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Jelly
09-08-2005, 07:54 PM
Don't worry. Compared to Katrina, this'll be kids stuff...

Ophelia Gains Hurricane Strength off Fla. Coast

Associated Press
Friday, September 9, 2005; Page A07

NEW SMYRNA BEACH, Fla., Sept. 8 -- Tropical Storm Ophelia strengthened into a hurricane 70 miles off the northeast Florida coast Thursday, eroding miles of beach and shutting down a section of State Road A1A in Flagler County.

At 5 p.m., it had top sustained winds of 75 mph, just over the hurricane threshold and 10 mph faster than the previous measured speed. National Hurricane Center forecasters said it was unclear where the seventh hurricane of the Atlantic season would drift.


It could become the third hurricane to strike Florida this year and the seventh in 13 months. Hurricane Dennis hit the Panhandle in July, and Hurricane Katrina hit south Florida last month, killing 11 people before devastating parts of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama four days later.

Officials shut down the stretch of A1A Thursday so transportation workers could shore up the coastal road with sand and boulders.

"The storm is eating up our dunes," said Carl Laundrie, communications manager for Flagler County. "It has cut up right next to the road."

Jack Beven, a hurricane specialist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, said Ophelia should start moving north or northeast -- away from land -- within a day or so. However, it could curl back early next week and slam north Florida or Georgia as a Category 1 storm.

"It is difficult to tell right now," he said.

As a precaution, 14 Navy ships at the Naval Station Mayport in Jacksonville headed to sea.

Two shelters in Flagler County were readied as a precaution.

In neighboring Volusia County, 12 residents were already staying at three public shelters. Heavy rain in the preceding weeks has flooded the west side of the county. Schools there were closed Thursday but were to reopen Friday.

Because there were no classes, Sue Jones took her three children to New Smyrna Beach to play.

"We thought we would go to the beach to see if there is any of it left," said Jones, 48, a graphic artist, as high winds threw sea foam as much as 90 yards ashore.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, the tropical storm warning for Bermuda was discontinued as Hurricane Nate pulled away, while Hurricane Maria moved over the cold north Atlantic with 75 mph winds.

Old School Chic
09-08-2005, 07:56 PM
I wish there was a way we can control the weather.

ChumpDumper
09-08-2005, 08:00 PM
Boards on the window
Mail by the door
What would anybody leave so quickly for?
Ophelia
Where have you gone?

whottt
09-08-2005, 08:03 PM
Jelly...Katrina was kidstuff right before it hit Florida...it was a cat 1 to begin with and no one thought it was going to be a big deal.

Jelly
09-08-2005, 08:13 PM
true whottt. But really, how many Katrinas will we see in our lifetime? Not many, I hope. They're calling it the biggest disaster in American history. I'm going with the law of statistics and will assume this will be your standard Florida hurricane. And, in any case, I think we all feel comfortable knowing that Jeb Bush et al can handle any natural disaster better than those yahoos in Louisiana. (but I'll keep my fingers crossed anyway)

Ginofan
09-08-2005, 08:28 PM
Honestly, we probably won't see another Katrina-like storm in a very long time, but that doesn't mean we won't still see some storms that can cause some damage. We still have at least half the season to go.


Latest radar and RECON data supports upgrading Ophelia to a hurricane. The storm is still stationary about 70 miles east of Cape Canaveral, near 28.6N / 79.5W, and best estimates are the sustained surface winds have reached 65Kts in a very small area near the eyewall. For the most part, winds within 20NM of the storm are around 50mph. The buoy located at 28.5N and 80.2W, some 25-30 miles from the eyewall itself, is reporting sustained surface winds of 37mph, and gusts to 47mph, down about 5mph in the last few hours. The pressure has remained steady all day. This combined with the radar loops seem to indicate that Ophelia may also have begin to drift northeastward away from the coast. It will be another 6 hours though before we will really know if this is just a 'meander' or truly a new heading.

The latest set of models runs confirm the morning runs that take Opheila slowly out to sea starting tonight and lasting for about 3 days. After then, all the models are also in general agreement that the storm will go slow down again and loop back towards the U.S. This was the basic scenario the GFS was showing for the past few days - in a general sense.

But for now -- it appears that the storm should slowly move away from Florida while it slowly intensifies and that should result in a decrease of the threat to Florida for the near term.
Link (http://www.wunderground.com/blog/SteveGregory/show.html)

MannyIsGod
09-08-2005, 08:37 PM
true whottt. But really, how many Katrinas will we see in our lifetime? Not many, I hope. They're calling it the biggest disaster in American history. I'm going with the law of statistics and will assume this will be your standard Florida hurricane. And, in any case, I think we all feel comfortable knowing that Jeb Bush et al can handle any natural disaster better than those yahoos in Louisiana. (but I'll keep my fingers crossed anyway)
Katrina was only a catagory 3 hurricane when it came ashore. This could easily be a catagory 3 when it comes ashore. Don't count your chickens before they hatch.

In fact, if I was on the southeastern Atlantic coast, I would not be happy with this AT ALL. I hope people do not look at it as having no way of equaling Katrina because even though the situation may not be as bad, there is still potential for a very devistating storm to come from this.

Hurricanes - even weak ones - are not storms you fuck around with.

Jelly
09-08-2005, 08:57 PM
Katrina was only a catagory 3 hurricane when it came ashore. This could easily be a catagory 3 when it comes ashore. Don't count your chickens before they hatch.

In fact, if I was on the southeastern Atlantic coast, I would not be happy with this AT ALL. I hope people do not look at it as having no way of equaling Katrina because even though the situation may not be as bad, there is still potential for a very devistating storm to come from this.

Hurricanes - even weak ones - are not storms you fuck around with.

Manny, that reads like a PSA. I can hear that last line being read by James Earl Jones. But I get your point. Geez guys...didn't mean to dis the cane.

MannyIsGod
09-08-2005, 09:05 PM
:lol

I'm just saying, it would be horrible if people thought they would be ok just because Katrina was horrible.

Manu20
09-08-2005, 09:12 PM
Even tropical storms can be dangerous. Back in 2001 Tropical storm Allison hit Houston and the death toll was 40. Nobody should take any storm likely.

Vashner
09-08-2005, 09:13 PM
Bush did it...

CharlieMac
09-08-2005, 09:23 PM
It's just going to sit there a while.

Aggie Hoopsfan
09-08-2005, 09:49 PM
I wish there was a way we can control the weather.

Didn't you hear? Bush has got a weather machine on his ranch. It's what he used to kill all the black people. [/Kanye West, Al Sharpton, Jesse Jackson, Howard Dean, Gov. Blanco]