FuzzyLumpkins
10-25-2016, 09:26 PM
Early voting returns continue to paint a bleak picture for Donald Trump.
In Nevada, where early in-person voting began on Saturday, Democratic voters cast 23,000 more ballots than Republicans as of Tuesday afternoon, good for a 15-percentage-point edge in the nearly 150,000 ballots cast. (Mail in and absentee ballots narrow the gap slightly).
Polling and early voting returns suggest Democrats are maintaining an edge in North Carolina, and they are also slicing into a thinner-than-expected early vote lead for Republicans in Florida, who now lead by about half a percentage point; in 2012, the GOP held a much more significant edge two weeks from Election Day. Women in Florida are casting early ballots in far greater numbers than four years ago, and Hispanic turnout is surging as well, according to data released by the Clinton campaign. Polls suggest that both constituencies are strongly Democratic this year.
In Colorado — where Democrats hold a voter registration edge for the first time — early returns give the party a 23,000-vote lead in returned and in-person ballots. In Arizona, which last went Democratic in 1996, Democrats held a thin early-vote lead on Monday.
Even reliably Republican Texas is sending shudders down GOP spines. In the state's most heavily populated, Democratic-leaning urban counties, early voting turnout is surging beyond its historical pace -- and new polls suddenly show the unthinkable: Texas is not entirely out of reach for Clinton.
"Since the time I started running for state chairman in 2009, I have warned Texas Republicans that Texas should be treated as a competitive state," said Steve Munisteri, a former head of the state's GOP. "Any erosion in our support among Hispanic voters could reduce our margins significantly."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/trump-clinton-early-voting-230315#ixzz4O9by2FkF
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
In Nevada, where early in-person voting began on Saturday, Democratic voters cast 23,000 more ballots than Republicans as of Tuesday afternoon, good for a 15-percentage-point edge in the nearly 150,000 ballots cast. (Mail in and absentee ballots narrow the gap slightly).
Polling and early voting returns suggest Democrats are maintaining an edge in North Carolina, and they are also slicing into a thinner-than-expected early vote lead for Republicans in Florida, who now lead by about half a percentage point; in 2012, the GOP held a much more significant edge two weeks from Election Day. Women in Florida are casting early ballots in far greater numbers than four years ago, and Hispanic turnout is surging as well, according to data released by the Clinton campaign. Polls suggest that both constituencies are strongly Democratic this year.
In Colorado — where Democrats hold a voter registration edge for the first time — early returns give the party a 23,000-vote lead in returned and in-person ballots. In Arizona, which last went Democratic in 1996, Democrats held a thin early-vote lead on Monday.
Even reliably Republican Texas is sending shudders down GOP spines. In the state's most heavily populated, Democratic-leaning urban counties, early voting turnout is surging beyond its historical pace -- and new polls suddenly show the unthinkable: Texas is not entirely out of reach for Clinton.
"Since the time I started running for state chairman in 2009, I have warned Texas Republicans that Texas should be treated as a competitive state," said Steve Munisteri, a former head of the state's GOP. "Any erosion in our support among Hispanic voters could reduce our margins significantly."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/trump-clinton-early-voting-230315#ixzz4O9by2FkF
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook