Vegas: NBA wins for each team in 2014-2015. Which of these are safe bets?

[unforeseen]

NBA Season 2014-2015 Vegas Predictions


Team/ Win Total (Games)
Cavaliers 58.5
Thunder 57.5
Spurs 56.5
Bulls 55.5
Clippers 55.5
Warriors 50.5
Mavericks 49.5
Raptors 49.5
Rockets 49.5
Wizards 49.5
Grizzlies 48.5
Trail Blazers 48.5
Hornets 45.5
Heat 43.5
Suns 42.5
Nets 41.5
Pelicans 41.5
Hawks 40.5
Knicks 40.5
Nuggets 40.5
Pistons 36.5
Pacers 32.5
Lakers 31.5
Kings 30.5
Magic 28.5
Celtics 26.5
Jazz 25.5
Timberwolves 25.5
Bucks 24.5
76ers 15.5

[spurraider21]

i like pelicans over, but i don't know if i'd call it safe

[kobe4life]

I'm placing a bet on the Lakers to win 60. With the return of God its going to happen. I'm putting a thousand dollars on the Lakers to do it.

[unforeseen]

I like the Pacers since they are in the East. Losing PG will hurt I think they can still pull at least 33 games.

[spurs_fan_in_exile]

The east is such dog poo that you could look at just about any of the potential playoff caliber teams and see them beat those totals but I'd probably go with Hawks. Now that they solved all the racism in the world by disciplining Danny Ferry I think they are poised to win 44 games.

[ElNono]

Vegas certainly know their shit, but barring injury, I think the Spurs can and will win more games.

[AlexJones]

Bulls under
Raptors under

[313]

Lakers under

[Splits]

Bulls under
Blazers over
Suns over
Hawks over

[Xylus]

"Suns 42.5"

Over.

Pelicans under, guaranteed. 41.5 wins? Bullshit.

[Mikeanaro]

Pure shit, as usual Bulls/Clips getting all the hype, why the hell is Portland so low?

[apalisoc_9]

Spurs over
Pacers over
Heat over
Bulls under

[Malik Hairston]

I'm going to pound the fuck out of Nuggets Under 40.5, they're going to be awful, tbh..not sure what Vegas is doing there..

Under Leans: Raptors, Wizards, Nets, Pelicans, Lakers, Timberwolves

Over Leans: Cavs, Warriors, Hawks, Pistons

[Fabbs]

I'm placing a bet on the Lakers to win 60. With the return of God its going to happen. I'm putting a thousand dollars on the Lakers to do it.
One of the stupidest troll schticks in ST history.

[anakha]

God help me, but I actually like the Kings over here.

Wizards under looks promising as well. I dunno if Pierce will result in as large a spike in wins as people might expect.

[BG_Spurs_Fan]

Under : Bulls, Warriors, Raptors, Hornets, Nuggets, Pistons, Magic
Over : Heat, Nets, Pacers, Lakers

[Brazil]

Team/ Win Total (Games)

Heat 43.5 -> over
Nuggets 40.5 -> under
Pacers 32.5 -> over
Lakers 31.5 -> over
Kings 30.5 -> over, roster is good for more than that
Celtics 26.5 -> over

[ambchang]

These odds predicted 1242 wins. The league has 30 teams, and each team will, on average, win 41 games, so there should be only a total of 1230 wins.

The Vegas odds over predicted by 12 wins.

[spurraider21]

These odds predicted 1242 wins. The league has 30 teams, and each team will, on average, win 41 games, so there should be only a total of 1230 wins.

The Vegas odds over predicted by 12 wins.
so if you place under bets for everybody you're guaranteed to win

[tlongII]

The Blazers will be over 48.5 easy.

[cjw]

Nuggets Under 40.5

They are a very tough team to beat in Denver, so that's probably why they trend closer to a .500 team than you (and I) would think otherwise.

[ambchang]

so if you place under bets for everybody you're guaranteed to win

Sort of, but depending what the payouts are. If it's all 1:1, then most likely.

Come to think of it, you can still loose, if 20 teams win 0.5 more games than expected (10 wins in total), and the remaining teams lose a combined 22 games more than expected (10 + the 12 games variance), then you'd still lose money because you only got 10 of the 30 right.

[InRareForm]

what sportsbook is this? i dont see anything on thegreek which usually has it first.

[Brazil]

These odds predicted 1242 wins. The league has 30 teams, and each team will, on average, win 41 games, so there should be only a total of 1230 wins.

The Vegas odds over predicted by 12 wins.

:lol my safe bets then suck I have 5 over and only one under

[Splits]

http://i2.minus.com/jVUo43rtMGCmH.png

[Galileo]

Bucks, Spurs, Pelicans will all go over.

[unforeseen]

what sportsbook is this? i dont see anything on thegreek which usually has it first.

LVH SuperBook at the Westgate Las Vegas Resort.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/story.cfm/story/1596205

[unforeseen]

so if you place under bets for everybody you're guaranteed to win


Based on last year's results from the SuperBook, 12 teams exceeded the oddsmakers' expectations and went OVER their win totals while 18 went UNDER.

[Mori Chu]

Suns, Hawks, Rockets OVER
Grizzlies UNDER

[dfens]

I'm placing a bet on the Lakers to win 60. With the return of God its going to happen. I'm putting a thousand dollars on the Lakers to do it.

i'm placing a bet that the owner of this troll was lobotomized.

[313]

"Suns 42.5"

Over.

Pelicans under, guaranteed. 41.5 wins? Bullshit.
I like AD, but ESPN is overrating him heavily.