Project plus/minus for next season

[Kawhitstorm]

To measure just how good it was — or how dominant next season’s Spurs figure to be, I dusted off last year’s preseason projection system (http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2014-nba-preview-the-rise-of-the-warriors/) (fueled by Real Plus-Minus (http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/10740818/introducing-real-plus-minus)), plugged projected RPM values into Rotoworld’s depth charts (http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/depth-charts/nba.aspx), and (unscientifically) estimated how much playing time each player will receive.2 (http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-spurs-are-going-to-be-really-good-like-golden-state-warriors-good/?ex_cid=538twitter#fn-2) Here’s a first pass at how good San Antonio could be next season:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-spurs-are-going-to-be-really-good-like-golden-state-warriors-good/

[apalisoc_9]

Fun fact, Kawhi was a top 2-3 player last year in ARPM

Parker was one of the worst players in the league.

[ducks]

Fun fact, Kawhi was a top 2-3 player last year in ARPM

Parker was one of the worst players in the league.
why no allstar then

[BD24]

To measure just how good it was — or how dominant next season’s Spurs figure to be, I dusted off last year’s preseason projection system (http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2014-nba-preview-the-rise-of-the-warriors/) (fueled by Real Plus-Minus (http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/10740818/introducing-real-plus-minus)), plugged projected RPM values into Rotoworld’s depth charts (http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/depth-charts/nba.aspx), and (unscientifically) estimated how much playing time each player will receive.2 (http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-spurs-are-going-to-be-really-good-like-golden-state-warriors-good/?ex_cid=538twitter#fn-2) Here’s a first pass at how good San Antonio could be next season:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-spurs-are-going-to-be-really-good-like-golden-state-warriors-good/?ex_cid=538twitter
Your link isn't working man.

[BD24]

Interesting read though. A bit surprised Danny DPM wasn't higher though tbh.

[Aztecfan03]

why no allstar then
a month of being hurt and not shooting well early on. Remember all-star is mid-season.

[Kawhitstorm]

Interesting read though. A bit surprised Danny DPM wasn't higher though tbh.

He played a lot of minutes w/ Marco/Baynes instead of Kawhi/Tiago

[BD24]

Yea, that makes sense. Thats one of the problems with stats like these, what system your in and who you play with has a big effect. They are about the best way to statistically measure defense at this time though, so they will do. Aldridge is a better defender than people give him credit for. I imagine his metrics will go up this year on the defensive end with Danny, Tim, and Kawhi.

[Beaverfuzz]

Porker -15

:lol :bobo

[BD24]

Yea hopefully Parkers defense can at least not be a net negative this year. Any chance we can trade him for Mike Conley or Elfrid Payton? The other teams did it on nba 2k15!!

[UNT Eagles 2016]

Matt Bonner: +1372

[cutewizard]

Cool!

very interesting analysis Sir!

are you a statistician?

[TheMulletMan3000]

He played a lot of minutes w/ Marco/Baynes instead of Kawhi/Tiago
It doesn't matter who you play with. That is why it is called real plus minus. Also, that is projected RPM, doesn't mean that Danny will have 1.9 DRPM. They estimated it.

[RD2191]

It doesn't matter who you play with. That is why it is called real plus minus. Also, that is projected RPM, doesn't mean that Danny will have 1.9 DRPM. They estimated it.
Brother?

[Fireball]

Brother? :rollin

[TheMulletMan3000]

Brother?


Family reunion!