66 Wins??

[jsandiego]

ESPN Analytics guy projects Spurs to win 66 games with the addition of LMA. Seems awfully high. I'll take the under, but wanted to see what y'all thought.

[Mr. Body]

Under. Too many old guys.

[tholdren]

lmao - spurs don't even have a full roster.

[Marcus Bryant]

Yeah, under. Let's see how the roster is filled out first. Most wins for a Spurs team in the regular season ever was 63.

[Horse]

Under schedueled rest and all that Pop doesn't care about win totals

[manufan10]

Under... for now. Around 55-58 wins, imo.

[HarlemHeat37]

Under, regardless of the rest of the off-season..

[DieHardSpursFan1537]

Nope. 55-60 wins (I think)

CIA Pop will kick in again and we'll tank the last couple of games on purpose by resting half the team

[soxxx]

We won 62 in 2014. 56 last season despite playing bad.

A lot of it will depend how we start, if we start hot we might be looking at 60+ games. Unfortunately I believe the Warriors and Thunder will also win 60+ if they stay healthy. Going to be intense.

[benstanfield]

ALWAYS take the under. You can pretty much make free money in Vegas, if you're smart, by taking strategic under bets on overall season wins. Over bets almost never work out, 90% of the chance occurrences in an NBA season are injuries.

[Uriel]

ESPN Analytics guy projects Spurs to win 66 games with the addition of LMA. Seems awfully high. I'll take the under, but wanted to see what y'all thought.
Link?

[TXstbobcat]

I take the under but my prediction is 64 wins for the Spurs.

[Maj_G]

Ha! Pop won't let it happen.

[TheGoldStandard]

What are you all talking about 73-9

[SpursFan86]

I believe OP is referring to Kevin Pelton's RPM-based predictions...not necessarily what he himself thinks will happen, and it doesn't adjust for likelihood of injuries, Pop resting players, etc. Pretty sure it's just a model solely based on RPM.

60-62 wins would be great. Anything higher than that would require extreme luck and everything going our way. I'm personally predicting we'll finish around 57-58 wins.

[sananspursfan21]

60 is certainly not out of the realm. I'm going to say 64... Generous but I believe possible

[Robz4000]

Under. 60 is prolly a stretch tbh.

[DMX7]

That seems too high. We don't play for the regular season anyway.

[jsandiego]

I believe OP is referring to Kevin Pelton's RPM-based predictions...not necessarily what he himself thinks will happen, and it doesn't adjust for likelihood of injuries, Pop resting players, etc. Pretty sure it's just a model solely based on RPM.

60-62 wins would be great. Anything higher than that would require extreme luck and everything going our way. I'm personally predicting we'll finish around 57-58 wins.
Yeah this is what I saw. I don't have a link - it was just mentioned on the SportsCenter ticker/crawler on the bottom of the screen.

We we thought the West was no joke this year, but it should be insane next year. OKC if healthy should be back in the mix. Will the Clippers fall so far to be struggling for a playoff spot? And AD & the Pelicans will continue to improve.

[SpursFan86]

The Clippers and Blazers will be worse, but basically every other team in the West is shaping up to be just as good or better.

Regardless of how tough the conference is, 66 wins is way too high of an expectation.

[Janko]

the best thing of getting lma is that we don't have to stress our players as we did in the last games of the season... the number of wins probably will be lower but certainly we wont end up under the second seed .. and that's the most important thing

[HarlemHeat37]

The Clippers and Blazers will be worse, but basically every other team in the West is shaping up to be just as good or better.

Regardless of how tough the conference is, 66 wins is way too high of an expectation.

Memphis will probably be the same or worse, too..did they add anybody that I'm forgetting?

[SpursFan86]

Memphis will probably be the same or worse, too..did they add anybody that I'm forgetting?

They got Brandan Wright to be Koufos's replacement. I'd say that's a slight improvement considering their lack of offense. They also missed Tony Allen for about 20 games last year, and he's pretty important for them...so if he can stay healthy that'd be a plus. Not really high on him, but Jeff Green opted in, so they might be able to get some improvement there as they build some chemistry.

Overall I'd say they'll be about where they were at last year. 54-55 wins, capable of giving some teams hell in the playoffs but not a real contender or anything.

[james evans]

Nope. 55-60 wins (I think)

CIA Pop will kick in again and we'll tank the last couple of games on purpose by resting half the team
yep. that old fucker has and will never learn his lesson

[InRareForm]

Under. If they get in the 60's you best believe Pop will be resting starters a lot.

[cutewizard]

http://www.boxscoregeeks.com/articles/rpm-and-a-problem-with-advanced-stats

[cutewizard]

sorry, not that one, wait...ill research the link

[cutewizard]

http://espn.go.com/sportsnation/chat/_/id/51302/nba-insider-kevin-pelton

[cutewizard]

http://www.boxscoregeeks.com/players/compare?utf8=%E2%9C%93&player_ids%5B%5D=185&player_ids%5B%5D=273&season=2014


Wow, this is a site for basketball geeks really, it lets you compare players using statistics

[cutewizard]

http://espn.go.com/nba/insider/story/_/id/13198066/nba-adding-lamarcus-aldridge-makes-san-antonio-spurs-top-contenders

THATS THE SPECIFIC SITE!

[BillMc]

Reminds me of when the Lakers signed Nash and traded for Howard and everyone when bananas with their expectations. Artest, I believe, said they'd break the Bulls' record for most wins. Similarly, the analytic guys projected the Cavs last year at 67 wins with Love. It takes time. We should manage expectations.

[SanDiegoSpursFan]

I'm hoping for about 60 wins, as long as the rest of the roster isn't bad or filled with a bunch of older players.

[024]

It's not like the Spurs added a top 5 player. I'm not even sure the Spurs added a top 10 player. The Spurs also lost key players like Splitter, Belineli, Baynes, and Joseph (will most likely be renounced to make cap space). These were all players who were useful at one situation or another. So it's not like the Lakers' Gasol trade where they gave up peanuts for an all star big or when the Cavs signed Lebron.

The Spurs gambled by breaking up their bench. The Spurs won a championship through run and gun plus 3 point shooting. They will have to retool and run the offense through Aldridge now, which means a different pace. The Spurs still need to prove they can adopt another new offense.

[hsxvvd]

In the East over.

The West is still strong... under.

[TheGreatYacht]

20< game win streak for sure

[BillMc]

Tom Penn and P.J. Carlesimo have us #2 in the West behind the Warriors. At this point that sounds fair. Need to see how LMA does, and how our bench fills out.


http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=espn:13201406

[ceperez]

Ha! Pop won't let it happen.

I agree... lots of games where Duncan will just be resting.

Spurs need only to make the playoffs, no need to risk injuries and tire out players achieving a meaningless goal. Let the Warriors go for that title.

[ceperez]

It's not like the Spurs added a top 5 player. I'm not even sure the Spurs added a top 10 player. The Spurs also lost key players like Splitter, Belineli, Baynes, and Joseph (will most likely be renounced to make cap space). These were all players who were useful at one situation or another. So it's not like the Lakers' Gasol trade where they gave up peanuts for an all star big or when the Cavs signed Lebron.

The Spurs gambled by breaking up their bench. The Spurs won a championship through run and gun plus 3 point shooting. They will have to retool and run the offense through Aldridge now, which means a different pace. The Spurs still need to prove they can adopt another new offense.

Will all depend on health.

If I assume that all the remaining players are going to be just as good as they were when they won the championship then this absolutely is a better team.

Aldridge is a better defensive player than Splitter. He's also not a offensive liability. His mid-range jump is going to open a lot of open space for Leonard and Parker to operate in the inside.

Aldridge can also create his own offense, so we don't need to have Parker on the floor. Spurs can put a better defensive team on the floor. I mean trying scoring against a team with this kind of length:

Anderson - PG 6'8"
Green - SG 6'6"
Leonard - SF - 6'7"
Aldridge - PF - 6'11"
Duncan - C - 6'11"

[TXstbobcat]

Tom Penn and P.J. Carlesimo have us #2 in the West behind the Warriors. At this point that sounds fair. Need to see how LMA does, and how our bench fills out.


http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=espn:13201406

im okay with that. We can settle that in the WCF.

[phxspurfan]

77 wins.

[BillMc]

im okay with that. We can settle that in the WCF.
:toast

[polandprzem]

Under... for now. Around 55-58 wins, imo.
just about right

[Horry Hipcheck]

Under. Even if the Spurs added LMA at no cost to the rest of the roster, I still wouldn't peg them at 66 wins. Pop just has no interest in a meaningless number of victories. The Dubs won 67 last year and were what, 11 games ahead of the Rockets at the end? Who gives a shit?

Anyway, I think the Spurs will sniff 60 but it won't be a cakewalk. LMA will have to adjust to the new system, and the loss of Splitter, Baynes, and Marco means the rotations are different now. I'm confident PATFO can and will properly retool the roster, but these Spurs aren't getting into an arms race with Golden State during the regular season.

[ffadicted]

Under for sure lol Pop won't play most ppl most nights lol

[Maj_G]

I agree... lots of games where Duncan will just be resting.

Spurs need only to make the playoffs, no need to risk injuries and tire out players achieving a meaningless goal. Let the Warriors go for that title.

I think this year we need to rest, Timmy, Manu (duh) and Tony as well. So I don't see us fighting for the number 1 seed. Yes, the warriors and maybe OKC will go for it.