Why Cinncy beats/covers vs Miami

[Avante]

Cinncy is 2-2 on the road.

Miami 1-2 at home.

Advantage..Bengals

Cinncy has scored...197, Miami 152...advantage-Bengals
Cinncy has given up...144, Miami 167,,advantage-Bengals

Cinncy is plus...53, Miami is a minus..15 team. Since wek 8 of last season the Bengals are one of the best ATS teams in the league.

Cinncy has beaten...Packers, Pats, Lions.
Miami has beaten...Indy.

Last 4 games Cinncy is 4-0, Miami is 0-4.

So we have a team in Cinncy that is hot right now, a team in Miami that is cold. Cinncy scores more and gives up less.

If we look at power points, Cinncy 20, Miami 10.

There is no logical reason here to see anything other than a big Bengal win/cover.

Cinncy went 7-1vs the spread last season after week 8. Miami went 4-4.

Power Points

3pts road wins
2 home wins
1 road loss
0 home loss
last 4 games win/loss

now add all that up.

[spurraider21]

Miami's home losses have come by 2 points and 3 points. Cincinnati's road wins have come by 3 points and 3 points. Thursday night games have by in large been sloppy games this year.

a 3 point spread is actually pretty dicey

[Avante]

Miami's home losses have come by 2 points and 3 points. Cincinnati's road wins have come by 3 points and 3 points. Thursday night games have by in large been sloppy games this year.

a 3 point spread is actually pretty dicey

Ok ya talked me out of it. No play, forget about it. Just a thought.

Sure looked good on paper however.

I usually don't like to play these games that get teams out of the routine anyway. These Thursday night games are weird to begin with.

I was fishing for some positive feed back.

[benefactor]

http://i.imgflip.com/42yan.jpg

[Avante]

Poor little kid.

What's with people like this?

[benefactor]

Poor little kid.

What's with people like this?
:lolld fagg:lolt

[Avante]

:lolld fagg:lolt

Just zero in football, ok?

[Clipper Nation]

Ok ya talked me out of it.
:lol "Betting expert" now relying on non-"betting experts" from here to talk him out of making his record even worse

[benefactor]

Just zero in football, ok?


:lolld fagg:lolt

[Avante]

:lol "Betting expert" now relying on non-"betting experts" from here to talk him out of making his record even worse

Why do you always try and talk about things you know nothing about? I'm doing ok at 16=9 and all my $$$$$ plays will be here from now on.

This Thursday night thing is different. Not real sure what to do with it....yet. How can a team be ready to play by a Thursday?

I have all those MNF/SNF stats/trends down, can't say that about these Thursday games.

[Avante]

benefactor

Grow up, ok?

[benefactor]

benefactor

Grow up, ok?

:lolld fagg:lolt

[HarlemHeat37]

Might follow this advice, interesting write-up..

Before I tail you on it, though, what's your record of posted bets on SpursTalk this season, tbh?..

And is there a thread with your documented picks for the year, too, btw?..

[Avante]

Might follow this advice, interesting write-up..

Before I tail you on it, though, what's your record of posted bets on SpursTalk this season, tbh?..

And is there a thread with your documented picks for the year, too, btw?..

I was a something like 23-25 in all my picks here.

But as we all know it does get easier the second half of a season. Now we have enought current info to work with. I'm 16-9 vs my man but we can ignore that since I can't prove it.

Let's see how it goes starting right now, the second half.

[spurraider21]

You're welcome, betting expert

[kamikazi_player]

:lmao

[spurraider21]

:lol "Betting expert" now relying on non-"betting experts" from here to talk him out of making his record even worse
:lol i should have kept my mouth shut

[chunticakes]

lol owned.

[Avante]

Never play Thursday nights, as we all saw the Bengals were flatter than a pancake,

But...we did come away with this....Play Baltimore to cover vs Cleveland which I will. They see an opening and are 10-1 coming off a bye week.

[GoodOdor]

:lol

[Avante]

:lol

Why don't you come out and do something like I do? I lay out there not hide in the bushes like you do. Ever thought about giving an opinion...before...a game?

[Clipper Nation]

:lol i should have kept my mouth shut
:lol

[Avante]

:lol

Notice how I give opinions...before...a game? You ever thought about that?

[Avante]

Where were the...."look for Miami to get the win"...before the game?

[GoodOdor]

Notice how I give opinions...before...a game? You ever thought about that?

23-26 for the season, old faggot. You are running out of time. Tick tock tick tock.

[Avante]

23-26 for the season, old faggot. You are running out of time. Tick tock tick tock.

23-25, I didn't play this game, try reading...ok?

Why not give your opinions...BEFORE.. a game faggot...ok?

Where are your plays anyway, I never see you do shit....why?

[Clipper Nation]

Where were the...."look for Miami to get the win"...before the game?
Just because nobody else spams the board with shit takes before games doesn't make your takes any less shitty, tbh :lol

[Avante]

Just because nobody else spams the board with shit takes before games doesn't make your takes any less shitty, tbh :lol

You see explaining why one team should win a game as spamming? Wow!

Dude, you ever thought of actually giving an opinion ....BEFORE...a game? Why didn't you chime in...BEFORE..the game, well? Where were you when I picked the Giants to beat the Vikes?

Dude, you ever do anything yourself?

[Clipper Nation]

Where were you when I picked the Giants to beat the Vikes?
Wow, you picked one shit team to beat another shit team that was reduced to starting J:lolsh Freeman at quarterback.... impressive!

[Avante]

Wow, you picked one shit team to beat another shit team that was reduced to starting J:lolsh Freeman at quarterback.... impressive!

I don't see you doing anything at all. You ever do anything besides leech off us who do take a stand, have an opinion...BEFORE...a game?

Have you ever gave an opinion...BEFORE...a game?

[AchillesHeel]

Giving Avante a pass this time, I too predicted Miami to lose.

fucking safety

[benefactor]

:lolld fagg:lolt

[Chinook]

Play Baltimore to cover vs Cleveland which I will.

NOOOOOOOOOO!!!"!

[Avante]

How about you guys giving some...before...the game opinions, ok?

I play the teams that have all the stat/trend advantages. What else can ya do?

[Avante]

NOOOOOOOOOO!!!"!

Baltimore is 5-0 last five ATS vs Browns, they are 10-1 last 11 coming off a bye. They just saw Cinncy drop a game, if not now then when?

[Avante]

That run that Bernard made last night ...spectacular! Gotta put it up there with Lynchs run and some of those Barry/Gale/Willie Galimore runs.

[Blake]

:lol :lol :lol

[Blake]

Baltimore is 5-0 last five ATS vs Browns, they are 10-1 last 11 coming off a bye. They just saw Cinncy drop a game, if not now then when?

Never. Stop gambling your kids futures away, loser.

[Avante]

Never. Stop gambling your kids futures away, loser.

Pay attention guy, ok?

I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.

Right now 16-9.

[Blake]

Pay attention guy, ok?

I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.

Right now 16-9.

just stop loser. You're not convincing anyone at all you're any better than a monkey throwing turd darts at the picks.

[Avante]

just stop loser. You're not convincing anyone at all you're any better than a monkey throwing turd darts at the picks.

Dude, we have how many weeks left and the playoffs, why don't you get that? I always have a far better second half. we all do. I will hit around 64%, and you'll see it....ok?

Why do you think I know...

Baltimore is 10-1 coming off a bye week, they are 5-0 ATS last 5 vs Browns? Could it be because I'm serious about this.

Stop acting like a punk kid, ok? You are going to look stupid dude.

[Blake]

I will hit around 64%, and you'll see it....ok?

You are going to look stupid dude.

:lmao :lmao :lmao

:cry but I said "around" 64% :cry

[Avante]

:lmao :lmao :lmao

:cry but I said "around" 64% :cry

Why are you such a prick?

Ever notice I come out and give opinions before these games, where are yours? You don't do shit.

[Spur-Addict]

"Fishing For Positive Feedback" :lol

[Blake]

Why are you such a prick?

Ever notice I come out and give opinions before these games, where are yours? You don't do shit.

Nobody asked for your opinions. You never asked for mine either.

But why do you never own up to your failed predictions/opinions?

[spurraider21]

DUNCANownsKOBE :lmao

[DUNCANownsKOBE]

Did he say how much he would bet? The whole point of my tracker is assembling everything where Avante can't even deny the fact he bet on it :lol

[spurraider21]

Did he say how much he would bet? The whole point of my tracker is assembling everything where Avante can't even deny the fact he bet on it :lol
unfortunately i talked him out of this one (read the first 3 posts). i figured it should get partial credit tbh

[Blake]

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I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.



I haven't lost a dime in years...ok? You'll see my $$$$ plays, watch how much I lose....and you will.