View Full Version : Clinton's third-party headache
ducks
08-05-2016, 01:37 PM
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/clintons-third-party-headache-226700
CosmicCowboy
08-05-2016, 01:43 PM
Johnson will hurt Trump more than Hillary
InRareForm
08-05-2016, 06:53 PM
Yeah I am thinking johnson will get more trump voters than them voting for trump
Unless theres exodus of voters choosing Johnson, this doesn't hurt her much. When they add a third party in or a fourth, her leads goes down just slighty. 1 or 2 percent. That's not nearly enough to swing it to Trump.
SnakeBoy
08-05-2016, 10:25 PM
Johnson will hurt Trump more than Hillary
I don't think it makes a difference, the only chance Trump has ever had to win has been if he can get a significant percentage of the 40-45% of people who never vote to show up at the polls. If they don't show he loses whether people vote for Johnson of not. We won't know the answer to that until election night since nobody polls "unlikely" voters. This is why polls are probably completely unreliable this time. I expect by fall the polls will show a relatively close race (4-5 points max) and then either Hillary or Trump will get absolutely crushed on election day.
ElNono
08-05-2016, 10:55 PM
I don't think it makes a difference, the only chance Trump has ever had to win has been if he can get a significant percentage of the 40-45% of people who never vote to show up at the polls. If they don't show he loses whether people vote for Johnson of not. We won't know the answer to that until election night since nobody polls "unlikely" voters. This is why polls are probably completely unreliable this time. I expect by fall the polls will show a relatively close race (4-5 points max) and then either Hillary or Trump will get absolutely crushed on election day.
Yeah, not a fan of polling with 60+ days to go...
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