We Gave Four Good Pollsters the Same Raw Data. They Had Four Different Results.

[ducks]

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/09/20/upshot/the-error-the-polling-world-rarely-talks-about.html

[Reck]

Why are you posting this? This doesn't look good for your boy. :lol ducks

[ducks]

Same data 4 different results by pollsters

[ElNono]

What's notable about that? it's well within the margin of error, so it makes sense you would have slight variation in the results based on the weighing.

That's why averaging polls (or even better, statistically aggregating polls like FiveThirtyEight does) is a better barometer.

[Chinook]

Well, it seems like Ducks just found out how statistics work.

[TeyshaBlue]

What's notable about that? it's well within the margin of error, so it makes sense you would have slight variation in the results based on the weighing.

That's why averaging polls (or even better, statistically aggregating polls like FiveThirtyEight does) is a better barometer.

+10

[Reck]

What's notable about that? it's well within the margin of error, so it makes sense you would have slight variation in the results based on the weighing.

That's why averaging polls (or even better, statistically aggregating polls like FiveThirtyEight does) is a better barometer.

But it tilts her way so she's favored, no?

4 of the 5 samples have her up.

[UNT Eagles 2016]

But it tilts her way so she's favored, no?

4 of the 5 samples have her up.

official aggregation is HRC +1.7