blake just follows sbm and sa210 around, and in the nfl forum blake just follows avante around.:tu
I'm pretty much all he does.
Blake
09-22-2013, 12:50 PM
so from my experience, upstairs blake just follows sbm and sa210 around, and in the nfl forum blake just follows avante around.:tu
You should follow me into the college forum as well. :tu
spurraider21
09-22-2013, 01:38 PM
You should follow me into the college forum as well. :tu
Why who do you stalk in that forum?
Blake
09-22-2013, 02:22 PM
Why who do you stalk in that forum?
I don't really think I follow anyone specific. I see a thread that looks like fun and open it.
But since you're following me around, I figured it would be fun to get your opinion on who I follow around over there.
KoolAid Mans Brother
09-22-2013, 08:34 PM
Week 3
Jax + 19.5
St.Louis + 3.5
GB -3
NO -7.5
NE-7
Det pk
Chi -2
NYG +1.5
:lmao 3-4 so far
:lmao under .500 as always
:lmao betting expert
:lmao NFL Historian
:lmao "slow down, it's only week two, sheeeeesh"
:lmao 49ers giving up 27 points or more every game so far this season
:lmao thinking the 49ers would be in the Super Bowl again because a few magazine writers told you that
:lmao Colin Kaeperchimp
:lmao "$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$"
:lmao even your masterful straight up picks went down the toilet this weekend
Clipper Nation
09-22-2013, 08:37 PM
:lmao 3-4 so far
:lmao under .500 as always
:lmao betting expert
:lmao NFL Historian
:lmao "slow down, it's only week two, sheeeeesh"
:lmao 49ers giving up 27 points or more every game so far this season
:lmao thinking the 49ers would be in the Super Bowl again because a few magazine writers told you that
:lmao Colin Kaeperchimp
:lmao "$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$"
:lmao even your masterful straight up picks went down the toilet this weekend
:cry "Those were Mason, I mean, Chris's picks. You can always tell the rookies, it's week.....THREE~~~~" :cry
DUNCANownsKOBE
09-22-2013, 08:40 PM
:lmao he thought he was such a fuckin genius "There's no way Seattle is gonna cover a 19.5 point spread!"
Avante
09-22-2013, 10:58 PM
Hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!
7-11-2 so far this season. Right now we are getting a feel for the 2013. This gets far easier as the season progresses.
Avante
09-23-2013, 04:01 AM
Might as well lay the 15.5 tonight. Terrell Pryor vs Peyton Manning.
Broncos the play.
Last season 37-6 in week 4 in Denver, I see something similiar. They have covered the last three vs Oakland.
Raiders 1-16 ATS vs a division opponet after a ATS (Jax) win in Sept.
Denver a plus 40 the Raiders a plus 6.
Blake
09-23-2013, 08:03 AM
Hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!
7-11-2 so far this season. Right now we are getting a feel for the 2013. This gets far easier as the season progresses.
you're a douche
spurraider21
09-23-2013, 01:09 PM
Might as well lay the 15.5 tonight. Terrell Pryor vs Peyton Manning.
Broncos the play.
Last season 37-6 in week 4 in Denver, I see something similiar. They have covered the last three vs Oakland.
Raiders 1-16 ATS vs a division opponet after a ATS (Jax) win in Sept.
Denver a plus 40 the Raiders a plus 6.
peyton stuffed our shit in last year twice, so its reasonable to expect the same. however, getting 2+ touchdowns in a division game is pretty generous. also important to note the raiders defense has 9 new starters from last year. I wouldn't be surprised if the raiders covered this line by a hair. 31-17 or so
Avante
09-23-2013, 11:27 PM
A rookie QB on the road on MNF vs Peyton Manning? I was never worried until the last 5 minutes when the Broncos started turning it over.
Avante
09-27-2013, 12:46 PM
Ok 8-11-2 and this is the week it starts to turn around.
NO - 6.5
Ind - 8.5
Den -11.5
Atl -2
KC - 4.5
Wash - 3
Jets + 3.5
Det -3
SD +2
spurraider21
09-27-2013, 01:44 PM
Redskins should not be favored on the road. Against anybody.
Avante
09-27-2013, 04:42 PM
Redskins should not be favored on the road. Against anybody.
I agree and was surprised to see this line. But, I do see a perfect "spot" for the Redskins to finally win a game.
spurraider21
09-27-2013, 07:55 PM
gambler's fallacy. its like putting it all on black because red hit 3 straight times. just because they haven't won yet, it doesn't mean they are bound to win
Avante
09-27-2013, 08:26 PM
gambler's fallacy. its like putting it all on black because red hit 3 straight times. just because they haven't won yet, it doesn't mean they are bound to win
Trust me at no time this season do I bet on the Jags because....they are bound to win...ok?
Terrelle Pryor is queStionable for this game, the Raiders can't score. They have no real strength. There is a reason the Skins are favored on the road, the perception is they are a good team having some hard times, while the Raiders are just the same old Raiders.
spurraider21
09-27-2013, 08:35 PM
The Raiders are 2-1 ATS this year, only failing to cover in Denver. How is washington ats?
Avante
09-29-2013, 02:59 AM
The Raiders are 2-1 ATS this year, only failing to cover in Denver. How is washington ats?
That is a trend you totally ignore it really does mean nothing. Now you can talk at home vs the number or on the road. There are teams that do have a great ATS as a home dog or road fav or...etc etc.
So in this "spot" it's Wash as a small road fav vs Oak as a small home dog.
spurraider21
09-29-2013, 05:28 AM
Again, how is washington ATS this year?
Flintstones32
09-29-2013, 09:50 AM
Washington Redskins ATS RECORD
All Games 0-3-0
Home Games 0-2-0
When Favored 0-2-0
Division Opp 0-1-0
Opp Under .500 0-1-0
Avante
09-29-2013, 08:33 PM
Again, how is washington ATS this year?
As we saw it really is a non factor.
spurraider21
09-29-2013, 08:52 PM
helps when matt flynn makes jaguars qb's look good. as of last night it seemed pryor would get the nod. congrats on the pick
Avante
09-29-2013, 08:56 PM
helps when matt flynn makes jaguars qb's look good. as of last night it seemed pryor would get the nod. congrats on the pick
Thank you.
Avante
09-30-2013, 10:54 PM
This was just too easy.
15-13-2 in the always rough first 4 weeks. It gets far easier from here on out.
Game that jumps off the board for next week...Atlanta at home "again" on a Monday night vs a rookie QB in his first MNF game. Haven't seen the line yet, but doubt it will matter.
Blake
10-01-2013, 12:54 AM
it's always rough in the first 15 weeks, gets easier, me and Mason laughing, hahahahahaha, sheesh
Etc
Avante
10-01-2013, 01:28 AM
it's always rough in the first 15 weeks, gets easier, me and Mason laughing, hahahahahaha, sheesh
Etc
It's just me this season little fella. I think you saw that this week, it all starts making sense after a few weeks ,now we have an idea what things look like in 2013. Who saw...
Giants 0-4
Steelers 0-4
Miami 3-1
Chiefs 4-0
etc etc.
Now that we do have a clue, picking ATS winners far easier.
Avante
10-02-2013, 02:19 AM
Potential plays...
Falcons in a must win at home on a Monday night vs a rookie QB.
Niners at home with added rest vs a Texan team rattled.
Colts vs a Seahawk team on the road again. Seahawks haven't won back to back on the road since 2007.
Saints are hot the Bears are not, lay the points.
Packers are 7-0 coming off a bye, now add 11-3 at home ATS vs Lions. That's an 18-3 trend.
Dolphins coming off a loss vs a Ravens team on the road again, Dolphins 10-3 ATS vs Ravens.
Just possible plays.
Best ATS team in the month of October...Steelers 54-33. The worst....Cinncy 31-56.
Avante
10-05-2013, 07:17 PM
Let's see....
GB - 7....so many stats on this game favoring GB in this "spot". A 19-3 trend,
NO..pk the Bears are very lucky to be 3-1,
Hous + 6.5...Houston hasn't lost three in a row in a long time.
NE + 1.5...better team getting points.
Den = 7.5....until somebody stops them I'm riding this bronco.:rolleyes
Philly + 2...two bad teams but Philly is 5-1 the last six vs the numbers and the NYG,
Seattle on the road again a bad "spot" for them vs a quality team. I just can't do it however.
Can't lay 10 with the Falcons, that's too much.
Blake
10-06-2013, 10:04 PM
Let's see....
GB - 7....so many stats on this game favoring GB in this "spot". A 19-3 trend,
NO..pk the Bears are very lucky to be 3-1,
Hous + 6.5...Houston hasn't lost three in a row in a long time.
NE + 1.5...better team getting points.
Den = 7.5....until somebody stops them I'm riding this bronco.:rolleyes
Philly + 2...two bad teams but Philly is 5-1 the last six vs the numbers and the NYG,
Seattle on the road again a bad "spot" for them vs a quality team. I just can't do it however.
Can't lay 10 with the Falcons, that's too much.
You don't have to keep convincing everyone here just how much you suck at this.
Avante
10-07-2013, 12:49 PM
You don't have to keep convincing everyone here just how much you suck at this.
18-16-2
And 7 points away from being 21-15. And it gets easier the second half of the season.
Blake
10-07-2013, 12:52 PM
18-16-2
And 7 points away from being 21-15. And it gets easier the second half of the season.
again, no need to keep proving you suck at this. We already know.
Avante
10-07-2013, 01:31 PM
again, no need to keep proving you suck at this. We already know.
Haven't had a losing week in the last three, have gone....15-9. 4 points from going 4-2 this week, making it 16-8.
It gets easier and easier.
Blake
10-07-2013, 01:42 PM
You just said you're 18-16. Now you're making shit up.
You're an idiot. Nobody, absolutely nobody here believes you are any good at this.
Avante
10-07-2013, 01:59 PM
You just said you're 18-16. Now you're making shit up.
You're an idiot. Nobody, absolutely nobody here believes you are any good at this.
Dude, it's all there in this thread. All my picks, just look at them. 15-9 the last three weeks. went 7-2 last week. 4 points from 4-2 this week. So 4 points away from 11-4 the last two weeks. It's all right here in this thread. I will hit somewhere around 65%. And it will all be right here.
The first couple of weeks is alway rough, we really don't know what's going on. Take away those first two weeks and I'm a solid 15-9. Haven't had a losing week since then.
Blake
10-07-2013, 02:17 PM
Take away all your losses and you're 100%.
you're barely hovering over .500. You suck this year same as last year.
Avante
10-07-2013, 02:23 PM
Take away all your losses and you're 100%.
you're barely hovering over .500. You suck this year same as last year.
By this time last season Mason was already buried. Only a blind man would fail to see what's really going on here. Started out guessing (as we all do) but now have a good feel for what's really going on hence the 15-9 so close to 16-8 the last three weeks. Try...10-5 in the last two. And it will get easier.
Why ignore reality?
Clipper Nation
10-07-2013, 02:27 PM
By this time last season Mason was already buried.
Newsflash: we still know full well that those were your picks last year despite your futile attempts to convince us otherwise....
:lol STILL throwing your son under the bus
:lol "Betting expert"
:lol "NFL historian"
Avante
10-07-2013, 02:33 PM
Newsflash: we still know full well that those were your picks last year despite your futile attempts to convince us otherwise....
:lol STILL throwing your son under the bus
:lol "Betting expert"
:lol "NFL historian"
So after I hit my 65% this season, will you still believe that?
Blake
10-07-2013, 02:39 PM
So after I hit my 65% this season, will you still believe that?
I believe after you miss 65% this year, you'll claim you'll hit 60% next year
Avante
10-07-2013, 02:43 PM
I believe after you miss 65% this year, you'll claim you'll hit 60% next year
Even at 18-16-2, I was less than a td from being 21-15. And the first 4 weeks is as hard to pick as it will get.
Watch how this plays out, as I know you will.
Look at tonights game, there's Atlanta in a must win situation at home on MNF. Let's break it down...
Falcons as a home fav on MNF....3-6
Jets as a road dog on MNF...9-4.
That's a 15-7 trend favoring the Jets.
Now the Falcons are heading into a bye week.
This is the second game of a two game home stand, the Falcons haven't lost two consecutive home games since...2006. The Jets in a double road.
So we see conflicting trends there. That's why I can't lay the number and won't take a rookie QB in his first MNF.
That's how I approach these games slick, that's why I win at this.
spurraider21
10-07-2013, 02:47 PM
Even at 18-16-2, I was less than a td from being 21-15. And the first 4 weeks is as hard to pick as it will get.
Watch how this plays out, as I know you will.
doesn't matter
Avante
10-07-2013, 02:53 PM
doesn't matter
Sure it does, that says you are right there as opposed to being way off.
Clipper Nation
10-07-2013, 02:54 PM
Sure it does, that says you are right there as opposed to being way off.
It says you suck at this and are making excuses.....
Avante
10-07-2013, 03:01 PM
It says you suck at this and are making excuses.....
No excuses, 10-5 the last two weeks and so close to being 11-4. That's sucking? So close to being 21-15. And it will get easier. The second half and especially when teams start playing for their playoff lives it gets far far easier to pick because of 100% effort.
This will not end well for you little fella, as you will see.
Clipper Nation
10-07-2013, 03:05 PM
No excuses, 10-5 the last two weeks and so close to being 11-4. That's sucking? So close to being 21-15.
Excuses....
Avante
10-07-2013, 03:12 PM
Excuses....
How about simply reality?
Haven't had a losing week in the last three
last week 7-2
this week 4.5 away from 4-2
Those are the facts!
Dude, anytime we start a new season we don't really know what to do early on, who saw the Giants..0-5, the Chiefs 5-0? Now that things are settling in it gets easier to get a read on these teams. Since I got the real read...15-9. Now what % is that?
You do know that nobody is hitting 70% or better doing this, right? This is not easy to do.
I have every stat/trend/betting angle there is available to me, it's just a matter of finding those best plays for that week. Which teams have an overwelming amount of reasons to play them.
Green Bay hadn't lost to the Lions at home in 21 games, the Lions were without Megatron, coming off a bye the Packers were 7-1 vs the number the last 8. That was an easy pick.
You are going to look really stupid amigo.
Clipper Nation
10-07-2013, 03:15 PM
Dude, anytime we start a new season we don't really know what to do early on, who saw the Giants..0-5, the Chiefs 5-0? Now that things are setling in it gets easier to get a read on these teams. Since I got the real read...15-9. Now what % is that?
More excuses....
Avante
10-07-2013, 03:24 PM
More excuses....
Don't know shit about any of this do ya little fella?
Never played a game in your life have ya?
Ok...
A team will be one of 4 things...
home favorite
home dog
road favorite
road dog
...now you need to know how they do in that role.
Now those "spots"...
MNF
coming off a bye
back to back at home
back to back on the road
heading into a bye
at home vs division
on the road vs divsion
All that vs the ATS.
Very time consuming but you will be reward for your effort.
Been a serious player for a long time slick, you will come off sucking long and hard, I gurantee it.
Clipper Nation
10-07-2013, 03:28 PM
Don't know shit about any of this do ya little fella?
Never played a game in your life have ya?
:lol Rapist deflecting
Avante
10-07-2013, 03:31 PM
:lol Rapist deflecting
I see you don't know shit about the military and overseas bars....either.
Dude, what do you know?
Clipper Nation
10-07-2013, 03:43 PM
I see you don't know shit about the military and overseas bars....either.
Dude, what do you know?
I know that you're a welching, raping faggot who really sucks at betting, tbh.....
Avante
10-07-2013, 03:47 PM
I know that you're a welching, raping faggot who really sucks at betting, tbh.....
How about some reality?
Have never welched.
Just a young kid in the Navy.
Haven't had a losing week in the last three.
Blake
10-07-2013, 03:52 PM
Even at 18-16-2, I was less than a td from being 21-15.
How many wins have you had where you covered by the skin of your nut sack
Avante
10-07-2013, 03:57 PM
How many wins have you had where you covered by the skin of your nut sack
It isn't real obvious I'm into this? Right over there...Marc Lawrence's PLAYBOOK...which is the ultimate guide for anyone into this. Everything a bettor could need is there, everything!!!!!!!! Why did I spend 10 bucks for this mag and have for the last 10 years?
How do I know about tonights game stats/trends?
Dude, very serious about this as you are going to see. I love the fact you are as involved in this as you are, it will be fun.
I went 7-2 last week, where were you? If I just played my best three plays per week...12-3. Which are the ones I lay real $$$$$$ on.
Blake
10-07-2013, 04:01 PM
It isn't real obvious I'm into this? Right over there...Marc Larwence's PLAYBOOK...which is the ultimate guide for anyone into this. Everything a bettor could need is there, everything!!!!!!!! Why did I spend 10 bucks for this mag and have for the last 10 years?
How do I know about tonights game stats/trends?
Dude, very serious about this as you are going to see. I love the fact you are as involved in this as you are, it will be fun.
I went 7-2 last week, where were you?
Run away from the question, chicken shit
spurraider21
10-07-2013, 04:02 PM
Sure it does, that says you are right there as opposed to being way off.
nope. your bookie isn't gna give you partial credit
Avante
10-07-2013, 04:03 PM
Run away from the question, chicken shit
A win is a win slugger.
Avante
10-07-2013, 04:03 PM
nope. your bookie isn't gna give you partial credit
I'm 12-3 vs my man. playing 110 to win a 100.
Blake
10-07-2013, 04:53 PM
A win is a win slugger.
And a loss is a loss, loser. Gamblers like you are why Vegas is open 24 hours a day.
:cry I was soooooooo close to winning :cry
Blake
10-07-2013, 04:54 PM
I'm 12-3 vs my man. playing 110 to win a 100.
nope. nobody believes that.
Avante
10-07-2013, 05:51 PM
nope. nobody believes that.
Well then I'll start giving out my three best plays.
Dude, here it is heading into week six the hardest quarter picking ATS winners is always the first....always! If I'm ahead after that what do you think is going to happen?
After about week 12 you'll be ignoring this thread.
Blake
10-08-2013, 12:16 AM
Well then I'll start giving out my three best plays.
Dude, here it is heading into week six the hardest quarter picking ATS winners is always the first....always! If I'm ahead after that what do you think is going to happen?
After about week 12 you'll be ignoring this thread.
Feel free to bump if you're kicking ass.
But chances are, you'll be ignoring it.
And if you're sucking extra hard, you'll just blame Mason again.
Avante
10-08-2013, 12:26 AM
Feel free to bump if you're kicking ass.
But chances are, you'll be ignoring it.
And if you're sucking extra hard, you'll just blame Mason again.
Are you simply not paying any attention at all? 15-9 the last three weeks. I told you it gets easier because it does.
Mason isn't involved anymore..ok? Just me doing what I always do, that's winning $$$$$$$$$$$.
Watch how this plays out.
So tell me half pint which team is 6-20 vs the spread coming off bye?
Blake
10-08-2013, 12:37 AM
Are you simply not paying any attention at all? 15-9 the last three weeks. I told you it gets easier because it does.
Mason isn't involved anymore..ok? Just me doing what I always do, that's winning $$$$$$$$$$$.
Watch how this plays out.
So tell me half pint which team is 6-20 vs the spread coming off bye?
I'm paying just enough attention. You're 3-3 this week, 18-16 overall fat man.
Avante
10-08-2013, 12:40 AM
Nobody is fat little fella, yep...18-16 but....15-9 the last three weeks, 10-5 the last two weeks. Now even a dummy like you can see what going on here. We are starting to see the 2013 edition of these teams which does what to us handicappers?
Clipper Nation
10-08-2013, 12:41 AM
What's going on is that you're not hitting the 65% clip that you guaranteed before the season, you fat ole' fuck :lol
Avante
10-08-2013, 12:45 AM
What's going on is that you're not hitting the 65% clip that you guaranteed before the season, you fat ole' fuck :lol
Why is it you never ever get anything? I'm obviously talking about after the Superbowl when the betting stops. Are you really as a fucking dense as you act? Did you really think I was talking about hitting 65% every week, hahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Is this midget for real?
Blake
10-08-2013, 12:53 AM
Nobody is fat little fella, yep...18-16 but....15-9 the last three weeks, 10-5 the last two weeks. Now even a dummy like you can see what going on here. We are starting to see the 2013 edition of these teams which does what to us handicappers?
6'2 280lbs at your age is fat. You suck at this. You're a dummy.
You still haven't answered my question: how many close wins have you had?
Clipper Nation
10-08-2013, 12:57 AM
Why is it you never ever get anything? I'm obviously talking about after the Superbowl when the betting stops. Are you really as a fucking dense as you act? Did you really think I was talking about hitting 65% every week, hahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Is this midget for real?
:lol Self-proclaimed "betting expert"
:lol C*nt hair above .500 and bragging about it
Avante
10-08-2013, 08:20 AM
6'2 280lbs at your age is fat. You suck at this. You're a dummy.
You still haven't answered my question: how many close wins have you had?
I'll go slow...
Long time lifter, freakish about staying in shape.
I don't really know, I do know I had two pushes.
So 18-16-2.
Avante
10-08-2013, 08:28 AM
:lol Self-proclaimed "betting expert"
:lol C*nt hair above .500 and bragging about it
That's right...expert. Totally aware of every trend/stat there is.
You have any idea how hard it is to come out of those first 4 weeks on top? This is all new to you isn't it slugger, no clue how to handicap a game, don't really know anything about this do you?
The Vikes coming off a bye at home (where they shine) vs a Carolina team that sucks on the road. Just a thought right now. The Ravens at home getting points vs a Packer team that is weak as road favs. Just a thought.
You don't have a clue do you?
Blake
10-08-2013, 08:55 AM
I'll go slow...
Long time lifter, freakish about staying in shape.
I don't really know, I do know I had two pushes.
So 18-16-2.
Of course you don't. Classic sign of a degenerate gambler
Avante
10-08-2013, 09:00 AM
Of course you don't. Classic sign of a degenerate gambler
You really don't get this at all do ya little guy? You don't know shit about this.
paste
Lol 2-3 puts me at 2-8 on the year.
Thank god i gave up gambling with a bookie
Hahahahaha~~~~~~~~~~~~
Blake
10-08-2013, 11:30 AM
You really don't get this at all do ya little guy? You don't know shit about this.
paste
Lol 2-3 puts me at 2-8 on the year.
Thank god i gave up gambling with a bookie
Hahahahaha~~~~~~~~~~~~
we both suck at gambling
Avante
10-12-2013, 12:31 AM
we both suck at gambling
That is way beyond sucking little fella. 2-8???????????? I don't suck at gambling, sucking is when you're losing $$$$$$$$$$$$$, I'm up.
Ok week 6
Oak + 9 ...heading into a bye week...10-2ATS/last seven in KC 7-0ATS.....17-2 trend
Cleve + 2.5...Browns in a third home game vs a Lions team historically weak on the road..2-6 as road favs last 8.
Indy - 1.5...any team that can beat Niners/Seahawks can beat the Chargers.
Niners - 10.5...at home another week
Seattle = 13.5...coming off a lose at home.
Balt + 3 getting points at home..?
KoolAid Mans Brother
10-16-2013, 10:56 AM
That is way beyond sucking little fella. 2-8???????????? I don't suck at gambling, sucking is when you're losing $$$$$$$$$$$$$, I'm up.
Ok week 6
Oak + 9 ...heading into a bye week...10-2ATS/last seven in KC 7-0ATS.....17-2 trend
Cleve + 2.5...Browns in a third home game vs a Lions team historically weak on the road..2-6 as road favs last 8.
Indy - 1.5...any team that can beat Niners/Seahawks can beat the Chargers.
Niners - 10.5...at home another week
Seattle = 13.5...coming off a lose at home.
Balt + 3 getting points at home..?
:lmao 2-4
:lmao Betting Expert
:lmao It gets easier as the year goes on
:lmao NFL Historian
:lmao well below .500 for the season as usual
:lmao disappearing after another failure
:lmao the worst picker I've ever seen
Clipper Nation
10-16-2013, 11:06 AM
Which family member will be thrown under the bus by Avante this time? Judy or Chris? :lol
Blake
10-16-2013, 11:46 AM
I don't suck at gambling
Lololol ol oloooolllllllololololololololooooooll
Avante
10-17-2013, 12:35 AM
20-20-2 after six weeks.
No problem!
Clipper Nation
10-17-2013, 12:38 AM
So you don't see a problem with having the same success rate as a monkey flinging shit at the wall after bragging that you would hit 65% and calling yourself a "betting expert"? :lol
Avante
10-17-2013, 12:42 AM
So you don't see a problem with having the same success rate as a monkey flinging shit at the wall after bragging that you would hit 65% and calling yourself a "betting expert"? :lol
I will hit 65%, dude.....eleven weeks left and then the playoffs. Stop acting like a little kid, ok?
spurraider21
10-17-2013, 01:00 AM
20-20-2. so how much money have you made mr professional gambler? :lol
DeadlyDynasty
10-17-2013, 01:01 AM
I will hit 65%, dude.....eleven weeks left and then the playoffs. Stop acting like a little kid, ok?
You've lowered your standards by 5% this year. Why?
Avante
10-17-2013, 01:06 AM
20-20-2. so how much money have you made mr professional gambler? :lol
That 20-20-2 is here. I only play three $$$$ per week, my three best plays. There I'm 14-4. So I'm doing ok.
Avante
10-17-2013, 01:07 AM
You've lowered your standards by 5% this year. Why?
That 70% was between Mason and Blake. Nobody hits 70%.
spurraider21
10-17-2013, 01:08 AM
That 20-20-2 is here. I only play three $$$$ per week, my three best plays. There I'm 14-4. So I'm doing ok.
wow so the remaining picks you post here have gone 6-16-2... meaning either you are ridiculously lucky with your "top 3" or you are bullshitting numbers
DeadlyDynasty
10-17-2013, 01:12 AM
Last year Avante was caught moving the lines by more than 4 points (w/o teasing) in some instances. Don't ask me to look it up cause I won't...but if you do a thorough search you'll find it--all hidden under the guise of "that's what my bookie has it at."
Avante
10-17-2013, 01:12 AM
wow so the remaining picks you post here have gone 6-16-2... meaning either you are ridiculously lucky with your "top 3" or you are bullshitting numbers
Well we have 11 weeks and then the playoffs to see if I'm bullshitting or not.
Avante
10-17-2013, 01:13 AM
[QUOTE=DeadlyDynasty;6883531]Last year Avante was caught moving the lines by more than 4 points (w/o teasing) in some instances. Don't ask me to look it up cause I won't...but if you do a thorough search you'll find it--all hidden under the guise of "that's what my bookie has it at."[/QUOTE}
I didn't play.
Clipper Nation
10-17-2013, 01:15 AM
We have an an entire season's worth of proof that you are a bullshitter, capped off by you throwing your own son under the bus to save face on a message board :lol
Avante
10-17-2013, 01:16 AM
We have an an entire season's worth of proof that you are a bullshitter, capped off by you throwing your own son under the bus to save face on a message board :lol
Not at all, I will hit my 65% and you'll feel stupid-er.
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-17-2013, 06:04 AM
That 70% was between Mason and Blake. Nobody hits 70%.
:lol proclaiming no one hits 70% as if that's some monumental difference from 65%
KoolAid Mans Brother
10-17-2013, 10:42 AM
http://i133.photobucket.com/albums/q45/gospelrapper/Screenshot_2013-10-08-12-00-32-1_zps44d574b3.png
Avante
10-18-2013, 12:04 PM
Ok here we go....
Jags + 7.5
Philly - 3
KC - 6.5
Den -6.5
Pitt -2
Miami - 8
Carolina -6.5
Blake
10-18-2013, 05:16 PM
Well we have 11 weeks and then the playoffs to see if I'm bullshitting or not.
we already see it.
Saw it last year when you bullshat yourself
Lincoln
10-18-2013, 05:30 PM
why do you guys keep responding to him? just fucking put him on ignore tbh. He is obviously trolling at this point and you guys are getting trolled. Pretty obvious, no one can be that fucking retarded.
spurraider21
10-18-2013, 08:27 PM
why do you guys keep responding to him? just fucking put him on ignore tbh. He is obviously trolling at this point and you guys are getting trolled. Pretty obvious, no one can be that fucking retarded.
tbh if i made that exact post i'd be called a semen shield. i'd be careful if i were you
Avante
10-19-2013, 09:14 PM
why do you guys keep responding to him? just fucking put him on ignore tbh. He is obviously trolling at this point and you guys are getting trolled. Pretty obvious, no one can be that fucking retarded.
Why don't you stop worrying about me and talk football like I do. No way do I troll here, why not pay attention and you'll see I'm trying my best to talk football. You're just a little punk who can't see that.
Avante
10-19-2013, 09:25 PM
we already see it.
Saw it last year when you bullshat yourself
Starting next week all a player has to do is this...
Go against Dallas
Play on Seattle, Denver, Green Bay, Indy, New Orleans,Chiefs, and Niners at home.
All ATS before this season
Dallas...17-30 in the last three years.
Denver since Manning arrived....11-6
Seattle with RW...13-5
Niners since Harbaugh arrived at home...12-5
Green Bay last three years...34-21
New Orleans last two years...21-13
Indy since Luck arrived...11-6
Chiefs..5-1 since Reid arrived
Thats...137-73
Avante
10-19-2013, 09:29 PM
tbh if i made that exact post i'd be called a semen shield. i'd be careful if i were you
Lincoln is a freak as you are seeing. All worried about others, what a tool.:rolleyes
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-20-2013, 11:54 AM
why do you guys keep responding to him? just fucking put him on ignore tbh. He is obviously trolling at this point and you guys are getting trolled. Pretty obvious, no one can be that fucking retarded.
:lol DMC already exposed him and his white power son in law as not a troll
HarlemHeat37
10-20-2013, 07:16 PM
Ok here we go....
Jags + 7.5
Philly - 3
KC - 6.5
Den -6.5
Pitt -2
Miami - 8
Carolina -6.5
Another week of sub-50% betting, regardless of the Broncos game, tbh..come on, bro, I'm cheering for you, tbh:(..
KoolAid Mans Brother
10-20-2013, 07:32 PM
Ok here we go....
Jags + 7.5
Philly - 3
KC - 6.5
Den -6.5
Pitt -2
Miami - 8
Carolina -6.5
:lmao 2-4 so far
:lmao under .500 nearly every week
:lmao trying so hard to convince people that you are a good better despite consitently failing
:lmao worst picker I've ever seen in my life
Clipper Nation
10-20-2013, 07:35 PM
:lmao "NFL historian"
:lmao "Betting expert"
:lmao Can't even put together an over .500 week ATS
:lmao "But but but it's week....SEVEN" :cry
:lmao Throwing his family under the bus
:lmao Avante
:lmao Faggot
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-20-2013, 07:36 PM
:lmao every time I see KoolAid Mans Brother bump this thread on a Sunday night/Monday I immediately knew Avante had a shit betting week
Clipper Nation
10-20-2013, 07:38 PM
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
I don't suck at gambling
Blake
10-20-2013, 08:14 PM
:lmao every time I see KoolAid Mans Brother bump this thread on a Sunday night/Monday I immediately knew Avante had a shit betting week
lol troof
Blake
10-20-2013, 08:16 PM
The best worst part is that he's going to come in here tomorrow and claim that he's up on his winnings for the year.
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-20-2013, 08:36 PM
The best worst part is that he's going to come in here tomorrow and claim that he's up on his winnings for the year.
:lol "I only bet on the games I win"
spurraider21
10-20-2013, 09:02 PM
:lol "I only pick my top 3 games with my bookie"
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-20-2013, 09:03 PM
:lol "Here's this other forum with a poster named Avante who picks games every week. Those are my real picks, these were Mason's picks"
spurraider21
10-20-2013, 09:21 PM
It gets easier as the season goes along :lol
plenty of time to hit 70...err...65%
Clipper Nation
10-20-2013, 09:36 PM
:cry "Don't be ridiculous, nobody hits 65%....sheesh!" :cry
Next year: :cry "You can always tell the rookies, nobody hits...50%~~~" :cry
spurraider21
10-20-2013, 10:10 PM
:cry i'm over 50% straight up
KoolAid Mans Brother
10-20-2013, 11:14 PM
:lmao 2-5
:lmao pathetic
Clipper Nation
10-20-2013, 11:15 PM
:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao :lmao
GoodOdor
10-20-2013, 11:22 PM
Is he sub-50% yet?:lmao
literally doing worse than a monkey randomly flinging shit on picks:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-20-2013, 11:25 PM
Is he sub-50% yet?:lmao
literally doing worse than a monkey randomly flinging shit on picks:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao
:lmao he was at .500 headed into this week so a 2-5 performance puts him below .500
GoodOdor
10-20-2013, 11:28 PM
:lmao he was at .500 headed into this week so a 2-5 performance puts him below .500
:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao :lmao
Chief Brody
10-20-2013, 11:28 PM
Terrible father, and even worse bettor
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-20-2013, 11:29 PM
:lol losing his white power SIL's cigarette money
Clipper Nation
10-20-2013, 11:30 PM
:cry "It's week.......SEVEN!!!! This is gonna be fun, hahahahahaha~~~" :cry
Clipper Nation
10-20-2013, 11:31 PM
:lol losing his white power SIL's cigarette money
:lol Avante not having the money to pay for underage third-world bar girls this week
Blake
10-21-2013, 10:00 AM
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
KoolAid Mans Brother
10-21-2013, 03:52 PM
:lmao Don't worry, he will find a way to spin it and say that he doesn't bet on every pick, and that he has a really good record on the picks that he laid money on, even though he doesn't give a shred of evidence of that :lmao
spurraider21
10-21-2013, 04:01 PM
Guys I'm sure Mason is having a good laugh right now. You can always tell the rookies
johnsmith
10-21-2013, 04:01 PM
I find it funny that the dude that posts here for a solid year an average of 50 times a day, suddenly goes missing when his picks go to shit.
Clipper Nation
10-22-2013, 03:48 PM
Damn, it's quiet in here... a certain fat ole' fuck has mysteriously disappeared :lol
spurraider21
10-22-2013, 04:05 PM
Taggof a si etnava
KoolAid Mans Brother
10-22-2013, 10:37 PM
:lmao This pussy must have run out of excuses, lies, and false stories
Clipper Nation
10-22-2013, 10:46 PM
:lol Even he realizes that blaming it all on a relative again is too obvious...
Blake
10-22-2013, 10:54 PM
:lmao This pussy must have run out of excuses, lies, and false stories
It's taking him longer than usual to come up with something, but I have no doubt he'll try.
Maybe he's running his excuses by Mason and Judy.
GoodOdor
10-23-2013, 12:39 AM
It's taking him longer than usual to come up with something, but I have no doubt he'll try.
Maybe he's running his excuses by Mason and Judy.
While visiting relatives with Mason and Judy, he left his Spurstalk account logged in, and the family kid(let's call him Jason) posted bad picks. His real picks are 4-1 for the week!!!
Blake
10-23-2013, 07:59 AM
lol Jason and Mason
johnsmith
10-23-2013, 08:40 AM
No question that he'll come back today or tomorrow, claim he was out of town or had some sort of family thing to take care of. Complain that we worry about him too much. Tell us how it's a long season and how fun this is going to be. Claim that he'll still hit 65% or 70% or 60%, or whatever his magic number is currently, and then go on to pick 6 games for the upcoming weekend and only go .500.
Avante
10-23-2013, 12:09 PM
22-25-2
With more than half a season to go, hahahaha!!!!!!!!!
If you'd played on...
SF-5-2
KC-5-2
GB...at home 3-0
NO...4-2
Sea...5-2
Indy...4-3
Cin...4-2
And against...
TB-1-5
NYG...2-5
Jax..1-6
Min...2-4
What % of winners is that?
Now let's see how the second half goes now that we know who is doing what.
14-7 in real $$$$ plays.
spurraider21
10-23-2013, 12:12 PM
14-7 in real $$$$ plays.
conveniently 8-18 on your other picks. :rolleyes
spurraider21
10-23-2013, 12:13 PM
:lmao Don't worry, he will find a way to spin it and say that he doesn't bet on every pick, and that he has a really good record on the picks that he laid money on, even though he doesn't give a shred of evidence of that :lmao
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 12:23 PM
Really? THAT'S the excuse you came up with? :lol
:cry "Ignore my track record and the picks I posted and just blindly trust that I have an over .500 record on games that I bet money on!" :cry
:cry "It's still early in the season! Please forget about how I say that every week but my picks never stop being shitty!" :cry
Give it up, Avante, you'll never convince anyone that you're a "betting expert," at some point you just need to admit defeat and move on, tbh....
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 12:27 PM
conveniently 8-18 on your other picks. :rolleyes
Also conveniently claims a 66% record in games he bet money on when we all know a monkey flinging shit at the wall would have a better success rate than his picks :lol
johnsmith
10-23-2013, 01:11 PM
22-25-2
With more than half a season to go, hahahaha!!!!!!!!!
Are you laughing because of how awful that is? I'm confused.
Avante
10-23-2013, 01:14 PM
Really? THAT'S the excuse you came up with? :lol
:cry "Ignore my track record and the picks I posted and just blindly trust that I have an over .500 record on games that I bet money on!" :cry
:cry "It's still early in the season! Please forget about how I say that every week but my picks never stop being shitty!" :cry
Give it up, Avante, you'll never convince anyone that you're a "betting expert," at some point you just need to admit defeat and move on, tbh....
Dude, you have any idea how this works at all? You take the first half of the season accumulating info, the second half applying it.
Watch how this works.
Avante
10-23-2013, 01:15 PM
Are you laughing because of how awful that is? I'm confused.
The second half of the season is where ya start hitting the winners. All bettors know this. I play the first half because I need something on the games to make it exciting.
Now a player wants to bet on...
Seattle
Niners
Packers
Indy
GB
NO
Denver
Cinncy
KC
and against....
TB
Jax
NYG
Min
Watch how that system works.
The second half you play on the top teams looking to win divisions/playoff positioning and against those going nowhere and know it.
It takes awhile to figure out who these teams are, now we know.
johnsmith
10-23-2013, 01:21 PM
The second half of the season is where ya start hitting the winners. All bettors know this. I play the first half because I need something on the games to make it exciting.
Now a player wants to bet on...
Seattle
Niners
Packers
Indy
GB
NO
Denver
Cinncy
KC
and against....
TB
Jax
NYG
Min
Watch how that system works.
The second half you play on the top teams looking to win divisions/playoff positioning and against those going nowhere and know it.
It takes awhile to figure out who these teams are, now we know.
If you say so...but so far, you've been terrible at this for a season and a half.
Avante
10-23-2013, 01:22 PM
If you say so...but so far, you've been terrible at this for a season and a half.
Turnovers and injuries have killed me as far as my non $$$$$ plays go.
The bottom line is get everyone watching this, it adds to the enjoyment of the games. I like the pressure,it makes it more exciting.
Look at youreslf here you are all ready to play critic, hahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Just as I want it to be, everyone all into my plays.....love it!
Then when I start winning, hahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
If we took....
Andy Reid at KC...5-2
Luck at Indy....16-6
RW at Seattle...20=7
Harbaugh with the Niners...17-5
NO.
johnsmith
10-23-2013, 01:26 PM
Turnovers and injuries have killed me as far as my non $$$$$ plays go.
We can only go off of what you have posted before games...and since you've never said, "I'm only betting on A, B, C games", we can only assume you're changing the rules after the fact and you are lying to everyone. Sort of like last season and the Mason thing.
In fact, even if you were telling the truth last year about Mason, which we all know you aren't, it would give us even more of a reason to not believe you because you'd basically be admitting that you're a liar on this forum....which we know already.
johnsmith
10-23-2013, 01:27 PM
Furthermore, turnovers and injuries are part of the game...don't act like they're some surprise meant to sway the lines one way or the other.
Avante
10-23-2013, 01:32 PM
We can only go off of what you have posted before games...and since you've never said, "I'm only betting on A, B, C games", we can only assume you're changing the rules after the fact and you are lying to everyone. Sort of like last season and the Mason thing.
In fact, even if you were telling the truth last year about Mason, which we all know you aren't, it would give us even more of a reason to not believe you because you'd basically be admitting that you're a liar on this forum....which we know already.
Dude, it's very obvious all you want to do on any forum you are on is hassle/complain/whine...ok? That really is all you ever do and we all see it. Nothing ever positive, 100% negative.
Watch what happens now that we have some info, ok?
Since....
Andy Reid
Andrew Luck
Harbaugh at Niners
Russell Wilson at Seattle
Return of Seun Peyton
Manning at Denver
....they all hve overr 65% winning recprds ATS
As do the Bengals with Andy Dalton and GB at home forever.
While...
Vikings, TB, NYG, Jax...all have less than 50% winning records vs ATS the last two season.
Now watch how this works.
johnsmith
10-23-2013, 01:51 PM
Dude, it's very obvious all you want to do on any forum you are on is hassle/complain/whine...ok? That really is all you ever do and we all see it. Nothing ever positive, 100% negative.
Watch what happens now that we have some info, ok?
Since....
Andy Reid
Andrew Luck
Harbaugh at Niners
Russell Wilson at Seattle
Return of Seun Peyton
Manning at Denver
....they all hve overr 65% winning recprds ATS
As do the Bengals with Andy Dalton and GB at home forever.
While...
Vikings, TB, NYG, Jax...all have less than 50% winning records vs ATS the last two season.
Now watch how this works.
What is negative about pointing out that you're probably lying and telling you why we all think so?
johnsmith
10-23-2013, 01:52 PM
Would it make you happier if I lied and said how awesome I think you are at picking games?
Why do you need to come to a forum and make up shit 100% of the time? Well?
The only thing anyone believes that you told the truth about is when your raped an underage girl.
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 01:57 PM
Dude, you have any idea how this works at all? You take the first half of the season accumulating info, the second half applying it.
Watch how this works.
How it actually works is that you make grandiose claims all offseason of your betting prowess, suck ass the first half of the year while claiming you'll do better as the season goes on, then continue to suck in the second half of the year and claim that someone else was picking for you and you actually did better than what you posted here.... lather, rinse, repeat....
KoolAid Mans Brother
10-23-2013, 02:58 PM
14-7 in real $$$$ plays.
:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao
Avante
10-23-2013, 04:13 PM
How it actually works is that you make grandiose claims all offseason of your betting prowess, suck ass the first half of the year while claiming you'll do better as the season goes on, then continue to suck in the second half of the year and claim that someone else was picking for you and you actually did better than what you posted here.... lather, rinse, repeat....
Nobody else is making these picks but me, ok?
I always do far better the second half, right now I'm only down three (here) now lets see how it goes now that we have a real good look at these teams...ok?
I do dig this...you can't do it and you suck and...all that stuff, it makes it more fun fun for me. Then has it starts to turn around I start having a hell of a lot of fun.
This is fun, hahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 04:15 PM
Nobody else is making these picks but me, ok?
Riiiiight, until the season comes to an end and you still suck, at which point you'll find another family member to blame :lol
I always do far bewtter the second half
Didn't do so good last year in the second half, you finished at .500 despite guaranteeing 70% :lol
Avante
10-23-2013, 04:18 PM
Riiiiight, until the season comes to an end and you still suck, at which point you'll find another family member to blame :lol
Didn't do so good last year in the second half, you finished at .500 despite guaranteeing 70% :lol
Why don't you ease off and watch how it goes, ok?
I have 8 teams that are over 65% over the last two seasons ATS and four teams that lose all the time vs ATS. I look for that every season the first half of a season. Now watch what happens.
Blake
10-23-2013, 05:25 PM
Dude, you have any idea how this works at all? You take the first half of the season accumulating info, the second half applying it.
Watch how this works.
But you made picks on the first half of the season.
nobody demanded you do that.
Lol 70 derrrr 65%
Blake
10-23-2013, 05:28 PM
Are you laughing because of how awful that is? I'm confused.
"at 22-25-2, I've got 65% right in my sights. Sheeeeesh!"
spurraider21
10-23-2013, 05:33 PM
you would have to get 28 consecutive wins to get to 50-25 which is 66%. good luck
KoolAid Mans Brother
10-23-2013, 05:47 PM
you would have to get 28 consecutive wins to get to 50-25 which is 66%. good luck
:lmao don't confuse Avante with mathematical probability. Last year when DOK broke down the numbers after his poor start, that is when he claimed they were Mason's picks :lmao
Blake
10-23-2013, 06:07 PM
:lmao don't confuse Avante with mathematical probability. Last year when DOK broke down the numbers after his poor start, that is when he claimed they were Mason's picks :lmao
Lol Mason
Avante
10-23-2013, 06:21 PM
Very entertaining.
I'm confident, will start pointing to my $$$$$ plays.
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-23-2013, 06:42 PM
14-7 in real $$$$ plays.
Prove it.
I'll bet real $$$$ you can't :lol
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-23-2013, 06:43 PM
you would have to get 28 consecutive wins to get to 50-25 which is 66%. good luck
:lol the late season math that calculates how good Avante will have to be the rest of the year to reach 65-70% gets extremely entertaining. He's even worse this year than he was last year so by week 13 it'll become virtually impossible :lol
Avante
10-23-2013, 06:52 PM
:lol the late season math that calculates how good Avante will have to be the rest of the year to reach 65-70% gets extremely entertaining. He's even worse this year than he was last year so by week 13 it'll become virtually impossible :lol
Love the pressure, lets see how it goes.
Avante
10-23-2013, 06:52 PM
Prove it.
I'll bet real $$$$ you can't :lol
Lets see how many real $$$$ plays work.
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-23-2013, 06:52 PM
Love the pressure, lets see how it goes.
Hopefully it goes better than last year.
Oh wait those were Mason's picks :lol
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-23-2013, 06:53 PM
Lets see how many real $$$$ plays work.
So can you prove you're 14-7 in $$$$ games? Is there any reason why you never say which games you're betting money on BEFORE the game happens :lol
Avante
10-23-2013, 06:57 PM
So can you prove you're 14-7 in $$$$ games? Is there any reason why you never say which games you're betting money on BEFORE the game happens :lol
I don't want anyone getting free plays. Why should I do all the work? But will make an exception.
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-23-2013, 07:00 PM
I don't want anyone getting free plays. Why should I do all the work? But will make an exception.
:lmao you don't want anyone getting free plays? You're supposedly posting picks that win at a 65% clip every season, isn't that "free advice"?
HarlemHeat37
10-23-2013, 07:01 PM
I don't want anyone getting free plays. Why should I do all the work? But will make an exception.
:lol I posted my plays here for the 1st half of last year and the first 4-5 weeks of this year, I was easily hitting over 70%, and I didn't give a fuck about giving free plays..so I'm a little insulted that a 40% degenerate like yourself would have the audacity to claim you don't want to give free plays, tbh..
If I made a system where my dog randomly picked games, he would literally have as good of a chance of winning as you, based on your history, tbh:lol..
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:06 PM
:lmao you don't want anyone getting free plays? You're supposedly posting picks that win at a 65% clip every season, isn't that "free advice"?
Free advice is this...
Every week these teams play one of four roles.
Home Favorite
Home Dog
Road Favorite
Road Dog
They are also in a month. As a serious player you need to know how these teams perform ATS in whatever role they are and what month it is. Then you look for trends like...
before a bye week
coming off a bye week
second road game
second home game
vs division rivals
You can't know enought.
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:08 PM
:lol I posted my plays here for the 1st half of last year and the first 4-5 weeks of this year, I was easily hitting over 70%, and I didn't give a fuck about giving free plays..so I'm a little insulted that a 40% degenerate like yourself would have the audacity to claim you don't want to give free plays, tbh..
If I made a system where my dog randomly picked games, he would literally have as good of a chance of winning as you, based on your history, tbh:lol..
You wanna take me on just me vs you?
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-23-2013, 07:10 PM
Free advice is this...
Every week these teams play one of four roles.
Home Favorite
Home Dog
Road Favorite
Road Dog
They are also in a month. As a serious player you need to know how these teams perform ATS in whatever role they are and what month it is. Then you look for trends like...
before a bye week
coming off a bye week
second road game
second home game
vs division rivals
You can't know enought.
:lmao taking advice from someone who's below .500
HarlemHeat37
10-23-2013, 07:11 PM
No, but listen, I'll set up a challenge, tbh..
You pick 6 games, tbh..
I will write down 2 teams on paper and put it on the floor, I'll place a treat on each team, and whichever treat my dog takes first, he's betting on that team..I'll do it for 6 matchups, put it on video and upload it to Spurstalk..
Deal, tbh?..
If you defeat my dog, I'll allow you to challenge me..
He's a German Shepherd FYI, he's pretty smart, tbh..
spurraider21
10-23-2013, 07:12 PM
Petros vs the Pig, tbh
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:13 PM
No, but listen, I'll set up a challenge, tbh..
You pick 6 games, tbh..
I will write down 2 teams on paper and put it on the floor, I'll place a treat on each team, and whichever treat my dog takes first, he's betting on that team..I'll do it for 6 matchups, put it on video and upload it to Spurstalk..
Deal, tbh?..
If you defeat my dog, I'll allow you to challenge me..
He's a German Shepherd FYI, he's pretty smart, tbh..
How about cooling the junior high bullshit and take me on, ya got balls or bb's?
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-23-2013, 07:13 PM
No, but listen, I'll set up a challenge, tbh..
You pick 6 games, tbh..
I will write down 2 teams on paper and put it on the floor, I'll place a treat on each team, and whichever treat my dog takes first, he's betting on that team..I'll do it for 6 matchups, put it on video and upload it to Spurstalk..
Deal, tbh?..
If you defeat my dog, I'll allow you to challenge me..
He's a German Shepherd FYI, he's pretty smart, tbh..
he's like the mutual fund managers who get outperformed by five year who pick stocks randomly with finger paints :lol
Only difference is those mutual fund managers convince people they deserve a high salary, he's not convincing anyone of jack shit :lol
HarlemHeat37
10-23-2013, 07:15 PM
Are you really afraid of a dog that doesn't understand the concept of betting/money/football, etc, tbh?..
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:17 PM
You look at those teams who do well ATS in the second half of a season when playoffs are at stake. You also look at those who suck vs ATS in the second half.
Totally different deal the second half of a season, now we start seeing real effort.
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:17 PM
Are you really afraid of a dog that doesn't understand the concept of betting/money/football, etc, tbh?..
So ya wanna take me on or just talking shit? I'm challenging you amigo, you got balls?
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 07:19 PM
:lol the late season math that calculates how good Avante will have to be the rest of the year to reach 65-70% gets extremely entertaining. He's even worse this year than he was last year so by week 13 it'll become virtually impossible :lol
:lmao:lmao:lmao
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 07:21 PM
:lmao you don't want anyone getting free plays? You're supposedly posting picks that win at a 65% clip every season, isn't that "free advice"?
He gives people free plays every week, it's called "bet the exact opposite of what Avante's picking" :lol
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:21 PM
:lmao taking advice from someone who's below .500
Dude...7 weeks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:22 PM
He gives people free plays every week, it's called "bet the exact opposite of what Avante's picking" :lol
I never see you pick anything little fella, why is that?
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 07:22 PM
Dude...7 weeks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Counting last season, it's actually more like 24 weeks of under .500 betting from you on here :lol
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:23 PM
Counting last season, it's actually more like 24 weeks of under .500 betting from you on here :lol
I didn't play here last season.
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 07:24 PM
I never see you pick anything little fella, why is that?
I've never told everyone that I'm a "betting expert" or guaranteed repeatedly that I'd hit 70%, dumbass :lol
Blake
10-23-2013, 07:25 PM
I don't want anyone getting free plays. Why should I do all the work? But will make an exception.
Sorry, you don't get any outs here.
You suck at betting, there's no but but but Mas:cryn about it.
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 07:25 PM
I didn't play here last season.
You actually did, and then you threw your son under the bus when it became clear that you weren't going anywhere near 70% :lol
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:26 PM
Sorry, you don't get any outs here.
You suck at betting, there's no but but but Mas:cryn about it.
Dude, why not wait and see how this season ends up, ok?
Avante
10-23-2013, 07:28 PM
You actually did, and then you threw your son under the bus when it became clear that you weren't going anywhere near 70% :lol
Well no actually I didn't.
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 07:31 PM
Well no actually I didn't.
Why keep lying about it? Absolutely no one believes you or ever will believe you, and your record so far this year further puts the lie to your version of events.....
Blake
10-23-2013, 07:42 PM
Dude, why not wait and see how this season ends up, ok?
Why are you already making excuses?
Blake
10-23-2013, 07:43 PM
Well no actually I didn't.
:lmao :lmao :lmao
spurraider21
10-23-2013, 08:00 PM
Avante is either full retard or master troll tbh
DUNCANownsKOBE
10-23-2013, 08:03 PM
Whottt's funny is the record Avante claims Mason had last year is better than the record Avante has this year
Avante's deadbeat son Mason > Avante at football betting :lmao:lmao:lmao
Avante
10-23-2013, 08:58 PM
Avante is either full retard or master troll tbh
What we have is a serious football fan/handicapper and then a bunch of kids with no clue how it works.
It always takes time to get a true read on a new season, i'm ok at 14-7.
Blake
10-23-2013, 09:15 PM
Whottt's funny is the record Avante claims Mason had last year is better than the record Avante has this year
Avante's deadbeat son Mason > Avante at football betting :lmao:lmao:lmao
:lmao :lmao :lmao
Blake
10-23-2013, 09:18 PM
I'll keep my plays in this thread. Both my straight up and ATS.
:cry "just kidding. Not my plays. I'm really kicking ass in real life." :cry :cry
GoodOdor
10-23-2013, 09:52 PM
Whottt's funny is the record Avante claims Mason had last year is better than the record Avante has this year
Avante's deadbeat son Mason > Avante at football betting :lmao:lmao:lmao
Avante really didn't think this one through, tbh......:lmao:lmao
Can't wait to see who gets thrown under the boss when his record this year is even worse....will it be Judy?:lmao:lmao
Avante
10-23-2013, 10:24 PM
I can't believe so many here totally don't get this, wow!
Clipper Nation
10-23-2013, 10:30 PM
Avante really didn't think this one through, tbh......:lmao:lmao
Can't wait to see who gets thrown under the boss when his record this year is even worse....will it be Judy?:lmao:lmao
:cry "You know....women and football, they don't know shit....sheesh!~~~~ I really went undefeated for the season....Judy got a big kick out of it." :cry
Avante
10-23-2013, 10:38 PM
This little shit has never gotten it right yet, wow~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Blake
10-23-2013, 11:13 PM
:cry "You know....women and football, they don't know shit....sheesh!~~~~ I really went undefeated for the season....Judy got a big kick out of it." :cry
Here is your logic - clitternation;
"Let us participate in a cesspool and sling shit at each other day and night - however- if you sling shit in a way that I don't approve of - I will run to the site owner and snitch so you get banned - this way we can only have shit-slingers that I approve of left in here"
Spin that.
Avante
10-24-2013, 06:46 PM
Carolina - 6.5
Avante
10-27-2013, 08:45 AM
These are all 110 to win 100, yep, real $$$$.
KC-7.5...Browns a weak road team, while Arrow Head is one of the best home field advantages.
NO -12..yes I know, no Jimmy Graham.
Den-13...Redskins on the road with that weak pass defense.
So I have an undefeated team at home vs a double road team, Drew Brees coming off a bye and Peyton Manning at home coming off a loss.
If I hit all three then it's Seattle - 11.5 on MNF.
As we head into the second half you wanna look at teams looking to win their division giving a 100% effort.
I don't like betting teams heading into a bye week. But Denver at home coming off a loss with be an exception. I would have played the Niners (Jags are that bad) but not sure how a week in London will effect them.
All these teams have a huge power points advantage. All over the point spread.
Panthers...already covered
Chiefs
Packers
Broncos
Seahawks
Saints
Niners
Notice the QB play.
Packers are really banged up to back.
I would have played the Lions-3 (Bush?) but they are heading into a bye.
Blake
10-27-2013, 05:24 PM
Carolina - 6.5
You didn't put money on this.
Blake
10-27-2013, 05:26 PM
These are all 110 to win 100, yep, real $$$$.
KC-7.5...Browns a weak road team, while Arrow Head is one of the best home field advantages.
NO -12..yes I know, no Jimmy Graham.
Den-13...Redskins on the road with that weak pass defense.
Lolololololololooooool.
See you Thursday when you finally come up with your latest excuse for being a loser.
Avante
10-27-2013, 07:49 PM
You didn't put money on this.
I can't $$$$ games play on Thursdays.
Avante
10-27-2013, 07:50 PM
Lolololololololooooool.
See you Thursday when you finally come up with your latest excuse for being a loser.
2-1 and 16-8....hahaha!!!!!!!!!! 2 points away from 3-0.
Avante
10-28-2013, 02:02 AM
Ok here we go.
Seattle is 8-4 as a MNF favorite, the Rams are 10-12 as a MNF dog. Advantage Seahawks.
The Seahawks have covered the last four times on MNF, the Rams are 0-4. Advantage Seahawks.
The Seahawks are 9-3 ATS the last 12 vs the Rams. Rams are 1-3 ATS at home. So that's a 12-4 trend favoring the Seahawks.
Right now the Seahawks are as good as they have ever been, the Rams don't have a QB.
I'll lay the points and back the Seahawks.
Oh yeah....Seahawks are 191-116 or plus 75, The Rams are 156-184 or a minus 28.
Notice how,,,
Denver
New Orleans
Cinncy
GB
Niners
NE
...all covered? They did the same thing last season in the second half. As did Indy.
So ya play...
Denver
Niners
Seattle
Pats at home
Indy
GB...best ATS team in the league.
NO...they went 8-0ATS in the second half in 2011 with Peyton at the helm.
Cinncy
Good teams with stud QB's looking to secure a playoff spot are golden the last half of a season.
This week....6-0 with Indy in a bye and Seattle playing tomorrow night.
So far this season ATS
GB...4-4
KC..5-3
Seattle..5-2
Niners...6-2
Denver...4-4
Cinncy...5-2-1
NE...4-4
Indy..4-3
NO...5-2
So...43-26-1
I expect to see that and better in the second half.
Blake
10-28-2013, 11:48 AM
I can't $$$$ games play on Thursdays.
Sure you can. But that's ok, we won't count it since you don't.
Blake
10-28-2013, 11:50 AM
2-1 and 16-8....hahaha!!!!!!!!!! 2 points away from 3-0.
A shitty RG3 performance away from being 1-2.
you may as well stop with the 16-8 bullshit. Nobody believes you.
The only record that counts are from the picks you post here.
HarlemHeat37
10-29-2013, 02:44 AM
3-2 week for Avante..still under 50% for the year, but at least you won more games than you lost this week, tbh..
Brazil
10-29-2013, 08:40 AM
this thread is awesome even for somebody who never ever bet like me
Avante and his son :lmao
I'm depressed Avante didn't accept Harlem's challenge, I would have root for the dog tbh
Blake
10-29-2013, 02:56 PM
Ok here we go.
Seattle is 8-4 as a MNF favorite, the Rams are 10-12 as a MNF dog. Advantage Seahawks.
The Seahawks have covered the last four times on MNF, the Rams are 0-4. Advantage Seahawks.
The Seahawks are 9-3 ATS the last 12 vs the Rams. Rams are 1-3 ATS at home. So that's a 12-4 trend favoring the Seahawks.
Right now the Seahawks are as good as they have ever been, the Rams don't have a QB.
I'll lay the points and back the Seahawks.
Oh yeah....Seahawks are 191-116 or plus 75, The Rams are 156-184 or a minus 28.
lmao expert
spurraider21
10-29-2013, 04:20 PM
lmao expert
...but but it was a good "spot"
Blake
10-29-2013, 04:29 PM
3-2 week for Avante..still under 50% for the year, but at least you won more games than you lost this week, tbh..
Still only 60%.
HarlemHeat37
10-29-2013, 04:54 PM
Still only 60%.
Pretty good for a sub-50% degenerate gambler, to be fair..
Blake
10-29-2013, 06:27 PM
Pretty good for a sub-50% degenerate gambler, to be fair..
No doubt.
But terrible for an expert claiming he can hit 70.
GoodOdor
10-29-2013, 09:22 PM
No doubt.
But terrible for an expert claiming he can hit 70.
As terrible as he is, even he should be 50%+ for the season, tbh....
I'm just wondering what the excuse will be this time for not hitting 65%....he's running out of sons to throw under the bus.
Avante
10-30-2013, 02:01 AM
You approach the second half of a season differently. Now it's time to focus in on the power teams, those teams looking to win divisions and secure playoff seedings.
The Chiefs with Andy Reid are 5-3 Ats
If we look at the last 16 regular season games ATS for these power teams we get...
Cinncy,,,11-5
GB...10-6
Seattle...11-5
Niners...10-6
Indy...10-6
Denver...10-6
That's..64=34
If we look at the 2011 Saints with Seun Peyton...8-0 ATS second half of the season
Now adding that and KC...77-38.
The Pats don't make it with...8-8.
So the trick now is to play on the power teams, week 8...power teams vs ATS...5-2.
I won't play that second road game....which I did with Seattle MNF.....DUH!!!!!!!! Or heading into a bye week, both bad "spots". If power teams play each other...pass.
No need to play any other teams, they won;t have the same motivation or QB play in most cases.
I will be playing 110 to win a 100 on all the games I mention from here on out. Trick is to build your bank roll for the playoffs.
16-9 heading into the second half.
Saints-4.5
Green Bay-11
Seattle -16.5
Indy -1
Cinncy -1.5
I won't play KC because they are heading into a bye/on the road vs a Buffalo team coming off a loss. The Chiefs could lose this one, perfect "spot' for that to happen.
Denver/Niners...bye week.
There are some handicappers that just zero in on 4-6 teams, they study them only. They know all there is to know about their ATS history. I'll be doing that the second half of this season with my 8 power teams.
There are some players who just play division games, the theory being....100% effort.
What are the odds of more of those power teams not covering than covering? As we saw by the numbers the odds are in your favor, a far better chance of going 5-3 than 3-5.
If we look at power points
Cinncy 22 Miami 11
GB 21 Chicago 13
NO 20 NYJ 17
Indy 19 Houston 9
Seattle 26 TB 3
That's 108-53
Then there is that one play that makes no sense. Why are the Eagles favored over the Raiders...IN..Oakland? A place they have gone 0-4 in the last 4 ATS, I gotta add the Raiders +3.
Avante
10-30-2013, 04:07 AM
...but but it was a good "spot"
You never play on a second consecutive road game, I did and it cost me. I missed that for some reason. You also shouldn't play against the home team on MNF.
Seahawks vs a team with a back up QB had me missng the fundamentals.
Chief Brody
10-30-2013, 04:09 AM
Avante, I've been using your picks this year and I've lost $70,000 and my wife has left me:(
Avante
10-30-2013, 04:21 AM
Avante, I've been using your picks this year and I've lost $70,000 and my wife has left me:(
I'm only 2 down, so...????
This ...power teams second half ATS...is a time tested method, watch how it works.
Last season....
Cinncy...7-1
Denver...6-2
GB...6-2
Indy...6-2
NO..4-4...far better now
Niners...4-4
Seattle...6-2
Can't count KC for obvious reasons.
So we got...39-17 ATS
All those teams listed above are playing better than ever.
Chief Brody
10-30-2013, 05:30 AM
I'm only 2 down, so...????
Please improve. My cupboards are bare and I may have to eat my dog to survive:(
Bill_Brasky
10-30-2013, 10:20 AM
holy shit this thread is a gold mine. just literally come in here, look what avante picked, and throw a few hundy on the opposite.
spurraider21
10-30-2013, 11:00 AM
holy shit. i've never heard that joke before
Blake
10-30-2013, 01:49 PM
As terrible as he is, even he should be 50%+ for the season, tbh....
I'm just wondering what the excuse will be this time for not hitting 65%....he's running out of sons to throw under the bus.
I think the consensus prediction is the son in law with funny name that DoK mentioned........forgot his name...
Avante
11-01-2013, 12:58 PM
Time to start racking in the $$$$$$$$$$$$$
GB-11
Oak-2.5
Carolina -7.5
Seattle-15.5
KoolAid Mans Brother
11-01-2013, 01:23 PM
Time to start racking in the $$$$$$$$
We've heard this shit for a year and a half now, and you're still where you have always been; under .500 and losing.
You're not a good better. Stop trying to convince everyone otherwise. We've all seen a big enough sample size.
Avante
11-01-2013, 02:00 PM
We've heard this shit for a year and a half now, and you're still where you have always been; under .500 and losing.
You're not a good better. Stop trying to convince everyone otherwise. We've all seen a big enough sample size.
Why not see how it goes, ok? And I'm 16-9 in real $$$$ plays. All my games from now on will be real $$$ plays.
Now, do you disagree with those picks?
Clipper Nation
11-01-2013, 02:20 PM
And I'm 16-9 in real $$$$ plays.
You can feel free to drop that lie, nobody's believing it nor will we ever believe it, tbh....
Avante
11-01-2013, 02:31 PM
You can feel free to drop that lie, nobody's believing it nor will we ever believe it, tbh....
Why do you think I have all these betting angles/trends/stats? Hell guy I can take you back 10 years and every NFL game played and the ATS situation. Why would I even bother?
I',m a serious player little guy, as you wil see. Like most kids you jump on things too quickly. We have a ton of football left and the second half is far easier to pick.
This season (check it out for yourself) has been really strange for guys like me, so many obvious plays ruined because of injuries/turnovers. Nobody is doing all that great so far in 2013.
Look at Baltimore vs Cleveland. A ton of stats.trend favoring the Ravens in this "spot". We can start with the Ravens being 19-3 ATS coming off a loss, now add 10-1 ATS coming off a bye. Now we also have Cleveland heading into a bye week, a "spot" they suck in.
Why do I know all this? How about pulling your head out of your ass little fella and figure it out.
Blake
11-01-2013, 03:04 PM
Why not see how it goes, ok? And I'm 16-9 in real $$$$ plays. All my games from now on will be real $$$ plays.
Now, do you disagree with those picks?
I'm 145-0 in real $$$$$$ plays.
I just took the deed from my bookie's house. I'm planning on getting it rezoned and make it a full body massage parlor.
Avante
11-01-2013, 03:13 PM
I'm 145-0 in real $$$$$$ plays.
I just took the deed from my bookie's house. I'm planning on getting it rezoned and make it a full body massage parlor.
You'll see all my $$$$ plays from here on out.
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