PDA

View Full Version : Hurricane Harvey



Pages : [1] 2 3

Spurs9
08-24-2017, 08:49 AM
Looks like we are going to get messed up pretty bad by the flooding in SA because of this storm. It looks like its going to hit SA directly and then stall out dumping a ton of rain. Hopefully none of you guys live in low water areas, I lived here during the flood of 98 and 2000 and they were really bad tbh. Stay safe out there. :king

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-harvey-forecast-24aug2017

djohn2oo8
08-24-2017, 08:55 AM
all of Texas is fucked

TimDunkem
08-24-2017, 10:38 AM
Just a little rain is all which is sorely needed around here.

Hurry up, Harvey.

RD2191
08-24-2017, 11:35 AM
Just a little rain is all which is sorely needed around here.

Hurry up, Harvey.

Don't be ignorant. It's hitting as a Cat 3. Be safe and gtfo if you have children.

Robz4000
08-24-2017, 12:32 PM
Already a hurricane with plenty of warm open water ahead of it. This bitch is gonna be a Cat 5, isn't it?

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 12:59 PM
Already a hurricane with plenty of warm open water ahead of it. This bitch is gonna be a Cat 5, isn't it?

Maybe even a 6.

Robz4000
08-24-2017, 01:01 PM
Maybe even a 6.

Fudge.

RD2191
08-24-2017, 01:28 PM
I wonder how long I can survive on potted meat? :lol

Darth_Pelican
08-24-2017, 01:30 PM
Corpus Christi is fucked

Spurs9
08-24-2017, 01:34 PM
Now its going to be a 4, better stock up on supplies guys. SA is a few hours inland but the rain and wind is gonna be rough. I'm glad I live a bit higher up, although it may not be high enough depending on how much rain.

JudynTX
08-24-2017, 01:39 PM
I wonder how long I can survive on potted meat? :lol

LMFAO :lol

How in the hell does Corpus Christi not have shelters in place??? They are asking people to leave, now!!

lebomb
08-24-2017, 01:47 PM
Now its going to be a 4, better stock up on supplies guys. SA is a few hours inland but the rain and wind is gonna be rough. I'm glad I live a bit higher up, although it may not be high enough depending on how much rain.

Link please, all Ive seen is category 3 is the prediction.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 01:49 PM
Link please, all Ive seen is category 3 is the prediction.

here you go


Now its going to be a 4, better stock up on supplies guys. SA is a few hours inland but the rain and wind is gonna be rough. I'm glad I live a bit higher up, although it may not be high enough depending on how much rain.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 01:50 PM
although I have seen a few reports saying "could be a 4" or "nearly a 4".

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 02:01 PM
Likely a 4. Hurricanes in the GOM don't "just" develop into minor hurricanes unless they're really close to land when they first develop.

baseline bum
08-24-2017, 02:26 PM
Too bad MannyIsGod doesn't post much anymore, he could tell us whether we're going to live.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 02:32 PM
Link please, all Ive seen is category 3 is the prediction.

Cat 3 is the official prediction from NHC but we know NHC tends to be conservative. They had Katrina as a cat 2 landfall just 60 hours out.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 02:33 PM
Could be Texas's Katrina.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 02:39 PM
Could be Texas's Katrina.

Hope not. But maybe a good time to be buying up rental properties in the metroplex.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 02:55 PM
It looks to me like the upper-air lows over Nevada and central Mexico are pushing monsoonal moisture further east than usual. Wonder if that will mitigate the dry-air to a degree. Suspect Harvey will always be pretty asymmetric but that's of many of the Gulf storms.

SnakeBoy
08-24-2017, 02:59 PM
SA is going to be just fine since it looks like we'll on the west side of it. It's the Houston area that's really going to get it after the system stalls and just dumps rain on them for days.

pgardn
08-24-2017, 03:00 PM
Those bastards thatjust built right on the shrimp channel between Aransas Pass and Port A, goodbye. You Fckn built on good wetland and fishing spots.

See ya.

Should be cool to go down in a couple of weeks to see how the lay of the land has changed. Hope the people on higher ground in CC, Rockport, etc... come out ok. Building to be ON the water, so long.

RD2191
08-24-2017, 03:00 PM
SA is going to be just fine since it looks like we'll on the west side of it. It's the Houston area that's really going to get it after the system stalls and just dumps rain on them for days.

Have you not seen the size of this thing? Expect flooding in SA.

pgardn
08-24-2017, 03:02 PM
SA is going to be just fine since it looks like we'll on the west side of it. It's the Houston area that's really going to get it after the system stalls and just dumps rain on them for days.

The lower estimates for SA right now is 1 foot for Friday/Saturday. We will have flooding if this projection holds. It's supposed to slow down and hold.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:05 PM
Recon headed back towards the center, we shall see if it has strengthened any more.

SnakeBoy
08-24-2017, 03:05 PM
Have you not seen the size of this thing? Expect flooding in SA.

Current forecast is 2-6 inches for SA-Austin area.

RD2191
08-24-2017, 03:06 PM
There hasn't been a hurricane this size hit Texas since the 70s and this asshole is talking about what's going to happen. :lol

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:06 PM
Finally starting to see some warming near the center as the convection on the Eastern eyewall deepens.

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/applications/core/interface/imageproxy/imageproxy.php?img=http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/imagery/avn-animated.gif&key=9a7679fde9309892b0b76f03b659847c2b503a291ff8ec 50d6a1dc40a90303d7

SnakeBoy
08-24-2017, 03:06 PM
The lower estimates for SA right now is 1 foot for Friday/Saturday. We will have flooding if this projection holds. It's supposed to slow down and hold.

We are you seeing that?

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:07 PM
Eye looks like it really wants to come out on visible now.
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/applications/core/interface/imageproxy/imageproxy.php?img=http://i.imgur.com/EywWYaE.jpg&key=2bf04cd5e54eb290658761bacff4dba6623cbede3931e6 de52c3d0607339e268

Spurs9
08-24-2017, 03:07 PM
I remember Katrina strengthened like crazy while it was just off the coast, fortunately our city isn't below sea level tbh

pgardn
08-24-2017, 03:07 PM
Current forecast is 2-6 inches for SA-Austin area.

Not on the weather channel.

They JUST showed 12-18 inches Fri/Saturday with a stall.

That would be channel 1225 for ATT.

RD2191
08-24-2017, 03:07 PM
Current forecast is 2-6 inches for SA-Austin area.

That's just an estimate. Harvey was a tropical storm yesterday and it's projected to hit as a Cat 3 possibly 4 and stall out over Texas.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:11 PM
some might be thinking that this might be another one of those 'weird' canes , where that separate band of convection to the north-east stays there forever.

But it's really common in the Gulf b/c the inflow is asymmetric. Camille had it while it was an uber cat 5.

pgardn
08-24-2017, 03:12 PM
They are already running out of gas in Gregory. Just talked to a friend. They are evacuating, Rockport thru port lavaca.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:14 PM
Storm surge coupled with this thing hanging in the same general area after landfall for maybe 72 hours before heading back out into the Gulf is setting up for a major disaster.

Spurs9
08-24-2017, 03:14 PM
Flood of 98 and wasn't even as big of a storm as this one, it rained over 16 inches in 4-5 days, this could be alot more :cry
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BLIE8r1CEAAnHHE.png

SnakeBoy
08-24-2017, 03:17 PM
Not on the weather channel.

They JUST showed 12-18 inches Fri/Saturday with a stall.

That would be channel 1225 for ATT.

Ok. Kens is saying 2-6 along IH35 from SA-Austin on their website. I guess we'll have to see where it goes. Last I saw, most of the plots had it tracking east of SA then taking a sharp turn east and then stalling.

pgardn
08-24-2017, 03:21 PM
Ok. Kens is saying 2-6 along IH35 from SA-Austin on their website. I guess we'll have to see where it goes. Last I saw, most of the plots had it tracking east of SA then taking a sharp turn east and then stalling.

If you google San Antonio weather discussion they have some really good stuff with a lot of meteorology jargon. They don't tend to do rainfall expectations by number though.

Darth_Pelican
08-24-2017, 03:22 PM
Eye looks like it really wants to come out on visible now.
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/applications/core/interface/imageproxy/imageproxy.php?img=http://i.imgur.com/EywWYaE.jpg&key=2bf04cd5e54eb290658761bacff4dba6623cbede3931e6 de52c3d0607339e268

Still a long way to go to get to Katrina. When you see the eye look like this, it's time to get in your car and drive north.

http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Organization/History/imagery/Katrina/2005241_0245_RB-70.jpg

https://chemtrailsplanet.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/hurricanekatrina.jpg

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:23 PM
Surfline report for Bob Hall - chart is breaking on shore, highlighted bar shows swells offshore. http://forums.accuweather.com/style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif

pgardn
08-24-2017, 03:25 PM
If you google San Antonio weather discussion they have some really good stuff with a lot of meteorology jargon. They don't tend to do rainfall expectations by number though.

From this site:


expected across inland portions of South Central Texas.2) Average rainfall (http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=rainfall) amounts of 8 to 15 inches near and east of I-35,with isolated (http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=isolated) higher in excess of 20 inches near and south of I-10,are expected. This includes the city of San Antonio

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:32 PM
Still a long way to go to get to Katrina. When you see the eye look like this, it's time to get in your car and drive north.

http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Organization/History/imagery/Katrina/2005241_0245_RB-70.jpg

https://chemtrailsplanet.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/hurricanekatrina.jpg

I have no idea. I'm just going by what they are saying at the AmericanWeather Forum.

I'm about to become an expert on weather as well as everything else.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:35 PM
This (http://www.topix.com/forum/houston/TORI9IKUJDJ5BM7PM/why-are-5-year-olds-making-fart-jokes-on-this-site) is from a Houston forum.

TimDunkem
08-24-2017, 03:37 PM
Don't be ignorant. It's hitting as a Cat 3. Be safe and gtfo if you have children.
We're mostly safe in San Antonio and I don't live in an area of it prone to flooding. I'm all good. Stay safe yourself if you're in the danger zone tho', brah.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:39 PM
Sombrero dancing inland between Victoria and Corpus Christi from hour 36 to hour 120. Slowly heading SW just inland near CC at the latter timeframe.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 03:40 PM
Intensity forecasting for tropical systems is incredibly difficult due to a number of external and internal dynamics that affect the growth and sustainment of such systems.


Harvey has purged all the dry air from itself on the latest GOES 16 image...the center is completely nested within deep convection.

unleashbaynes
08-24-2017, 04:06 PM
This (http://www.topix.com/forum/houston/TORI9IKUJDJ5BM7PM/why-are-5-year-olds-making-fart-jokes-on-this-site) is from a Houston forum.

Idk why, but "rodney dangerfart" gave me a good chuckle.

Probably cus farts are funny.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 04:21 PM
Back to Tropical Storm


Hurricane Harvey Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017 400 PM CDT Thu Aug 24 2017 Since the issuance of the special advisory at 1800 UTC, data from a dropsonde released by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicated that Harvey's central pressure has dropped to 976 mb. However, the plane has not measured winds stronger than what was observed by the previous Air Force flight (although the NOAA P3 is flying a research mission at a nonstandard level). For now, the initial intensity will remain 75 kt pending data from another Air Force flight this evening. Harvey's initial motion estimate is 330/9 kt. A strengthening mid-level high over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is expected to push Harvey northwestward by tonight, and a northwest or north-northwest motion should continue up until landfall. However, a stronger mid-level high centered over the western United States is forecast to cause Harvey to slow down considerably and stall near or just inland of the Texas coast by days 3 and 4. After that time, the track models have trended toward showing Harvey moving slowly eastward by day 5, but it's too early to know if the center will remain over land or re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The track guidance is very tightly clustered for the first 36-48 hours, which covers the period of landfall, but then there is much greater spread in the models after 48 hours when Harvey is forecast to slow down. Such guidance is usually an indication that the cyclone will move very little, which is reflected in the official forecast. Harvey remains in an environment for further strengthening. Vertical shear is low, and the hurricane will be moving over a warm eddy of relatively higher oceanic heat content within the next 12-24 hours. As a result, the NHC intensity forecast calls for additional intensification at least for the next 24 hours, with Harvey expected to attain major hurricane strength on Friday. There may be some fluctuations in intensity up until landfall due to the possibility of an eyewall replacement or cooling of the shallow shelf waters of Texas, but regardless Harvey is forecast to reach the coast as a major hurricane. The intensity forecast after 48 hours is tricky because it all depends on how far inland Harvey moves into Texas. If it stays stalls closer to the coast, as recent model trends have suggested, then the cyclone may be able to maintain a higher intensity with a greater proportion of its circulation remaining over water. For that reason, the updated NHC intensity forecast keeps Harvey as a tropical storm on days 3 through 5, but there is greater-than-normal uncertainty in this part of the forecast. It is critical that users not focus on the exact forecast track of Harvey, since cycle-to-cycle adjustment are likely. All locations within the hurricane and storm surge warning areas should be preparing for the possibility of major hurricane-force winds and life-threatening storm surge.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 04:28 PM
You can literally see the eye clearing out with more convection popping around the eyewall. Its over 30C waters with high TCHP, low shear, and very moist mid levels. Once the sun goes down and we get a nice temperature differential we could see another period of rapid intensification.
(Having a hell of a time posting images here compared to what it used to be)

https://i.imgur.com/wo0wxPml.jpg

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 04:38 PM
Seriously though, there's some dry air wrapping around the core, but convection is healthy in the eyewall, and will probably mix that dry air before it tries to entrain the eye


, but I wonder if there's also a tad of subsidence between Harvey's eye and the convection to the NE of the storm. Those two factors might make the appearance "ragged" to some, but it's not impacting the inner cord of the storm as it's clearly a healthy system overall. Seems like dry air entrainment fears are similar to watching the dry slot or rain/snow line with big winter storms.

Looks like the north side of the eye is prepping to fire back up.

Robz4000
08-24-2017, 05:09 PM
I just ran some simulations and crunched some numbers with help from SpursforSix. My findings are thus:

South Texas is fucked. Hide yo kids, hide yo wives, hide yo husbands; Harvey is raping everyone out here.

RD2191
08-24-2017, 05:14 PM
I just ran some simulations and crunched some numbers with help from SpursforSix (http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=49684). My findings are thus:

South Texas is fucked. Hide yo kids, hide yo wives, hide yo husbands; Harvey is raping everyone out here.
:lol

FkLA
08-24-2017, 05:30 PM
What time tomorrow will it hit SA?

baseline bum
08-24-2017, 05:38 PM
I just ran some simulations and crunched some numbers with help from SpursforSix. My findings are thus:

South Texas is fucked. Hide yo kids, hide yo wives, hide yo husbands; Harvey is raping everyone out here.

:rollin

baseline bum
08-24-2017, 05:39 PM
We are you seeing that?

Weather Underground is forecasting a little less than a foot through Monday.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 05:47 PM
Hope not. But maybe a good time to be buying up rental properties in the metroplex.

yes sir

FkLA
08-24-2017, 05:47 PM
What time tomorrow will it hit SA?

Anyone? I'm trying to see if making a drive from Austin to SA at 5-6 PM tomorrow is a death wish, tbh.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 05:48 PM
What time tomorrow will it hit SA?

6-7am Saturday morning landfall. At high tide, but that's irrelevant for SA.

FkLA
08-24-2017, 05:56 PM
6-7am Saturday morning landfall. At high tide, but that's irrelevant for SA.

Link? I don't trust UNT grads, tbh.

Chucho
08-24-2017, 05:57 PM
I wish this would hit LA and wash that shithole away since earthquakes just aren't cutting it whatsoever. Fucking manspreading fines on their subways? Yeah, needs to be washed away since you can't count on the friggin tectonic plates to swallow that cesspool whole and send it to the firey depths to burn like the Springfield tire fire.

Chris
08-24-2017, 05:57 PM
SA is going to be just fine since it looks like we'll on the west side of it. It's the Houston area that's really going to get it after the system stalls and just dumps rain on them for days.

Yeah just stay off Broadway :lol

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 06:02 PM
I wish this would hit LA and wash that shithole away since earthquakes just aren't cutting it whatsoever. Fucking manspreading fines on their subways? Yeah, needs to be washed away since you can't count on the friggin tectonic plates to swallow that cesspool whole and send it to the firey depths to burn like the Springfield tire fire.

Katrina wasn't good enough for ya?

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 06:05 PM
You can literally see the eye clearing out with more convection popping around the eyewall. Its over 30C waters with high TCHP, low shear, and very moist mid levels. Once the sun goes down and we get a nice temperature differential we could see another period of rapid intensification.
(Having a hell of a time posting images here compared to what it used to be)


TCOA knows his tropical weather meteorology :tu

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 06:05 PM
Link? I don't trust UNT grads, tbh.

I am a meteorologist and have been since age 11 and roughly a half. August 2005.

SpursforSix
08-24-2017, 06:06 PM
Weather Underground is forecasting a little less than a foot through Monday.

Bend over, I'll show you a little less than a foot.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-24-2017, 06:07 PM
Bend over, I'll show you a little less than a foot.

:lmao

Robz4000
08-24-2017, 06:18 PM
Anyone? I'm trying to see if making a drive from Austin to SA at 5-6 PM tomorrow is a death wish, tbh.

Worst of it is supposed to start Sat morning. Tomorrow evening you should be fine outside scattered storms.

Chucho
08-24-2017, 06:23 PM
Katrina wasn't good enough for ya?

Don't know if sarcasm or DERP.

pgardn
08-24-2017, 06:46 PM
Hater needs to get on here and tell us which weather site is MSM so we can ignore their predictions.

SnakeBoy
08-24-2017, 06:49 PM
Don't know if sarcasm or DERP.

It's UNT, you know which one it is.

pgardn
08-24-2017, 06:55 PM
Still a long way to go to get to Katrina. When you see the eye look like this, it's time to get in your car and drive north.

http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Organization/History/imagery/Katrina/2005241_0245_RB-70.jpg

https://chemtrailsplanet.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/hurricanekatrina.jpg

Cosmocrackhead

These images are all faked since we can't get satellites into orbit.
So....
Whats it like in the gulf?

FkLA
08-24-2017, 07:11 PM
Worst of it is supposed to start Sat morning. Tomorrow evening you should be fine outside scattered storms.

Allright thanks brah. :tu

djohn2oo8
08-24-2017, 10:07 PM
900915858981236738
the hell...

baseline bum
08-24-2017, 10:32 PM
LMAO at the spaghetti models right now

https://image.ibb.co/mZpMrk/models_storm3.jpg

baseline bum
08-24-2017, 10:35 PM
Albert Flores (WOAI-TV meteorologist) says to expect 70 mph sustained winds Saturday at noon.

pgardn
08-24-2017, 11:23 PM
LMAO at the spaghetti models right now

https://image.ibb.co/mZpMrk/models_storm3.jpg

hard to follow, it looks like 3 or 4 of them having Harvey making landfall and then rentering the Gulf.
Crazy.

Mark Celibate
08-25-2017, 12:11 AM
Houstonfag checking in.

Just got done beating up the whole water aisle at Kroger and snatching the last of all the nonperishables

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 01:16 AM
Albert Flores (WOAI-TV meteorologist) says to expect 70 mph sustained winds Saturday at noon.

Steve Brown (KSAT-TV meteorologist) said he doesn't see anything stopping this from becoming Cat 4 or even 5. Also seems to think it will track a little more west than the general consensus i.e. SA will get more direct hit.

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 01:22 AM
900694987834306560

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 01:36 AM
Shit, NOAA is moving the forecast track a little more west


Harvey has turned a little to the left since the last advisory with
the initial motion now 315/9. A mid-level anticyclone over the
eastern Gulf of Mexico is expected to steer Harvey generally
northwestward with a decreasing forward speed for the next 36-48 h,
with the center now forecast to make landfall on the middle Texas
coast in about 36 h. This part of the new forecast track has been
nudged a little to the left based mainly on the initial position
and motion. After landfall, the cyclone is likely to get stuck
between the Gulf anticyclone and a stronger anticyclone over the
western United States, with little motion likely from 48-96 h.

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 02:05 AM
I had some fishing line do this once

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/09L_tracks_latest.png

benefactor
08-25-2017, 07:13 AM
You Mexicans are fucked. Have fun swimming in a river that doesn't lead to freedom.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 07:21 AM
Damn this is the first time I have bought 9V batteries (for the radio) in probably 25 years. :lol

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 07:24 AM
900694987834306560

Yeah they're forecasting locally 35" in some parts around Corpus.

Big Empty
08-25-2017, 08:06 AM
Katrina wasn't good enough for ya?
Ha

Big Empty
08-25-2017, 08:08 AM
Yeah they're forecasting locally 35" in some parts around Corpus.
The problem is after this storm passes, then its going to go backwards. I think we are going to see historic flooding in parts of south texas

UNT Eagles 2016
08-25-2017, 08:11 AM
Still only a cat 2 with a little under a day left before landfall

boutons_deux
08-25-2017, 08:39 AM
Prediction is that high pressure to northwest will stall Harvey on the coast, as far away as Tueday

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL092017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/092407_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Trill Clinton
08-25-2017, 08:59 AM
Utsa shut down for the day. I just need them to close the vases down. Y'all be safe.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 09:26 AM
Utsa shut down for the day. I just need them to close the vases down. Y'all be safe.

Ray, we've been on these boards for a long time. So I'm confident in saying that you see the same signatures as I do...rapid IR clearing, well established EW with feeder spiral bands into EW (as opposed to concentric "choking" bands)...and ideal UL conditions, warm eddy ahead, and surface, concave frictional coastline convergence...

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 09:27 AM
Still only a cat 2 with a little under a day left before landfall

George, obviously at this point, we have the luxury of being able to assess these structural nuances to inform thoughts on intensity/impact, but even as early as Tuesday morning the writing was on the wall for a catastrophic US impact and certainly the end of the major hurricane drought.
When guidance ever shifted north, and decided not to bury a TS/minimal cane into Mexico, I noted the pristine upper level environment forecast and the unperturbed bath water over the western GOM and sounded the alarms.
The only thing that can save the coast from extensive/extreme wind damage is if this were to hover off of the coast for a protracted stretch, which would allow for weakening.

Trainwreck2100
08-25-2017, 09:53 AM
You Mexicans are fucked. Have fun swimming in a river that doesn't lead to freedom.

AKA Trump's America

pgardn
08-25-2017, 10:02 AM
Damn this is the first time I have bought 9V batteries (for the radio) in probably 25 years. :lol

I am now taking this seriously.
We could easily lose power in SA for extended periods because of wind and the difficulty of fixing power with high water

But I got 3 kayaks. If you need rescue I'm the man.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 10:05 AM
I am now taking this seriously.
We could easily lose power in SA.

But I got 3 kayaks. If you need rescue I'm the man.

I saw a forecast last night on Weather Channel showing the entire San Antonio area likely to lose power. I imagine it's going to happen around noon or so tomorrow when the 60 mph winds are supposed to be coming.

pgardn
08-25-2017, 10:08 AM
Ray, we've been on these boards for a long time. So I'm confident in saying that you see the same signatures as I do...rapid IR clearing, well established EW with feeder spiral bands into EW (as opposed to concentric "choking" bands)...and ideal UL conditions, warm eddy ahead, and surface, concave frictional coastline convergence...

Keep us informed of any pressure gradient changes on the NW part of the eyewall that give you more insight to wind speed in the rain bands 50 miles away. I know made that extrapolation computer model, that should come in handy now. ST needs the subtle info.

pgardn
08-25-2017, 10:10 AM
I saw a forecast last night on Weather Channel showing the entire San Antonio area likely to lose power. I imagine it's going to happen around noon or so tomorrow when the 60 mph winds are supposed to be coming.

Okay then.

Forget they kayak rescue in those winds. I will have to make my rounds after things have settled down. I'll put you on the manifest.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 10:12 AM
Okay then.

Forget they kayak rescue in those winds. I will have to make my rounds after things have settled down. I'll put you on the manifest.

Too bad Specs is on a hill, we could have looted some six packs.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 10:13 AM
Looks like some ice-scattering in the northern eyewall

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2017_08/kbro_20170825_1507_BR_0.4.thumb.png.fb689f76950bf2 c9e787338ec8f31f64.png

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 10:23 AM
Robdiaz, let's go cross the river back into Mexico.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 10:28 AM
Keep us informed of any pressure gradient changes on the NW part of the eyewall that give you more insight to wind speed in the rain bands 50 miles away. I know made that extrapolation computer model, that should come in handy now. ST needs the subtle info.

T5 or maybe T6 on the Dvorak currently

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 10:28 AM
You can see how Harvey is going to get blocked in place by the ridge to the N and NW which has been stuck in that area since June.

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2017_08/eps_z500a_5d_noram_27.thumb.png.a1702ecfdf87540fb2 c2c9591e5eaa16.png

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 10:29 AM
First SPC meso...80% chance of tornado watch:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2017/md1564.html

pgardn
08-25-2017, 10:30 AM
Robdiaz, let's go cross the river back into Mexico.

Trump has been briefed on the situation so we are all safe.

#comforting

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 10:32 AM
Buoy 20 is reporting 24 foot seas. Wow.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 10:40 AM
WPC's new rainfall graphic has an area of 20"+ comparable to the sized of Massachusetts.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 11:08 AM
10 am Friday (Texas): Hurricane HARVEY is strengthening as it closes in on the Texas coast. The eye is a sexy pinhole. It's a small target to chase, but radar suggests it's developing concentric eyewalls, meaning a new, larger eye could emerge from that process. Meanwhile, I'm scrutinizing elevation maps trying to decide where to station myself. This could be a very dangerous hurricane at landfall and I can't f*ck this up. The USA hasn't seen one like this in over a decade. More soon.
P.S. While it isn't my focus, Texans up and down the coast should be aware that the rainfall from HARVEY is forecast to be *extremely* heavy as the cyclone kind of camps out near the coast for a few days. So, even folks that escape the real scary winds could see very dangerous flooding. PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

lebomb
08-25-2017, 11:08 AM
OH NOOOOOOS!!! We Doomed!!

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 11:08 AM
10 am Friday (Texas): Hurricane HARVEY is strengthening as it closes in on the Texas coast. The eye is a sexy pinhole. It's a small target to chase, but radar suggests it's developing concentric eyewalls, meaning a new, larger eye could emerge from that process. Meanwhile, I'm scrutinizing elevation maps trying to decide where to station myself. This could be a very dangerous hurricane at landfall and I can't f*ck this up. The USA hasn't seen one like this in over a decade. More soon.
P.S. While it isn't my focus, Texans up and down the coast should be aware that the rainfall from HARVEY is forecast to be *extremely* heavy as the cyclone kind of camps out near the coast for a few days. So, even folks that escape the real scary winds could see very dangerous flooding. PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 11:14 AM
The combination of heavy rain, "life-threatening" storm surges, flooding and strong winds could leave wide swaths of South Texas "uninhabitable for weeks or months," the National Weather Service in Houston said.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 11:24 AM
Live recon info

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?basin=al&mapping=cesium

Trill Clinton
08-25-2017, 11:41 AM
Thanks for the updates, CTOA.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 11:50 AM
That's 42 inches in the center white contour.
No one can bend me over and show me that.


https://www.americanwx.com/bb/applications/core/interface/imageproxy/imageproxy.php?img=https://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/i/user-images/59a054bd99c24.png&key=ec7371e7387af15a0bdc9138f6786ce1d431ab5df8fbe1 57db0b6c81d88574a7

benefactor
08-25-2017, 12:17 PM
It's going to be Allison all over again in Houston

Brazil
08-25-2017, 12:30 PM
Stay safe tbh..



even tho I hope this one will wipe out for good some fuckers of the region

Robz4000
08-25-2017, 12:45 PM
Saw a recent rainfall forecast saying SA will only get 3 inches of rain.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 01:01 PM
Saw a recent rainfall forecast saying SA will only get 3 inches of rain.

It'd be nice but most forecasts seem to be showing 8-15 inches.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 01:15 PM
Recon headed back to the eye, we shall see if it really is Cat 3

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 01:22 PM
Saw a recent rainfall forecast saying SA will only get 3 inches of rain.

Yeah some of the forecasts are all over the place. I'm out near Boerne. I'm going to be bummed if we don't get any decent rain, we need it.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 01:25 PM
Recon found Cat 3 winds again

Robz4000
08-25-2017, 01:25 PM
Yeah some of the forecasts are all over the place. I'm out near Boerne. I'm going to be bummed if we don't get any decent rain, we need it.

Agreed. 8 inches of rain would be more beneficial than hurtful in the long run.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 01:27 PM
NOAA2 aka Kermit heading back into the eye. This is from their onboard radar.
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/radar_thumbnails/al/2017/Harvey/NOAA/18/medium/2017-08-25-181116-26.971863N-96.069664W-NOAA-2-.kmz.png

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 01:28 PM
NOAA2 aka Kermit heading back into the eye. This is from their onboard radar.
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/radar_thumbnails/al/2017/Harvey/NOAA/18/medium/2017-08-25-181116-26.971863N-96.069664W-NOAA-2-.kmz.png

Pacman gonna gobble up Galveston?

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 01:32 PM
Pacman gonna gobble up Galveston?

https://cdn.shopify.com/s/files/1/0254/6233/products/Hurricane-Pacman-Surfboard_1024x1024.jpg?v=1477744993

djohn2oo8
08-25-2017, 01:38 PM
901149108085325824

RD2191
08-25-2017, 02:31 PM
Officially a Cat 3

Darth_Pelican
08-25-2017, 02:32 PM
Recon found Cat 3 winds again

I'm supposed to be travelling to Houston next Friday and attending the LSU-BYU game in NRG Stadium on Saturday. In your expert opinion, will this game be cancelled? I know the storm will be passed by then, but will the flooding and other damage cause the game to be axed? TIA

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 02:35 PM
Officially a Cat 3

getting close to Cat 4

Corpus Christi radar is indicating a large swath on the north of 140 mph winds:
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2017_08/59a075991500c_ScreenShot2017-08-25at3_06_59PM.thumb.png.9f527a738ea140c2778ba68dfe 624b47.png (https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2017_08/59a0759409ceb_ScreenShot2017-08-25at3_06_59PM.png.f1ac1e490efb0d381aa0e6048e0af031 .png)

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 02:35 PM
I'm supposed to be travelling to Houston next Friday and attending the LSU-BYU game in NRG Stadium on Saturday. In your expert opinion, will this game be cancelled? I know the storm will be passed by then, but will the flooding and other damage cause the game to be axed? TIA

I'm going to say that that game will not be played. In Houston anyway.

Darth_Pelican
08-25-2017, 02:37 PM
I'm going to say that that game will not be played. In Houston anyway.

I'm thinking it might get pushed back to Sunday or Labor Day. Houston won't be shut down too long.

Robz4000
08-25-2017, 02:42 PM
I'm thinking it might get pushed back to Sunday or Labor Day. Houston won't be shut down too long.

Harvey could be much worse for the city than Allison. The potential is there for the city to be shut down for a few weeks.

RD2191
08-25-2017, 02:44 PM
Robdiaz, let's go cross the river back into Mexico.
https://www.standeyo.com/NEWS/10_Immigration/10_Immigration_pics/100728.Oscar.jpg

Hang tight, I'm taking a little break.

Thread
08-25-2017, 02:52 PM
Harvey could be much worse for the city than Allison. The potential is there for the city to be shut down for a few weeks.

Once it hits at that predicted level Trump should immediately release oil from those underground caverns.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 02:54 PM
Once it hits at that predicted level Trump should immediately release oil from those underground caverns.

why the fuck would he do that?

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 02:54 PM
Once it hits at that predicted level Trump should immediately release oil from those underground caverns.

And those $1000 FEMA cards like all those nigs in New Orleans got for Katrina.

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 03:03 PM
I'm supposed to be travelling to Houston next Friday and attending the LSU-BYU game in NRG Stadium on Saturday. In your expert opinion, will this game be cancelled? I know the storm will be passed by then, but will the flooding and other damage cause the game to be axed? TIA

To avoid issuing ticket refunds, the game will be played but it will be changed to water polo

Darth_Pelican
08-25-2017, 03:04 PM
And those $1000 FEMA cards like all those nigs in New Orleans got for Katrina.

It was actually $2,000. Those nigs lived like kings for a week.

Darth_Pelican
08-25-2017, 03:05 PM
And those $1000 FEMA cards like all those nigs in New Orleans got for Katrina.

http://s2.quickmeme.com/img/d1/d1573e9a4da80991c694c2f61107ee726df665ffe99dffe240 cd645ee483ae27.jpg

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 03:05 PM
tense footage of evacuation

2zV8qqGfhR0

Mark Celibate
08-25-2017, 03:11 PM
tense footage of evacuation

2zV8qqGfhR0

I don't think that was evacuation-related, just some brainlet being a brainlet

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 03:20 PM
It was actually $2,000. Those nigs lived like kings for a week.

Damn I just remember stories of Katrina refugees using FEMA cards at Neiman-Marcus and strip clubs and shit.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 03:26 PM
Damn I just remember stories of Katrina refugees using FEMA cards at Neiman-Marcus and strip clubs and shit.

and why not. You can either use the $2000 to buy food and stuff and still live shitty. Or you can make it rain for day.

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 03:31 PM
It just started pouring. I got excited "It's here already!". Then it stopped cause it was just a tiny thunderstorm passing by.

RD2191
08-25-2017, 03:40 PM
It just started pouring. I got excited "It's here already!". Then it stopped cause it was just a tiny thunderstorm passing by.
:lol

phxspurfan
08-25-2017, 03:42 PM
It'd be nice but most forecasts seem to be showing 8-15 inches.

Depends where since Bexar county is pretty large. You guys may be on the extreme NW side of it if it veers toward Houston/Louisiana like it might do, or if it goes back into the gulf and fucks up New Orleans you'll be spared most of the flooding. But you'll probably see lots of evacuees from Houston/Corpus coming in throughout the weekend. Power may even go out for awhile as the grid compensates and diverts power to those who need it most

phxspurfan
08-25-2017, 03:43 PM
It just started pouring. I got excited "It's here already!". Then it stopped cause it was just a tiny thunderstorm passing by.

Overnight if it stays over deep warm water it could intensify even more and get crazy big


http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USTX0166&animate=true

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 03:55 PM
Overnight if it stays over deep warm water it could intensify even more and get crazy big



Bend over, I'll show ya crazy big.

boutons_deux
08-25-2017, 04:19 PM
FEMA ain't ready, the Repug kakistocracy rules

The Man Who Bungled Bush’s Hurricane Katrina Response Just Made An Urgent Plea To Trump

http://verifiedpolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/fema.jpg


“Mr. President, please take these comments with an open mind.

My comments are not meant to be critical,” he wrote in an op-ed for The Hill, understanding that the president’s short fuse is often ignited at the slightest critique.

“I simply want to alert you to the human and political pitfalls when an administration faces a potentially major natural or manmade disaster and doesn’t realize the bully pulpit makes the difference between a successful response and, frankly, a politically devastating response.”

Brown went on to explain the responsibilities of the president in disasters, telling him that the government response will not manage itself and needs a strong leader to empower individuals and teams at every level.

An extra challenge exists right now, Brown points out, because

Trump has failed to fill key positions responsible for emergency response:

“Mr. President, [acting FEMA Director] Long needs you to step up to the bully pulpit.

“Why?

“FEMA will need assistance from the Departments of Defense, Agriculture, Commerce, Energy, Health and Human Services, Housing and Urban Development, Transportation, Interior, Environmental Protection Agency and others.

Many of those departments and agencies do not have the political appointees to marshal the resources FEMA will need.

Now is not the time to debate why many of those offices are vacant.

Now is the time to realize they are vacant and step to the plate as Commander-in-Chief and rally your troops.”
In desperation to stop this president from repeating the mistakes of 12 years ago — or worse — Brown even made a naked appeal to Trump’s personal political ambitions:

“In a natural or manmade disaster, every minute of delay within the bureaucracy turns into hours and days of delay on the ground.

Nothing is more frustrating — and deadly — than when a FEMA administrator has to fight through a bureaucratic jungle to get the resources needed from other departments and agencies.

And if they’re on vacation, or there is no one in that policy or procurement office, you have a situation that can be deadly — literally and politically.”

http://verifiedpolitics.com/man-bungled-bushs-hurricane-katrina-response-just-made-urgent-plea-trump/

As Trash boards helicopter to pass his weekend at Camp David

One incompetent asshole to another incomptent asshole.

"Heckuva Job Brownie" will always be tatooed with his Katrina fuckup, and Trash will always be tatooed with Russian pee whores.

Brazil
08-25-2017, 04:21 PM
https://www.standeyo.com/NEWS/10_Immigration/10_Immigration_pics/100728.Oscar.jpg

Hang tight, I'm taking a little break.

:lol

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 04:24 PM
Has anyone else already started eating their emergency hurricane snacks?

Thread
08-25-2017, 04:30 PM
why the fuck would he do that?

To keep gasoline prices static. That's what that oil is for:::emergencies.

Easy, sit down with your appropriate cabinet member and a Texas Instrument calculator and figure it out. Then ready yourself to release that amount should the thing actually hit at the supposed strength. That way we ain't put upon till Xmas, for Christ sake.

SpursforSix
08-25-2017, 04:41 PM
To keep gasoline prices static. That's what that oil is for:::emergencies.


That's not how it works. Releasing a bunch of oil wouldn't do shit right now.

SnakeBoy
08-25-2017, 05:13 PM
Almost a Cat 4 now sustained 125

phxspurfan
08-25-2017, 05:20 PM
One of the beacons dropped about 1h ago recorded gusts at 150mph



Significant Wind Levels
Level Wind Direction Wind Speed
958mb (Surface) Unavailable
957mb 55° (from the NE) 86 knots (99 mph)
956mb 65° (from the ENE) 81 knots (93 mph)
954mb 70° (from the ENE) 103 knots (119 mph)
952mb 65° (from the ENE) 114 knots (131 mph)
950mb 65° (from the ENE) 119 knots (137 mph)
944mb 70° (from the ENE) 110 knots (127 mph)
938mb 75° (from the ENE) 119 knots (137 mph)
932mb 75° (from the ENE) 115 knots (132 mph)
924mb 85° (from the E) 130 knots (150 mph)















Product: NOAA Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KWBC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 21:15Z
Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)
Storm Number: 09
Storm Name: Harvey (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 18
Observation Number: 21

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 21Z on the 25th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mb
Coordinates: 27.6N 96.4W
Location: 62 statute miles (100 km) to the E (99°) from Corpus Christi, TX, USA.
Marsden Square: 082

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
958mb (28.29 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) Other data not available.
925mb Unavailable 23.8°C (74.8°F) 23.4°C (74°F) 85° (from the E) 130 knots (150 mph)
850mb Unavailable 21.0°C (69.8°F) 20.6°C (69°F) 105° (from the ESE) 119 knots (137 mph)

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 05:30 PM
Has anyone else already started eating their emergency hurricane snacks?

Started? I'm already finished eating them.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 05:30 PM
That's not how it works. Releasing a bunch of oil wouldn't do shit right now.

He should still do the $2000 FEMA cards though.

RD2191
08-25-2017, 05:32 PM
Started? I'm already finished eating them.

:lol

benefactor
08-25-2017, 05:41 PM
Let's all watch this guy die live on camera

https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1OyKAroWmkoGb

UNT Eagles 2016
08-25-2017, 05:41 PM
There are reports of biological matter trapped in the eyewall and throughout the storm, likely sharks. Outer bands which stretch far from the center of the storm and as far inland as SA and Austin may contain dangerous, rain-wrapped, and shark-infected tornadoes (sharknadoes). Stay inside and away from all windows. Do not attempt to fight the falling sharks unless you are cornered.

benefactor
08-25-2017, 05:42 PM
Storm has slowed to a crawl. That whole area is about to get raped

Thread
08-25-2017, 05:43 PM
That's not how it works. Releasing a bunch of oil wouldn't do shit right now.

That's precisely how it works.

Thread
08-25-2017, 05:45 PM
There are reports of biological matter trapped in the eyewall and throughout the storm, likely sharks. Outer bands which stretch far from the center of the storm and as far inland as SA and Austin may contain dangerous, rain-wrapped, and shark-infected tornadoes (sharknadoes). Stay inside and away from all windows. Do not attempt to fight the falling sharks unless you are cornered.


UNT, I'm not going to stand by and watch that little Kintner kid spill out all over this dock because you want to perform some 1/2 assed autopsy.

phxspurfan
08-25-2017, 05:46 PM
There are reports of biological matter trapped in the eyewall and throughout the storm, likely sharks. Outer bands which stretch far from the center of the storm and as far inland as SA and Austin may contain dangerous, rain-wrapped, and shark-infected tornadoes (sharknadoes). Stay inside and away from all windows. Do not attempt to fight the falling sharks unless you are cornered.

lol

RD2191
08-25-2017, 05:50 PM
There are reports of biological matter trapped in the eyewall and throughout the storm, likely sharks. Outer bands which stretch far from the center of the storm and as far inland as SA and Austin may contain dangerous, rain-wrapped, and shark-infected tornadoes (sharknadoes). Stay inside and away from all windows. Do not attempt to fight the falling sharks unless you are cornered.

Where's Tara Reid when you need her?

RD2191
08-25-2017, 05:51 PM
Let's all watch this guy die live on camera

https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1OyKAroWmkoGb

:lol

benefactor
08-25-2017, 05:51 PM
Holy shit look at that eye form as it approaches.

benefactor
08-25-2017, 05:53 PM
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/66427f0424730d08555e748ed59d9ef4a17065bba9fb35358e c8e3b998005994.gif

:wow

RD2191
08-25-2017, 06:01 PM
Official Category 4

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 06:03 PM
Storm has slowed to a crawl. That whole area is about to get raped

Motherfucker needs to turn his phone sideways.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-25-2017, 06:03 PM
Extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane at landfall!!

djohn2oo8
08-25-2017, 06:08 PM
901218814045683714

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 06:11 PM
Let's all watch this guy die live on camera

https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1OyKAroWmkoGb

This guy's feed is great. All these power lines knocked down and arcing all over the fucking place. Nigga just had someone's roof fly by a few minutes ago.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-25-2017, 06:11 PM
Where's Tara Reid when you need her?

I think she died in the 5th movie.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 06:17 PM
Did he died? The feed just did.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-25-2017, 06:20 PM
Did he died? The feed just did.

That Jeff P guy? He's going to die it's only a matter of time

This TWC "Storm Alert" music sucks. They need to bring back the track from 2005 (Katrina, Rita, Wilma) and 2008 Ike.

lefty20
08-25-2017, 06:21 PM
Prolly gonna have to re-open registraton after a handful of you kick the bucket.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-25-2017, 06:23 PM
Prolly gonna have to re-open registraton after a handful of you kick the bucket.

I wish a sharknado/hurricane would devastate the California coast, those snowflakes are cancer

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 06:31 PM
Looks like it has made landfall in Rockport.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 06:32 PM
Anchor on WOAI-TV is crying right now

jeebus
08-25-2017, 06:50 PM
Anchor on WOAI-TV is crying right now
lol. I'll bet if they report on a piece of dog shit that's shaped like the virgin mary, it'd cheer everyone right up.

boutons_deux
08-25-2017, 06:53 PM
https://scontent-dft4-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21078708_1667470136679367_4041133143082131208_n.jp g?oh=36c00abac87b75c5bbb5e269041d0561&oe=5A22F1C8

FuzzyLumpkins
08-25-2017, 06:55 PM
jeff is back up

FkLA
08-25-2017, 06:59 PM
Anchor on WOAI-TV is crying right now

Who beamer?

Chucho
08-25-2017, 07:00 PM
Be safe, Texans. Hoping it's as minimal as possible.

phxspurfan
08-25-2017, 07:01 PM
Wheres Jennifer Broome

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 07:04 PM
Who beamer?

Nah, the one without the dick.

Darth_Pelican
08-25-2017, 07:07 PM
When will we start experimenting on ways to weaken hurricanes.

pgardn
08-25-2017, 07:18 PM
When will we start experimenting on ways to weaken hurricanes.


The military already did in the 60's.
They tried various methods of seeding clouds with diff minerals to remove water from the air where low pressures were beginning at sea in the Caribbean. Trying to transfer heat energy back to the water from the air. Kinda funny. Obviously failed. I know there are some theories out there arguing that since global temp has risen it has actually caused more wind sheer blunting frequency of full formation.

benefactor
08-25-2017, 07:23 PM
I'm not sure if Jeff is a fucking idiot or has massive balls

pgardn
08-25-2017, 07:25 PM
Has anyone else already started eating their emergency hurricane snacks?

Yes.

So I'm thinking I turn this to fat and I float. Given my metabolic activity should take about 15 hrs.
Im moving on to consuming sticks of butter.

UNT Eagles 2016
08-25-2017, 07:28 PM
I'm not sure if Jeff is a fucking idiot or has massive balls

Daredevil. He'll probably live. It's only a cat 4.

Katrina was a cat 3 at landfall, but a cat 5 the day before so it had supercharged surge. There won't be any 30 foot waves crashing into a major population area this time.

pgardn
08-25-2017, 07:29 PM
getting close to Cat 4

Corpus Christi radar is indicating a large swath on the north of 140 mph winds:
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2017_08/59a075991500c_ScreenShot2017-08-25at3_06_59PM.thumb.png.9f527a738ea140c2778ba68dfe 624b47.png (https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2017_08/59a0759409ceb_ScreenShot2017-08-25at3_06_59PM.png.f1ac1e490efb0d381aa0e6048e0af031 .png)

Ran a 20 sec 200m and predicting the Jack-up on hurricanes.

Are you a God...

benefactor
08-25-2017, 07:30 PM
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/8ea3bae73354fbd06a5ad5844cd526783a00955163a4035fa4 f49c80b8d2895f.png

UNT Eagles 2016
08-25-2017, 07:31 PM
The military already did in the 60's.
They tried various methods of seeding clouds with diff minerals to remove water from the air where low pressures were beginning at sea in the Caribbean. Trying to transfer heat energy back to the water from the air. Kinda funny. Obviously failed. I know there are some theories out there arguing that since global temp has risen it has actually caused more wind sheer blunting frequency of full formation.

The wind shear isn't higher globally. It's been higher in the Atlantic basin since the "active" period from 1995-2010 ended, causing a lot of weak storms to stay weak and significantly less major hurricanes in the Atlantic basin since 2010.

But the Pacific has been MORE active since we've switched AMO/PDO phases. So it's a trade off, nothing global

benefactor
08-25-2017, 07:54 PM
Jeff is back up

https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1zqKVRbYXWWKB

benefactor
08-25-2017, 07:56 PM
Man that feed is fucking insane

pgardn
08-25-2017, 08:04 PM
My cousin lives right there!

Why the hell is Jeff under power lines?

benefactor
08-25-2017, 08:05 PM
My cousin lives right there!

Why the hell is Jeff under power lines?
Hes in a car wash bay

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:15 PM
Damn Jeff is getting 130 mph winds and he might end up in the eye soon.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:18 PM
Shit he thinks that carwash roof he is under might be about to be blown off. It sounds like the shit keeps cracking.

pgardn
08-25-2017, 08:18 PM
Hes in a car wash bay

Key Allegro

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:19 PM
Says the whole building he's under is shaking.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:20 PM
Roof of a building just flew by. This guy might be dead in a minute or two.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:22 PM
Damn he's deep in the eyewall now, shits changing direction like crazy.

FkLA
08-25-2017, 08:26 PM
Is Jeff ok? His feed is silent and It looks the car is on its side. :wow

Leetonidas
08-25-2017, 08:26 PM
Fucking white people man. This dude is nuts :lol

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:29 PM
Is Jeff ok? His feed is silent and It looks the car is on its side. :wow

He's still alive and in the car.

benefactor
08-25-2017, 08:29 PM
God damn

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:32 PM
145 mph now

benefactor
08-25-2017, 08:33 PM
:lol that fucking idiot running around in it

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:34 PM
Inner eyewall coming fast towards Jeff

FkLA
08-25-2017, 08:35 PM
:lol that fucking idiot running around in it

:lol

That shit was funny.

RD2191
08-25-2017, 08:35 PM
That dude is insane wtf :lol

benefactor
08-25-2017, 08:36 PM
Det car worsh isn't gonna hold Jeff

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 08:36 PM
Stay safe fellas. Good thing I'm many a mile away from it.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:43 PM
This guy is fucked. He says the car wash is coming apart. The beams are separating he says.

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 08:44 PM
This Jeff guy has balls of steel and zero brains.

This shit is intense though.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:44 PM
This guy is about to die. The roof is just about to go he says.

benefactor
08-25-2017, 08:44 PM
Damn we may watch this dude die

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 08:46 PM
I can't stop watching.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:47 PM
Damn we may watch this dude die

Yeah man, nigga gotta be scared as fuck now that the eye is stalled and he's stuck in the eyewall while he's saying he can see the roof lifting off.

benefactor
08-25-2017, 08:48 PM
If he makes it out of this he can sell the movie rights and retire

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:48 PM
Fucking nuts going into the eyewall of a 145 mph Cat 4 hurricane.

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 08:49 PM
Isn't the second half of the hurricane (after the eye passes) the worst part?

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:51 PM
Fuck the building behind him just collapsed

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 08:52 PM
"Something bad just happened. Let me go outside and check."

:lol Love this guy

benefactor
08-25-2017, 08:52 PM
I want to know what that fucking shed in front of him is made of

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:52 PM
Part of the roof just came off

benefactor
08-25-2017, 08:53 PM
"Something bad just happened. Let me go outside and check."

:lol Love this guy
:lol

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:56 PM
Oh ok, it was another roof that came off, not part of the one he is under.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 08:56 PM
"Something bad just happened. Let me go outside and check."

:lol Love this guy

:lmao

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 08:57 PM
Somebody in his chat just said that blue building is made of adamantium.

:lol

FkLA
08-25-2017, 08:57 PM
That little blue shed Jeff is in front up isn't moving an inch.

FkLA
08-25-2017, 08:58 PM
"Something bad just happened. Let me go outside and check."

:lol Love this guy

:lol

TimDunkem
08-25-2017, 08:59 PM
Fucking white people man. This dude is nuts :lol
They'll sit in the middle of a hurricane but won't put hot sauce on their food. :lol

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 08:59 PM
Stream down for anybody else?

pgardn
08-25-2017, 08:59 PM
I want to know what that fucking shed in front of him is made of

Cinder block building.

I have been to that very carworsh numerous times.
Its more of a boat wash.

RD2191
08-25-2017, 08:59 PM
He's going to die.

benefactor
08-25-2017, 09:01 PM
Stream down for anybody else?
try refresh

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 09:02 PM
He's going to die.

The eye is extremely close now. He may make it.

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 09:02 PM
try refresh

It's back up. Just went out for a couple minutes for me.

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 09:03 PM
The eye is extremely close now. He may make it.

The part right past the eye is normally the worst part of a hurricane.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 09:03 PM
It's back up. Just went out for a couple minutes for me.

You gotta refresh. It has done it a few times.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 09:05 PM
Damn his bitrate has gone to shit

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 09:06 PM
The part right past the eye is normally the worst part of a hurricane.

The leading eyewall looks much worse than the trailing one.

baseline bum
08-25-2017, 09:07 PM
Is his bitrate bad for you all too? It looks like a 1995 quicktime video now.

Silver&Black
08-25-2017, 09:07 PM
Is his bitrate bad for you all too? It looks like a 1995 quicktime video now.

yeah it's got a lot worse for me too.

FkLA
08-25-2017, 09:07 PM
His wife calling him midstream to ask him to not forget the groceries on the way home. :lol

TimDunkem
08-25-2017, 09:07 PM
Wonder how many in Rockport will have to go to work tomorrow anyway. A cousin of mine not far from there just got an email from their shitty minimum wage job saying they should try to make it in no matter what. :lol

benefactor
08-25-2017, 09:08 PM
Is his bitrate bad for you all too? It looks like a 1995 quicktime video now.
yep