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View Full Version : Opiod abuse = 20% of the decline in labor force participation



RandomGuy
09-20-2017, 12:45 PM
n 2016, Princeton economist Alan Krueger made headlines with a shocking finding that nearly half of prime age men (or men ages 25 to 54) who are not in the labor force take pain medication on a daily basis. Two-thirds of those men—or about 2 million—take prescription pain medication on a daily basis.

This fall, Krueger has published a follow-up to that research, taking an even closer look at the labor force implications of the opioid epidemic on a local and national level. The new paper and data, published in the Fall 2017 edition of the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, makes a strong case for looking at the opioid epidemic as one driver of declining labor force participation rates.

In fact, Krueger suggests that the increase in opioid prescriptions from 1999 to 2015 could account for about 20 percent of the observed decline in men’s labor force participation during that same period, and 25 percent of the observed decline in women’s labor force participation.


The labor force participation rate—the proportion of people employed or looking for work in the U.S.—has been declining since the early 2000s, reaching a near 40-year low of 62.4 percent in September 2015. In 2016, Italy was the only O.E.C.D. country that had a lower labor force participation rate of prime age men than the U.S., and the participation rate of American women had fallen from the top group of O.E.C.D. countries to near the bottom.

Krueger’s paper suggests that, though much of the decline can be attributed to an aging population and other trends that pre-date the Great Recession (for example, increased school enrollment of younger workers), an increase in opioid prescription rates might also play an important role in the decline, and undoubtedly compounds the problem as many people who are out of the labor force find it difficult to return to work because of reliance on pain medication.

Krueger’s research indicates that regional differences in medical practices affect the share of the population taking pain medication, even controlling for the population’s health and disability status. A 10 percent increase in the amount of opioids prescribed per capita in a county is associated with a 1 percent increase in the share of individuals who report taking a pain medication on any given day, holding health and other factors constant.
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/brookings-now/2017/09/07/how-the-opioid-epidemic-has-affected-the-u-s-labor-force-county-by-county/

SpursforSix
09-20-2017, 12:50 PM
In Soviet Russia, opioid destroy you!

boutons_deux
09-20-2017, 12:55 PM
Opioids Are Shaving Months Off U.S. Life Expectancy (https://gizmodo.com/opioids-are-shaving-months-off-u-s-life-expectancy-1818579432)

Looking at how the opioid epidemic has affected U.S. life expectancy between 2000 and 2015, scientists at the CDC learned that on average,

drug poisoning deaths are accounting for an average loss of .21 years, around two and a half months.

The researchers came to their conclusions based on data from the National Vital Statistics System Mortality file and factored these into calculations of the United States life expectancy in 2000 and 2015.

“Drug-poisoning deaths increased from 17,415 in 2000 to 52,404 in 2015,”

and the drug poisoning death rate per 100,000 people increased from 6.2 to 16.2, mostly due to opioids


If you haven’t been following, American life expectancy is faltering.

Last year, it was reported (http://gizmodo.com/life-expectancy-in-the-us-falls-for-the-first-time-in-d-1789823011#_ga=2.255825416.1438947090.1505746367-62593606.1484261959) that

life expectancy decreased for the first time since 1993.

Our life expectancy “is now lower than in most high-income countries, with this gap projected to increase,”

https://gizmodo.com/opioids-are-shaving-months-off-u-s-life-expectancy-1818579432?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+gizmodo%2Ffull+%28Gizmodo%29

SpursforSix
09-20-2017, 12:57 PM
Opioids Are Shaving Months Off U.S. Life Expectancy (https://gizmodo.com/opioids-are-shaving-months-off-u-s-life-expectancy-1818579432)

Looking at how the opioid epidemic has affected U.S. life expectancy between 2000 and 2015, scientists at the CDC learned that on average,

drug poisoning deaths are accounting for an average loss of .21 years, around two and a half months.

The researchers came to their conclusions based on data from the National Vital Statistics System Mortality file and factored these into calculations of the United States life expectancy in 2000 and 2015.

“Drug-poisoning deaths increased from 17,415 in 2000 to 52,404 in 2015,”

and the drug poisoning death rate per 100,000 people increased from 6.2 to 16.2, mostly due to opioids


If you haven’t been following, American life expectancy is faltering.

Last year, it was reported (http://gizmodo.com/life-expectancy-in-the-us-falls-for-the-first-time-in-d-1789823011#_ga=2.255825416.1438947090.1505746367-62593606.1484261959) that

life expectancy decreased for the first time since 1993.

Our life expectancy “is now lower than in most high-income countries, with this gap projected to increase,”

https://gizmodo.com/opioids-are-shaving-months-off-u-s-life-expectancy-1818579432?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+gizmodo%2Ffull+%28Gizmodo%29




http://cdn.ebaumsworld.com/mediaFiles/picture/883100/83074108.gif

SnakeBoy
09-20-2017, 03:09 PM
Just need to legalize all drugs and we won't have this problem.

RandomGuy
09-21-2017, 12:46 PM
Just need to legalize all drugs and we won't have this problem.

Legalize, tax, and use all the funding for health care.

Addiction is a health problem, plain and simple, and should be treated as such.

Try getting that through the "blame the victim" right wing in this country, though.

tlongII
09-21-2017, 12:48 PM
Where is the part blaming this on Trump?

boutons_deux
09-21-2017, 12:57 PM
blame the victim" right wing in this country, though.

sanctimonious, evangelical Christian Taliban, with their Sharia bullshit, love to punish addicts as moral failures, sinners, criminals rather than as people with health problems.

And of course, BigPoliceState also loves to pad their arrest and conviction quotas by going after drug users, possessors as criminals, esp blacks and browns

Just one of the many entrenched, insurmountable ways that America is fucked and unfuckable.

RandomGuy
09-21-2017, 01:14 PM
Where is the part blaming this on Trump?

He isn't really to blame.

He does, however have the chance to effectively deal with the problem. If he chooses not to do anything, or picks yet another incompetent boob (ala Ricky Perry, Ben Carson, or Jared Kushner) to deal with a problem or issue they have no background for, then he gets blamed for it.

Sound fair?

tlongII
09-21-2017, 01:24 PM
He isn't really to blame.

He does, however have the chance to effectively deal with the problem. If he chooses not to do anything, or picks yet another incompetent boob (ala Ricky Perry, Ben Carson, or Jared Kushner) to deal with a problem or issue they have no background for, then he gets blamed for it.

Sound fair?

That’s fair. Are you going to give him any credit for pressuring China to cut off North Korea? Is that fair?

Pavlov
09-21-2017, 01:26 PM
That’s fair. Are you going to give him any credit for pressuring China to cut off North Korea? Is that fair?What does that have top do with opiod abuse?

SpursforSix
09-21-2017, 01:50 PM
What does that have top do with opiod abuse?

Ching Chong chicken

Chucho
09-21-2017, 03:39 PM
Viccodins were fun. That is all.

tlongII
09-21-2017, 03:49 PM
What does that have top do with opiod abuse?

What does opioid abuse have to do with Trump?

Pavlov
09-21-2017, 03:50 PM
What does opioid abuse have to do with Trump?His campaign promises about it.

Pavlov
09-21-2017, 03:56 PM
And this:

"The opioid crisis is an emergency, and I am saying, officially, right now, it is an emergency. It's a national emergency," Trump said earlier at his golf club in Bedminster, New Jersey. "We're going to spend a lot of time, a lot of effort and a lot of money on the opioid crisis. It is a serious problem the likes of which we have never had."

http://www.cnn.com/2017/08/10/health/trump-opioid-emergency-declaration-bn/index.html

This is what opioids have to do with Trump.

boutons_deux
09-21-2017, 04:01 PM
Repugs ain't gonna spend any money on opioid crisis, not even when it's bad in their cult.

Traschcare even CUTS $$$ for services like addiction treatment. :lol

CosmicCowboy
09-21-2017, 06:27 PM
Viccodins were fun. That is all.
They aren't all that. I don't get the hysteria over hydrocodone scrips. They have the data bases now to prevent doctor shopping for multiple scrips.

RandomGuy
09-22-2017, 09:32 AM
They aren't all that. I don't get the hysteria over hydrocodone scrips. They have the data bases now to prevent doctor shopping for multiple scrips.

... when they are used.

leemajors
09-22-2017, 10:31 AM
What does opioid abuse have to do with Trump?

When will Nike bring jobs back to Murica?

leemajors
09-22-2017, 10:32 AM
They aren't all that. I don't get the hysteria over hydrocodone scrips. They have the data bases now to prevent doctor shopping for multiple scrips.

That's why they are moving back to heroin.

Chucho
09-22-2017, 11:40 AM
They aren't all that. I don't get the hysteria over hydrocodone scrips. They have the data bases now to prevent doctor shopping for multiple scrips.

Notice how I said "were"?


And yes, yes. They made it infinitely harder for people to get meds they were RXing them for years and years and make you feel like your're the criminal when asking for your refill and it's been that way since for about 5 years here in Cali. They make people sign pain management contracts. Sucks for those that need them, just another thing Obamacare got wrong and now is causing people to reduce themselves to black tar heroin.

I remember, up until about '15, I was getting them for about $2-$4 per 10. Now, on the street, they fetch up to $10 per 10. That's why I just stick to blow nowadays.

Xevious
09-22-2017, 02:09 PM
Notice how I said "were"?


And yes, yes. They made it infinitely harder for people to get meds they were RXing them for years and years and make you feel like your're the criminal when asking for your refill and it's been that way since for about 5 years here in Cali. They make people sign pain management contracts. Sucks for those that need them, just another thing Obamacare got wrong and now is causing people to reduce themselves to black tar heroin.

I remember, up until about '15, I was getting them for about $2-$4 per 10. Now, on the street, they fetch up to $10 per 10. That's why I just stick to blow nowadays.
They made it harder, not impossible, for people who actually need the meds to get them. PCPs, surgeons, and the like can't just fill endless narcotic scrips. You have to be treated by a pain specialist if you need long term narcs. You still got the fuckers who ER hop though. All one has to do is cry "chest pain" to get a couple shots of morphine.

boutons_deux
09-22-2017, 02:48 PM
fetanyl has become a more reliable killer than heroin or oxycontin.

http://static4.businessinsider.com/image/5989d11876084a507a8b5d8d-480/fentanyl.jpeg

http://www.businessinsider.com/why-fentanyl-is-deadlier-than-heroin-in-a-single-photo-2017-8

Chucho
09-22-2017, 03:03 PM
They made it harder, not impossible, for people who actually need the meds to get them. PCPs, surgeons, and the like can't just fill endless narcotic scrips. You have to be treated by a pain specialist if you need long term narcs. You still got the fuckers who ER hop though. All one has to do is cry "chest pain" to get a couple shots of morphine.


My mother in law has been on a pain contract for the last 10 years and it was never so hard as it is now to get her refills. She has to go in EVERY month and has the most severe rhumetoid arthritis imaginable and gets $3.5k disability per because of it, which is very, very high for disability payouts (because she was a $115k per year head ER nurse for 20 years) because she can only stand for 1/2 the month. Poor lady has been on Norcs for about 15 years and now they cut back her supply and upped her morphine! Go figure.

CosmicCowboy
09-22-2017, 07:40 PM
They made it harder, not impossible, for people who actually need the meds to get them. PCPs, surgeons, and the like can't just fill endless narcotic scrips. You have to be treated by a pain specialist if you need long term narcs. You still got the fuckers who ER hop though. All one has to do is cry "chest pain" to get a couple shots of morphine.

Yeah, my orthopod referred me to a pain specialist. CVS pharmacy just got on the anti-opiod bandwagon today. They will only fill pain meds for 7 days now. Thats just stupid.

CosmicCowboy
09-22-2017, 07:47 PM
... when they are used.
They are used. You cant fill scrips from different doctors in texas anymore. They all go through a state clearinghouse.

TeyshaBlue
09-22-2017, 08:56 PM
My mother in law has been on a pain contract for the last 10 years and it was never so hard as it is now to get her refills. She has to go in EVERY month and has the most severe rhumetoid arthritis imaginable and gets $3.5k disability per because of it, which is very, very high for disability payouts (because she was a $115k per year head ER nurse for 20 years) because she can only stand for 1/2 the month. Poor lady has been on Norcs for about 15 years and now they cut back her supply and upped her morphine! Go figure.

Did she ever try biologicals like Remicade or Humira?