PDA

View Full Version : Hurricane Nate



UNT Eagles 2016
10-04-2017, 12:53 PM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL162017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/144324_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Still TD 16, not named yet, but in the spirit of this season I guess I'll put this one up already.

Darth_Pelican
10-05-2017, 12:40 PM
Heading our way, but too weak to do any damage and moving too fast to cause any flooding.

UNT Eagles 2016
10-05-2017, 03:49 PM
Heading our way, but too weak to do any damage and moving too fast to cause any flooding.

I think it'll be a cat 2 at least, it's the 2017 hurricane season, agree about the forward pace though

Darth_Pelican
10-05-2017, 06:40 PM
I think it'll be a cat 2 at least, it's the 2017 hurricane season, agree about the forward pace though

Doubtful. It's more realistic that it touches down as a Tropical Storm than a Cat 2. Look at the radar. There's no organization at all yet. It's just a mess of storms. It will be moving too fast to gain Cat 2 strength when it hits the Gulf. This one's gonna be pretty underwhelming.

Robz4000
10-05-2017, 08:31 PM
Doubtful. It's more realistic that it touches down as a Tropical Storm than a Cat 2. Look at the radar. There's no organization at all yet. It's just a mess of storms. It will be moving too fast to gain Cat 2 strength when it hits the Gulf. This one's gonna be pretty underwhelming.

I actually agree with UNT on this; I think this storm ends up being worse than they're predicting/saying. Might be some people higher up who wanna avoid causing a panic after what people have seen this hurricane season. Storms have had a bad habit of rapidly intensifying once they hit the Gulf the past decade or so (at least when conditions are ripe)

UNT Eagles 2016
10-05-2017, 08:52 PM
I actually agree with UNT on this; I think this storm ends up being worse than they're predicting/saying. Might be some people higher up who wanna avoid causing a panic after what people have seen this hurricane season. Storms have had a bad habit of rapidly intensifying once they hit the Gulf the past decade or so (at least when conditions are ripe)

Especially this year. And not just the Gulf. The entire Western Caribbean is rocket fuel...

Robz4000
10-06-2017, 11:34 PM
Already at 75 mph and hasn't fully entered the Gulf, and the satellite images show impressive growth. This shit could get bad.

Wild Cobra
10-07-2017, 12:59 AM
This is only the third worse hurricane season on record.

UNT Eagles 2016
10-07-2017, 11:01 AM
90 mph but accelerating fast. May not have time to make it to cat 3, but cat 2 appears likely (as I expected). Darth_Pelican

UNT Eagles 2016
10-07-2017, 11:02 AM
This is only the third worse hurricane season on record.

2005 and what other year?

Darth_Pelican
10-07-2017, 11:19 AM
90 mph but accelerating fast. May not have time to make it to cat 3, but cat 2 appears likely (as I expected). Darth_Pelican (http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=22958)

Yeah but it's not heading here anymore. Biloxi is getting a direct hit.

Mark Celibate
10-07-2017, 11:21 AM
I've never seen a hurricane move like this wtf. I just heard about it yesterday and by tomorrow it will be gone.

Copying my schtick and bringing the log in log out goods per par etc

Darth_Pelican
10-07-2017, 11:24 AM
I've never seen a hurricane move like this wtf. I just heard about it yesterday and by tomorrow it will be gone.

Copying my schtick and bringing the log in log out goods per par etc

Yeah it's a small storm and it's traveling at an insane 26mph. No flood threat and the worst of the winds won't stick around long enough to sustain any bad damage unless you're right on the coast.

UNT Eagles 2016
10-07-2017, 11:32 AM
Yeah but it's not heading here anymore. Biloxi is getting a direct hit.

Katrina "missed" NOLA to the east, too. How'd that turn out?

Meanwhile Isaac (2012) was a direct hit, and Gustav (2008) was supposed to give NOLA the dreaded right front quadrant... but much ado for little in both cases.


Granted this is moving extremely fast and it's not a cat 5 having weakened to a cat 3...so you won't get Katrina impact obviously. But don't be surprised if this one is worse than Isaac still.

Darth_Pelican
10-07-2017, 11:46 AM
Katrina "missed" NOLA to the east, too. How'd that turn out?

Meanwhile Isaac (2012) was a direct hit, and Gustav (2008) was supposed to give NOLA the dreaded right front quadrant... but much ado for little in both cases.


Granted this is moving extremely fast and it's not a cat 5 having weakened to a cat 3...so you won't get Katrina impact obviously. But don't be surprised if this one is worse than Isaac still.

Katrina was 3 times the size of this storm, was twice as strong, and was moving 1/3 the speed of this one. Nola is currently projected to get 35-50mph winds for this storm. They got over 130mph winds for Katrina, even without being directly hit. Isaac & Gustav will both be worse than this storm by a wide margin.

DMC
10-07-2017, 12:48 PM
https://www.ventusky.com/?p=30.8;-65.8;3&l=wind

This is a good site for checking out all the nuances of global weather

Mark Celibate
10-07-2017, 02:31 PM
Katrina "missed" NOLA to the east, too. How'd that turn out?

Meanwhile Isaac (2012) was a direct hit, and Gustav (2008) was supposed to give NOLA the dreaded right front quadrant... but much ado for little in both cases.



Granted this is moving extremely fast and it's not a cat 5 having weakened to a cat 3...so you won't get Katrina impact obviously. But don't be surprised if this one is worse than Isaac still.

rofl Katrina was massive (and stronger for now). "Just missing" to the east doesn't mean shit in that kind of storm since the major hurricane force winds will cover a large area

Come on, you know this storm is going to be a dud. Plus, if a storm has a chance to be catastrophic, Cry Havoc shows up days in advance to overexaggerate and masturbate at the thought of major casualties and destruction, but even he doesn't care about this one

Mark Celibate
10-07-2017, 02:37 PM
Katrina was 3 times the size of this storm, was twice as strong, and was moving 1/3 the speed of this one. Nola is currently projected to get 35-50mph winds for this storm. They got over 130mph winds for Katrina, even without being directly hit. Isaac & Gustav will both be worse than this storm by a wide margin.

:lol Just saw ya'll were forecasted for 1-2 inches of rain and tropical storm winds of 35-50 mph.

Please tell me you evacuated!

Will Hunting
10-07-2017, 03:46 PM
Katrina "missed" NOLA to the east, too. How'd that turn out?

Meanwhile Isaac (2012) was a direct hit, and Gustav (2008) was supposed to give NOLA the dreaded right front quadrant... but much ado for little in both cases.


Granted this is moving extremely fast and it's not a cat 5 having weakened to a cat 3...so you won't get Katrina impact obviously. But don't be surprised if this one is worse than Isaac still.
The major damage to NOLA from Katrina was due to the levies breaking, the actual hurricane caused little to no damage in the city. Do you enjoy never knowing what you're talking about?

UNT Eagles 2016
10-07-2017, 04:25 PM
The major damage to NOLA from Katrina was due to the levies breaking, the actual hurricane caused little to no damage in the city. Do you enjoy never knowing what you're talking about?

That's my point. Katrina missed NOLA outside of outside feeder rain bands, but the wind effect of the center moving from SSW to NNE off to the right of NOLA caused Lake Pontchartrain to flow back south into the Lower 9th Ward and other vulnerable areas of NOLA, overwhelm the levees and cause mass devastation.

That happened around 9am on August 29th. But I recall watching the Weather Channel at about 4-5am and the prevailing storyline as Katrina was a couple hours from landfall, still as a 145mph Category 4 at the time was that "New Orleans is likely going to be spared the worst of it" and it was a huge relief, even though the Mississippi coast and even extreme SW Alabama was going to take a horrendous hit. Little did they know what was going to happen later that morning in NOLA.

The opposite happened this year with Irma, when a lot of folks thought Tampa would drown in surge waters but the exact opposite happened due to direction of the hurricane and winds. The storm surge with Irma actually caused the Tampa Bay to flow back into the GOM instead of into Tampa city.

Bottom line is, things like storm surge direction can be very unpredictable even for the best meteorologists and computer models in the world, and can mean a difference in hundreds of human deaths and tens of billions of dollars.

Darth_Pelican
10-07-2017, 06:52 PM
I've never seen a hurricane move like this wtf. I just heard about it yesterday and by tomorrow it will be gone.

Copying my schtick and bringing the log in log out goods per par etc

Yep, it set a new record.

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2017/10/hurricane_nate_sets_record_as.html#incart_big-photo

Also, like I said, it wouldn't get to Cat 2 status. This thing already started hitting land.

Mark Celibate
10-07-2017, 07:50 PM
Yep, it set a new record.

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2017/10/hurricane_nate_sets_record_as.html#incart_big-photo

Also, like I said, it wouldn't get to Cat 2 status. This thing already started hitting land.

:loltbh it's kinda creepy seeing something as massive as a hurricane moving that fast even though that's the best case scenario

UNT Eagles 2016
10-07-2017, 08:14 PM
Yep, it set a new record.

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2017/10/hurricane_nate_sets_record_as.html#incart_big-photo

Also, like I said, it wouldn't get to Cat 2 status. This thing already started hitting land.

Was Wilma the old record? I believe

Darth_Pelican
10-07-2017, 10:59 PM
It barely even drizzled here and the footage from Bay St. Louis & Biloxi looks like a regular thunderstorm. Fake ass weak media created "hurricane".

UNT Eagles 2016
10-08-2017, 09:14 AM
It barely even drizzled here and the footage from Bay St. Louis & Biloxi looks like a regular thunderstorm. Fake ass weak media created "hurricane".

It flooded a casino. Oh well. Saints play today? Nope, they're on bye!

Mark Celibate
10-08-2017, 05:37 PM
It barely even drizzled here and the footage from Bay St. Louis & Biloxi looks like a regular thunderstorm. Fake ass weak media created "hurricane".

yep, seeing TWC struggling to put together their fearmongering headlines has been hilarious. "Nate continues to Plow through South " :lmao

smh at them having a producer offset throw this chair . shameful and desperate attempt at ratings tbh

lK7ItMN4ML0