Spurs seedings and matchups guide

[spurs1990]

Using NBA.com’s PDF chart (https://turnernbahangtime.files.wordpress.com/2018/04/2018-nba-playoff-scenarios-april-10.pdf)of all possibilities, below are the nine (out of 16) different scenarios from the Spurs POV.


No matter what happens, the only four opponents the Spurs can have are Portland, Utah, GS, and Houston.
Out of the nine unique scenarios, only TWO * will result in the Spurs getting the 4th seed, (and home court in the 1st). *Correction per Chinook - 5th Seed scenario below allows for homecourt vs Portland.



Keep tabs on four games tonight:
Spurs at New Orleans, 7pm
Denver at Mnnesota, 7pm
Memphis at OK, 7pm
Utah at Portland, 9:30pm


Use this to determine what seed, and what opponent you want, and who to root for tonight.

4th Seed- Host Blazers

Spurs win
Memphis win
Utah win


---------------------------------------
5th Seed
At Utah

Spurs win
Memphis win
Portland win


Host Blazers

Spurs win
OK win
Utah win


---------------------------------------
6th Seed
At Portland

Spurs win
OK win
Portland win

or

Spurs lose
Min win
Mem win
Portland win


At Utah

Spurs lose
Min win
Mem win
Utah win


---------------------------------------
7th Seed – at GS

Spurs lose
Den win
Mem win


or

Spurs lose
Min win
OK win


---------------------------------------
8th Seed – at Hou

Spurs lose
Den win
OK win

[dbestpro]

Best time to beat the Warriors is now.

[rjv]

so i can just rule out all the scenarios involving a spurs win tonight, right?

[Chinook]

In the fifth-seed Portland scenario, the Spurs would host, even as the lower seed.

[spurraider21]

In the fifth-seed Portland scenario, the Spurs would host, even as the lower seed.
so if spurs and utah win, we host regardless of the OKC game?

[Chinook]

so if spurs and utah win, we host regardless of the OKC game?

That is my understanding

[itzsoweezee]

In the fifth-seed Portland scenario, the Spurs would host, even as the lower seed.

Really? That seems like the ideal scenario.

[lmbebo]

We're at NO, so expecting a loss. I'm guessing 7th seed.

[HarlemHeat37]

Basketball-wise, obviously want Portland for matchup purposes..

From a narrative perspective, getting the Warriors would be nice..it would be a boring series with 2 unwatchable teams, but it's the best time to attempt to get some vengeance against them..

While I'd hate it as a fan, I wouldn't mind Houston as a gambler..should be easy money with several blowouts and Vegas will overvalue the Spurs..

[kaji157]

Anyone knows when Curry will be back? Is it certain that he is still in rehab? Is there any way we can put Kawhi´s "entourage" around Curry?

All this questions must be answered before i make a desition.

[BillMc]

In the fifth-seed Portland scenario, the Spurs would host, even as the lower seed.

Why do they get to host as the lower seed? Something about divisions?

[Chinook]

Why do they get to host as the lower seed? Something about divisions?

In that scenario, SA and Portland are tied. The Spurs have the one-on-one tie-break, but the Blazers win the higher seed because of OKC's interference. HCA is determined by a separate tie-break only between the teams in the specific series. So it would reset to SA's H2H advantage over Portland to determine who hosts Game 1.

It's important to note that this would have been the same even under the old rules, because a) HCA was still determined separate, leading to Portland being a fourth-seed without HCA in 2015 and b) Portland wouldn't even be a division winner in this scenario.

[BillMc]

In that scenario, SA and Portland are tied. The Spurs have the one-on-one tie-break, but the Blazers win the higher seed because of OKC's interference. HCA is determined by a separate tie-break only between the teams in the specific series. So it would reset to SA's H2H advantage over Portland to determine who hosts Game 1.

It's important to note that this would have been the same even under the old rules, because a) HCA was still determined separate, leading to Portland being a fourth-seed without HCA in 2015 and b) Portland wouldn't even be a division winner in this scenario.

:bobo Cheers man. You know your stuff.

[Chinook]

:bobo Cheers man. You know your stuff.

:lol If I do, it's only because of the constant mistakes I've made over the years in my analyses and then having to go back and figure out where I went wrong. The Spurs hosting Portland as the five-seed is my understanding of would happen. It's what everything I've read suggest would happen. But a significant part of me expects to be wrong if the scenario actually plays out. Then I'll find out there's some superseding rule I didn't know about. Then next year, I'll account for that new rule when posting about playoff scenarios. Rinse and repeat.

[BillMc]

:lol If I do, it's only because of the constant mistakes I've made over the years in my analyses and then having to go back and figure out where I went wrong. The Spurs hosting Portland as the five-seed is my understanding of would happen. It's what everything I've read suggest would happen. But a significant part of me expects to be wrong if the scenario actually plays out. Then I'll find out there's some superseding rule I didn't know about. Then next year, I'll account for that new rule when posting about playoff scenarios. Rinse and repeat.

That's called "learning from experience". Amazing how many people in life can't Well done.

Chinook 2020 should be the perfect seeding computer. :lol Let's hope ST is still around by then.

[spurs1990]

In the fifth-seed Portland scenario, the Spurs would host, even as the lower seed.

Thanks Chinook. Updated the list. You need a supercomputer to figure the matchups out evidently.

[TDomination]

I'm actually really excited about tonight. And not just the spurs game but to see how everything falls in place.

I'm rooting for spurs win, jazz win, and being realistic OKC win. The toughest of those 3 is for spurs to win. I almost expect to be blown out but I guess you never know. Would be sweet to win.

[tholdren]

Chinook is awesome when it comes to rules laws cap etc. Chinook is damboom or sagirl when talent eval comes into play

[TheDoctor]

Really? That seems like the ideal scenario.
Agree.

[AlexJones]

While I'd hate it as a fan, I wouldn't mind Houston as a gambler..should be easy money with several blowouts and Vegas will overvalue the Spurs..

I'm in Vegas on Friday.. gonna unload on some stupid ass Houston -600 if they draw the Spurs. -2.5 games is a lock too.

[dabom]

Tim pelicans thunder win.

[dabom]

7th seed vs GSWs. I think that's the best scenario.

[davi78239]

If wolves hang on, looks like Warriors

[davidbowie]

we are going to play the steph-less warriors without kawhi and we're still going to beat them and we're going honking in the streets all night. race for seis!!! REVENGE SERIES.

GO SPURS GO!!!!! :flag: :flag: :flag:

[spurs10]

Go Wolves!

[Arcadian]

we are going to play the steph-less warriors without kawhi and we're still going to beat them and we're going honking in the streets all night. race for seis!!! REVENGE SERIES.

GO SPURS GO!!!!! :flag: :flag: :flag:

I just....don't see it. Durant will probably go nuclear. After that nothing matters.

[spurs10]

Nuggets tied it up!!

[davi78239]

Oh shit. Nuggs can win it!! Nbatv

[Arcadian]

I honestly don't know which matchup to prefer. It's tempting to say GS without Curry, but...they still have Durant. He's better than anyone on Houston.

[davidbowie]

LMAO TAJ

[davi78239]

Twolves get last look now!!

[spurs1990]

Yup only two possible outcomes.

Minnesota wins go to the Bay.

Denver wins and it's HTown.

Pick your poison

[davidbowie]

these teams suck

[noles1983]

Yup only two possible outcomes.

Minnesota wins go to the Bay.

Denver wins and it's HTown.

Pick your poison

gross, Spurs will be lucky to win 2 games either way. Thanks Kawhi, fucking bum.

[spurs1990]

gross, Spurs will be lucky to win 2 games either way. Thanks Kawhi, fucking bum.


Just wait my friend. The FO will be handing him a $219m offer for his trouble

[davi78239]

Warriors it is

[spurs1990]

Here's some good news. Spurs will have either the 19th or 18th pick in the draft.

Highest pick since 1997

[mexicanjunior]

Here's some good news. Spurs will have either the 19th or 18th pick in the draft.

Highest pick since 1997

Considering we are getting swept in the first round, it should have been higher...

[Arcadian]

Are the Jazz and Blazers locked into 3 and 4, or can one of them fall lower?

[spurs1990]

Are the Jazz and Blazers locked into 3 and 4, or can one of them fall lower?

Seedings would change but matchup stays the same:

Portland win:
3) Por vs 6) NO
4) OK vs 5) Uta

Utah win
3) Uta vs 6) OK
4) Por vs 5) NO


This is based off that NBA.com cheat sheet.
I'm guessing Rockets and GS are hoping to avoid having the Uta-OK matchup in their bracket.

[davi78239]

Here's some good news. Spurs will have either the 19th or 18th pick in the draft.

Highest pick since 1997

And to think, we should have a higher one had they tanked like I wanted them to missing playoffs.