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View Full Version : Article: Kawhi would be the #1 pick if the 2011 draft were redone today...



Tully365
01-20-2016, 06:52 PM
http://basketball-players.pointafter.com/stories/9974/re-picking-the-2011-nba-draft-kyrie-irving-kawhi-leonard?utm_medium=cm&utm_source=outbrain&utm_campaign=ao.cm.ob.dt.9974#2-Kawhi-Leonard

It could be argued the Spurs were lucky getting two #1 picks in Robinson and Duncan, but this one was earned by great scouting and a smart trade.

UNT Eagles 2016
01-20-2016, 07:24 PM
Who was the #1 pick that year... Anthony Bennett, right?

exstatic
01-20-2016, 07:28 PM
Who was the #1 pick that year... Anthony Bennett, right?

Clicking through to the article will usually answer dumb questions like this. Redrafts always go selection by selection, and give both the original pick, and their new pick.

Blake
01-20-2016, 07:32 PM
Water is wet

BatManu20
01-20-2016, 07:35 PM
Should've been Jimmer imo.

Robz4000
01-20-2016, 07:35 PM
Who was the #1 pick that year... Anthony Bennett, right?

Kyrie Irving

baseline bum
01-20-2016, 07:36 PM
http://basketball-players.pointafter.com/stories/9974/re-picking-the-2011-nba-draft-kyrie-irving-kawhi-leonard?utm_medium=cm&utm_source=outbrain&utm_campaign=ao.cm.ob.dt.9974#2-Kawhi-Leonard

It could be argued the Spurs were lucky getting two #1 picks in Robinson and Duncan, but this one was earned by great scouting and a smart trade.

Yeah, amazing. Leonard would easily go #1 in 2011. Ginobili would most likely go #1 in 1999. Parker probably goes #2 in 2001 (with Gasol #1).

MultiTroll
01-20-2016, 07:47 PM
Pretty good draft year.

TrainOfThought5
01-20-2016, 07:53 PM
Give Kyle Anderson a few more years, gents, and watch him shine.

houston spurs fan
01-20-2016, 07:58 PM
No shit. JJ Watt would too

rasuo214
01-20-2016, 07:59 PM
Who was the #1 pick that year... Anthony Bennett, right?

Kyrie, Bennett was in 2013. 2011 was supposed to be a weak draft but it has turned out to be pretty good. At least Kyrie was projected to go #1, Bennett was a reach (I could be wrong but I think most mocks had him in the 5-10 range).

ParadoxEN
01-20-2016, 08:10 PM
Yeah, amazing. Leonard would easily go #1 in 2011. Ginobili would most likely go #1 in 1999. Parker probably goes #2 in 2001 (with Gasol #1).

Leon Smith in '99, IMO.

LongtimeSpursFan
01-20-2016, 08:16 PM
Give Kyle Anderson a few more years, gents, and watch him shine.

LongtimeSpursFan
01-20-2016, 08:17 PM
Biggest move belongs to Isaiah Thomas. Dude was the last pick of the draft and now a top 5 pick.

daslicer
01-20-2016, 08:29 PM
Surprisingly a lot of solid players out of the 2011 draft.

Mnky
01-20-2016, 08:50 PM
Kyrie, Bennett was in 2013. 2011 was supposed to be a weak draft but it has turned out to be pretty good. At least Kyrie was projected to go #1, Bennett was a reach (I could be wrong but I think most mocks had him in the 5-10 range).

That's right. Cavs reasoning was he was the most "ready to play now" choice, and of course they were contenders and all... (Sarcasm).

100%duncan
01-20-2016, 08:59 PM
Yeah, amazing. Leonard would easily go #1 in 2011. Ginobili would most likely go #1 in 1999. Parker probably goes #2 in 2001 (with Gasol #1).

Spurs :worthy:

Aztecfan03
01-20-2016, 11:42 PM
Give Kyle Anderson a few more years, gents, and watch him shine.
hey, according to the article, Corey Joseph was a good pick and people thought he was a bust.

Kawhitstorm
01-20-2016, 11:47 PM
POTFO should still sign Vesley to replace Bonner, he can be an energy guy like Derrick Williams/Brandon Wright:wakeup

NickiRasgo
01-20-2016, 11:57 PM
Imagine, Kawhi at 15th (Spurs) and Jimmy at 29th (Spurs).

Galileo
01-21-2016, 12:03 AM
Wouldn't Boban and CoJo go higher than what this article says?

SpurPadre
01-21-2016, 12:13 AM
POTFO should still sign Vesley to replace Bonner, he can be an energy guy like Derrick Williams/Brandon Wright:wakeup

They can get a fridge to replace Bonner.

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 03:11 AM
Leon Smith in '99, IMO.

That draft was historically bad. Only a few All-Stars (and I'm talking about 1x or 2x All-Stars) and Manu the only future HoFer (and not based on his NBA credentials).

Fireball
01-21-2016, 03:16 AM
Derick Williams was in that draft? I have the feeling he already is around for 10 years the way Sean always speaks about that untapped potential he has/had

K...
01-21-2016, 09:05 AM
Leonard would be top ten but not number one. No other team has player development like San Antonio. No other team can afford to wait through a rebuild of a players shot. Not every coach can connect to a shell shocked shy guy. Everyone, including the spurs thought leonard would be a defensive junk man and only that.

If you redraft with perfect information you still have to account for that issue. Leonard is very self motivated but not in a traditional way. It's taken him five or six years to be the star. As a number one pick that's a day one experience. People would call Leonard a bust for not developing fast enough.

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 09:19 AM
Leonard would be top ten but not number one.

I'm not sure you fully understand the concept of a redraft.

DJR210
01-21-2016, 09:22 AM
:lol so lucky to be born into being a Spurs fan tbh


Give Kyle Anderson a few more years, gents, and watch him shine.

He should be pissed that Simmons is moving up the ladder before him.. he needs to stop being passive now and lay it on the line, or else he won't be around in two years, IMO.

TheDoctor
01-21-2016, 09:26 AM
I'm not sure you fully understand the concept of a redraft.

:lmao

Agloco
01-21-2016, 09:33 AM
Leonard would be top ten but not number one. No other team has player development like San Antonio. No other team can afford to wait through a rebuild of a players shot. Not every coach can connect to a shell shocked shy guy. Everyone, including the spurs thought leonard would be a defensive junk man and only that.

If you redraft with perfect information you still have to account for that issue. Leonard is very self motivated but not in a traditional way. It's taken him five or six years to be the star. As a number one pick that's a day one experience. People would call Leonard a bust for not developing fast enough.


I'm not sure you fully understand the concept of a redraft.


:lmao

:lol yep, someone missed the boat.

Chinook
01-21-2016, 09:35 AM
:lol so lucky to be born into being a Spurs fan tbh



He should be pissed that Simmons is moving up the ladder before him.. he needs to stop being passive now and lay it on the line, or else he won't be around in two years, IMO.

Anderson will shine more when he is able to run a unit. Simmons is better at getting to the rim, but Anderson is pretty much unstoppable one-on-one when he sets his mind to it. And he's court vision and anticipation is better. I haven't seen Simmons run the team well yet, so I wouldn't put him above Anderson yet in terms of replacing Manu.

K...
01-21-2016, 10:25 AM
So what's the difference between a redraft or a list of best players from said draft?

I think I get it, but it's not a redraft. It's a list of good players. My point stands.

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 10:28 AM
So what's the difference between a redraft or a list of best players from said draft?

I think I get it, but it's not a redraft. It's a list of good players. My point stands.

The point is, if that draft were held today, 100% of GMs would pick Kawhi Leonard first.

Obstructed_View
01-21-2016, 10:33 AM
hey, according to the article, Corey Joseph was a good pick and people thought he was a bust.

Spurstalk shit on him regularly for years until right before someone paid him a lot of money to go to their team.

Obstructed_View
01-21-2016, 10:36 AM
The point is, if that draft were held today, 100% of GMs would pick Kawhi Leonard first.

I think that's true, but I kind of understand K's point. Sometimes what makes a player flourish is the situation he ends up in. If it were possible to mix and match teams with draft picks randomly and see the outcomes, I think we'd be surprised at how much environment plays a part. Some guys become great players because they dropped in the draft, and they use that as motivation. Some guys feel entitled. Some guys don't match up well with coaches, etc.

I'm not positive that Leonard would be the player he is today in any other situation.

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 10:46 AM
I think that's true, but I kind of understand K's point. Sometimes what makes a player flourish is the situation he ends up in. If it were possible to mix and match teams with draft picks randomly and see the outcomes, I think we'd be surprised at how much environment plays a part. Some guys become great players because they dropped in the draft, and they use that as motivation. Some guys feel entitled. Some guys don't match up well with coaches, etc.

I'm not positive that Leonard would be the player he is today in any other situation.

I also understand his point, but the whole point of a redraft is to eliminate all the "what ifs" that were present during the actual draft. It's a 20/20 hindsight kind of exercise.

The odds of success are actually stacked against most top draft picks because they are by definition drafted by crappy, dysfunctional, toxic teams. That's why so many of them only start being good after getting traded at the end of their rookie contract. The smart ones bolt as soon as they can.

GMs in 2016 would still draft Kawhi #1 because they'd know he's not going to be a difference maker out of the gate and that they'll need to invest some time and effort to develop him. They know that because that's exactly what SA did and they can see the result.

Doing a redraft any other way is just opening the door to endless "but what if that bust pick had been drafted by the Spurs, he'd be a HoFer by now!" arguments.

Obstructed_View
01-21-2016, 10:54 AM
I also understand his point, but the whole point of a redraft is to eliminate all the "what ifs" that were present during the actual draft. It's a 20/20 hindsight kind of exercise.

The odds of success are actually stacked against most top draft picks because they are by definition drafted by crappy, dysfunctional, toxic teams. That's why so many of them only start being good after getting traded at the end of their rookie contract. The smart ones bolt as soon as they can.

GMs in 2016 would still draft Kawhi #1 because they'd know he's not going to be a difference maker out of the gate and that they'll need to invest some time and effort to develop him. They know that because that's exactly what SA did and they can see the result.

Doing a redraft any other way is just opening the door to endless "but what if that bust pick had been drafted by the Spurs, he'd be a HoFer by now!" arguments.

Correct. The purpose of having this discussion is ranking the players as they are today.

Really strange thinking of Manu going from the very end to the very beginning of the '99 draft.

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 11:05 AM
Really strange thinking of Manu going from the very end to the very beginning of the '99 draft.

Actually I don't think that it's quite as clear cut as for Kawhi: Manu would have a strong case for being picked #1, but depending on each team's situation I could see some going for Shawn Marion or Metta World Peace instead, or even AK47.

Not every team could afford waiting 3 years for their #1 pick to arrive and then play him below 30mpg.

K...
01-21-2016, 11:17 AM
Ok so redraft is the same as best players(from a coaches/fo) standpoint.


I could go on..But the main distinction, it's called a redraft b/c of fantasy sports where people do draft established players. In the real world draft only occurs with new players (outside of weird exspansion draft cases).

So if you say redraft your stipulating a return to 2011 with more information about player development. That is unless your redraft is fantasy redraft, in which case your asking about best players.


The sight difference with saying "kawhi is the best player from 2011 class) is that in your redraft you acknowledge teams needs..So like Cleveland wouldn't take kawhi because LeBron. You'd have to stipulate that the redraft is best player available not best fit for team. Or you invent some trade fiction and say Cavs take kawhi and trade out.


Anyway, this thread clearly should be titled best player 2011 draft class and not redraft redo. Lol.

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 11:21 AM
Ok so redraft is the same as best players(from a coaches/fo) standpoint.

Yup.


The sight difference with saying "kawhi is the best player from 2011 class) is that in your redraft you acknowledge teams needs..So like Cleveland wouldn't take kawhi because LeBron. You'd have to stipulate that the redraft is best player available not best fit for team. Or you invent some trade fiction and say Cavs take kawhi and trade out.

That's a valid point but nobody does that as it's way too complicated, especially taking into account that we don't even know what is going on in most of the GMs' head when they draft (or rather, what is NOT going on in their head, like that knucklehead drafting Rubio and Flynn with 2 lottery picks).

So essentially a redraft is just listing the players from that draft from best to worst according to how things panned out for them in the meanwhile. It's just another way to say "that team was so right/wrong" or "that player so over/underperformed compared to the rank where he was drafted".

Raven
01-21-2016, 11:29 AM
Biggest move belongs to Isaiah Thomas. Dude was the last pick of the draft and now a top 5 pick.

debatable. He is still a hard player to use if you're trying to win games.

Chinook
01-21-2016, 11:34 AM
Ok so redraft is the same as best players(from a coaches/fo) standpoint.


I could go on..But the main distinction, it's called a redraft b/c of fantasy sports where people do draft established players. In the real world draft only occurs with new players (outside of weird exspansion draft cases).

So if you say redraft your stipulating a return to 2011 with more information about player development. That is unless your redraft is fantasy redraft, in which case your asking about best players.


The sight difference with saying "kawhi is the best player from 2011 class) is that in your redraft you acknowledge teams needs..So like Cleveland wouldn't take kawhi because LeBron. You'd have to stipulate that the redraft is best player available not best fit for team. Or you invent some trade fiction and say Cavs take kawhi and trade out.


Anyway, this thread clearly should be titled best player 2011 draft class and not redraft redo. Lol.

The idea isn't to pick those players now. It's to pick those players then, knowing what you know now about how to players turned out. The Cavs would have every incentive to pick up Kawhi, because they didn't have James (and it's not like they can't play together). The only reason I could see deciding against it is that the Cavs could pick Irving at one and still get one of Leonard/Butler/Thompson at four. That would be a better foundation than just picking two wings.

GSH
01-21-2016, 02:06 PM
If you invested $10K in Microsoft at it's IPO, it would be worth something like $17M today. Everyone would have stayed out of the World Trade Center on 9/11, and the Titanic would have sailed to the Caribbean.

Strangely, Portland might still select Greg Oden with their #1 pick from 2007, if they could do it over. :D

100%duncan
01-21-2016, 02:07 PM
Why am I not surprised that that specific faggot is the one who doesnt get the point...







yet again

GSH
01-21-2016, 02:41 PM
Why am I not surprised that that specific faggot is the one who doesnt get the point...

yet again


The point that Kawhi was a lot better than the #15 position, where he got drafted? Yes, that point totally escaped me. Glad someone wrote an article about it.


Why am I not surprised that you don't get that it's a stupid, unnecessary fluff-piece written by a guy who normally writes articles like, "What to do with an English degree" and "The 25 Best Women's Colleges"?
https://author-profiles.graphiq.com/l/8/Nick-Selbe (https://author-profiles.graphiq.com/l/8/Nick-Selbe)
I knew, without looking, that the person who wrote that article is some dumbshit who recently graduated college, and knows jack shit about basketball. I wonder why you didn't?

GSH
01-21-2016, 03:19 PM
Give Kyle Anderson a few more years, gents, and watch him shine.


The league is full of ex-Spur players who couldn't crack the rotation here. We face them all the time. Anderson could easily be one of those.

steeledl
01-21-2016, 03:20 PM
Parker and ginobili would be near the top of their drafts in retrospect as well.

DAF86
01-21-2016, 03:59 PM
That draft was historically bad. Only a few All-Stars (and I'm talking about 1x or 2x All-Stars) and Manu the only future HoFer (and not based on his NBA credentials).

Dude, Manu is a hall of famer with his NBA credentials alone too. If only for being part of the winningest trio in the history of the league.

DAF86
01-21-2016, 04:06 PM
Actually I don't think that it's quite as clear cut as for Kawhi: Manu would have a strong case for being picked #1, but depending on each team's situation I could see some going for Shawn Marion or Metta World Peace instead, or even AK47.

Not every team could afford waiting 3 years for their #1 pick to arrive and then play him below 30mpg.

If he would have been the number 1 pick he wouldn't have waited 3 years to get to the league and would have played above 30 minutes per game. And no, nobody would pick Ron Artest nor shawn fucking Marion over Manu knowing what they know now.

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 04:06 PM
Dude, Manu is a hall of famer with his NBA credentials alone too. If only for being part of the winningest trio in the history of the league.

His european and international resume will help, though. Many people won't have seen him play and will only look at the stats sheet and personal accolades, will forget he's been snubbed for several ASG and that he could easily have had a FMVP. Based on current NBA resume I'm afraid he'd be borderline, some people would put forward his rings and being part of the Big 3, others would target his low mpg and rather mundane stats. Intangibles don't translate well into stats.

Anyway Manu is a HoFer, and deservedly so, and I forgot that Shawn Marion has a decent chance to get in as well, in the same draft. Everybody else is 2nd tier.

look_at_g_shred
01-21-2016, 04:08 PM
The point is, if that draft were held today, 100% of GMs would pick Kawhi Leonard first.
I think there's a good 60% who would pick Irving still :lmao

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 04:11 PM
If he would have been the number 1 pick he wouldn't have waited 3 years to get to the league and would have played above 30 minutes per game. And no, nobody would pick Ron Artest nor shawn fucking Marion over Manu knowing what they know now.

I'd say you overestimate Manu's capacity to play > 30mpg (and I don't remember what was his contract situation in Europe), and that you underestimate Shawn Marion, who was a 20 & 10 player in his prime. Marion played 50% more minutes than Manu over the course of his career...

Proxy
01-21-2016, 04:26 PM
Clicking through to the article will usually answer dumb questions like this.

https://media.giphy.com/media/xKy2w6LehxxHa/giphy.gif

Tully365
01-21-2016, 05:11 PM
I wonder who the first person (a scout, I presume) in the Spurs' organization was to say to RC that Kawhi was someone to keep an eye on?

RD2191
01-21-2016, 05:16 PM
Why am I not surprised that that specific faggot is the one who doesnt get the point...







yet again

Tully365
01-21-2016, 05:33 PM
One interesting take, comparing the Suns & Spurs: http://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/nba/suns/2015/04/27/phoenix-suns-san-antonio-spurs-draft-kawhi-leonard-nba/26476681/

YGWHI
01-21-2016, 05:43 PM
Why am I not surprised that that specific faggot is the one who doesnt get the point...







yet again
:lol

K... genuinely thinks that Morris, Jimmer, Vesely, Biyombo...are way better players than Kawhi. :lol

YGWHI
01-21-2016, 05:54 PM
One interesting take, comparing the Suns & Spurs: http://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/nba/suns/2015/04/27/phoenix-suns-san-antonio-spurs-draft-kawhi-leonard-nba/26476681/


"They had the culture ready to groom Leonard into a star with Duncan, Parker and Ginobili putting a ring, or rings, to selfless play"
This is nice coming from AZCentral.

"Not pick Leonard because of an overabundance of rotation small forwards on the roster — Grant Hill, Jared Dudley and Josh Childress"
19-years-old Kawhi was a better defender than Dudley/Childress in their whole careers...

Obstructed_View
01-21-2016, 07:20 PM
Actually I don't think that it's quite as clear cut as for Kawhi: Manu would have a strong case for being picked #1, but depending on each team's situation I could see some going for Shawn Marion or Metta World Peace instead, or even AK47.

Not every team could afford waiting 3 years for their #1 pick to arrive and then play him below 30mpg.

If this is just a mental exercise, all things being equal, then the delay isn't a factor. I'd imagine that Manu's no worse than second on virtually every GM's list.

BD24
01-21-2016, 07:31 PM
Although we got a huge steal on Kawhi it does make me a bit sad that we could of had Jimmy Buckets instead of Cojo. Could of had the two best players in the draft :wow

lilbthebasedgod
01-21-2016, 07:37 PM
idk tbh

will_spurs
01-21-2016, 07:39 PM
If this is just a mental exercise, all things being equal, then the delay isn't a factor. I'd imagine that Manu's no worse than second on virtually every GM's list.

Well, one player's career in the NBA is potentially 3y shorter than the other, and Manu already wasn't that young when he was drafted. I'd definitely draft Manu first, don't get me wrong, but I could see some GMs pick Marion first because it would work better for them.

Obstructed_View
01-21-2016, 08:46 PM
Well, one player's career in the NBA is potentially 3y shorter than the other, and Manu already wasn't that young when he was drafted. I'd definitely draft Manu first, don't get me wrong, but I could see some GMs pick Marion first because it would work better for them.

Manu didn't sign with Kinder Bologna until after the draft. His age might be a factor, but the Spurs could have had him for the 1999/2000 season.

Holy shit, that deserves its own thread.

TrainOfThought5
01-21-2016, 09:22 PM
The league is full of ex-Spur players who couldn't crack the rotation here. We face them all the time. Anderson could easily be one of those.

Anderson wont be. I think he'll be a bonafide star and place top 10 on all time Spurs list when its all said and done. hes just taking a while to get to his max potential, naturally LOL

DAF86
01-21-2016, 10:00 PM
I'd say you overestimate Manu's capacity to play > 30mpg (and I don't remember what was his contract situation in Europe), and that you underestimate Shawn Marion, who was a 20 & 10 player in his prime. Marion played 50% more minutes than Manu over the course of his career...

I've seen him play over 30 minutes per game in all kinds of formats. So no, I don't think I overestimate his capacity to play over 30 mpg. I think you underestimate it.

100%duncan
01-21-2016, 10:16 PM
The point that Kawhi was a lot better than the #15 position, where he got drafted? Yes, that point totally escaped me. Glad someone wrote an article about it.


Why am I not surprised that you don't get that it's a stupid, unnecessary fluff-piece written by a guy who normally writes articles like, "What to do with an English degree" and "The 25 Best Women's Colleges"?
https://author-profiles.graphiq.com/l/8/Nick-Selbe (https://author-profiles.graphiq.com/l/8/Nick-Selbe)
I knew, without looking, that the person who wrote that article is some dumbshit who recently graduated college, and knows jack shit about basketball. I wonder why you didn't?

What? I wasnt talking bout the article bruh :lol

UNT Eagles 2016
01-21-2016, 10:52 PM
Kyrie Irving
Would pick Irving over Leonard, but Leonard definitely top 5 for sure.

will_spurs
01-22-2016, 02:27 AM
Manu didn't sign with Kinder Bologna until after the draft. His age might be a factor, but the Spurs could have had him for the 1999/2000 season.

Holy shit, that deserves its own thread.

Biggest "what if" in the history of the Spurs if PATFO had indeed full control over when he could come...

Obstructed_View
01-22-2016, 01:58 PM
Biggest "what if" in the history of the Spurs if PATFO had indeed full control over when he could come...

Yeah, 2000 was a lost season, but Manu instead of Derek Anderson to take over for Mario Elie and Jaren Jackson. Holy shit.

wildbill2u
01-22-2016, 02:33 PM
Seems like years ago folks on this site used to take a lot of shots at the FO and Pop for their draft choices. "Sure," they said, "they got lucky with Timmy, Ginobilli, and Parker, but luck isn't good drafting skills." You don't hear a lot of that these days.

Are Spurs Talk fans maturing? Nah, probably not. Just bandwagoneers.