2018 midterms: stats, analysis and prognostication

[Chris]

DNC trying to get non-citizens to vote. I know this is not news, but relevant nonetheless :tu

[Pavlov]

DNC trying to get non-citizens to vote. I know this is not news, but relevant nonetheless :tuProbably completely fake.:tu

[Chris]

Probably completely fake.:tu

^That cognitive dissonance thingy :tu

[Pavlov]

^That cognitive dissonance thingy :tuNo, mailers are incredibly easy to fake, Chris.

Guess you couldn't figure that out.:tu

[Chris]

1053316781031481344

[Spurs Homer]

Gillum in Florida just destroyed Trumps sperm receptacle in their CNN debate. I think Gillum put this race away with that performance.

DeSantis is pathetic and showed his corruption during his time obstructing the sham Russia investigation in their sham committee.

[Spurminator]

DNC trying to get non-citizens to vote. I know this is not news, but relevant nonetheless :tu

Non-citizens can't vote. It would be a terrible waste of DNC funds to help people apply to vote only to be rejected.

But keep dancing, you scared monkey.

[Reck]

1053316781031481344

What do you think that means Chris?

Remember when Trump ducked that republican debate to con some veterans out of millions? I bet you do.

[Reck]

Gillum in Florida just destroyed Trumps sperm receptacle in their CNN debate. I think Gillum put this race away with that performance.

DeSantis is pathetic and showed his corruption during his time obstructing the sham Russia investigation in their sham committee.

I saw the last 15 minutes of it. Desantis was in near tears.

I like how all these Trumpies are running dry on gun powder and always bring the BUT YOU WANT TO IMPEACH TRUMP, OUR LORD AND SAVIOR PLEASE VOTE FOR ME!

Cruz did it and so did this tool and both got a firm answer. Impeaching Trump is not a saving issue for these republican guys..:lol

[FrostKing]

1053028688546140161
Id still bang her. Those old titties

[Spurs Homer]

I saw the last 15 minutes of it. Desantis was in near tears.

I like how all these Trumpies are running dry on gun powder and always bring the BUT YOU WANT TO IMPEACH TRUMP, OUR LORD AND SAVIOR PLEASE VOTE FOR ME!

Cruz did it and so did this tool and both got a firm answer. Impeaching Trump is not a saving issue for these republican guys..:lol

I liked Gillum's response even better than I liked Beto's - when asked the "impeachment" question -
I was hoping to hear that - someone to say - "damn right "

Gillum closing statement was really good although at first I was thinking
"where the hell is he going?"
when he started talking about his grandma getting them ready for school -but he wrapped it up neatly and was powerful and inspiring.

Well done.

[Winehole23]

De Santis looked like he ate some grocery store sushi

[dabom]

Id still bang her. Those old titties

You need to get out more bud.

[SnakeBoy]

Republicans outpacing Democrats in early voting in key states, NBC News finds
The data suggests enthusiasm among early GOP voters that could put a dent in Democratic hopes for a "blue wave" in the midterms.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna922881?cid=sm_npd_ms_tw_ma&__twitter_impression=true

https://media4.s-nbcnews.com/j/newscms/2018_43/2614216/2018earlyvotebypartyaffiliation_29db6d3673214fa412 22bc538d106cac.fit-560w.png

[angrydude]

Gillum in Florida just destroyed Trumps sperm receptacle in their CNN debate. I think Gillum put this race away with that performance.

DeSantis is pathetic and showed his corruption during his time obstructing the sham Russia investigation in their sham committee.

Why are you such a sexist? I guess you're proof the patriarchy actually does exist.

[Reck]

Republicans outpacing Democrats in early voting in key states, NBC News finds
The data suggests enthusiasm among early GOP voters that could put a dent in Democratic hopes for a "blue wave" in the midterms.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna922881?cid=sm_npd_ms_tw_ma&__twitter_impression=true

https://media4.s-nbcnews.com/j/newscms/2018_43/2614216/2018earlyvotebypartyaffiliation_29db6d3673214fa412 22bc538d106cac.fit-560w.png

Oh my, there are more voters that affiliate or lean republicans in red states. Who knew?

[CosmicCowboy]

1052241079628652544
1052241302736330752
1052241498505445378

"Somebody do something!" :lol

LOL Hillary setting up to run in 2020. This should be fun watching her drive the Primary clown bus.

[ducks]

https://twitter.com/JFord1984/status/1053801611514892288/video/1

[Chris]

LOL Hillary setting up to run in 2020. This should be fun watching her drive the Primary clown bus.

God I hope she runs :lol

[Reck]

God I hope she runs :lol

?

If she runs she's not going to win the nomination. There will be at least 10-15 candidates running for the nomination.

Last time we had a corpse, a nobody and a wounded animal.

[CosmicCowboy]

?

If she runs she's not going to win the nomination. There will be at least 10-15 candidates running for the nomination.

Last time we had a corpse, a nobody and a wounded animal.

Who is going to beat her?

[Reck]

Who is going to beat her?

If Kamala Harris and Booker run, they'll split the southern states. Last time Hillary feasted on them because she was the only one.

It amuses me how you guys think she is 1, going to run again and 2, that she would get the nomination again. None of that is going to happen.

[Chris]

?

If she runs she's not going to win the nomination. There will be at least 10-15 candidates running for the nomination.

Last time we had a corpse, a nobody and a wounded animal.

You're putting your faith in Spartacus:lol

[Reck]

You're putting your faith in Spartacus:lol

Not really. I dont even know who'll be running but I have already ruled out a vote for:

Gillibrand
Warren

Looking out for:

Biden and my nigga Schiff.

Schiff has no name recognition though so he'll be a dead fish from the start.

[Chris]

Not really. I dont even know who'll be running but I have already ruled out a vote for:

Gillibrand
Warren

Looking out for:

Biden and my nigga Schiff.

Schiff has no name recognition though so he'll be a dead fish from the start.

Creepy Uncle Joe and Schiff? Dude you need to do some background research on those two creeps stat.

[Reck]

Creepy Uncle Joe and Schiff? Dude you need to do some background research on those two creeps stat.

Old people are creepy by nature.

I dont know what you have heard about Schiff but it's probably a lie.

[CosmicCowboy]

If Kamala Harris and Booker run, they'll split the southern states. Last time Hillary feasted on them because she was the only one.

It amuses me how you guys think she is 1, going to run again and 2, that she would get the nomination again. None of that is going to happen.

It amusing you are putting your faith in those two lightweights.

[DarrinS]

Old people are creepy by nature.


Uh, ok?

[Reck]

It amusing you are putting your faith in those two lightweights.

Oh so even though I clearly stated where I stood on whom I already support and dont you presume to tell me who I have faith in. Cool

[SouthTexasRancher]

She's the gift that keeps on giving tbh :lol

Ain't that the truth! She and that fake Pocahontas. lying Elizabeth Warren!

[ducks]

Both woman need a sound spanking

[Trill Clinton]

Wanna see a dead body?

1055265393172873216

[Chris]

1054527758070677504

[Winehole23]

It amusing you are putting your faith in those two lightweights.it's amusing you put so much faith in a two time loser.

wishful thinking, tbh

[Chris]

1055638012342779905

[Spurminator]

1054527758070677504

KAEPERNICK! :cry :cry

Republican Congress is going to do something about Kaepernick! Vote for us, you easily triggered lemmings.

[Reck]

1055638012342779905

Sure Chrissy. Democrats are less enthusiastic of voting less now than in 2016 for Hillary. :lol

[Chris]

KAEPERNICK! :cry :cry

Republican Congress is going to do something about Kaepernick! Vote for us, you easily triggered lemmings.

You didn't even watch it and got triggered by the Kaepernick pic :lol

[Chris]

Sure Chrissy. Democrats are less enthusiastic of voting less now than in 2016 for Hillary. :lol

Can someone translate this for me?

[Reck]

Can someone translate this for me?

Your little tweet shows the democratic early voting turnout is worse off than in 2016.

[Spurminator]

You didn't even watch it and got triggered by the Kaepernick pic :lol

:lol Yes, I'm triggered by Kaepernick. I'm the one still bitching about him 2 years into his retirement.

No, I didn't watch your video.

[Winehole23]

Lie down with dogs, get fleas.

Bob Menendez is pretty much as sleazy as it gets in the US Senate.

1055807889812701184

[SnakeBoy]

Texas early voting tracker

https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2018/general-election-early-voting/?utm_campaign=trib-social&utm_medium=social&utm_source=sprout&utm_content=1540403482

[SnakeBoy]

1055798289776472065

[boutons_deux]

‘This is American history’: Maddow reveals Republicans’ ‘whole ball game’ for US Senate control

Maddow has been aggressively reporting

Republican efforts to disenfranchise Native Americans living on reservations in North Dakota

in an effort to unseat Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND), who narrowly won her Senate seat in 2012 with overwhelming support from Native Americans.

“Through another lens, though, this is a big national story,” she explained. “I mean,

in North Dakota, Native American voters have a strong propensity to vote Democrat — knocking them out is a very tidy way of knocking out Democratic votes.”

“And specifically this year, it’s a tidy way to knock Heidi Heitkamp out of the United States Senate because she’s up for re-election,” Maddow continued.

“Knocking her out of the Senate happens to be the Republican Party’s best path towards keeping the whole U.S. Senate in the hands of the Republican Party for the next two years,” she explained.

“And

if the whole of the United States Senate remains in the hands of the Republican Party for the next two years, that obviously has nationwide

implications for policy,

for investigations and accountability with this president and this administration,” Maddow noted.

“It potentially has implications if something like impeachment ever comes up.”“And of course, it’s the whole ball game when it comes to the

possibility of another Supreme Court justice,”

Maddow concluded.

“It is the whole ball game in terms of

confirming Trump nominees, both to the administration and to the courts.”
“So whether or not North Dakota Republicans succeed in this, you know, what looks like a local effort to block 10,000 North Dakota Native Americans from voting in three weeks,

this isn’t local news anymore, this is American history now,” she said.

https://www.rawstory.com/2018/10/american-history-maddow-reveals-republicans-whole-ball-game-us-senate-control/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheRawStory+%28The+Raw+Story% 29

ND Repug assholes said no vote w/o a street/house address,

knowing that Indians have no street addresses, only PO Boxes.

[boutons_deux]

The midterms are already hacked. You just don’t know it yet.

An investigation into the US election system reveals frightening vulnerabilities at almost every level.

“It’s every county versus the FSB”

With the midterms two weeks away, news of electoral cyberattacks has begun to appear with growing frequency.

In 2018, at least a dozen races for the House and Senate, mostly Democrats, have been the public targets of malicious cyber campaigns, in a variety of attacks that suggests the breadth of the threat:

Campaigns have been

besieged by network penetration attempts,

spearphishing campaigns,

dummy websites,

email hacking, and

at least one near-miss attempt to rob a Senate campaign of untold thousands of dollars.

“The Russians will attempt, with cyberattacks and with information operations, to go after us again,”

said Eric Rosenbach, the former Pentagon chief of staff and so-called cyber czar, now at the Harvard Belfer Center, when I talked to him this summer. In fact, he added,

“They’re doing it right now.”

Last week, the Department of Justice unsealed a criminal charge (https://www.justice.gov/opa/press-release/file/1102316/download) against a Russian national in St. Petersburg for interfering (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/10/19/midterms-election-meddling-russia-china-865676) in the 2018 midterms.

The charges detail

an ongoing Russian-backed information operations campaign, called Project Lakhta,

with a budget of around $12 million in 2017 and,

this year, around $10 million from January through June alone.

Lakhta was detailed in an earlier indictment brought by Special Counsel Robert Mueller for its activity in 2016.

“This case serves as a stark reminder to all Americans:

Our foreign adversaries continue their efforts to interfere in our democracy,”

said FBI Director Christopher Wray as he announced the charges (https://www.wired.com/story/russia-indictment-twitter-facebook-play-both-sides/).

https://www.vox.com/2018/10/25/18001684/2018-midterms-hacked-russia-election-security-voting

While under full-scale attack by Pootin's cyberarmy, our infamous Pootin-sucker invites adversary Pootin to the WH

As dangerous as the Russians are, the American oligarchy has been and will continue to be much more dangerous, be more destructive, more death to America and Americans.

[Reck]

1055798289776472065

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/nj/new_jersey_senate_hugin_vs_menendez-6506.html

Let that sink in for a second.

[Pavlov]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/nj/new_jersey_senate_hugin_vs_menendez-6506.html

Let that sink in for a second.That said, I'd be fine with Menendez' losing that race.

[AaronY]

Looking like we got no chance at the senate now or in 2020 tbh

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2018/10/democrats-senate-2020-prospects.html

I know slate is frequently boutons level garbage but article seems accurate to me

[Reck]

That said, I'd be fine with Menendez' losing that race.

There are plenty of corrupt senators already on the other side. This loser mentality is why the democrats are soon going to be in the super minority.

North Dakota is a lost cause so that's one less democratic seat right there and you'd be fine with another loss in NJ. :lmao

[LGBTQIAPK & G-D]

There are plenty of corrupt senators already on the other side. This loser mentality is why the democrats are soon going to be in the super minority.

North Dakota is a lost cause so that's one less democratic seat right there and you'd be fine with another loss in NJ. :lmao

:lmao

[Pavlov]

There are plenty of corrupt senators already on the other side. This loser mentality is why the democrats are soon going to be in the super minority.

North Dakota is a lost cause so that's one less democratic seat right there and you'd be fine with another loss in NJ. :lmaoEh, just don't like the guy. Sue me.

[rmt]

There are plenty of corrupt senators already on the other side. This loser mentality is why the democrats are soon going to be in the super minority.

North Dakota is a lost cause so that's one less democratic seat right there and you'd be fine with another loss in NJ. :lmao

I applaud Pavlov's take on Menendez - some people are just TOO sleazy (like that one in Alabama) - shouldn't matter what party they're from.

[Reck]

I applaud Pavlov's take on Menendez - some people are just TOO sleazy (like that one in Alabama) - shouldn't matter what party they're from.

LOL you supported Moore and continue to support Trump. I dont think you have room to talk.

[Chucho]

There are plenty of corrupt senators already on the other side. This loser mentality is why the democrats are soon going to be in the super minority.

North Dakota is a lost cause so that's one less democratic seat right there and you'd be fine with another loss in NJ. :lmao

So because the other side has corruption, your side needs to match their corruption so your side keeps pace and you're laughing at Pav for having some moral ground that goes beyond political affiliation? Whoa.

[Reck]

So because the other side has corruption, your side needs to match their corruption so your side keeps pace and you're laughing at Pav for having some moral ground that goes beyond political affiliation? Whoa.

Not saying that at all. Replacing corruption with corruption is not a fix.

And replacing corruption with corruption+ being a trump shill is worse. If you're a democrat and you actually want people to lose seats to even more corrupt people than you, then what high moral ground do you really have?

I am saying I personally prefer Menendez keeping his seat and have him be a check on Trump than someone who would not.

If we're going by purity in politics, then we wouldn't have any politicians.

[SnakeBoy]

Not saying that at all. Replacing corruption with corruption is not a fix.

And replacing corruption with corruption+ being a trump shill is worse. If you're a democrat and you actually want people to lose seats to even more corrupt people than you, then what high moral ground do you really have?

I am saying I personally prefer Menendez keeping his seat and have him be a check on Trump than someone who would not.

If we're going by purity in politics, then we wouldn't have any politicians.

It's okay if he's corrupt cuz Trump

[Spurs Homer]

Not saying that at all. Replacing corruption with corruption is not a fix.

And replacing corruption with corruption+ being a trump shill is worse. If you're a democrat and you actually want people to lose seats to even more corrupt people than you, then what high moral ground do you really have?

I am saying I personally prefer Menendez keeping his seat and have him be a check on Trump than someone who would not.

If we're going by purity in politics, then we wouldn't have any politicians.

I look at it this way - if this were a Trump family member or a Republican whom Trump supported - there would already be a campaign to discredit this allegation. Trump would have already weighed in that it was "disgraceful" what is being done to "my guy"

Gotta agree with Reck on this one - IN THIS CURRENT CLIMATE.
(I think Menendez was acquitted or there was a mistrial? One of the jurors who left said they would have acquitted on all charges)

It is now - win at all costs - or watch the other side rack up corrupt SC Justices, corrupt judges, corrupt election wins, conspire with enemy foreign gov'ts, etc

This is what electing a criminal does to a country. This is the result of having a cult leader in power and the damage done when his sycophants support his crimes, his dishonesty, his corruption.

[Chucho]

Not saying that at all. Replacing corruption with corruption is not a fix.

And replacing corruption with corruption+ being a trump shill is worse. If you're a democrat and you actually want people to lose seats to even more corrupt people than you, then what high moral ground do you really have?

I am saying I personally prefer Menendez keeping his seat and have him be a check on Trump than someone who would not.

If we're going by purity in politics, then we wouldn't have any politicians.

Good post. Thanks for the clarification. :thumbsup

[ducks]

fraud


https://www.foxnews.com/politics/some-texans-say-voting-machines-are-changing-their-straight-ticket-choices-to-other-party-in-key-races

[SnakeBoy]

fraud


https://www.foxnews.com/politics/some-texans-say-voting-machines-are-changing-their-straight-ticket-choices-to-other-party-in-key-races

No. Did you read the article?

[Winehole23]

a white nationalist whisperer may lose what should be a very safe GOP seat:

1057121115879833600

[SnakeBoy]

a white nationalist whisperer may lose what should be a very safe GOP seat:

1057121115879833600

Well if the GOP is going to lose the house that would be a good one to get rid of.

[Spurs Homer]

Secretive vendors of the 3 companies that provide the voter machines - no oversight, no independent inspections of voting equipment - and when they do say they were audited, they refuse to provide results or proof of who audited them?

https://investigaterussia.org/media/2018-10-29/election-insecurity

[boutons_deux]

Health care is the top issue in the 2018 midterms. It's also on the ballot itself in these states (https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2018/11/1/1808782/-Health-care-is-the-top-issue-in-the-2018-midterms-It-s-also-on-the-ballot-itself-in-these-states)

https://images.dailykos.com/images/606044/story_image/Medicaid_Expansion_2018_Ballot_Initiatives.png?154 1009908



Health care—including access to affordable care, coverage for those with pre-existing conditions, and the Republican Party's attempts to repeal Obamacare and limit the number of Americans who can obtain insurance—is

the No. 1 issue Democrats are running on in the 2018 midterms (https://www.npr.org/2018/10/25/660281890/2018-is-the-year-democrats-got-comfortable-talking-health-care-again).

Unsurprisingly, several states are also voting directly on ballot measures related to health care,

including several affecting abortion rights.

If these measures all pass, they could bring affordable health care to an estimated 400,000 Americans (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/idaho-montana-nebraska-utah-medicaid-expansion-ballot-measures_us_5bcf9f7ee4b0d38b587d8036).

All of these measures are only statutory, though, so

vindictive Republican lawmakers and governors could theoretically undo them even if they pass

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/1808782

iow, bad faith MISgovernance by the Repugs FOR the oligarchy and AGAINST citizens

renders citizens powerless.

[boutons_deux]

Republican candidates say they would protect sick Americans but fight coverage for poorest patients

Even as embattled Republican candidates across the country pledge to protect Americans with preexisting medical conditions, nearly all continue to resist extending health protections to their poorest constituents.

Republicans running for governor in states that have not expanded Medicaid to low-income adults through the Affordable Care Act almost universally oppose any coverage expansion through the government safety net program.

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-republicans-medicaid-20181101-story.html#nws=mcnewsletter (http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-republicans-medicaid-20181101-story.html#nws=mcnewsletter)

Slave states refuse to expand Medicaid behind "cost" when in fact they don't want to pay for those goddamn poor, taker, lazy, cheating, criminal knitters and Mexicans.

[SnakeBoy]

Texas early voting tracker

https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2018/general-election-early-voting/?utm_campaign=trib-social&utm_medium=social&utm_source=sprout&utm_content=1540403482

So looks like we will have Presidential election turnout. I imagine it's the same everywhere. Tuesday night should have plenty of surprises since most of the forecasting is based on midterm turnout models. Only question now is will the tears be salty or delicious.

[Will Hunting]

So looks like we will have Presidential election turnout. I imagine it's the same everywhere. Tuesday night should have plenty of surprises since most of the forecasting is based on midterm turnout models. Only question now is will the tears be salty or delicious.
I think Texas might be an anomaly because of how much money/resources have been dumped into the Beto/Cruz race.

[SnakeBoy]

I think Texas might be an anomaly because of how much money/resources have been dumped into the Beto/Cruz race.

Yeah looks like you're right. Early voting is up in many states but none as pronounced as Texas.

[Reck]

https://twitter.com/TomSteyer/status/1058455018108444673

Fingers crossed that dems pick this up to upset the North Dakota rep pick up there.

[Chris]

1058466374773809153

[boutons_deux]

high turnout may be lower than expected turnout because of red/slave states suppressing voters by closing 1000s of voting stations.

[Chris]

1057608780211503105

[Pavlov]

1057608780211503105
Chris still obsessed with celebrities.

[Reck]

1057608780211503105

Chris triggered by celebs.

[Chris]

1058474605453721602

[Pavlov]

1058474605453721602Yep, no link.

[Chris]

Yep, no link.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/opinion/cruz-might-win-the-senate-but-the-democrats-are-winning-texas.html

[Pavlov]

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/opinion/cruz-might-win-the-senate-but-the-democrats-are-winning-texas.htmlOh, an op-ed.

Not an actual plan.

But thanks for playing up your xenophobia, Chris. No wonder minorities don't like you.

[Chris]

New story from Vanity Fair :tu


1058426591376748550

[Chris]

Oh, an op-ed.

Not an actual plan.

But thanks for playing up your xenophobia, Chris. No wonder minorities don't like you.

Coulter said "according to NYT" snowflake ; )

[Pavlov]

Coulter said "according to NYT" snowflake ; )She said "How Democrats plan to take Texas" snowflake ; )

Not a plan.

Not according to NYT.

[Reck]

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/opinion/cruz-might-win-the-senate-but-the-democrats-are-winning-texas.html

Didn't read.

But....are they legal citizens? if so, what's the problem?

[Chris]

Didn't read.

But....are they legal citizens? if so, what's the problem?

If you can't be bothered to read, then I can't be bothered to answer your asinine questions.

[Chris]

1058471755495493635

[djohn2oo8]

New story from Vanity Fair :tu


1058426591376748550
No wonder minorities don’t like you.

[Pavlov]

1058471755495493635Yep, it worked on you.

[Chris]

Yep, it worked on you.

Is Barry the only one they trust with a hot mic these days?

Sad.

[Pavlov]

Is Barry the only one they trust with a hot mic these days?

Sad.Not as sad as your being so terrified.

[Reck]

If you can't be bothered to read, then I can't be bothered to answer your asinine questions.

You make the claim, you need to at least summarize your shit. I'm not going to read an article that reads like a novel, get it?

[Chris]

You make the claim, you need to at least summarize your shit. I'm not going to read an article that reads like a novel, get it?

Learn to speed read Pleb.

[spurraider21]

New story from Vanity Fair :tu


1058426591376748550
back to reading your mom's titty magazines?

[Chris]

back to reading your mom's titty magazines?

That's actually a website ; )

[boutons_deux]

Pootin, and/or Repug rat fuckers, in action

Twitter Removed 10,000 Bots Pretending to Be Democrats Telling Other Democrats Not to Vote

https://slate.com/technology/2018/11/twitter-removed-bots-pretending-democrats-discourage-voter-turnout.html

[Chris]

1058464248404283392

Gold :lol

[TSA]

Pootin, and/or Repug rat fuckers, in action

Twitter Removed 10,000 Bots Pretending to Be Democrats Telling Other Democrats Not to Vote

https://slate.com/technology/2018/11/twitter-removed-bots-pretending-democrats-discourage-voter-turnout.html




oh noes the bots are back

[Reck]

oh noes the bots are back

I know, right?

God knows how desperately you need them to take your cues from now that Qanon has abandoned you.

[Chris]

1058507281426509828

[SnakeBoy]

1058507281426509828

lol

I don't think it will happen but damn the Dem Party will be in chaos if they don't manage to at least take the house.

[Chris]

lol

I don't think it will happen but damn the Dem Party will be in chaos if they don't manage to at least take the house.

I believe he's privy to information that we don't have. The Left says the battleground is in places like Chicago where Trump is unpopular. Sounds like more hoopla to me.

[LkrFan]

1058477062049140738
I did my part to vote their asses out. :tu

[Reck]

I believe he's privy to information that we don't have. The Left says the battleground is in places like Chicago where Trump is unpopular. Sounds like more hoopla to me.

:lol privy to information from the future
:lol Pence has been sent from God

[Spurminator]

1058532803263062019

[Spurminator]

:lol privy to information from the future
:lol Pence has been sent from God

Maybe he's assuming Pence has inside knowledge of specific voter suppression and "glitches" that will gift Republicans enough votes to maintain control. He'd be cool with that.

[Reck]

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1058773300556455936

Insane numbers. Texas is going all in.

[Pavlov]

I know, right?

God knows how desperately you need them to take your cues from now that Qanon has abandoned you.:lol TSA went full missilecopter.

[ducks]

In 1913, Democrat president Woodrow Wilson re-segregated the federal government, replaced 88% of black federal service supervisors with whites, and by 1914 began requiring photographs from government job applicants. Wilson’s racial bigotry stands out even by the standards of his age, and his Republican predecessors Theodore Roosevelt and William Howard Taft made a determined effort to appoint black Americans to public office. By contrast, Wilson defended the Ku Klux Klan in passages that later appeared in D.W. Griffith’s infamous film The Birth of a Nation, which Wilson screened at the White House.

After the 1936 Berlin Olympics, Democrat president Franklin Roosevelt snubbed black, four-time gold medal winner Jesse Owens from a reception honoring exclusively white American competitors. Owens might have counted himself lucky, however, comparing his treatment with that of other racial minorities during Roosevelt’s reign. In 1942, Roosevelt arrested and interned more than 100,000 Japanese Americans, while curiously sparing Americans of German and Italian descent, by executive order.

Lyndon Johnson has the laudable distinction of becoming the only Democrat president in history to sign a Civil Rights Act, albeit a century after Republicans passed the Civil Rights Act of 1866 over Democrat president Andrew Johnson’s veto. (Republican presidents would go on to enact additional Civil Rights Acts in 1871, 1875, 1957, 1960, and 1991.) Nevertheless, Johnson remained virulently racist in his personal conduct, referring to Asians as “hordes of barbaric yellow dwarves,” according to biographer Robert Caro, and driving trunk-loads of snakes to gas stations to scare black attendants. Johnson’s chauffeur Robert Parker recalled that Johnson once asked him if he would prefer to be called by his name rather than by various, demeaning nicknames. He said yes, and in Parker’s telling Johnson responded, “No one’s gonna call you by your goddamn name. So no matter what you are called, ******, you just let it roll off your back like water. ... Just pretend you’re a goddamn piece of furniture.”

Bernie Sanders’ historical ignorance comes as no surprise; even the left-wing Washington Post editorial board has acknowledged Sanders’ “shocking ignorance.” Unfortunately for the future of our democratic republic, such ignorance appears to be widespread and worsening among the voting public.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Early vote used to be skewed left, but not so much anymore. Republicans are very practical people and most of those states are forecasting rain on Monday/Tuesday.

[boutons_deux]

total corruption of the farcical political class

WEAPONS MAKERS RUSHING CAMPAIGN CASH TO DEMOCRAT IN LINE TO CHAIR DEFENSE INDUSTRY’S KEY HOUSE COMMITTEE (https://theintercept.com/2018/11/04/adam-smith-sarah-smith-military-affairs-challenged-over-pro-war-votes-support-from-defense-lobby/)

https://theintercept.com/2018/11/04/adam-smith-sarah-smith-military-affairs-challenged-over-pro-war-votes-support-from-defense-lobby/

America is oligarchy-fucked and unfuckable.

[Chris]

1059468746933313538

[Chris]

1059064685411082240

[Chris]

1058107427848110086

[Reck]

1059468746933313538

HIDE THE GUNS!

Obama----er this random fat chick is coming for 'em.

[Spurminator]

1059064685411082240

:lmao

How scared are you and Brian Kemp?

"Look at these five scary looking black guys! And they have GUNS!

By the way, my opponent wants to TAKE YOUR GUNS!"

[Will Hunting]

:lmao this is almost as funny as when two black guys standing outside of a voting precinct went viral and turned into right wing fever dreams about how the black panthers were intimidating voters.

[AaronY]

1059064685411082240
Wow five guys on a street corner! What a representative sample!

[AaronY]

Im confused tho... if she wins she is taking their guns tho so why are you scared chris (srs)

[AaronY]

Lol chris cant keep his bullshit straight..be afraid of these black guys with guns because if Abrans wins..shes taking their guns!

[SnakeBoy]

1059300672246435840

[Chris]

1059582344326197248

[Winehole23]

Chris triggered by Georgians exercising their 2nd Amendment rights.

[Spurminator]

Snopes unreliable, says the poor man's Alex Jones.

[ElNono]

Chris triggered by black people exercising their 2nd Amendment rights.

fify

[SnakeBoy]

1059582344326197248


2.) You implied in your questions to us that our story had something to do with race. The story clearly did not. What made you think that? Please be specific.

Pavlov works for Breibart

[Will Hunting]

:lol Conservatives on this site get so triggered whenever Chumpdumper asks them to provide specific examples to back up their argument

[boutons_deux]

Last Exit Off the Road to Autocracy

Taxes and health care aren’t the only things on the ballot.

Whatever happens in the midterms, the aftermath will be ugly.

polling suggesting a margin in votes cast for the House of Representatives of

seven or more percentage points (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/) — which would make it the biggest landslide (https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Vital-Statistics-Chapter-2-Congressional-Elections.pdf) of modern times. However,

gerrymandering and other factors have severely tilted the playing field, so that even this might not be enough to bring control of the chamber.

even if Democrats do climb that tilted slope, anyone expecting Republicans to accept the result with good grace hasn’t been paying attention.

if and when a Democratic House tries to exercise its powers, you can be sure it will be met with defiance, never mind what the Constitution says.

it’s not hyperbole to say that if the G.O.P. holds the line on Tuesday, it may be the last even halfway fair elections we’ll ever have.

Everything we’ve seen says that Republicans will do anything they can to take and hold power, and

Tuesday’s elections may be the last chance to stop them from locking in permanent rule.

It’s not just tax cuts or health coverage, and anyone who votes based simply on those issues is missing the bigger story.

For the survival of American democracy is on the ballot.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/05/opinion/midterms-trump-republicans-autocracy.html

[AaronY]

1059582344326197248
Abrams is going to take their guns tho if she wins?

[CosmicCowboy]

1059300672246435840

:lmao

brilliant

[Winehole23]

Sean Hannity, come on up. They've done an incredible job for us.

[Spurminator]

:lmao

brilliant

It's funny because Democrats cause higher taxes and job loss, so that's what the truck says. Pretty genius!

[ducks]

https://scontent-lax3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/fr/cp0/e15/q65/45450017_1988250911223776_227769601834876928_n.jpg ?_nc_cat=1&efg=eyJpIjoidCJ9&_nc_ht=scontent-lax3-1.xx&oh=9a9761389db5a3e5ff211da901c615f5&oe=5C807C2C

[Spurminator]

Once I saw this guy following Wendy Davis around with a sign that said "Wendy Davis wants abortion to be legal" and it was the funniest thing ever, because she does want abortion to be legal.

[boutons_deux]

hannity to replace shs?

[rmt]

1059300672246435840

That is so funny.

[Chris]

1059300672246435840

This is hilarious :lmao :lmao :lmao

[DMC]

All the signs point to unpredictable outcome. -MSM

[DMC]

1059582344326197248
I swear that guy on the left looks like he has the 3723rd BMTS patch on :lol

http://www.ericsusafpatches.nl/training-academics/squadrons/3723%20bmts001.jpg

[Chris]

I swear that guy on the left looks like he has the 3723rd BMTS patch on :lol

http://www.ericsusafpatches.nl/training-academics/squadrons/3723%20bmts001.jpg

Close but too much green in the middle

[RandomGuy]

Texas will make sure to purge registered voters mysteriously to keep the game rigged.

Like New York does for the Democrats here.

Which is exactly what happened. I saw it first hand.

[RandomGuy]

I will predict that my representative to the Texas house will be a Democrat, who worked her ass off talking to people non-stop. She block-walked and talked to people right up to the point where she gave birth, took a few days off, then got right back out and kept campaigning.

https://www.texasobserver.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/42966868_760463874303060_8777271126897197056_n-360x359.jpg

https://www.texasobserver.org/hays-countys-transformation-gives-democrats-hope-in-hill-country-house-district/

The county was close in 2014 and 2016, but the balance of the new registrations will heavily favor us.

Really hard to tell without accurate polling, so hard to give it a solid "yeah this will happen", but we have a pretty good shot at this.

Called it. Fairly close, but still Representative Zweiner will be my Rep. Very proud of her, she worked her ass off for it, and is pretty sharp.

[RandomGuy]

Odds creeping towards Democrats at the moment.
Several generic polls show some widening leads that are beginning to move the average/aggregate needle.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/?ex_cid=midterms-header


This has some solid implications for the overall picture of the House:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/#deluxe
Odds slowly creeping toward Democrats taking the House, and that will be mirrored in almost all states.

Deluxe has increased odds by 5% in the last week or so.

From 7 in 10 to

3 in 4

"Trump-backed" will be synonymous with "albatross around the neck".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albatross_(metaphor)

FiveThrityEight has been giving about the same range of between 30-38 net gains for Democrats for the last few months.

Current is 34-36 with the last few races still being counted.

[Chris]

VhdPMss8cE4

:lol

[RandomGuy]

VhdPMss8cE4

:lol

Chairwoman Waters.

[Winehole23]

the brightest spot for Texas Dems was judgeships. 30 of 32 contested seats on Courts of Appeal went to Dems.

it was a good night for judicial reform.

[Winehole23]

1060147634332164096

[Winehole23]

1060182895183171584

[Winehole23]

one Harriws County judge who lost yesterday melted down and released everybody:

1060251611300278273

[rmt]

Needless to say - it was very tense here in FL - no one knew who was going to win. Most of the polls had Gillum ahead leading up to the election. People at work tense but all voting. Gotta hand it to Trump - he pulled DeSantis across the finish line. Surprisingly the Scott/Nelson race was closer than DeSantis/Gillum - I guess Floridians aren't quite ready for Medicare for All, $15 minimum wage and higher corporate taxes. And 2/3 legislature necessary for any tax passed :elephant

[ducks]

South Carolina voter told to remove 'Trump' shirt in order to vote: report

Dang topless people have to vote

[Isitjustme?]

South Carolina voter told to remove 'Trump' shirt in order to vote: report

Dang topless people have to vote

You offended by this too?

https://fox61.com/2018/11/07/viral-photo-of-voter-wearing-t-shirt-with-noose-confederate-flag-stirs-outrage/

[ducks]

I do not tell people what to wear
Free speech

[RandomGuy]

1060147634332164096

Probably do a bit more come 2020, in time to draw new districts after the census.

[RandomGuy]

the brightest spot for Texas Dems was judgeships. 30 of 32 contested seats on Courts of Appeal went to Dems.

it was a good night for judicial reform.

That is the hard results. What I saw was a lot of people, newly engaged, who learned a lot from getting things organized, and networking. Democratic party withered for years, and there was not a lot of organizational experience collectively.

My local party learned a lot, and that seems to be reflected statewide. Texas is not going to be an easy "gimmie" going forward. Two more years of organizing and learning will do a lot.

I have also seen Republican county officials, as well as state officials pulling shit to keep Democrats from voting, such as redrawing districts in Democratic leaning areas in the last week before the election, and purges of rolls. You may expect to see a few lawsuits in the offing.

[TSA]

Trump loses less seats in the house than Clinton and Obama and actually picks up seats in the Senate and Dems think that’s a good sign for 2020? :rollin

[RandomGuy]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Democrats +5 to +8 or so, it varies.

Dems capture almost all toss-ups. +9 (out of 11)
Dems capture all leans dems. +1
Dems capture all tilts dems +3
Dem capture all likely dems +3

This is a solid gain of at least 15 seats.

Capture 1/3 of the tilts GOP +8
Capture 1/6 of the leans GOP +2
Capture 1/12 of the likely GOP +2

Dems up 27 seats, a narrow majority, seems like the most likely result of such a perception deficit.

Still two months to go. I think the possibility of an outlier, i.e. a huge wave with a larger majority for the Dems is quite possible, albeit very unlikely. A lot will depend on who sits this one out.

GOP voters... always vote. There is little there to mine or improve.

The only real question is how successful our Democratic get out the vote efforts are.

Final tally was +40.

An actual blue wave.

[RandomGuy]

I think there's a good chance that the support for Trump brings more conservatives who normally don't vote in mid-terms out in November. I'm seeing a lot more discussion about the mid-terms among those that I know (mostly conservative) about going to vote. Ironically, the talk from liberals/media about the upcoming "Blue Wave" is energizing them to go vote in the mid-terms. These numbers probably don't show up in the primary voting stats because they'll vote conservative no matter who the party puts up there.

Also, a lot of the Hispanic people that I know who normally voted Democrat are very attracted/enthusiastic about Trump. I think you'll see a lot more support from 3rd/4th generation Hispanic immigrants who disagree with the Dem position on ILLEGAL immigration.

Didn't quite happen. Republicans who always vote... voted. It was busy in many places, but as noted, Democrats have a LOT more upside when it comes to turn out. Democrats outnumber Republicans overall, they just don't vote as much. Texas being the prime example.

[RandomGuy]

No blue wave without a black & brown wave. I don't see it happening considering even Obama couldn't make it happen in midterms. I expect another "shocking" election night complete with a pouting Rachel Maddow and Nate Silver explaining how the polls were right even when they were wrong.

:rollin

I expect you to be telling me any day now about young white people are abandoning the Democratic party.

Young Voters Turned Out in Historic Numbers, Early Estimates Show
https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2018-11-07/young-voters-turned-out-in-historic-numbers-early-estimates-show

https://civicyouth.org/state-by-state-youth-turnout-estimates-confirm-trend-of-increased-participation-impact-on-2018-midterms/

They showed up, and preferred Democrats by a two to one margin.

Tell me again how that is a winning strategy for the Trump party. :lmao

[RandomGuy]

Trump loses less seats in the house than Clinton and Obama and actually picks up seats in the Senate and Dems think that’s a good sign for 2020? :rollin

2010 losses Obama: -63
2014 losses Obama: -14

2018 Trump losses: -40

You were both right and wrong. Hard to beat the 2010 drubbing, due to the shift from successful gerrymandering efforts.

[RandomGuy]

Just donated to Susan Collins' future opponent.

Map for GOP in 2020 looks worse for the GOP than this year's did for Democrats. Odds are that the GOP will barely eke out a tiny majority (50-50 split).

That majority will likely go away in 2020.

2 more years of Trump will not make Democrats any less energized or women less angry.

Hays County sees major rise in voter registration
https://www.kvue.com/article/news/local/hays-county-sees-major-rise-in-voter-registration/269-601408880



Don't mean shit if they don't get out to the polls, but we are continuing our voter outreach efforts. Nothing earth shattering, just a lot of polite conversations, and listening to people.

Went block walking with a local city council candidate, who has tapped into the progressive movement, and was entirely motivated, as many other women were, to run.

Progressives swept city council elections, due to our showing up for the thinly-voted runoff. The candidate I blockwalked for made it.

[RandomGuy]

Texas will make sure to purge registered voters mysteriously to keep the game rigged.

Like New York does for the Democrats here.

Also true, given the recent "muh illegal aliens are a votin'" effort by the SOS

[Will Hunting]

2010 losses Obama: -63
2014 losses Obama: -14

2018 Trump losses: -40

You were both right and wrong. Hard to beat the 2010 drubbing, due to the shift from successful gerrymandering efforts.
He was clearly referring to the 2010 elections (since he was comparing the first midterm of each president, not the 2nd term midterms) which weren't the product of gerrymandering, the redistricting happened after the 2010 census and didn't impact the 2010 elections, the 2010 elections had the same districts as the 2008 elections. The first election with the extremely gerrymandered districts was 2012 (and it's how the Republicans kept the house in spite of losing the overall popular vote).

The 2010 bloodbath was a product of millennials not showing up for midterm elections (I was guilty of that), minorities not showing up for midterm elections, and the tea party creating a huge block of extremely pissed off voters who were going to produce huge turnout.

I've said before that if Donald Trump is what makes it so millennials, blacks and hispanics actually turn out for midterm elections, then I'll happily live with him for 4 years of that's the outcome, the only caveat being his SCOTUS picks.

If Hillary won 2018 would have been another midterm election with horrific turnout for Democrats and I think the Republicans probably pick up a filibuster proof majority in the Senate which is a scary thought.

[Will Hunting]

The house was also a net loss of 41 for the Republicans with a chance of 42 depending on the special election in NC-9.

[RandomGuy]

He was clearly referring to the 2010 elections (since he was comparing the first midterm of each president, not the 2nd term midterms) which weren't the product of gerrymandering, the redistricting happened after the 2010 census and didn't impact the 2010 elections, the 2010 elections had the same districts as the 2008 elections. The first election with the extremely gerrymandered districts was 2012 (and it's how the Republicans kept the house in spite of losing the overall popular vote).

The 2010 bloodbath was a product of millennials not showing up for midterm elections (I was guilty of that), minorities not showing up for midterm elections, and the tea party creating a huge block of extremely pissed off voters who were going to produce huge turnout.

I've said before that if Donald Trump is what makes it so millennials, blacks and hispanics actually turn out for midterm elections, then I'll happily live with him for 4 years of that's the outcome, the only caveat being his SCOTUS picks.

If Hillary won 2018 would have been another midterm election with horrific turnout for Democrats and I think the Republicans probably pick up a filibuster proof majority in the Senate which is a scary thought.

I would agree on all counts. Hard to know which election he was referring to since he wasn't aware enough to specify, but safe to assume 2010, not 2014.

[RandomGuy]

Trump loses less seats in the house than Clinton and Obama and actually picks up seats in the Senate and Dems think that’s a good sign for 2020? :rollin

2020 looking very similar to 2018.

Early bellweathers show Dems at about where they were this time before the election.

President Injectovatch McBleachisfine is going to face some pretty brutal ads.

[Winehole23]

That said, I'd be fine with Menendez' losing that race.a bad penny always turns up.

why does NJ like him so much?

1661937978426490881

[Winehole23]

Lie down with dogs, get fleas.

Bob Menendez is pretty much as sleazy as it gets in the US Senate.

1055807889812701184Menendez got reelected.

He's cartoonishly and moustache-twirlingly corrupt, but maybe that's what people like about him.

1704642555722256787

[Thread]

Menendez got reelected.

He's cartoonishly and moustache-twirlingly corrupt, but maybe that's what people like about him.

1704642555722256787

They fixed the jury. Never a doubt.

[Winehole23]

lol



https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F6otKoDXsAAFPg0?format=jpg&name=medium

[RandomGuy]

lol

Is that real? (hard to tell these days)

[Winehole23]

Is that real? (hard to tell these days)
It's from the DOJ